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Replies: 94
By:
hulk23
When: 03 Jun 21 16:19
feel sorry for anyone reading this that thought it was person to person on here.  probably just close the laptop & take up gardening or something ...
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 16:21
green
but the snapshot in gruss will show the story of the timing of the bet matching, if you click twice the second bet timing will show how you missed the money
For the timings to be correct that would mean they artificially creat a whole false market
Think about it
By:
pablo-fanque
When: 03 Jun 21 16:22
https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31610699/phantom-in-running-place-market-prices?post_id=558684233#558684233

this is what may be happening in the win market now

when you click to take the 12.5 , the one second delay allows "someone" to see you want to take the 12.5 and they cancel that bet and move the odds lower

when i use to venture into the place market , i had a strike rate that was impossible to create of the odds i click on disappearing within the 1 second delay , unless someone could see my incoming bet within the delay
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 16:23
you dont show the bets that do get matched either...do you honestly expect every bet to be plump?
My cup runeth over
By:
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy
When: 03 Jun 21 16:24
i miss whats in the 1st pink box 99/100

mite just be a coincidence though Mischief
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 16:25
so pabs what does everyone else see if the bet vanishes?
If that were the case everytime all the paranoid tried to match anything either everyone else would see the money vanish too, or everyone sees different markets
By:
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy
When: 03 Jun 21 16:26
gray a hyperthetical q for you..

you're a bookmaker,you going 10/1 a horse.. i shouted out hey gray,i'll have £100 on that.happy to take anything down to evens..

what price do you return me?
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 16:29
so on that example
Every market would vanish infront of eveyones eyes as everyone tried to place a bet eveyone else would be impacted....
Unless you are saying just your markets vanish, inline with the timestamping, meaning all those who get targetted are shown different markets
Nah not for me
You just missed the price and no one put any money in at that very second and your fill or kill means it doesnt hang around
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 16:31
and why does it pull some bets and lets you match others?
Is it c0ck teasing?
By:
pablo-fanque
When: 03 Jun 21 16:33
so pabs what does everyone else see if the bet vanishes?
If that were the case everytime all the paranoid tried to match anything either everyone else would see the money vanish too, or everyone sees different markets


i don't know dusty , i am not saying that the market is catered for each individual . all i know is that more times than not if i tried to click whatever price was available in the grid , it was about 80% of the time the bet would not get matched and them odds would disappear
By:
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy
When: 03 Jun 21 16:35
dusty..please place the dunces cap on ya heed.

tar.
By:
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy
When: 03 Jun 21 16:36
i don't know dusty , i am not saying that the market is catered for each individual . all i know is that more times than not if i tried to click whatever price was available in the grid , it was about 80% of the time the bet would not get matched and them odds would disappear

spot on.
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 16:36
so you not going to say why it lets you win then?
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 16:36
maybe robert got a soft side
By:
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy
When: 03 Jun 21 16:37
gray a hyperthetical q for you..

you're a bookmaker,you going 10/1 a horse.. i shouted out hey gray,i'll have £100 on that.happy to take anything down to evens..

what price do you return me?
By:
DOUBLED
When: 03 Jun 21 16:38
Always easier playing with marked cards
By:
longbridge
When: 03 Jun 21 16:38
I'm with dusty on this.

In order for the money to be pulled only when a particular punter tried to match it, a different view of the market would have to be supplied to every one of us, depending on whether we were trying to match a particular price or not, so that price could be pulled from our view - while still being shown to every other player to tempt them to do the same.

That seems a lot of effort to achieve - what exactly?
By:
pablo-fanque
When: 03 Jun 21 16:39
longbridge, my point about the place market is that it is geared towards everyone
By:
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy
When: 03 Jun 21 16:51
some very very naive people still trying to BTB.
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 16:59
robert clealy loves drone players then
otherwise he'd stop all your bets and not just the LV ones
By:
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy
When: 03 Jun 21 17:02
robert loves people who use an overide.

quite simple.

and you still aint answered my q.
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 17:05
Immaterial as far as I can see
You'd have to believe bf simulates individual markets and I dont think any nutter hear believes that.
Look at the timestamps, you can unpick what happens from there
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 17:05
here
By:
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy
When: 03 Jun 21 17:10
ok end of convo..must just be me.
By:
pablo-fanque
When: 03 Jun 21 17:11
dusty , what could be happening to willie is that when he clicks 390 for £10 , and the current odds to lay are 40 , within the 1 second delay the 40 is cancelled as the bot can see 390 has been requested and he is accommodated as to whatever they can give , without giving the 40
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 17:15
so why does it allow him to win 50k a quarter then?
Where does it draw the line over the scrutiny of each bet?
Any why do they correlate with wins when he has a larger advantage?
By:
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy
When: 03 Jun 21 17:22
i had dusty down as intelligent..yet pabs got it sussed.

regardless of my p&l of which a lot was from photo's/stewards etc...

i still get 30 bets under 10p and £10 at 390 when i click 390.
By:
pablo-fanque
When: 03 Jun 21 17:26
i don't know the answer to them questions dusty .
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 17:27
You are converging 2 arguments
1 that highlights the cross matching bot that skims off value and even puts 'phantom bets' up which I suspect vanish as other people match the same interation on another selection (just as banks lend out instances of money held in a bank to numerous people)
and
2 some paranoia you feel when you dont get match...that happens to be when you are seeing the event around the same time everyone else is
Is a hard existence in those races, the eco system is falling, thats as far as Ill agree with you on this
By:
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy
When: 03 Jun 21 17:32
i still get 30 bets under 10p and £10 at 390 when i click 390.

if thats to difficult to fathom out then i give up.
By:
pablo-fanque
When: 03 Jun 21 17:36
if that is to me dusty . what i saw in the place market is from my experience, others might get matched no problem , but from i could see it was near impossible for the majority of bets disappearing when i clicked the grid , i was not trying to back 1.01s or horses in the front 3 positions.

i could easily be wrong

do you think betfair play in the markets ?
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 17:40
The fragments could be bf attempting to make the markets look like they have more in them.
Its not a good look when there are large gaps between prices, but why do they allow fragments to be matched some races and let you dip your bread in others?
By:
dustybin
When: 03 Jun 21 17:40
to greenie
By:
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy
When: 03 Jun 21 17:48
gray a hyperthetical q for you..

you're a bookmaker,you going 10/1 a horse.. i shouted out hey gray,i'll have £100 on that.happy to take anything down to evens..

what price do you return me?
By:
dustybin
When: 04 Jun 21 06:52
People looking for conspiracy need a cold flannel IMO.
Instead of dreaming up a policy were some people get targeted only under certain conditions -that just happens to be when they are more at parity with the market, I’d say it’s summed up as this;

Each bet gets converted and sprayed over each of the other runner’s lay odds, which explains all the pennies at larger odds.
The closer to market parity the more risk you have to take to win due to market efficiency.

That’s it, I don’t think there’s anything more sinister than that. The arse is falling out of IR, perhaps value is stripped in the calculation...but targeting individuals?
Nah.
By:
DOUBLED
When: 04 Jun 21 13:50
Cant imagine any bookmaker targeting individuals Wink
By:
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy
When: 04 Jun 21 13:57
Each bet gets converted and sprayed over each of the other runner’s lay odds, which explains all the pennies at larger odds.

so.click 390 and 30 bets 180-380 under 10p and £10 at 390? Laugh

stop embarrassing yourself man.
By:
dustybin
When: 04 Jun 21 14:20
By your question you implied that by telegraphing your intentions bf take advantage....except when they dont.
But I and I bet every other user experiences difficulty getting matched when attempting the conventional route of clicking th boxes with the prices in.
Whenever I fail to get matched I investigate the snapshot in gruss transaction log.
I click twice, so the second unmatched bet shows the truth.
The timestamp plus the latency of bet match determines whether the price in the second bet should have matched or not...if the bet is still available from first click theres a disparency...I have never experienced this happen, each time its simply a bet that lapsed or cancelled or taken by somebody else.
By:
dustybin
When: 04 Jun 21 14:29
btw
do you honestly not know why theres money at 390 and not inbetween ffs?
Its cos you tell the world you are laying 290 or whatever or they look at the data after the race, and put up trap bets
By:
dustybin
When: 04 Jun 21 14:30
390
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