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sageform
29 Oct 20 10:40
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Date Joined: 15 Jun 01
| Topic/replies: 31,621 | Blogger: sageform's blog
Two miles 5 furlongs with 7 runners for £4000. The lowest rated on hurdle or previous chase form is Firak on OR 124 but that looks conservative. The market is heavily skewed towards Harry Senior and Happygolucky, both having their first run since the Cheltenham Festival. I make the race much more open. Earth Moor was another decent hurdler but despite a winner yesterday, Hobbs yard is still not firing and I prefer Paint the Clouds who has a lot of chasing experience including a second to a very good horse in Grand Sancy at Chepstow. Black Kalanisi and Thomas McDonagh are not out of it either so it should be an informative contest. I might have an in running bet on Firak if he jumps the first two fences well.
Pause • Switch to Standard View Stratford novice chase.
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Report Pilsudski • October 29, 2020 10:43 AM GMT
Interesting race,Sage.Neither Hobbs norTizzard firing yet.I believe the last fence has been omitted,so a long run-in.
Report sageform • October 29, 2020 10:49 AM GMT
Agree with that. I think that with Kim Bailey in such good form that Happygolucky is a worthy favourite but no value against 6 rivals that all have ability. Stratford is a sharp track so it will be worth having a look at them before the race.
Report tanglefoot • October 29, 2020 11:24 AM GMT
Earth Moor,Johnson has good record on horse and jockey and trainer good record at track.
Report brians • October 29, 2020 11:26 AM GMT
Think I will lay the favourite as-in such a close contest there are too many imponderables to.make a favourite with any confidence.
Report Gordon63 • October 29, 2020 11:47 AM GMT
favourite being hammered, personally can't see it so will be laying also....fingers crossed
Report tanglefoot • October 29, 2020 11:49 AM GMT
favourite being hammered,funny that’s when Johnson try’s
Report JJmbe • October 29, 2020 1:03 PM GMT
Played Firak w/p 20/1 was a bit of an insult travelled well and jumped well for a long way on re appearance.
Report Gordon63 • October 29, 2020 1:09 PM GMT
horrible - tizzards having little luck with robbie power
Report in hell • October 29, 2020 1:11 PM GMT
Looked like Harry Senior suffered a terrible injury
Report JJmbe • October 29, 2020 1:12 PM GMT
Looked to have gone wrong Sad.
Report ashleigh • October 29, 2020 1:13 PM GMT
not good.Sad
Report sageform • October 29, 2020 1:17 PM GMT
Yet again a Hobbs horse stopped to nothing after going well for a while. My analysis was about right. Happygolucky the best horse and was fit enough. I backed and laid Paint the Dream and so broke even. He briefly looked the winner but is very one paced. Firak hit the first and was novicey all the way. Harry Senior broke down badly. The 2 outsiders ran well enough to win nice races, particularly Black Kalanisi who was ridden to get round.
Report layingdoesntwork • October 29, 2020 5:55 PM GMT
Awful Injury to Harry Senior RIP Cry
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