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I understand that, but why swoop in just before Cheltenham? Very likely he can top anyone else. As for running in the Albert Bartlett it's not as if the race has wrecked the future of potential staying chasers.
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That is true DD.
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Unfortunately the time has come to treat Cheltenham like a standard days racing from a punting point of view do the cad the night before or in the morning then place your bets.
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It is hard when you lose what you think might be a double figure 'certainty', but fingers crossed I have a few reasonable one's still left. I am not so far behind as I usually am at this stage. In addition to Marie's Rock the two biggest disappointments were losing The Nice Guy in what has turned out a very weak division, and less so L'Homme Presse.
Ante-post betting isn't what it used to be when you just picked out a small number of horses. I used to frequent Fat Jockey, but got fed up with it. Many on there seem to throw endless darts in the hope that one hits the board, and they can cash out the rest. That's book blancing akin to accountants, and it's never been my way of doing things. |
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https://www.attheraces.com/news/2023/March/09/'no-firm-decision'-as-connections-of-marie's-rock-weigh-up-festival-choice
Little bit of sense from Palin, and perhaps more hopeful signs. That said the talk of whether Blazing Khal (the horse a few days ago Henderson hadn't even heard of) runs or not is surely a little bit of a red herring. If you don't stay, you are not going to win just because one horse doesn't run. The ground on Tuesday looks as if it is going to be ideal. It will stretch all those going up in trip (not that they were going to win anyway), and Love Envoi isn't good enough even it was a swamp. |
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Now a sea of blue on Oddschecker presumably, as a response to the above.
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Wipe your chin m8
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Looks like you've got your wish differentdrum. All the best with the wager hot race and the week ahead. I haven't bet many tbh Wednesday is the day that will make or break the week for me. Be lucky
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declared for the Mares hurdle.
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Thanks, and you. Not that it mattered, but I couldn't have done more to argue the case.
There is a possibility of being wrong about everything (my last two weeks betting would show that), but I do think she is the best odds against bet of the meeting. I have had a second bet using the money returned on the Stayers. Would be very surprised if she didn't go off clear favourite. At least this year I am going in losing half as much as I was last year which helps. Only three obvious negatives - The Nice Guy (given a good season what price would he have been for the staying novice?), Hermes Allen (any amount of sensible argument was never going to sway Nicholls) and Ballyburn (at least that was NRNB). I love this week, but it can be very hard if you have nothing on the board come Friday. Wednesday is usually my favourite day, but it looks a bit threadbare this year. Hopefully, Gerri Colombe can go in, and I was quite sweet on Encanto Bruno until the rain has come. |
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expect it is down to the ground, could end up more testing than they expected.
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Minella cocooner was my reverse but otherwise I’ve been picking my fights tbh. I prefer trixie bets but they take me weeks to find the right combinations at the right odds ante post. Minella indo cost me a nice win a few years ago in the rsa but I continue to love the bet its not easy and takes me time and energy.
Just In regards Marie’s rock and the odds you made her earlier in the thread. I’ve put her in at 3/1 and can’t make her shorter just because of how deep the race has ended up. I’m a little on the fence in this as I don’t mind maries rock, epatante, honeysuckle, envoi, echoes or some of the rags. I can’t believe when you backed her, you thought it would end as deep as it has? I’d say you’ve been a tad unlucky tbh. I get the angle and wish you well as she is tough and has the ability but boy it’s ended a tough betting race. Arguably the best betting heat of all the grade 1’s at the meeting. I’m waiting to fire the 6th barrel on the Wednesday as I’m getting the right odds on one just hope I don’t end up in a blood bath![]() |
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Yes, it's a terrifically competitive race. I hope all those people who whined about the race when Quevega won it every year have taken note. Well done to Cheltenham for bringing it in and sticking with it.
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Been thinking about Tuesday's race and there is one possible negative for Marie's Rock.
Looking at the runners she is the only guaranteed strong stayer at the trip. All the opposition will realise that, and unfortunately there are no Dashel Drasher's in this line up. In fact there is a distinct lack of pace. If any of those behind her in market get on the front end they will surely attempt to dictate a dawdle. The one hope on the pace front has to be Theatre Glory. A lack of pace would surely not help her cause, and although she has no realistic chance of winning, she could still have quite a big influence on the race. Hopefully, the Henderson team have discussed this scenario. |
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I tend to agree with you differentdrum. I can’t find any pace myself. Think it’s a minefield myself
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Shame she ran a bounce type race Marie’s differentdrum. Quite keen tbh. Anyway nothing worse than a horse to blob with all the build up, I’m sure you’ll have other bullets to fire.
I said I’d bet one today although it’s drifted. Anyway true to my word it’s Gaelic warrior I did put it in at 11/4 for this so now I’m hock deep as you can imagine as the price is just unbelievable. Anyway I’ve got the rope ready ![]() |
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I think the potential and stamina limitation of Maries Rock were probably exposed - she was travelling well 2 hurdles out; Honeysuckle had the credential (former Champion Hurdle) and stamina.
It was a fitting finale for all the probable reasons. She was also the best horse in the race. |
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Very well said strontium
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This year's renewal was a rarity and a race to behold. I think Constitution Hill was the predominant instigator of it, I believe.
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It was obviously very disappointing, but I am sure many people lost a lot more than I did.
Stamina did contribute heavily to her defeat, but not because she didn't get home, quite the opposite. I think I was the only one that I heard questioning the lack of pace (albeit at the eleventh hour), and sadly, that was the way it turned out. Alarm bells were ringing as soon as you could see Theatre Glory had zero inclination to go forward. The two speed horses on the front end just dawdled and ended up with a massive advantage. The only conceivable explanation for the Henderson tactics would be that they thought the slow pace would suit Epatante. It looks like she was always the chosen one with the attempts to shunt Marie's Rock into the Stayers. Henderson gave the lack of pace as the excuse for Marie's Rock's dismal run which was fair enough, but it is very hard to believe that he said the same thing for Epatante. She was the two miler upped in trip so it makes no sense. It is hard to believe there will be a more falsely run race at the Festival, but the Henderson team have only got themselves to blame for doing zero about it. |
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poor jockeyship today
thought it was all over ....nico poor ride poor jockey and a mis- managed horse guessing she is going to say get her away from nicky breeding paddocks disgusting training if this horse was irish trained it would have won millions |
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Just got outstayed on the day by the Horse that
won the Stayers @ Cheltenham. What races would it have won millions in? |
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No biased agenda there then Irish.
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Great ride, just got outstayed.
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horse was mismanaged
mares hurdle ? is that all ? fantastic filly , sent round the bad ground by nico on its debut if he had doubts the horse could stay why put it in three miles ? |
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i think the filly on its day was better than honeysuckle lads
yes she is a nutter but if you cant get her to settle you work on it she got injured...why ? what was it ? |
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"same thing for Epatante. She was the two miler upped in trip so it makes no sense.
It is hard to believe there will be a more falsely run race at the Festival, but the Henderson team have only got themselves to blame for doing zero about it" differentdrum spot on |
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Yes, they will just waffle on about how well she ran today, and she did. Problem was, at this trip she couldn't quicken off the bridle, otherwise she would have won.
In this form, and with with a pace to run at, she would have dotted up at Cheltenham. Instead of acknowledging the mistake - I still believe they wanted that race set up for Epatante - they will probably plough on over the longer distance. |