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Looks as difficult to solve as usual and luck in running probably crucial so decent odds needed to make the risk worthwhile,getting them not so hard in a 28 runner field.I have gone against the stats in that my main pick won lto (only 3 lto winners in last 19) .He gets a 4lb penalty but Stefano Cherchi negates most of that and it is a great opportunity for him,the draw is an unknown and he is drawn near (ish) the middle so may have options to go straight or as I suspect work over towards the stands rail,all depends on the break and early pace.
First View is one of 4 for SBS and a 5yo like 2 of the others and you would imagine they have been kept in training for races such as this,not much between First View and Electrical Storm imo so done First View ew @ 22/1 8 places Skyb and ES @ 16s ew 7 places B3.65.Anyone have a fancy at big odds?
First View is one of 4 for SBS and a 5yo like 2 of the others and you would imagine they have been kept in training for races such as this,not much between First View and Electrical Storm imo so done First View ew @ 22/1 8 places Skyb and ES @ 16s ew 7 places B3.65.Anyone have a fancy at big odds?
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I have no idea who you’ve tipped.
Could somebody let me know if my short priced hunch is First View please. |
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Only half right kenbo!!
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jimi hendrix for me, fits a lot of trends- one of the few fancied horses drawn high , forgive his last run ( drawn wide at goodwood ) must have a great chance.
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denise coates became a billionaire becos of degenerated addicted clowns betting in 28 runner h/caps.
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A few bob on Carolus Magnus. Has been nibbled at since last night when 50-1 was available.
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Why is a low draw thought be a hindrance? Is it because the horse can get trapped on the rails ? On the other hand a high draw means further to go round the bend.
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Need better bait Manoleeds.
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No seriously -what is the answer ? Can't be the ground being better on the stands side as it's flat throughout . If a front runner is drawn low what's not to like? I can see that a hold up horse might be better on the outside but then again they can get lucky with gaps.
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There is no bend in the race -hence the fishing reference. I think that, in terms of statistics, the horses drawn high have done better.
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The last 6 winners have been drawn 21 or higher as have 11 of the last 14.
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I could have sworn there was a bend -must be either mixing up the courses or thinking about the Cesarewitch
 . In that case, I can't see why there should be a draw bias |
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Brilliant Light…win and loads of places….
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Bends are only one part of draw bias. Watering, where the main part of the field race, help from the rails, and many other small differences. Not the sort of race I often bother with from a betting angle. Might as well buy a scratch card. I prefer races where only 3 or 4 can win.
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I'll swerve the race , i'm a hopeless dart player.
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I agree with rico, but I've had a bit on Carolus Magnus and Dual Identity cos they were in the tracker.
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Austrian Theory for me first 8 places. Well Overpriced.
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Carolus Magnus has shortened a lot saddo. Could not resist a Place only with Probert riding.
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lucandor e/w but u need the hood to work and it might not, rag forest falcon at a stupid price for an interest
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Lycander's got the blinkers on 1st time,Elise.
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aye, is what i meant, not convinced it's the answer but at the odds worth a smallish try
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dual identity
jimi hendricks & austrian theory good luck with yours , |
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I like Perotto EW, only 4lbs higher that when winning the Brittania and seemingly well drawn. Interesting jockey booking.
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Ouzo w/p
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Taylor made for a last to first from Frank on injazati
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Kitsune Power ew(8) taken 29.00 and 3.05
first time pieces and Varian continuing in fine form lot on its plate for 3yo perhaps but got to have a go Totally Charming another I would give a chance too but not a race I get the winner of too often  gl chaps |
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Another high draw winner, stall 26.
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What a shrewdie that Dixon man is! Backed the wrong Balding runner a place as usual but laid off Carolus in running so broke even.
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channon wins lincoln & cambridgeshire jesus f christ
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I reckon his son must be pretty much running the show now.
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There's a name from the past, Brian Rouse, winning jock's grandad!
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Poor old Mick never gets an ounce of credit for what he has achieved.
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throws a helluva lot of sh1t at the wall imo had 1 good year in a decade on figs
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tbf this 1 today was more plausible than johan with the trainer switch
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It amazed me a little today as I backed the horse a few times this year for some decent place market prices but I never even look at handicaps such as this anymore. Strangely enough my first ever winner was in this same race in 1958 when my dad took me to Newmarket. Shilling EW at 20/1 London Cry.
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