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24 Aug 22
16:44
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07 Sep 18
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Replies: 22
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a million squider
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No, has been as high as 1.91 though to win by more than 15 lengths, around 1.56 now, a better bet?
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1.06 not to fall/break down was value imo..1.02 wasnt.
didtance betting is for degenerates unless your friends with the jockey. |
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dists 17-18
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4.7 secs wotever that equates to.
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Given that the other two were beaten 73 and 24 lengths by inferior horses than Presentandcounting last time out, then 15 lengths or more was quite fair.
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18L
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nothing is fair unless you spoke to jockey. udderwise just a guess.
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Every bet around 1.9 is part guess, but was fair price IMO that he'd put distance in ahead of the 2nd, given how weak they were.
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IMO = no eye deer really but looks ok
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Well, as you know every price and bet is a value judgement, and I'm sure even some of yours much shorter will have lost sometimes?
A decent horse with form vs two complete no-hopers, distance? As a value bet I personally took 15 or more with a bookies price at 1.83 (so it included 15 exactly). |
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evaluating a horses chances is of course value...will a certaintly win barring a fall or going lame..what is the odds in a hurdle race? would ewe take 50 any horse to fall or go lame?
whats the odds on a 1/25 winning over 15L length? absolutely no idea without inside help,seen plenty long odds on win 5L on the snaff. |
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There were quite a few factors on that winning length, if you searched around and analysed them. Just same as analysing form of a horse is still a value judgement based on factors.
Never known (apart from the completely bnt ones of course), always estimated. |
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I used to play spread betting distances in the past fairly successfully (until limited) based on several key factors - it can be analysed.
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"fairly successfully" ffs
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how exactly do you analyse how brian hughes is going to ride a 1/50 in a 3 runner race? never read so much sh!te in my entire life.
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Wd Stu.
OP well done too did you take 1/22? |
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Oh thread up when 1.06, did you take the 1/16 on offer? WD if so.
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Horse Racing: £1.52
Total P&L: £1.52 Horse Racing > Sedgefield 24th Aug : 2m4f Nov Hrd Showing 1 - 1 of 1 selections Selection Odds Stake (£) Bid type Placed Profit/Loss (£) Presentandcounting 1.06 20.00 Back 24-Aug-22 16:44 1.20 *Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 1.20 Lay subtotal: 0.00 Market subtotal: 1.20 Commission @ 1.67%: 0.02 Net Market Total: 1.18 |
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Apple core?
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wd
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how exactly do you analyse how brian hughes is going to ride a 1/50 in a 3 runner race?
same way anyone analyses an outcome in a betting race - I'm not going to tell you though. DYOR is the principle of course, as you know.  |