100k

agree, looks value at 14.5

I'm on

G'Luck

Kempton  13:00 -- 5f Nov Stks

6 Runners            £181,992 Matched

			101.4%		99.2%
5 (4)   Keep Bidding       d:66	1.37	1.38	1.39		1.4	1.41	1.42	£153,763
F: 24           a:2 w:9-2 or:0   Rob Hornby(0) / R M Beckett	£389	£287	£466		£559	£917	£805
4 (1)   Big R       d:62	5.7	5.8	5.9		6.2	6.4	6.6	£15,642
F: 7            a:2 w:9-3 or:0   Cieren Fallon(0) / Eve Johnson Houghton	£104	£80	£89		£109	£96	£119
1 (6)   Matching Sox       d:0	13	13.5	14		14.5	15	15.5	£8,432
F:              a:2 w:9-7 or:0   David Probert(0) / A M Balding	£43	£99	£61		£42	£45	£103
6 (3)   Attrazione       d:0	36	38	40		42	44	46	£1,997
F:              a:2 w:9-0 or:0   Saffie Osborne(3) / G Boughey	£10	£17	£7		£36	£29	£26
2 (5)   Cuban Grey       d:0	46	48	50		60	65	70	£1,260
F:              a:2 w:9-5 or:0   Hayley Turner(0) / R M H Cowell	£3	£11	£29		£23	£27	£7
3 (2)   Gintini       d:0	100	110	120		140	150	160	£898
F:              a:2 w:9-5 or:0   L Morris(0) / Mrs L J Mongan	£29	£4	£14		£3	£3	£11

weirdest market ever

wd escapee

you used to get the occasional well done when you told people about an 18/1 winner, but those days seem to have gone.  maybe they're not backing them, which would be madness.

wd on your place bet

wd escapee on your 18/1+ winner

wd hulk on your 11/4 winner

sadly I did neither so more fool me

wd on your place bet

you used to get the occasional well done when you told people about an 18/1 winner, but those days seem to have gone.






That would be about 15 years ago when we had a thread going on every single race.

Hayden 08 Aug 22 13:35 
Backing in a race when 66% of the field are debutants can only be guesswork.

Some days are just crazy with that strategy  

I'm on fire today

Wolverhampton  14:45 -- 6f Nov Stks

10 Runners            £411,437 Matched

				13.8%		23.3%
£10	8 (1)   Starnberg       d:12	20	24	40		-	-	-	£133,409
	F: 32           a:2 w:9-7 or:   S Hitchcott(0) / R Hannon	£2	£6	£4
£10	5 (10)   Mutaany       d:60	34	40	44		-	-	-	£148,425
	F: 72           a:2 w:9-7 or:   Jim Crowley(0) / C Hills	£1	£4	£1
£10	3 (4)   Forceful Speed       d:120	16	24	40		-	-	-	£56,691
	F: 20           a:2 w:9-7 or:   Rossa Ryan(0) / G Boughey	£7	£6	£4
£10	4 (2)   Manuha       d:14	8	25	46		-	-	-	£16,353
	F: 53           a:2 w:9-7 or:0   W Buick(0) / G Boughey	£19	£6	£4
£181.8	6 (11)   Never Just A Dream       d:17	-	-	-		4.3	6.6	10	£46,268
	F: 8            a:2 w:9-7 or:   K Shoemark(0) / I Mohammed					£3	£1	£4
£10	11 (7)   Soleil Blanc       d:111	-	-	-		-	-	-	£0
	F: 25           a:2 w:9-2 or:   Rhys Clutterbuck(3) / P D Evans
£10	2 (3)   Drafted       d:69	7.6	8	26		-	-	-	£8,788
	F: 46           a:2 w:9-7 or:0   P J McDonald(0) / James Horton	£10	£10	£5
£10	7 (8)   Solitary Trees       d:10	170	240	380		-	-	-	£792
	F: 09           a:2 w:9-7 or:0   Daniel Muscutt(0) / G Boughey	£1	£2	£1
£10	9 (9)   Ginny Jo       d:10	550	820	1000		-	-	-	£364
	F: 8            a:2 w:9-2 or:   Joanna Mason(0) / D Shaw	£1	£2	£6
£10	10 (6)   Lsarafina       d:60	550	600	1000		-	-	-	£347
	F: 0            a:2 w:9-2 or:0   Cam Hardie(0) / D Shaw	£1	£1	£6

Back (Bet For)
Odds
Stake
Profit
Never Just A Dream
11.74
£20.00
£214.80
Total stake:
£20.00
Lay (Bet Against)
Backer's odds
Backer's stake
Payout
Liability
Never Just A Dream
2.44
£30.00
£43.20
Total stake:
£30.00
Bet info

Nice one Escapee

That was part of my point earlier , the improvement from debutant to 2nd run at that age can be extraordinary or even regress , you can never tell

Certainly better to speculate in these races at something double digits than try to consider " form " which means nothing in these type of races with so many dark horses with massive improvement potential.

Key is the strike rate in guessing races , double digits the clever play if you must bet so keeping the required strike rate for profit very low.

Good luck later   

I bet it 3 places on purple Hulk - can't do on BF anymore - God knows why - was clearly gutted when it hosed up ;)