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06 Aug 20
12:57
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11 Jan 03
Perfect Times 6/4f...another Mark Johnston favourite beaten. A year ago I started noting Mark Johnston's beaten favourites. What is amazing is the number of odds on favourites he has that are beaten, it's a bigger percentage than even just favourites he has beaten. Even more amazing is the fact that they are never asked for an explanation by the stewards.
Simple mathematics tells you an odds on favourite has more chance of winning than not - so why aren't these investigated - integrity and all that ?
I think the stewards for some reason are scared of Johnson, or maybe they just say, " sculduggery? Oh definitley not , we have seen his horseboxes going up and down the M1 they even say "always trying" on the back!"
Simple mathematics tells you an odds on favourite has more chance of winning than not - so why aren't these investigated - integrity and all that ?
I think the stewards for some reason are scared of Johnson, or maybe they just say, " sculduggery? Oh definitley not , we have seen his horseboxes going up and down the M1 they even say "always trying" on the back!"
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Joe fanning drawn on rail and ends up halfway across the track...he was trying ok
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Simple mathematics tells you an odds on favourite has more chance of winning than not.
Err no, logic like that is a quick route to the poorhouse. There are many odds-on bets that have little chance of winning; it's just punters didn't know that beforehand for some reason. I do agree that Johnson has a terrible record with favourites then winning the race. My guess is he doesn't really have a clue about placement and just goes for a scattergun approach. Over the years it has paid me to just ignore his horses and concentrate on other runners at better prices. I can't remember many occasions when he has done me by his favourite winning the race. |
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A year ago I started noting Mark Johnston's beaten favourites. What is amazing is the number of odds on favourites he has that are beaten, it's a bigger percentage than even just favourites he has beaten.
UK STATS FROM 06/08/19 BF SP flat turf odds on last year 15/26 flat turf favs excluding above 22/92 flat aw odds on last year 6/11 flat aw favs excluding above 23/59 |
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dave this is the 2nd time so far since the restart on this topic.
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Horrible yard ..many examples over the seasons of his horses winning like champions then running as if they are drunk on the next outing .. the yard is totally unreadable .. Johnston as the media fawning all over him and no one will question the in and out form of his horses .. I try to give the stable a massive swerve.
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Following the race, the Veterinary Officer reported that PERFECT TIMES, placed fourth, had bled from the nose.
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Dave is that Johnson stats? If you don't mind I would be interested to know how for instance he compares to Gosden?
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flatstats playing up a bit, can't do that atm
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oops helps if you spell the names correctly
turf flat uk bfsp last year favs odds on 25/42 favs odds against 35/89 cba doing AW |
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they don't get beat when you give them an easy time up front (don't tell any jockeys, they've not noticed
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Another MJ shortie in the next at Bath, will you oppose it?
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at the prices i've gone dubai instinct, hope they're not just going to sit there & watch the johnstone make all ..
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I wouldn't win lay it as its form justifies its price imo - I might lay it for a bit in the 3 to be placed market as it is very short and there is a chance it might not have recovered from goodwood and bath's firm going can sometimes affect horses that seem to handle g-f.
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I've opposed Overwrite in the 4.40. Can't see why it is so short.
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Another one bites the dust.
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good call dave, hollies beat the johnstone, didn't let it dominate.
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yep lovely when one of those works out
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64/1 winner of the race too
36 £1,115 38 £787 40 £417 42 £379 44 £242 46 £156 48 £128 50 £257 55 £525 60 £919 65 £926 £701 £45,635 70 £301 75 £0 80 £1 85 £4  |
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OK so the race was half over by the time that post appeared, and I was not banking on Clem A to win.
But Overwrite was 4/7 and not even top-rated. |
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'Always trying'. To do what exactly? Answers on a postcard, please.
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