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GEORGE.B
09 Jan 23 14:50
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Date Joined: 14 Jul 04
| Topic/replies: 61,255 | Blogger: GEORGE.B's blog
Thread Rules

The aim is to reach 100 pts profit within 100 days.

Start date: Monday 9th Jan 2023

100 day deadline: April 18th 2023

Maximum Stake: 1pt each-way per selection

Odds as advertised on oddschecker at time of posting.

As I will need all the help I can get, B.O.G will apply where applicable.

As ever, there will be no hiding place and the P/L will be updated on a daily basis Scared

Selections will mainly be on the Flat (UK, Ire & Meydan Carnival), though there may be the odd one over the jumps.

DISCLAIMER: Failure and losses are a distinct possibility Sad
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Report Virgin December 18, 2023 9:24 PM GMT
Wd George Cool gl .....
Report GEORGE.B December 19, 2023 12:15 PM GMT
Cheers Virgin. Good luck today.

Banana, 1pt EW @ 18-1, 6.30 Wolverhampton (4 PLACES)

Banana probably ran better than her finishing position suggested over C/D nine days ago, on what was her third run back following a year's absence, considering she took a keen hold from her widest draw and was obliged to race three-wide in a prominent position, in a race where the winner had a ground-saving trip around the inner, but she was still in contention for a place before weakening inside the final furlong.

She has to race from out of the handicap on this occasion but this is a slightly lower grade than last time, with Kieran O'Neill taking over from a 5lb claimer in the saddle, and a lower draw to help.
Report cobs101 December 19, 2023 12:28 PM GMT
GL George, had Banana 2nd in but went for Kitbag in the end in the AW comp...
Report GEORGE.B December 19, 2023 12:41 PM GMT
Good luck cobs101. It looked a good run over C/D back in March from Kitbag, when he fared best of the prominent racers in a race where the other principals came from off the pace. This will be his first run back here since, with a first-time visor on, let's hope they don't end up taking each other on for the lead!
Report GEORGE.B December 19, 2023 6:50 PM GMT
Well done cobs101.

Banana was away well but the jockey opted to ease back to get some cover, and then she kept on into 5th, not beaten far, but the 4th horse finished off that bit better.

Running P/L: +82.19
Report cobs101 December 19, 2023 6:57 PM GMT
Thanks George, not a fan when they take them back like that on the AW after a good start. Finished quite well though so I would think he will pick one of these races up in due course.
Report GEORGE.B December 21, 2023 12:30 PM GMT
Yes, agree, cobs101, and sometimes with these basement grade horses, I think they while they have nothing in the way of a change of gear, they will keep going, so maybe reining her back wasn't the wisest move. Good luck today.

Day 202

Polar Princess, 1pt EW @ 11-1, 5.45 Southwell (4 PLACES)

Polar Princess didn't last long with the Gosden yard but she showed enough to suggest there should be a win in her at a modest level, particularly at Kempton (12f) in May, when although finishing only 4th of the 6 runners and beaten 15L, she shaped like the second best horse in the race having tried to go with a useful Roger Varian-trained filly from some way out and been a clear second at one point before losing two places in the closing stages. The second horse home was the Sir Michael Stoute-trained Wodhooh, was has since been a Listed winner over hurdles for Gordon Elliott, while the fifth My Chiquita, has been a winner subsequently on the Flat and over hurdles.

Her first two runs for Philip Kirby weren't great, but there was more encouragement last-time-out at Wolverhampton (12f) in a higher grade when she wasn't helped by having to try and challenge around the outer but did keep on to be beaten just over 5L. She's now 8lb below her initial mark and hopefully this drop in grade can help.

Franco Grasso, 1pt EW @ 35-1, 6.15 Southwell (4 PLACES)

Franco Grasso probably ran better than his finishing position suggested on his stable debut at this course over 12f in April, when he might have done a bit too much on the front-end but was still close-up into the final furlong before weakening, on what was his first run for over two months. He then won his next start at Yarmouth (11.5f, good).

He's been very disappointing in three starts since, including last-time-out at Newcastle when returning from 5-months off, so it takes a leap of faith to support him back from another short break, particularly in a race where those at the head of the market can have strong cases made for them, but I'm going to have a speculative pick on him at the prices as that previous course run suggested that he could go well round here when things pan out more favourably.
Report GEORGE.B December 21, 2023 6:53 PM GMT
Polar Princess (18-1 SP) kept on from off the pace to just nick third place, though was never a threat to the gambled on winner.

Franco Grasso was friendless in the betting at 50-1 on his return from a 6-week break, but it looked like he was going to run on into a place when he started making headway from 2f out, however, he didn't quite get there and had to settle for 5th.

Running P/L: +82.69
Report GEORGE.B December 22, 2023 1:48 PM GMT
Liv Lucky, 1pt EW @ 15-2, 5.55 Southwell (4 PLACES)

Liv Lucky only managed to win once in 21 starts for the Johnston yard, but she ran well enough on her return from over seven-months off last month at Wolverhampton (7f) to suggest that her current yard may be able to win with her, particularly as it looked an effort that wanted marking up considering she did a lot of running from a wide draw in a contest where the other principals came from off the pace.

Liv Lucky has since disappointed over the same C/D, but she might have done too much too soon from another wide draw. There is a query as to whether this course suits as well having finished unplaced in five previous attempts here, but she ran okay in a couple of starts here for her previous yard, and she might have needed the three runs here for her current one.

Lewis Edmunds, who was aboard for that penultimate start is back in the plate, she has a better draw this time, while a first-time tongue-tie may also be of benefit.

Dynamic Force, 1pt EW @ 5-1, 6.15 Wolverhampton

Dynamic Force has been gradually improving his RPRs in four starts since rejoining Robert Cowell following a spell in Bahrain, and it looked a particularly good effort on the latest of them at Chelmsford fifteen days ago, when pulling away with a bang-in-form rival who was completing a hat-trick.

The first-time cheekpieces he wore that day are retained, with Jack Mitchell, who was aboard him for the first time, keeping the ride, so hopefully he can go well again here if transferring that form to this course. He's off a 3lb higher mark but was rated higher as a juvenile.

O G Beachwear, 1pt EW @ 8-1, 7.15 Wolverhampton (4 PLACES)

O G Beachwear was having just her second AW start when finishing third over C/D last month, when perhaps her effort wanted marking up based on how the race panned out. The fifth has won since, while the second and fourth ran well next-time-out to both finish runner-up.

O G Beachwear has been dropped a pound and this is a lower grade than last time, while she has a potentially nice draw in five to work from, so hopefully she can give a good account if backing up that latest effort.
Report Virgin December 22, 2023 8:13 PM GMT
HappySadHappy Wd George gl ....
Report madhatters December 22, 2023 8:49 PM GMT
Churning them out GB
WD
Report GEORGE.B December 22, 2023 9:33 PM GMT
Cheers Virgin & Mad', but unfortunately a small loss on the day despite two of them making the frame. It's a tough game innit Sad 5p Rule 4 for the 7.15.

Dynamic Force was quite weak in the betting, had the snowflake symbol next to his name, and was disappointing, fading out of it inside the final furlong.

Running P/L: +81.79
Report GEORGE.B December 22, 2023 9:37 PM GMT
* Running P/L: +81.71
Report GEORGE.B December 23, 2023 10:48 AM GMT
Day 204

Where's Tom, 1pt EW @ 7-1, 3.10 Lingfield (4 PLACES)

Where's Tom is approaching his ninth birthday but has only won the once on the Flat in his career, however, there have been a number of creditable runs in defeat this year which would give each-way claims in this, including when finishing 4th of 12 last month in a slightly higher grade over C/D, on his return from a 140-day break. It's a slight concern that he may ideally want further these days but the reapplied visor (0-3-5) may help sharpen him up.
Report i_agree_with_nick December 23, 2023 1:13 PM GMT
GL, George.


Ok, I've done some sums...

£1 Place @ BSP: +£34.57
£1 Win @ BSP: -£24.28
Report i_agree_with_nick December 23, 2023 1:21 PM GMT
Btw, just to be clear, the place figure is at standard place terms, NOT 4 TBP etc where George has selected in a race with an extra place.  ie a 4th in a 14-runner race is always a loser.
Report GEORGE.B December 23, 2023 1:35 PM GMT
Thanks 'nick, the spreadsheet is showing +14 at Betfair SP after 2% commission, with place bets settled at standard bets.

But de master has spoken:

"If you'd backed every horse in GB handicaps with 14 or more runners over the last 5 years you'd have made a loss of over 4,000 points at SP - and a profit of over 80 points at BFSP! BFSP can randomly turn moderate tipsters into apparently good ones. It's no guide at all."
Report GEORGE.B December 23, 2023 7:02 PM GMT
Where's Tom? Like all my best 4TP bets...In 5th place.

Running P/L: +79.71
Report Tiger Tiger December 23, 2023 7:37 PM GMT
If you backed every horse in a GB Handicap this last five years, aged 3 to 7 that hadnt won in the last 12 months then you would have lost 2438 points at Industry SP but be 1856 points better off at Bfsp, but of course at a strike rate of just 3.42%, its impractical (longest losing run 137).
Report Tiger Tiger December 23, 2023 7:50 PM GMT
Priced 11/1 and upwards I should have added.
Report Billy Liddell December 24, 2023 2:53 PM GMT
TT
Losing run of 137, what was the biggest price..
Report Tiger Tiger December 24, 2023 5:26 PM GMT
The biggest price this year was when Endofastorm won at Newcastle at 125/1 which paid 276.83 at Bfsp.

Its not just the losing runs though Billy, its the losing sequences, the losing run of say 90 may be preceded by a losing run of 60 and followed by another losing run of 60, its just not practical. Your ROI though is quite healthy at over 17%. If you extend tyhe sequence to cover the last 16 years though the ROI is just 5.7% and there are several losing years and the longest losing run then extends to a whopping 211.
Report GEORGE.B December 31, 2023 10:32 AM GMT
Day 205

Starsong, 1pt EW @ 14-1, 12.24 Lingfield

I'm going to take a chance on Starsong at the prices despite a concern over whether she's as effective at today's 7f as she is at 6f. She's a pound below the mark she won off at Chelmsford in February, and she's run well a few times in defeat since off similar marks, including three starts back at Wolverhamtpn (6f) when she was just narrowly denied by two noses in a race from which the winner, second, fourth and fifth have won subsequently.

Starsong also has to prove herself at this course but if she's going to get the trip anywhere it will be here, and Billy Loughnane rides her for the first time.

Society Lion, 1pt EW @ 11-1, 2.24 Lingfield (4 PLACES)

Society Lion has only run over 6f five times on the AW, and he has one notable piece form from last season at this trip when off a 2lb lower mark than today's, he defeated Badri, who was subsequently a big improver.

The selection has generally been in decent form this year with a couple of wins on turf, and he might have needed a couple of runs back on the AW following a 74-day break, including last time at Wolverhampton, when he wasn't disgraced having been caught wide from 3f out.

His previous Polytrack runs have come at Chelmsford, so he does have to prove his effectiveness here, but no bad thing to have Hollie Doyle back on board given her record of 2-5 on him, which included that aforementioned Wolverhampton success.
Report Billy Liddell December 31, 2023 11:15 AM GMT
Thanks Tiger Tiger, crikey..
Good luck George and well done on your fantastic thread, well.. not so much in the 2-24. I think Miss Moonshine might run a good race.
It's brilliant making a profit at your prices, I am more at home with 6/4 to 6/1 shots. Each to his own as they say..
Report Billy Liddell December 31, 2023 11:18 AM GMT
Got my races mixed up, it's BUCCABAY in your race..
Report GEORGE.B December 31, 2023 12:02 PM GMT
Cheers and good luck today, Billy
Report freddiewilliams December 31, 2023 1:07 PM GMT
Amazing George this soon be going a full year
Report Virgin December 31, 2023 2:48 PM GMT
Wd 4th George Happy

Tough day today ....this time next year Rodney gl ....
Report GEORGE.B December 31, 2023 6:19 PM GMT
Freddie, the 100 pts still feels a long way off, maybe I should have made it 1000 days.

Cheers Virgin.

Disappointing from Starsong, who was keen early but soon got cover and was in a reasonable position to strike, but couldn't quicken for toffee turning in, so maybe Lingfield isn't for her.

She's eligible for weaker / fillies' only races, and maybe taking the hood off might help.

Nothing got into it from off the pace in Society Lion's race, so he wasn't badly positioned in a tracking position, however, he couldn't go with the principals when the pace lifted but did keep on to get the extra place that a few firms were offering.

Running P/L: +78.91

Well, failed the calendar 100 days, failed the 100 days when selections were posted and then failed within a calendar year, but to put a positive spin on it, the thread ended the year with a respectable profit, which is a relief as for a lot of the year a loss looked a distinct possibility.

My juvenile hurdler threads for this calendar year alone are about 43 pts in profit, so my two threads combined are around 121 pts in profit. So if I could spin it that way, lol, then I might be able to release myself from this one.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gB-szamMr6s
Report GEORGE.B January 1, 2024 11:40 AM GMT
Day 206

Zealandia, 1pt EW @ 9-1, 2.00 Newcastle (Newcastle)

Zelandia is out again relatively quickly after only finishing 5th of 10 at Southwell (12f) on Friday, when he was very much the stable second-string according to the betting market as strong late support came in for his stablemate Oneforthegutter, who would win the race. Zelandia had previously finished ahead of his stablemate when they had met over 14f at Wolverhampton in November, when the selection stayed on well to finish a close-up third, an effort which suggested he'd be worth another try over further, and he steps up to this stretch two-mile trip today.

Ian Williams again runs two and Zelandia is the bigger-priced of the pair, though there has seemingly been a little market support for him this morning. Kieran O'Neill, who was aboard the stable's winner on Friday, is now back aboard Zelandia, having ridden him the time before at Wolverhampton.
Report GEORGE.B January 1, 2024 11:40 AM GMT
* Zealandia, 1pt EW @ 9-1, 2.00 Newcastle (4 PLACES)
Report Virgin January 1, 2024 2:07 PM GMT
Wd George gl ....
Report Billy Liddell January 1, 2024 2:12 PM GMT
Well Done George, top classExcitedHappy
Report GEORGE.B January 1, 2024 5:49 PM GMT
Cheers Virgin & Billy

Running P/L: +89.71 pts
Report madhatters January 1, 2024 7:42 PM GMT
WD GB
Creeping closer
Report lead on January 2, 2024 1:34 AM GMT
WD..just a matter of time..
Report GEORGE.B January 2, 2024 2:02 PM GMT
Cheers Mad' and lead on. Good luck today.

Day 207

Relentless Warrior, 1pt EW @ 5-1, 7.30 Wolverhampton (3 PLACES)

A few firms are offering three places on this seven-runner contest and I'm going to have a cheeky each-way 'insurance' pick on Relentless Warrior in the hope he can at least make the frame and save the stake.

He ran well at Bath (5.5f, good) early in his juvenile campaign to be second, albeit understandably no match for the subsequent Group 2 Vintage Stakes winner Haatem. It was disappointing he didn't fare better after, including on his return from a break and gelding operation at Lingfield last month when well punted, but he offered more over C/D on his latest start on Boxing Day when finishing third behind a couple of improvers, when perhaps a first-time tongue helped, which is retained here.

Hopefully he can build on that effort this evening dropped back in grade to class 6 company.
Report formoftheace January 2, 2024 2:21 PM GMT
GL George….
Report GEORGE.B January 2, 2024 7:47 PM GMT
cheers 'ace, unfortunately though, like so many of my each-way 'insurance' jobs, out of the frame.

The trip note for this one should read:

Soon poorly positioned, very wide into straight, ran on when it was all too late

Running P/L: +87.71 pts
Report GEORGE.B January 5, 2024 12:10 PM GMT
Day 208

Gordon Grey, 1pt EW @ 7-1, 3.32 Southwell (4 PLACES)

I'm going to take a chance on the fitness of Gordon Grey, who posted a couple of respectable efforts at Newmarket (10f, g-s) and Newbury (12f, good) last summer when he recorded RPRs of 81 and 78 respectively. He wasn't at the same level on his final two starts for Ian Williams, when soft ground might not have been ideal, though he wasn't disgraced on the former occasion at Nottingham in one of the Grassroots Series' Finals.

Gordon Grey has since been sold for 18,000 gns and, following a wind-op, new connections are wasting no time in switching him to the AW and stepping him up in trip to 14f. He is related to winners on synthetic surfaces and his pedigree offers encouragement that he will stay this longer distance.
Report GEORGE.B January 5, 2024 5:21 PM GMT
They didn't go any pace which meant there were several in with a chance entering the final furlong, where Gordon Grey still had every chance of a place and was sticking to his task, but then the fav edged right into his path and pretty much stopped him in his tracks, and that was that. Hopefully he's all right as he was eased right off.

Running P/L: +87.71 pts
Report GEORGE.B January 9, 2024 10:21 AM GMT
Day 209

Canaria Queen, 1pt EW @ 25-1, 5.00 Southwell (4 PLACES)

I'm going to give another chance to Canaria Queen. There didn't appear any fluke about it when she defeated the long odds-on Sacred Falls in a novice at Musselburgh (5f, g-s) in September, and that filly has since won and run well in defeat in handicap company. Canaria Queen hasn't built on this win in three runs since, but she didn't face an easy task at Ripon (5f, good) in an 0-81 on her next start, and of her two runs over 5f at this track following a 55-day break, she didn't shape too badly on the former occasion when not helped by meeting with interference 2f out, but was disappointing last time when not sure her highest draw was an excuse.

The filly Canaria Queen defeated at Musselbrgh ended the turf season with a rating of 69, yet Canaria Queen can now race off 63 following those three below par runs, so while she has to prove Tapeta is for her, hopefully a step back up in trip to 6f round here can help.

Polar Princess, 1pt EW @ 10-1, 5.30 Southwell (4 PLACES)

Polar Princess is another I selected last-time-out She didn't last long with the Gosden yard but she showed enough to suggest there should be a win in her, particularly at Kempton (12f) in May, when although finishing only 4th of the 6 runners and beaten 15L, she shaped like the second best horse in the race having tried to go with a useful Roger Varian-trained filly from some way out and been a clear second at one point before losing two places in the closing stages. The second horse home was the Sir Michael Stoute-trained Wodhooh, was has since been a Listed winner over hurdles for Gordon Elliott, while the fifth My Chiquita, has been a winner subsequently on the Flat and over hurdles.

Her first two runs for Philip Kirby weren't great, but there was more encouragement at Wolverhampton (12f) last month when she wasn't helped by having to try and challenge around the outer but did keep on to be beaten just over 5L, and she was better again over 11f here on her latest start when keeping on well to be third behind a couple of well backed ones, albeit the fourth didn't do much for the form at Kempton on Saturday when a spectacular drifter in the betting.

She is eligible for weaker races than this one, but the step back up to 12f may help, Billy Loghnane rides her for the first time, and hopefully she can continue going the right way for her current yard.

Gordon Grey, 1pt EW @ 7-1, 6.00 Southwell (4 PLACES)

Gordon Grey is another I'm giving another chance to, having selected him just four days ago when he ran over 14f at this course on his stable debut, for the reasons given above. It didn't end well with him losing all chance inside the final furlong as the eventual winner edged right into his path, but evidently he's none the worse given this quick reappearance.

He's dropping back in trip to 12f here and doubt that another steady-pace-then-sprint would be any good to him, but in the hope of a more even gallop this time, even if he has to make the running himself, he's given another vote.
Report Brian January 9, 2024 11:26 AM GMT
Good luck George. I watched Gordon Grey last time (for reasons I can't remember I had laid him in the place market and had not seen your thread!) and I thought he traveled so well that the drop in distance would suit.
Report GEORGE.B January 9, 2024 6:50 PM GMT
Brian, not a bad run there from Gordon Grey (12-1) to make the frame. Harry Davies kept it simple this time and got on with it. I wonder if we may see Gordon Grey in a juvenile hurdle before the season is out.

Canaria Princess was sent off at 50-1, but ran okay to be beaten around two lengths at the finish having made good headway from off the pace, but that was still only good enough for 6th place. Her win on turf was on good to soft and maybe a bit of give in the ground does helps her, as she seems to be finding things happening a bit too quickly on Tapeta.

Another fair effort from Polar Princess (18-1) to make the frame. She wasn't helped by meeting with interference at a crucial stage up the straight but it probably didn't make any difference to her finishing position.

Running P/L: +89.71 pts
Report GEORGE.B January 9, 2024 7:30 PM GMT
* Running P/L: +87.71 pts
Report ladycarla January 9, 2024 11:41 PM GMT
Well done George, never in doubt you would of threw the towel in Cool
Report GEORGE.B January 13, 2024 2:14 PM GMT
I might make it 100 years next time, ladycarla, just to be on the safe side Wink

Day 210

Carry On Aitch, 1pt EW @ , 4.15 Chelmsford

I'm going to take a chance on Carry On Aitch, who's out again relatively quickly having finished only 6th of 9 in a classified stakes at Kempton (7f) on Wednesday, where she ran a bit better than her finishing position suggested having taken a keen hold early and then had a wide trip, yet despite this she kept on surprisingly well to press for 4th place, albeit no match for the first three.

She's evidently quite limited but did manage to win a 5f turf handicap for her previous yard last summer, and her best effort for her current yard came over today's C/D in September when finishing 3rd of 13 at 150-1 in a class 6 handicap.

Carry On Aitch will need to settle better than she did at Kempton, but she's got the inside draw and hopefully can get into a better rhythm this time, wearing the retained cheekpieces which were applied for the first time on Wednesday.
Report GEORGE.B January 13, 2024 2:14 PM GMT
* Carry On Aitch, 1pt EW @ 12-1, 4.15 Chelmsford
Report GEORGE.B January 13, 2024 4:54 PM GMT
It looked an early entry for the worst race of 2024, but the market was confident that Carry On Aitch wouldn't be troubling the judge, and so it proved as she folded tamely.

Running P/L: +85.71 pts
Report GEORGE.B January 15, 2024 11:35 AM GMT
Day 211

Banana, 1pt EW @ 17-2, 7.30 Wolverhampton

Banana probably ran better from a wide draw than her finishing position suggested over C/D in December, on what was her third run back from a year off, and there have been stronger hints in three runs since that she may be able to lose her maiden tag, notably two runs back when going down by just a neck over C/D in a 0-62, having been a pound 'wrong' at the weights.

She could only finish 6th of the 8 runners here on Saturday evening over 5f in a 0-50 classified stakes, but that doesn't tell the whole story as she didn't get a clear run up the straight and finished with running left in her.

The return to 6f should suit and has a better draw than has sometimes been the case, so hopefully she can be competitive in this basement-grade handicap.
Report cobs101 January 15, 2024 3:40 PM GMT
GL with Banana again today George. Gone for Jumira Bridge in the comp but no bet Cool
Report GEORGE.B January 15, 2024 9:39 PM GMT
sadly, cobs, not today for Banana who got the split against the rail but wasn't quick enough to take it; she didn't get a clear run after but it didn't look like she was going anywhere anyway.

Running P/L: +83.71 pts
Report Manoleeds January 16, 2024 8:20 AM GMT
I see what you did there " Banana who got the split"Grin
Report Virgin January 16, 2024 9:48 AM GMT
Plain
Report GEORGE.B January 16, 2024 12:01 PM GMT
Good luck today chaps.

Day 212

Moondharrig, 1pt EW @ 8-1, 2.15 Dundalk (4 PLACES)

Moondharrig had been well beaten in a C/D claimer on her third run for a mark but was a lot better in first-time cheekpieces over the same trip here on her handicap debut when finishing second of 14, in what was the quicker of the two divisions. She didn't back that effort up on her latest start for whatever reason, but she's only had the five starts so may be worth another chance with first-time blinkers tried and a 5lb claimer being enlisted, granted a reasonable trip from her wide draw.
Report Brian January 16, 2024 3:09 PM GMT
Well done George.
Report cobs101 January 16, 2024 3:13 PM GMT
Nice one George Cool
Report Billy Liddell January 16, 2024 3:21 PM GMT
Brilliant George.. well done
Report Virgin January 16, 2024 3:46 PM GMT
Well Done George Cool gl ....
Report GEORGE.B January 16, 2024 5:25 PM GMT
Cheers all.

I was worried when I saw the head-on because from under 2f out she definitely drifted in front of the runner-up who lost momentum before closing at the finish to be beaten a head, but they didn't even call an enquiry. Phew.

Running P/L: +93.31 pts
Report Tattcorner January 17, 2024 1:53 PM GMT
Getting ever closer to the target, George.  You've done well to overcome lots of setbacks.
Report LoyalHoncho January 17, 2024 2:14 PM GMT
That;s an impressive points profit.  Top researching.
Report GEORGE.B January 18, 2024 12:29 PM GMT
Thanks for the positive comments.

Day 213

Boom Pow Pow, 1pt EW @ 5-1, 1.55 Chelmsford (3 PLACES)

Boom Pow Pow's yard has been in better of late of late and she herself has been running well, finishing second twice at Lingfield, over 7f to Storymaker, who has won twice since to complete a four-timer; then on her next start over 6f when she pulled clear with one other.

Boom Pow Pow could only finish 7th of 11 on her latest start at Wolverhampton (6f), however, she got a bit messed about through the race when trying to take up a prominent position but still shaped as though in form, beaten just under 3L at the finish.

She drops back in grade today, a visor is applied, and although she didn't shine in one previous start here, that came off a break when she hadn't been in much form anyway, but hopefully this track can suit given her usual prominent racing style.

Miss Calculation, 1pt EW @ 8-1, 7.00 Southwell

Miss Calculation is probably in a bit better form than her form figures might suggest having found trouble in the run on her last three starts at Wolverhampton, including last time when finishing behind Higher Law, form which admittedly leaves her with a bit to find with that rival.

This will be her first run here and might not want it to become tactical if held up again, but she used to be versatile regarding tactics for previous connections, so hopefully can sit closer to the pace if need be.

Miss Calculation hasn't had many chances for Stella Barclay, who has been among the winners of late, and hopefully can give a good account here granted a reasonable trip.
Report Virgin January 18, 2024 7:05 PM GMT
Wd George HappyCry gl ....

1.55 All In The Hips Napped 2 days ago when 2nd missed her today 13-2 BlushCryWhoops
Report GEORGE.B January 18, 2024 7:17 PM GMT
Unlucky Virgin

It was looking good when Boom Boom Pow hit the front over a furlong out (traded 1.25) but she had no answer to the late surge of All In The Hips.

Miss Calculation did manage to reverse lto Wolverhampton form with Higher Law, but having hit the front over a furlong out she couldn't see it out and faded to finish fourth.

Running P/L: +91.31 pts
Report GEORGE.B January 19, 2024 11:40 AM GMT
Day 214

Moliwood, 1pt EW @ 20-1, 1.40 Wolverhampton (4 PLACES)

Moliwood returned to action following a 397-day at Chelmsford (13.5f) in November with a fair effort to finish second to one who had become well handicapped again. The selection was then off for another two months before running in a London Series' quailfier at Kempton (2 miles) just under two weeks ago when he didn't see his race out, fading to finish 8th of the 12 runners, though perhaps the run was needed following another break.

It's a concern that he's been so sparingly raced in recent times but the Chelmsford run suggested he retains a chunk of his ability and he is now 5lb below his last winning mark, and 3lb below the mark he won off over C/D as a 3YO, on what was his only previous visit to this venue. So while those wins are admittedly becoming a distant memory, a chance is taken at the odds with David Probert booked, who's 2-3 for the yard, +£7.

Areana, 1pt EW @ 11-1, 7.30 Dundalk (4 PLACES)

Areana caught the eye at Tipperary (12.5f, good) back in May on her handicap debut, when she travelled enthusiastically before still looking green when asked to make her effort in the home straight after having not had the clearest of runs around 3f out, but still finished her race off well to finish second of the 17 runners.

She hasn't built on that promising effort in four starts since including here the last twice over 10.5f, where she seemed to travel fine on the surface but her finishing effort was a bit disappointing, though she wasn't beaten far on either occasion to finish 5th of 14 both times.

Areana is returning from a 7-week break and her stable could be in better form, but this step up in trip to 12f round here may help and she can race off a mark 4lb lower than for that aforementioned Tipperary run.
Report Virgin January 19, 2024 3:44 PM GMT
Nice place George Grin wd gl tonight ....
Report GEORGE.B January 19, 2024 8:53 PM GMT
Cheers Virgin

David Probert made a move from 4f out on Moliwood (22-1) to inject some pace into the contest, which helped the other principals who were held up off the steady gallop, but the selection was a sitting duck inside the final furlong, however, did manage to hold on for a place.

Areana, who looks a big mare who doesn't do anything in a hurry, appreciated the step back up in trip to 12f and an honest gallop, to stay on well for second place, but couldn't match the pace of the winner who had the benefit of an in-form 7lb claimer aboard.

Running P/L: +95.91 pts
Report Billy Liddell January 20, 2024 8:57 AM GMT
Going great George, brilliant..
Report Tostidog January 20, 2024 9:50 AM GMT
Retirement beckons George!
Report lead on January 20, 2024 9:51 AM GMT
brilluant stuff...I hope when you burst throigh the +100 pts you're going to get another one going,George....putting Timeform,pricewise,Calvin etc. to shame
Report lead on January 20, 2024 9:52 AM GMT
*brilliant even
Report Tostidog January 20, 2024 10:03 AM GMT
I meant thread retirement obviously!
Report GEORGE.B January 20, 2024 11:52 AM GMT
Cheers guys. On my previous thread I was on the verge of reaching 200 pts profit at bog / early prices, it looked a formality, alas the P/L went the wrong way and I never got there, so this one might be far from over yet!

Day 215

Rubeus, 1pt EW @ 12-1, 7.00 Wolverhampton

Rubeus, a seven-year-old whose previous two wins came in France (11f) and Jersey (12f), made an encouraging debut for his new yard over 14f here last month when he pulled clear with Blue Hawaii, who followed up on her next start by defeating subsequent dual winner The Craftymaster.

The concern is that Rubeus has since put in a shocker at Southwell (14f), though the race might have come soon enough just eight days later. He's dropped back in trip to 12f this evening with blinkers reapplied, and while he's in effect 4lb higher as he went up 2lb plus Elisha Whittington's claim is now down to 3lb, a chance is taken at the odds that he can bounce back to form returned to Dunstall Park given that previous good effort here.
Report cobs101 January 20, 2024 12:00 PM GMT
GL George, had this one 2nd in to Snooze Lane who I put up in the AW Comp but won't back it as don't like the trainer form. Hope you hit the 100pts today Cool
Report Virgin January 20, 2024 12:07 PM GMT
Rubeus Snap George Shocked gl us Excited

cobs Agreed and also like Starfighter for the AW comp Crazy
Report Brian January 20, 2024 2:59 PM GMT
Don't think need to worry too much about the trainer form Grin
Report cobs101 January 20, 2024 3:08 PM GMT
Which trainer Brian? Sarah Hollinshead - Snooze Lane, Since win flat: 40 runs 309 days
Report saddo January 20, 2024 3:12 PM GMT
Virgin 20 Jan 24 12:07 
Rubeus Snap George Shocked gl us Excited

...............

I backed this earlier also, trainer has had 2 from last 3 though, which is a worry.
Report Brian January 20, 2024 3:15 PM GMT
Cobs - Scott Dixon who had an impressive winner yesterday and again today at Lingfield (both decent prices)
Report cobs101 January 20, 2024 3:15 PM GMT
oh you meant Scott Dixon, got it.
Report Virgin January 20, 2024 7:05 PM GMT
Wd George Cool

Cool COMPLETED IT Cool
Report Brian January 20, 2024 7:06 PM GMT
Nice one George, 100pts smashed Grin
Report BrianBear January 20, 2024 7:08 PM GMT
Great shout George, thanks for posting it. Congrats on reaching 100 points
Report youresomean January 20, 2024 7:11 PM GMT
Well done George I never doubted you for a minute
Report FOYLESWAR January 20, 2024 7:13 PM GMT
well done george never in doubt !
Report 1830 January 20, 2024 7:14 PM GMT
Followed the thread.
Never posted on it before.
Have to say well done.
Report cobs101 January 20, 2024 7:15 PM GMT
Congratulations on getting to your target George. Superb pick with Rubeus, hope you got the 20 BSP. Did follow you in for a few quid (aftertiming ***^ I know!). Cool
Report freddiewilliams January 20, 2024 7:18 PM GMT
Well done George keeping this going over a year and hitting ure target
Report the dealer January 20, 2024 7:21 PM GMT
Well Done, tremendous effort
Report Billy Liddell January 20, 2024 7:24 PM GMT
Wow, fantastic George..  SPECIAL..
Report madhatters January 20, 2024 7:28 PM GMT
Congrats GB
Perseverance and persistence
And no small amount of skill
WD Grin
Report formoftheace January 20, 2024 7:33 PM GMT
WD George….
Report GEORGE.B January 20, 2024 7:56 PM GMT
Thanks all for the kind words.

Tbh, Miss Calculation would have been an appropriate end to the thread had she won the other evening, given I'm 115 days out, but hey, better to arrive late than not at all Blush

Mind, the way Elisha Whittington was celebrating after the line, I thought she must have been following the thread and was pleased for me Wink, but no, the story was they'd brought Rubeus back from a spinal kiss injury, so a happy ending there too for perseverance.

The final total at Betfair SP is +47 pts after 2% commission.

End of thread P/L at B.O.G / early prices: +110.3 pts
Report N-east Correspondent January 20, 2024 7:58 PM GMT
never in doubt v.w.d. George Cool
Report GRP888 January 20, 2024 8:02 PM GMT
Perseverance - well done
Report comingupthehill January 20, 2024 9:11 PM GMT
This will go down in history with.
Eddie the eagle
Eddie the eel
Kris acca busey
In racing speak,you rode them to sleep.but still did it.

Well done.
Report Tostidog January 21, 2024 7:54 AM GMT
Well done George!
Report sageform January 21, 2024 7:59 AM GMT
Well done George. Such a determined effort over so long and not allowing a losing spell to put you off.
Report LoyalHoncho January 21, 2024 1:15 PM GMT
V.w.d.  When does the next one start?  I apply.
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