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i assume so. if you've back un de sceaux, fox norton or top notch for the ryanair you clearly don't want WP anywhere near cheltenham on march 15th ...
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Yep, and if you have backed WP,you want the opposite.
I get all that,and its especially frustrating if one has backed WP and then you see that yesterday,but its been known that the connections of the horse are concerned about his soundness and the ground he runs on. Connections will do what they think best for their horse, not a punters pocket. |
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I'd avoid Cheltenham like the plague unless it came up soft. Who cares about the Ryanair - a nothing race imo. I could see him being run off his feet on quick ground round there.
2m 4f race at Aintree would be a good target, then step up in trip and target the King George next winter. |
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Aintree is very late this year. In Mid April he is perhaps even more unlikely to get his ground.
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They have said they would not be bothered if he did not run again this season.
I get the impression the King George is the big race they want,and only suitable ground will see him in other big races before then. Seems to me they will not do anything they feel would jeopardise his chances of winning the King George. Reckon this has been the plan for a while to be honest. |
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if they said he wasnt going to run at Cheltenham and it did,they would get ripped apart on here,probably started by the OP. at present they are saying it is doubtful but things could change. horses in certain races could become non runners,the horse itself might show them he is ready to go, the weather, ground could come in his favour. as far as i am concerned they are doing nothing wrong, good luck to them in the future where ever they go.
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Absolutely.
Thing is they have been up front about the horse and everyone knows the score. No poncing about like you get with some yards that's for sure. No punter can have any complaint, whether they have backed him or not. |
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So the Ryanair is a nothing race? As far as I can see if that is the case nothing races are all this horse is going to be winning for the rest of his wrapped up in cotton wool career. Personally, I don't think he will stay three miles and if you read the quotes neither does the jockey. So they will ignore his input and effectively throw a dart at the King George?
I wanted him to win on Saturday but in hindsight I should have been routing for Cue Card. The two horses are clearly chalk and cheese. One has turned up year after year not shirking a challenge while the other wants absolutely everything in his favour. Imagine how many horses would actually pitch up at Cheltenham if their connections adopted a similar attitude. It would finish the sport. It is assumed that Waiting Patiently has reached a level because of the conservative approach to his career. Nobody knows for sure if that assumption is actually correct. |
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they are not machines and everyone is different, he is what he is and im sure they know the horse far better than anyone on here. as from shirking a challenge, a nonsense statement imho.
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could argue the king george is becoming a nothing race - probably be 4/5 runners, is 9 months away and is worth a lot less than the ryanair.
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If MORE connections didn't view Cheltenham as the be all and end all the code would be in better shape - the season is completely lop sided now with everyone targeting Cheltenham almost to the exclusion of all else.
The Ryanair is a ghastly contrived affair only created to facilitate the diluted 4 day affair the festival has now become, detracting from both the Gold Cup and the Champion chase. I wouldn't give it the time of day, and being sponsored by that loathsome budget airline hardly lends it prestige. The King George on the other hand is steeped in history and has been won by some of the all time greats. |
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Only 3 of the last 15 King Georges have raced on SOFT or HEAVY. So there it is more than likely he may not get his ground in December. To forfeit every other opportunity in the hope he gets soft ground at Kempton seems ludicrous.
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no guarantee of ground, no guarantee on trip, no guarantee the meeting will go ahead as planned, no guarantee the horse will still be sound, and £70k more for winning the ryanair.
apart from that .... |
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yeah but for the owners its all about the horse and not money driven
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good post one nation 1.50pm
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I don't see the point of running him in the Ryanair. They have been patient with the horse so far so why change that now? He had his hardest race yet on Saturday and seemed very keen to stop after the winning post which to my mind doesn't augur well for the Cheltenham hill. I'd give him a break and bring him back for Aintree or Punchestown or else put him away. I'd give him a trial at Cheltenham next season rather than try to find out if he handles the track at this year's festival. The chances of him getting his preferred ground at Cheltenham are low anyway. Year after year Claisse has demonstrated he has no control over his drainage system and he has to produce artificial good to soft by watering. The only way you're going to get soft is if it rains close to the race (that would be bucking a long trend for Cheltenham in March) and recent events have shown the watered ground quickly turns into a bog which would then bring into question the horse's stamina. There is no shame in swerving the Ryanair in my opinion.
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Would love it if they swerved Cheltenham and went to Aintree for Melling. Firstly cause could be the best thing for the horse and secondly to send the two fold message that Cheltenham isn't the be all and end all and the Ryanair shouldn't be a grade 1.
Good luck to Ruth and horse but made a mistake not keeping him entered for Champion Chase. |
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Autocue can't see the point in running the best (or may be second to UDS) 2.5 mile horse in training in the most valuable 2.5 mile chase in the racing calendar! Strange.
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I really can't see what running in the Ryanair has to do with his chance in the King George 8 months later. If conditions are suitable at Cheltenham and they are happy with the horse, why not run? If it was mine, the name of the sponsor would not be a factor. Huge prize for a specialist 2.5 horse. I agree that Cheltenham should not be the only target for horses but they have just run him in the Ascot chase which must be one of the top four 2.5 mile chases in the season and he strolled it.
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prize money is really not the issue here, its the ground that is the issue & how hard he will have to run to win a grade 1 on likely good ground & the aftermath of the race (which a lot of people on here forget about)
if the ground is too quick for the horse & they run & he gets jarred up by it that might be it for the ssn and a good chunk of next ssn also given the history of the horse sound horses have implied prize money from future races crocked horses don't |
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If conditions are suitable at Cheltenham and they are happy with the horse, why not run?
In that scenario he will run, i would think,unless they simply dont fancy the course for him, in which case you can forget future festivals as well as this one. But he wont run cos people on here have had bets.....that is what those that are moaning about him not running are going on about i presume. |
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if its good ground I cannot see him running
would have to be predominately g/s for them to take the chance imo the stuff about the course is absolute bollox imo |
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I think it will have to be soft.No good in the description.
So basically it has to rain during the week. |
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Connections seem terrified of their horses losing these days. There is no disgrace in not winning (especially if not your ideal conditions) but as long as the ground is not rattling, they should run it.
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They are not afraid of losing,they are afraid he will get injured if they run him on unsuitable ground.
I dont really know what is so difficult to understand. |
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Was it you who said it was okay to debate the subject but now you are talking about ante-post punters moaning about losing money?
You clearly haven't read the posts because they don't refer to moaning about losing money although it would be perfectly reasonable to be frustrated when 99/100 people wouldn't be so negative about the horse taking his chance. As far as I can see you have added nothing bar just agreeing with the connections. I already know their thoughts. |
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buddeliea, I think we are agreeing. If it is g/s they should defintiely run it.. right?
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How the fook is Aintree going to provide suitable ground a month later, it'll be bone hard by then.
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Ok,if this is not about bets placed then i humbly apologise.
It seemed that may be the case. Yes you already know their thoughts, but you seem to find it hard to understand them.And questioning them. I am trying to help you and others to understand. |
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do you have an ante post bet on it for the Ryanair DD ?
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Equine, i read it as it has to be at least soft for the horse to be considered......not good/soft.
I am not having an opinion on him running,because the reasons being given are health reasons,and i dont know enough about the horse's health,or potential problems that could be caused by running him om ground the connections see as unsuitable. |
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g/s is safe racing ground, so if it misses the race on that going, they are just dodging it imo
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some horses can run every other week,some need much longer between races. like budd says we dont know enough about the horse to make an assumption that if the going is good to soft, they are dodging it if it doesnt run
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sounds like they're waiting for the welsh national, with that big lake round the bottom bend ...
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, i doubt its all about the ground imho
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Well i personally would agree with g/s being safe racing ground, but it seems its not for Waiting Patiently.
Or maybe its a combination of Cheltemham and the ground......i mean for them to run WP at a course they aint sure suits him,they want the ground at least soft. On a flat track they may run on better ground?? |
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As I have said, if the going or the horses health are not spot on, they have a reason to not run in the Ryanair. What I find puzzling is that they seem to be leaning against running whatever the conditions on the day or the opposition. What other race over 2.5 plus miles over fences is worth £199000? Gold Cup, King George and Grand National. Horses with delicate legs nearly always break down after the summer break, not before. What would Douvan, Coneygree or Don Cossack have won had they waited another year to run at the top level?
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I think it is the age and experience of the horse plus the nature of the Cheltenham course. Nevertheless, if ground is soft/heavy a participation is more likely given the temptation of the prize money and prestige associated.
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let's not compare horses, the optimal conditions and the constitution of each horse is different
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sounds like she wont send him to me . punters immediately advised not to punt him / difficult course , everyone else is obsessed with chelts ( not me ) they go very quick there , hes a young horse done his winning on galloping tracks etc . id get out if i could sageform
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