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Biffo2010
16 Mar 21 18:57
Joined:
Date Joined: 15 Jul 10
| Topic/replies: 1,921 | Blogger: Biffo2010's blog
Im in a decent position to win a good few bob , as usual their cash out offer is weigh less than it should be , is it worth contacting them and trying to pull a bit extra out of it
Pause Switch to Standard View Advice needed.. Can u negotiate a...
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Report glentoby March 16, 2021 5:59 PM GMT
What have they offered and what is the liability?
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 6:00 PM GMT
25% is a rough guestimate if only 1 left to run?
Report Biffo2010 March 16, 2021 6:07 PM GMT
240 euro accum , 9 selections , 5 are already up , 4 left to run , 3 odds on faves at chelt and al boum photo for GC , Liablity over 200k  cash out offer 8k
Report wedge1 March 16, 2021 6:11 PM GMT
take the money only fools gamble
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 6:11 PM GMT
If I was you Biffo I would cash out given what you have left to run.Goes against my normal instinct tbh but I cashed out 2 and a bit grand the other day rather than lay the 4th leg.

You could stick a couple of grand on the remainder and still have £6k in your bin and lay the odds on shots?
Report Biffo2010 March 16, 2021 6:13 PM GMT
Not willing to accept 8k , have the funds in account on here to lay the other horse to come
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 6:16 PM GMT
Lay them then Biffo and hope you lose the lays,how short are the odds on?  Been there many times and a case of balancing the books really,put yourself as having the liability and go from there as to what gets you the best result.
Report Biffo2010 March 16, 2021 6:17 PM GMT
Monkfish , chacun and envoi
Report the dealer March 16, 2021 6:18 PM GMT
Cash outs are heavily in favour of the bookmakers, you still have 4 to run so £8k to me would seem fair. Its really down to you though and how much £8K will mean to you.
Your damned if you do and damned if you don't.
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 6:20 PM GMT
That about sums up his position TD,a pain tbh but better than not being in it!!!
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 6:21 PM GMT
All look good on paper Biffo and the weak link maybe the GC but the CC is no penalty kick either?
Report Biffo2010 March 16, 2021 6:27 PM GMT
Yeah true glentoby , very well put , its a pain but i would of bitten the hand off u at the start of the day to be in this position now
Report pablo-fanque March 16, 2021 6:28 PM GMT
what are the odds of the others biffo

good luck btw
Report wisewords March 16, 2021 6:30 PM GMT
gl Biffo, hope they all romp home
Report Biffo2010 March 16, 2021 6:30 PM GMT
Thanks pablo 4/11 4/5 8/15 and 2/1 last i checked ,
Report Hayden March 16, 2021 6:31 PM GMT
When you placed the bet you would have known this scenario may have to be considered & that following 5 successful selections that running amount would be considerably more that you'd be offered by ANY bookmaker.

Not sure you have any choice but to let it run or else why on earth place the bet in the first place , the last or indeed penultimate leg may be considered different but this stuff should be given more consideration before placing a bet of this type.

Whatever you decide Biffo the very best of luck   Happy
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 6:34 PM GMT
We miss your original point Biffo which was negotiate.Without doubt you can get £12K from them if giving them a call imo,found them willing in the past,start at £20k and work backwords and get to the middle ground if that suits you?

The alternative is let it run and if the three odds on go in ask them for a line of credit on here to allow you a lay on Al Boom,they are also very helpful in this respect i.e an exchange lay.
Report wisewords March 16, 2021 6:34 PM GMT
yeah most would argue that you should just be rolling up on singles rather than placing this sort of multiple bet and having your hands tied by the bookies
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 6:37 PM GMT
Why so wisewords? He would be staking large to lose large in comparison to the acca?
Report penzance March 16, 2021 6:41 PM GMT
what's the point in doing a 9 leg acca if you're thinking
of bailing out halfway through?
GL,by the way.
Report pablo-fanque March 16, 2021 6:41 PM GMT
the thing with that wisewords is very few who roll up to 100k will put the 100k on the next

ffs you're in a great position mate, all the best


it would all depend on the running order and what the payout would be if 1 or 2 of them let you down , but if it was me and the 4/11 shot was the next to run , i'd probably lay that for a few grand  . so that either way you have a nice bit and you're not paying out much from your potential , if he wins you've only done in about 5k of your possible profit and then play it from there .

possibly you need to think how much of the 200k you are willing to hedge/givaway for a guaranteed  return
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 6:46 PM GMT
Makes a helluva lot more sense to hope you can bail out Penzance i.e get to the point where you can?

Years ago he would be stuck with only one alternative i.e back all the others against him?

Which makes most sense IYO?
Report pablo-fanque March 16, 2021 6:46 PM GMT
sorry not 5k , 5k profit , but it depends on what you would get back if he was the only one to win next

if that makes sense ?
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 6:54 PM GMT
Have cashed out 3 times for large numbers,all three have backed the last leg on here,one won two lost.So the choice of backing or laying might seem obvious but the shortest was 8/1 which won.

Biffo is at least in the position of considering laying at short prices unlike I was,the bottom line is he has the upper hand to negotiate what suits him best?
Report wisewords March 16, 2021 6:56 PM GMT

Mar 16, 2021 -- 7:37PM, glentoby wrote:


Why so wisewords? He would be staking large to lose large in comparison to the acca?


start with 240 euros. place single, win. place 240 euros + profit on next selection. repeat, repeat, repeat. can stop whenever you like then. only difference is if he's got much bigger prices than SP in his acca

Report duffy March 16, 2021 6:58 PM GMT
shame chacun isn't after envoi
Report hulk23 March 16, 2021 7:00 PM GMT
phone paddy & ask to be put through to the negotiations team .. all skilled ex-military types
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 7:00 PM GMT
Wisewords how long have you been skint?
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 7:02 PM GMT
You can have an account with my firm immediately providing you pass the affordability checks!!!
Report hulk23 March 16, 2021 7:06 PM GMT
by calling them up you'll immediately "out" yourself as a "Non-mug".  which will probably result in them freezing your account until you can jump through a variety of bizarrely placed hoops.
Report San Quentin March 16, 2021 7:07 PM GMT
I would try and negotiate with a firm fig in mind of accepting no less or I might let it run and if loses only lost 240euros nothing more my preferred option.
Report pablo-fanque March 16, 2021 7:10 PM GMT
just a straight accumulator biffo ?


apologies i thought you had 5 and 6 folds and all that

forget what i said
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 7:10 PM GMT
He will not be calling them out hulk,how do you work that out? If he calls he may be treated as a muppet by the accountants until he makes his proposal and identifies his account and pending bet!!

After that do you think he will care about Account closed?

Over to you Biffo as the only one with a decision to make?
Report FOYLESWAR March 16, 2021 7:13 PM GMT
best of luck biffo assuming the 4/11 is monkfish could let that run and any  idea of the cashout offer assuming he wins anyone  ?
Report BARROWBOY March 16, 2021 7:13 PM GMT
If you’re in a quandary why not call em & ask for 6k for half the bet ,keep the other half running.
Report wisewords March 16, 2021 7:14 PM GMT
Al Boum Photo is 3/1 for the Gold Cup. market doesn't particularly like it? feels like that will let you down regardless
Report duffy March 16, 2021 7:18 PM GMT
How much is running on right now?
Report Biffo2010 March 16, 2021 7:19 PM GMT
Thanks lads for advice. im goin to contact them   foyleswar id be guessing they offer 12-13 should monkfish win
Report FOYLESWAR March 16, 2021 7:23 PM GMT
very best of luck biffo i was in a similar position at the 2010 festival ,13/2 winner 12/1 winner /12/1 winner £20 each way acca all going onto cooldine unplaced gold cup , i had the singles doubles and treble to ease the blow ,and no cash out in them days !
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 7:25 PM GMT
You got that wrong Biffo,on good authority you can expect £12K as I type and £24K should Monkfish win!!!
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 7:27 PM GMT
Let us know the offer but FFS do not accept less than the 12K if that is how you choose to proceed,plenty time to decide.
Report duffy March 16, 2021 7:28 PM GMT
think the offer after monkfish might be closer to 11
Report duffy March 16, 2021 7:29 PM GMT
24???
Report duffy March 16, 2021 7:30 PM GMT
how much is running on the actual bet?, it'll be clearer if we knew that
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 7:30 PM GMT
Do some of you think a Paddock is a type of fish or Baccala is a game played by pro card player?Wink
Report stewarty b March 16, 2021 7:33 PM GMT
Biffo, I started this thread on Sunday. Same firm. Were you offered similar?


Anybody tried this on Sportsbook?
stewarty b
stewarty b13 Mar 21 21:23Joined: 02 Aug 02 | Topic/replies: 28,307 | Blogger: stewarty b's blog
Trebles (x1)
@11.58
EW
250
£2,894.53
When you choose to Edge your Acca you will get odds of 7.45 instead of 11.58. However, you get your stake back in cash if one leg lets you down!



Anybody?
Report maleuk01. March 16, 2021 7:35 PM GMT
If you wanted to cash out after 5 legs if they all won then why not just have a 5 fold accumulator at the start?

As mentioned earlier, think re these big accas before you place the bet if you would cash out. As we all know cash out doesnt offer great value.

I understand if you think one wont win, eg a big change in the ground etc.
Report Biffo2010 March 16, 2021 7:36 PM GMT
winners so far odds were 8/11 4/6 11/8 10/11 9/4 245euro stake
Report Deptford March 16, 2021 7:39 PM GMT
Is it a long story?
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 7:40 PM GMT
Take the £8K biffo,advice to date is most of them have either no clue or been in your position?

The clincher is you would already have taken mine and called and told us the result if it was a real punt?
Report penzance March 16, 2021 7:41 PM GMT
£10,260 apx going on the next.?
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 7:41 PM GMT
Must be nice to still fish with a net and get a good catch?BlushBlushLoveLove
Report michael59 March 16, 2021 7:42 PM GMT
if he had done a 5 horse accumulator he would prob be looking to cash out after the 3rd one had won LaughLaugh
Report Biffo2010 March 16, 2021 7:42 PM GMT
Yeah penzance i roughly made it up around that
Report penzance March 16, 2021 7:43 PM GMT
whatever happens GL.
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 7:44 PM GMT
CoolCool BTW..................the Bear 1-0 against a clued up forum going on a Beano perhaps?
Report Biffo2010 March 16, 2021 7:44 PM GMT
Cheers
Report duffy March 16, 2021 7:46 PM GMT
I'd be expecting the offer of 8k to come after monkfish not before personally.
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 7:48 PM GMT
Cracker Biffo,in this day of quotas and Brexit..............an excellent result that Rick Stein would be telling his Uncle Frankie about if he was alive!!!!CoolLaugh
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 7:49 PM GMT
Any plans for the "By catch"? Like Duffy?Devil
Report duffy March 16, 2021 7:53 PM GMT
Grin
Report Biffo2010 March 16, 2021 7:59 PM GMT
Glentoby u mug i have better things to be at than fishin on here , off with u now and have ur 2quid on Man City
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 8:01 PM GMT
They don't like exposure.............when they have previous............do they Biffa Bins?LaughWink
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 8:03 PM GMT
Rest easy Duffy,no agenda with you or most on the thread tbh,just using the tools available..........the Bear being a big one!!!Wink
Report Rico-Dangleflaps March 16, 2021 9:18 PM GMT
the dealer 16 Mar 21 19:18 
Cash outs are heavily in favour of the bookmakers, you still have 4 to run so £8k to me would seem fair. Its really down to you though and how much £8K will mean to you.

as simple as that..although anyone betting 9 hoss accas for £240 mustnt be short.
Report know all March 16, 2021 9:52 PM GMT
cash out part of it its cheltenham i had big 4 timer on concertista today took part cash out just chinned happy i took it these multi are hard to get all right take something out of the bet at least or cash it all and stake the others with smaller bets but keep most of the cash you might only get one the chance again in 10 years time
Report Rico-Dangleflaps March 16, 2021 9:54 PM GMT
need to be extremely optimistic to be staking £240 on a 900/1 acc Cool
Report glentoby March 16, 2021 9:57 PM GMT
He got a good haul though,know all just swam in!!!LoveLove
Report longbridge March 16, 2021 10:04 PM GMT
I am probably missing something here but that is not unusual.

If you want to take value out of your acca after the first 5 of 9 (or whatever) have come up, why not think about that in advance and back the 5-fold too?  And the 4 and the 6 for that matter?  That'd be better value than a bookie will give you to cash out and still leave you in with a chance of the big payday?
Report Ibrahima Sonko March 16, 2021 10:39 PM GMT
To bet 240euros then 8k isnt that much to you. good luck thou.

Really need to worry when you get to the 7th winner imo.
Report ItsMeSwaddle March 16, 2021 10:44 PM GMT
I would have to disagree with most of the above.

You certainly WONT get 12k.

I make the true value to be £10.9K as things stand?

200,000 / 4 (al boum photo) / 1.39 (Monkfish) / 1.93 (CP Soi) / 1.67 ( Envoi Allen) = £10.9K

Baring in mind youd have to pay commision of 2% when your lay eventually won, 8K isnt horrenodus?
Report slickster March 16, 2021 10:48 PM GMT
May i be so bold as to ask what were the 5 "winners" to ensure the longevity of this "bet"
Report big aitch March 17, 2021 2:18 PM GMT
bit of a scare with Monkfish, but still in there
Report Jumping-cuckoo-monk March 17, 2021 3:21 PM GMT
ahh well, accas are hard.
hope you cashed
Report slickster March 17, 2021 3:34 PM GMT
I would imagine it's hard to cash out on imaginary bets. Sure the guy doesn't even know if it was a 240 or 245 euro accum ffs.
Report EastLower Gooner March 17, 2021 6:17 PM GMT
Traders are ultimately gamblers....they’d be more than happy to let the bet ride and see ABP get beat than offer more than the cash out.

If you need the money I can offer you 7500 cash right now (all new crisp fifties) for the Paddypower account now and the cash out.
Report glentoby March 17, 2021 6:21 PM GMT
Apart from already blown out,it was never even a bet elg,hence the nice to be net fishing and an impressive catch!!!Wink
Report glentoby March 17, 2021 6:22 PM GMT
I imagine he will be in touch to accept your offer!!!Shocked
Report EastLower Gooner March 17, 2021 6:39 PM GMT
Actually it’s the other way around...you’re in my net.
Report duffy March 17, 2021 6:50 PM GMT
Biffo2010 16 Mar 21 19:30 
Thanks pablo 4/11 4/5 8/15 and 2/1 last i checked ,


Grin
Report glentoby March 17, 2021 6:57 PM GMT
Of course I am ELG!!!!!!!!!!CrazyLaughWink
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