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grayhawk
12 Jun 18 14:37
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Date Joined: 05 Oct 06
| Topic/replies: 30,670 | Blogger: grayhawk's blog
Who can honestly say that they were winning year on year  betting on horses while they were under the age of 25 even though they had a decent grasp of the form book?

I was definitely not one of them......for me you have to take your lumps while gaining that experience...

The reason i ask is that Millington has young men and women tipping horses in his newspapers and on the website and i'd be very surprised if they're  long term winners......i apologise if i'm wrong

I realise that there's the odd exception like Veitch.

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Replies: 49
By:
saddo
When: 12 Jun 18 14:40
Must have been mental thinking I could win in them days, given the limited tools we had. Very different today, computers changed everything.
By:
mouse muldoon
When: 12 Jun 18 14:45
When I were a lad you could come up with a system that would work for some time, as in the market wouldn't catch up as quickly as it does now.
By:
sparrow
When: 12 Jun 18 14:54
The bookmaker margins were far greater and there are far more options now such as place only and laying. Betting tax another thing in the 60s when I was in my 20s.
By:
mouse muldoon
When: 12 Jun 18 14:57
I'd have been about 20 when the tax was abolished, so a good time to start in the path to serious punting really.
By:
DenzilPenberthy
When: 12 Jun 18 14:59
This 'new blood' type recruitment is contrary to the RP/Bookmaker narrative of recent years which forces as many as possible away from the game.
By:
acey deucy
When: 12 Jun 18 15:33
I lost plenty gambling on Horses in my Younger Days.....Don't loose half as much Now.Cool
By:
koikeeper
When: 12 Jun 18 16:23
Always thought it was easier back in the day
By:
dunlaying
When: 12 Jun 18 16:30
I don't remember betting tax in the 60s .
By:
acey deucy
When: 12 Jun 18 16:39
So much more info available nowadays must make it a bit easier surely?
By:
mouse muldoon
When: 12 Jun 18 16:40
Makes it easier for everyone, so nearly everyone wins.
By:
grayhawk
When: 12 Jun 18 16:44
Surprised at that Koi....the ability to watch every race live and view recordings at a later date is massive imo
By:
DenzilPenberthy
When: 12 Jun 18 16:44
Yes the online books are especially famous for their wealth distribution amongst us racing enthusiasts we are reaping the benefits of muggy casino players' losses.
By:
onlooker
When: 12 Jun 18 16:44
1966 - dunlaying  ...

John Banks, who owned a chain of betting shops in Scotland, and who later became one of the biggest racecourse bookmakers, described the shops as 'money factories', a description that attracted the Government's interest. In 1966 they introduced betting tax.
By:
koikeeper
When: 12 Jun 18 16:49
It was better in the days before betfair imo..granted you still got the "non trier"..but now it's rancid...i always managed with the sporting chronicle and the raceform notebook
By:
DenzilPenberthy
When: 12 Jun 18 16:55
Tieing in with the opening post why would anyone who can win betting want any kind of regular job it makes no sense whatsoever?
You can bet your last £ that if they aren't disillusioned with betting restrictions etc. at such an age they'd be looking elsewhere for career opportunities so I'd be confident the job applicants will lack in racing and betting knowledge alot of which is accrued by time.
By:
donny osmond
When: 12 Jun 18 17:06
do newspaper tipsters make a profit?

i thought they were to encourage punting
By:
duffy
When: 12 Jun 18 17:12
In the old days when you had to try and find a winner before the race had even started (imagine doing that Crazy ) was nigh on impossible long term.
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 12 Jun 18 17:12
Last time I saw a level stakes profit/loss chart, over any period of time, you might get one or two tipsters the tiniest fraction ahead if you were lucky.
By:
sparrow
When: 12 Jun 18 17:20
People talking about it being easier in those days are talking nonsense.
By:
onlooker
When: 12 Jun 18 17:22
I, too, once had 5 winners out of 6 in the Tote Jackpot.

The one that let me down was the shortest price of them all ... it later transpired that the horse had been doped.
By:
koikeeper
When: 12 Jun 18 17:32
Sparrow you obviously struggled.
By:
equine flew
When: 12 Jun 18 17:39
Easier to have a better grasp of the formbook as far less racing.   However, most of my punts these days are based on visual evidence of watching every race back.   Couldn't do that back in the day.
By:
sparrow
When: 12 Jun 18 17:43
koikeeper.......If Alec Bird was still with us even he would tell you it was easier now.
By:
Movewiththetimes
When: 12 Jun 18 17:45
Sir Henry Cecil's 2 year olds were printing money back in the day.
By:
sparrow
When: 12 Jun 18 17:54
Cecil's 2 year olds were printing money for bookmakers when the 2nd string won which was often the case.
By:
knot in wood
When: 12 Jun 18 17:55
was well worth making the effort to go racing before the tv channels and replays become available,viewing the re-run and vitally important head-on which only a small minority would see.

you could also check if a horse was fit and the on course bookies prices were much more fluid and some value prices could be obtained.

hardly worth bothering now unless it's for a day out.
By:
dunlaying
When: 12 Jun 18 17:57
I remember betting tax being introduced in 1973 , the winter of discontent and the three day week .
By:
GHOSTOFALEXBIRD
When: 12 Jun 18 17:57
Henry always put horses of simler abilty in races Mr Sparrow

It was us punters who made one better than the other

ii m o of causeHappy
By:
sparrow
When: 12 Jun 18 18:03
dunlaying..........onlooker has already told you that betting tax was introduced in 1966 which is correct.
By:
Cork Langer
When: 12 Jun 18 18:07
As ever very much depends on the type of player you were/are, the advent of technology has made compiling data easier but it has also given the books a massive advantage against punters, given a choice personally I would prefer to revert to days of old, at least then even when known you could still get bets on because there were always people prepared to take you on either at the course or via an independent bookie, whereas nowadays, it seems it is a book balancing exercise, nothing more, for most of the layers.

The necessity to keep abreast of everything by keeping meticulous records was and is often now ridiculed by many, but knowing where you are and how you are performing are paramount to continued success as far as I am concerned.

Years ago the majority of fellow punters that I mixed with on a regular basis use to rib me over the hours I spent logging details of what my eyes told me throughout watching a race, the bets I had on each race and an analysis and summary of how I had done, most of them would rely on their newspapers, memory and word of mouth from others, this was fine to a point, but the human memory is not programmed to collate and analyse such a volume of data that any flat or NH season produces and in conversations at later dates it was always a source of amusement to me to hear the different opinions put forward, because on most occasions they bore no resemblance to the notes I had lovingly and patiently recorded.

This was not a case of me being smarter than others, merely a lesson learn't as a child from hours of watching my parents fritter money away based on the knowledge they retained in their heads from previous runs and bets that were never recorded, strange how the facts were always altered to the ones I remembered when they were recalling or reminiscing with others about their good and bad days, suffice to say the good days were very rare in our household throughout my younger life, though like all compulsive gamblers they would attempt to convince others as well as themselves that they were well ahead of the game.

It is a wonder that I ever got involved myself really, but on reflection now many years have passed, I have come to accept that it was most probably because of my parents failure, that I had been so driven to succeed, though funnily enough at least to me anyway, my parents always viewed my success with a mixture of pride but also a fair amount of resentment, for achieving something that had always eluded them.

Racing is no different to most things in life, proportionally you get out of it a percentage of what you are prepared to put in, that percentage usually increases over time if you choose to learn from your previous mistakes.
By:
koikeeper
When: 12 Jun 18 18:26
Good post cork.
By:
Willie Shafter.
When: 12 Jun 18 19:13
without an edge of some kind 1% of pre race punters will win long term.
By:
wondersobright
When: 12 Jun 18 19:32
yep agree with the last few posts

v difficult to win long term betting horses on here just before the off
the edges that are around are principally held by data analysts imo
a few ricks on here early on when the markets are forming but usually to peanuts
more ricks on the juicy early prices with the books but you are gone v quickly if you keep taking them
By:
wondersobright
When: 12 Jun 18 19:36
and to answer your point gray...they say that those who can do, do, and those who can't do, teach

^true in the 99% of the cases of the people you are referring to gray
By:
grayhawk
When: 12 Jun 18 19:36
So not many winners before they'd served their time then....
By:
grayhawk
When: 12 Jun 18 19:37
That was posted before you last post wonderso...
By:
Andrew in Sweden
When: 12 Jun 18 19:41
If i knew then what i know now, i would be a lot wealthier Wink
By:
Oldgit1
When: 12 Jun 18 23:19
Wondersobright. Those who can't tip.
By:
impossible123
When: 12 Jun 18 23:33
'Cork Langer', indeed. With the advent of technology since the days of ticker-tape commentary a dedicated, conscientious and savvy horse racing individual could compete and possibly surpass the challengse against the bookies and/or racing journalists/tipsters. Of course a bit of luck thrown in would help enormously too.

The majority of tipsters especially those feeding from the bookies' gravy train eg racing journalists and affiliates are former unsuccessful or failed punters otherwise, they all would not be relying majorly from their paymasters for a living, I firmly believe.
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