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Rico-Dangleflaps
24 Aug 22 16:44
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Date Joined: 07 Sep 18
| Topic/replies: 53,195 | Blogger: Rico-Dangleflaps's blog
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Report stridingedge August 24, 2022 4:50 PM BST
a million squider
Report Tiger Tiger August 24, 2022 4:50 PM BST
No, has been as high as 1.91 though to win by more than 15 lengths, around 1.56 now, a better bet?
Report Rico-Dangleflaps August 24, 2022 4:53 PM BST
1.06 not to fall/break down was value imo..1.02 wasnt.

didtance betting is for degenerates unless your friends with the jockey.
Report wondersobright August 24, 2022 4:56 PM BST
dists 17-18
Report Rico-Dangleflaps August 24, 2022 4:58 PM BST
4.7 secs wotever that equates to.
Report Tiger Tiger August 24, 2022 4:59 PM BST
Given that the other two were beaten 73 and 24 lengths by inferior horses than Presentandcounting last time out, then 15 lengths or more was quite fair.
Report stridingedge August 24, 2022 5:00 PM BST
18L
Report Rico-Dangleflaps August 24, 2022 5:01 PM BST
nothing is fair unless you spoke to jockey. udderwise just a guess.
Report stu August 24, 2022 5:06 PM BST
Every bet around 1.9 is part guess, but was fair price IMO that he'd put distance in ahead of the 2nd, given how weak they were.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps August 24, 2022 5:35 PM BST
IMO = no eye deer really but looks ok
Report stu August 24, 2022 5:39 PM BST
Well, as you know every price and bet is a value judgement, and I'm sure even some of yours much shorter will have lost sometimes?

A decent horse with form vs two complete no-hopers, distance? As a value bet I personally took 15 or more with a bookies price at 1.83 (so it included 15 exactly).
Report Rico-Dangleflaps August 24, 2022 6:08 PM BST
evaluating a horses chances is of course value...will a certaintly win barring a fall or going lame..what is the odds in a hurdle race? would ewe take 50 any horse to fall or go lame?

whats the odds on a 1/25 winning over 15L length?  absolutely no idea without inside help,seen plenty long odds on win 5L on the snaff.
Report stu August 24, 2022 6:14 PM BST
There were quite a few factors on that winning length, if you searched around and analysed them. Just same as analysing form of a horse is still a value judgement based on factors.

Never known (apart from the completely bnt ones of course), always estimated.
Report stu August 24, 2022 6:15 PM BST
I used to play spread betting distances in the past fairly successfully (until limited) based on several key factors - it can be analysed.
Report braq98 August 24, 2022 9:03 PM BST
"fairly successfully" ffs
Report Rico-Dangleflaps August 24, 2022 9:43 PM BST
how exactly do you analyse how brian hughes is going to ride a 1/50 in a 3 runner race? never read so much sh!te in my entire life.
Report ItsMeSwaddle August 24, 2022 9:55 PM BST
Wd Stu.

OP well done too did you take 1/22?
Report ItsMeSwaddle August 24, 2022 9:55 PM BST
Oh thread up when 1.06, did you take the 1/16 on offer? WD if so.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps August 24, 2022 10:05 PM BST
Horse Racing: £1.52
Total P&L: £1.52
Horse Racing > Sedgefield 24th Aug : 2m4f Nov Hrd
Showing 1 - 1 of 1 selections
Selection
Odds    Stake (£)    Bid type    Placed    Profit/Loss (£)
Presentandcounting    1.06    20.00    Back   
24-Aug-22 16:44
1.20
*Average odds:  On  Off                   
Back subtotal:    1.20
Lay subtotal:    0.00
Market subtotal:    1.20
Commission @ 1.67%:    0.02
Net Market Total:    1.18
Report ItsMeSwaddle August 24, 2022 10:07 PM BST
Apple core?
Report Rico-Dangleflaps August 24, 2022 10:10 PM BST
wd
Report stu August 25, 2022 12:04 AM BST
how exactly do you analyse how brian hughes is going to ride a 1/50 in a 3 runner race?

same way anyone analyses an outcome in a betting race - I'm not going to tell you though. DYOR is the principle of course, as you know. Wink
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