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Certs and clowns.
Certs and clowns.
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Replies: 196
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If I had posted all my picks certs would be +25 but oh well, more profits will surely come.
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I want to bet Faivoir by 10+ lengths but there is no such market :(
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I have two certs in one race, Corrany at 4.7 and Minella Bobo at 7.4; 2 pts each.
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Mackenberg giga cert 10 pts at 1.54
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No doubt clown of the week 130 IR ( £51 matched ) don't they know 1/7's never lose ( once the naughty horse puts his mind to it )
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Wow, he went that high? Some true mugs out there.
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Scaramanga 95 IR, don't they know 4th favs never lose?
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Clown Minella, 1.6 IR and didn't place, typical.
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And Chemical Nicky's fav drifted as usual, his drifters are no-hopers.
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Bullion Boss lay at 5.5 4pts
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Another fuggin unplaced clown, laying is so easy.
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Certs 3-10 -19.02
Clowns 11-1 +40.78 Fuggin Mackenberg, odds on steamers should all win. |
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Castle Quarter clown 5pts at 3.1
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Unplaced from the best stall, what a clown. The BSP 150 layer is an even bigger clown. Shoulda laid the fav.
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Clowns 11-1 +45.68
In 14:35 Doncaster There are 3 certs. Global Esteem 2 pts at 9.4 - Hugh T picked the same horse as me, I'm too shrood. I would have picked it early at 20/1 too. Poets Lady 1 pt at 12 Mascat 1 pt at 13.5 |
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Lay Leostar at 3.00 4pts
I think that's the bottom price. |
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7.38 to 2.28, steamers never lose.
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clown fav. Got beat last time at 1/4.
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Why did bookies open Leostar at 7.5? I always get tricked into laying these and yet backing the bottom price like a sheep is the better choice.
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If a horse steams from 4+ into 2s they are all unlayable.
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blazing I mean. Leostar liked the better ground.
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And the application of money ridden like it was stolen....
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Late money is shrood money. A couple of minutes before off. How can you get 2/3 grand on before ? Horses that shorten throughout the day from big prices sometimes win but it's often a false snowball. Late money rules.
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Late money is also bots following shrood money, and at some point the horse should be overbet right? I a horse is 5.0 before the off and steams to 2.7 in 3 minutes, would the shroodies still back it at 2.7?
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It all depends on the horse ( and whether the opposition is deadwood ) not the actual price. Evens is great for a cert.
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Maybe the shroodies back down to 3.5 and bots follow each other to 2.7
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Roberto kicks in when it see's heavy money ,it's well trained...
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a horse is 5.0 before the off and steams to 2.7 in 3 minutes, would the shroodies still back it at 2.7? Markets do overshoot because "frightened" players are part of the mix but I would be careful about most late money in poor races.
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Tashkan. Money money money. But even bigger IR than start of gamble
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Missed that one, I ignore Irish racing on busy days.
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Anyway, my Poets lady and Mascat both steamed to 8 and 8.5 and neither even placed :( Steamers never win when you back a higher early price.
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Certs 3-13 -23.02
Clowns 12-2 +37.68 |
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Bourbon Beauty saved my terrible day https://snipboard.io/lqzeJX.jpg
Shoulda posted this cert. |
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Declaring Love 4pts at 4.3 lay
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Jumira
Kapono Certs |
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at 10 and 15; 1 pt each
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Do favs ever lose? Race after goddamn race it's fav after fav.
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