Forums
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
cardifffc
23 Jul 18 21:54
Joined:
Date Joined: 10 Oct 03
| Topic/replies: 13,358 | Blogger: cardifffc's blog
my main fault on betting is trying to cut corners while studying...........the more work you put in the more successful you will be........
Pause Switch to Standard View whats your golden rules on betting??
Show More
Loading...
Report Willie Shafter. July 23, 2018 10:00 PM BST
study all you like..but if it aint off.....well.
Report stewarty b July 23, 2018 10:07 PM BST
No golden rule as such but if I think I have spotted even a little value I will troll the city centre to get the price before it disappears.


Just a small example but I got 11/10 and evens a 5/6 winner on Saturday. Now, just for example it was 2.08 just before I left home. Just suppose I stuck 1k on at 2.06. NONE of it would have been matched and disappeared into a bot queue.
Report acey deucy July 23, 2018 10:16 PM BST
Stick to consistent trainers.....Avoid the Clowns....We know who they are.Wink
Report Willie Shafter. July 23, 2018 10:17 PM BST
as many will drift than shorten..there is no rhyme or reason to most.
Report TheNorfolkMafia July 23, 2018 10:52 PM BST
Find out what Skinto is putting up!

You know it will shorten up!

Take tomorrow for example, he's putting up, (whoops I nearly let the cat out of the bag there)...

Just have to wait until he's got enough on, then I'll post it in, Your Competitions, PREMIER DIVISION TUESDAY 24th JULY!

Wink
Report ItsMeSwaddle July 23, 2018 10:59 PM BST

Jul 23, 2018 -- 10:07PM, stewarty b wrote:


No golden rule as such but if I think I have spotted even a little value I will troll the city centre to get the price before it disappears. Just a small example but I got 11/10 and evens a 5/6 winner on Saturday. Now, just for example it was 2.08 just before I left home. Just suppose I stuck 1k on at 2.06. NONE of it would have been matched and disappeared into a bot queue.


Wrong IMO.

Dependant on area will just ban you if you consistently get 11/10 going off 5/6.

Fair enough getting 50 quid on in 20 shops or 100 in 10 shops (an hour of your time gone too) if you can be bothered with the hassle.

Seems great but 1 hour for 200 quid extra profit MINUS whatever you lose from drifters not worth it IMO.
Then minus another hour when you win visiting the same different shops.

One thing i will add Stewarty WD if it gives you satisfaction beating the system.

Report stewarty b July 23, 2018 11:18 PM BST
ItsMeSwaddle, I can't remember ever conversing with you before but that's not a problem. It can be swings and roundabouts the way I operate.


You mention drifters and indeed that has happened many a time.


I remember backing a Mullins/ Ruby beast about a year ago. It had good form and won a bumper convincingly. I got mostly 7/4 trolling. It went off at 3/1 and after two hurdles it went 18.0. It was more or less tailed off. SOMEBODY MUST have known the beast couldn't jump a hurdle but I didn't.

Some happy layers that day. As for trolling, if I have time I will visit shops in estates outside the city centre and most of them are near enough next door to pubs. I've said it many times before and I'll say it again. I can get accommodated fairly easily in the shops if I do the driving/legwork but once the £2 spin comes into effct those days will mostly be over.
Report stewarty b July 23, 2018 11:21 PM BST
* I should add that I can't get on by phone and only have two online accounts. Here and purple.
Report tanglefoot July 23, 2018 11:30 PM BST
Stewy u mention that u knew how Reynard worked out his ratings,let me know Grin
Report Callisto-moon July 23, 2018 11:33 PM BST
WIN.
Report stewarty b July 23, 2018 11:49 PM BST
tangle, that's a bit complicated and best asked to Reynard. No offence but Reynard used to put up his ratings before you joined. I CANNOT go into details but at the time one of the most respected forumites ever to post on here. I'm sorry I cannot share anymore with you even though you are one of the better posters on here. Christ, only miss steww and a few others know the full story.
Report stewarty b July 23, 2018 11:52 PM BST
* Let me put it another way tangle. If you shared something with me by PM on here in strictest confidence and I blabbed on here, what would you think of me?
Report tanglefoot July 23, 2018 11:54 PM BST
Only asked because I noticed that in handicap races my standout bets,when compared to his ratings if in top two,have a high percentage of winners
Report stewarty b July 23, 2018 11:57 PM BST
No surprise there tangle. The only thing I can share with you is that Reynard's Ratings are based on statistics only.
Report Willie Shafter. July 23, 2018 11:57 PM BST
stewy..i done what youre doing for 30yrs..i lost fortunes...no doubt so have you.
Report stewarty b July 23, 2018 11:59 PM BST
wtf you on about steve?
Report Willie Shafter. July 24, 2018 12:02 AM BST
getting up...reading form...highlighting this..highlighting that...visiting betting shops...never won long term.
Report stewarty b July 24, 2018 12:05 AM BST
highlighting this..highlighting that



Seriously steve that's not on my agenda. I'm trying to think of the word Bid D called me on Saturday....bear with me plz.
Report TheNorfolkMafia July 24, 2018 12:08 AM BST
Was it W*nker?
Report tanglefoot July 24, 2018 12:08 AM BST
Think I read that,Reynard ran subscription site,with his ratings
Report tanglefoot July 24, 2018 12:12 AM BST
Norfolk interested in your rantings as well, bad luck another loser today, but u greened out as usual, no guts
Report Willie Shafter. July 24, 2018 12:16 AM BST
was it 'energetic'?
Report stewarty b July 24, 2018 12:17 AM BST
steve, we were leaving the bookies and Big D said something like 'stew is a canny punter'. Jeez Iv'e known geordies over half my life and a word escapes me.

Anyways his nephew was getting a bit animated in the bookies because unknown to me he had never backed a horse before. I'm fairly sure D would have paid his debt if beat but I worry if I have inadvertently planted the seed in the young lad's head re: punting.

Anyways it was happy days......even without The Fonz.
Report stewarty b July 24, 2018 12:19 AM BST
was it 'energetic'?



LMFAO.
Report TheNorfolkMafia July 24, 2018 12:20 AM BST
tanglefoot • July 24, 2018 12:12 AM BST
Norfolk interested in your rantings as well, bad luck another loser today, but u greened out as usual, no guts


TheNorfolkMafia • July 23, 2018 1:24 PM BST
TheNorfolkMafia • July 23, 2018 10:01 AM BST
Skinto fancies, Iolani - 5.25 Cartmel!

But what does he know?

Laugh

8.60 into 3.55!

Skinto's the greatest, ever!

I love hymn!

Love


What would you do?
Report stewarty b July 24, 2018 12:31 AM BST
was it 'energetic'?




Sometimes you have to give credit where it's due. I'm on my own tonight and even though it's pissing down here the humidity is rife. And so is the humour.Laugh
Report stewarty b July 24, 2018 12:32 AM BST
This place is full of wimps now. No 3am conversations.Sad
Report GEORGE.B July 24, 2018 12:33 AM BST
Iolani was an interesting one, bet the video mob were all over it at Carlisle. Then went to Catterick, when weak in the betting, and got what I would call a Graham Lee 'waiting' ride, and what intrigued me at Catterick was that the trainer saw the need to report an excuse for the seemingly poor run.

Alas, when the money was seemingly down today (though did drift in the betting close to the off), it didn't see it out having been up there for a fair way.

Such is life...
Report TheNorfolkMafia July 24, 2018 12:41 AM BST
True!
Report icantbelieveyousaidthat July 24, 2018 7:40 AM BST
When the fun stops...
Report Brian July 24, 2018 8:49 AM BST
Discipline Discipline Discipline
Report lewisham ranger July 24, 2018 8:55 AM BST
the only golden rule on betting worth remembering is

it's a mugs game and keep your money in your pocket Wink
Report TheNorfolkMafia July 24, 2018 9:05 AM BST
Now he tells us!

Cry
Report workrider July 24, 2018 9:51 AM BST
Look at them in the paddock, bet them if you're happy with what you see, if not no bet...That's my golden rule, but if I'm honest I don't always abide by it...
Report screaming from beneaththewaves July 24, 2018 9:52 AM BST
Keep records of all your bets.

Even if you're winning at the moment, at some point you'll hit a losing run. It's inevitable. And it's at that point that you have to answer the one crucial question which separates the career PROPUNTER from the has-been: are my methods still working, the losing run is just temporary, and I'll carry on and get through it; or has something fundamentally changed, and I need to change with it? And, if so, what do I need to do to adapt?

If you don't have the records to do that analysis, then you will one day find yourself in despair, in debt and eventually in need of work as a pundit on satellite racing channels.
Report roadrunner46 July 24, 2018 10:03 AM BST
read this somewhere the other day about tony blooms betting operation.

1. generate data

2. crunch data into odds

3. decide which bets at the odds

4. place bets

get as much information as you can, doubling down to increase the potential winnings, if things appear to be going well. know this is the preferred method for the professional gamblers.
Report lewisham ranger July 24, 2018 10:21 AM BST
let's face it, all this advice is delusional.

the only people who really win in the long-term are the bookies. best thing is not to bet in the first place.

gambling a waste of time imo. much easier ways of making money. if you want to do something similar then just play the stock market, much easier than trying to predict which random gee gee will beat another random gee gee around a muddy field, hundreds of miles from where you live.
Report handtorofe July 24, 2018 10:30 AM BST
1.Do not waste time and effort studying form. 
2.Do not listen to anybody else just back your own judgement
3.Do not lay horses if they are over sweating.
4 The late market is generally the best guide.
5 Do not lay horses from stables bang in form.
Report deadbrain59 July 24, 2018 10:30 AM BST
drop in class well beaten last time out EASY
Report gutfeeling July 24, 2018 11:01 AM BST
Ground is everything.
Report Willie Shafter. July 24, 2018 11:07 AM BST
lewisham ranger    24 Jul 18 10:21 
let's face it, all this advice is delusional.

the only people who really win in the long-term are the bookies. best thing is not to bet in the first place.

gambling a waste of time imo. much easier ways of making money. if you want to do something similar then just play the stock market, much easier than trying to predict which random gee gee will beat another random gee gee around a muddy field, hundreds of miles from where you live.

firm but fair...summed up perfectly.
Report Whippin Piccadilly July 24, 2018 11:15 AM BST
All sound advice that Roadrunner. Also it helps if you tell the jockey on your payroll to race without cover on the keen going horse you own when it runs at Royal Ascot so that you can lay it for as much as possible, which is much easier to do with the liquidity on the exchanges at the Royal meeting. Then enter said horse at Newbury, put a hood on it and get plenty of cover but tell the jockey to hit the front 2 out because the horse has so much in hand and there won't be any chance of getting block in or leaving it to late because the lay money made at Ascot is all on to win today plus a bit more. Fecking easy game then!
Report stewarty b July 24, 2018 11:15 AM BST
was it 'energetic'?   Summed up better. LaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh



As you know steve it's only idiots that put up 10 smileys.
Report Willie Shafter. July 24, 2018 11:41 AM BST
9 for 90% idiots.
Report mouse muldoon July 24, 2018 11:44 AM BST
I T
C A N ' T
B E
D O N E
Report StillLearning July 24, 2018 11:46 AM BST
Guess.
Report iamajambo July 24, 2018 12:24 PM BST
1.Never bet in sellers.
2.Do not bet in any subsequent race that season on any horse that got beyond 2nd Beechers in the National.(Though I did to my profit on Red Rum,Mr Frisk and Andy Pandy.)Blush
3.These days,don't bet in the National.Before the race was ruined I viewed it as a once in the year opportunity to get the better of the bookmakers.These days it's just another big field handicap.
4.Ignore the ground conditions to your peril.
Report impossible123 July 24, 2018 1:04 PM BST
1) Be extremely selective
2) Well-being of selection and stable
3) No handicap or all-weather races but Listed and Group races only
4) Ground condition and draw (if sprints)
5) Price (value is key)
Report xaar July 24, 2018 1:07 PM BST
in recent years i have gone right off horses, find it difficult to choose a horse and stick with it usually changing my mind to disaster effects i have a habit of listening to either the tv pundits and reading the post and changing selection and bang the original selection most likely always comes in,i find the football a far better way for winners and enjoy it more,ive also changed my staking to smaller stakes not that ive ever been a big gambler at all.
Report cardifffc July 24, 2018 1:21 PM BST
impossible............I do look at decent maidens but I don't generally bet in hcaps and only bet on decent races ....like you mostly listed or above.........
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com