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GEORGE.B
22 Mar 17 13:32
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Date Joined: 14 Jul 04
| Topic/replies: 61,335 | Blogger: GEORGE.B's blog
Treble Strike, 1pt win @ 6-1, 8.15 Kempton

Treble Strike made a reasonable Flat debut when splitting Ayr Of Elegance and Darebin over 12f at Lingfield, albeit he was fortunate to finish ahead of the latter; following two more qualifying runs, he made his handicap debut off a mark of a fair looking (based on the debut run) 65 when attempting 2 miles for the first time on the Flat, where he again finished behind Ayr Of Elegance, however, he didn't get the best of runs up the inner that day and appeared to finish with something left in the tank.

The form of that slowly-run, small field affair may not be the most reliable, but he has an interesting profile for 2 mile races on the AW, given he's a half-brother to the David Simc0ck-trained Sonnythenavigator, who took eight goes to get off the mark but then completed an AW hat-trick, including two wins at 2m.

Although this is a slight drop in grade for Treble Strike from last time, it looks competitive enough, and perhaps we won't see the best of him until Mr Winston takes over in the saddle again, but he has drifted in the betting this morning and that's tempted me in, for the minimum stake!
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Report GEORGE.B July 9, 2017 2:39 PM BST
I sort of envisaged Archie's Advice would be dropped in, got some cover and smuggled into the race, but no, rushed up after being slow away and found himself racing 3-wide with the choke out. Lovely stuff from Lee.

That said, the horse is a stargazer (well that's one way of putting it), who didn't look too enthusiastic up the straight imo, and safe to say he won't be selected on this thread again.

Maybe he'll fall in again at Hamilton after his rating is dropped a bit more, when he can run past lower grade rivals who are stopping in front.
Report PHS July 9, 2017 4:46 PM BST
Needs softer ground and a less competitive race imo.
Report PHS July 9, 2017 5:00 PM BST
...mind you, the times were pretty slow, so maybe the ground wasn't the problem.
Report PHS July 9, 2017 5:02 PM BST
Class 4 0-15
Class 5 4-8
Report GEORGE.B July 9, 2017 5:51 PM BST
Can't argue with those stats, PHS, even if he was back on his last winning mark today, and what I said above. 

My other pick just pulled whatever chance she had away by refusing to settle, and can see why she has a better record at 7f.
Report GEORGE.B July 9, 2017 5:59 PM BST
July Running Total
P/L : +22.45

Win stat: 4/21 (19%)
Place stat: 5/21 (24%)

Points staked so far: 33

Overall Running Total
P/L : +44.80

Win stat: 26/252 (10%)
Place stat: 67/252 (26%)

Points staked so far: 404
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
Report PHS July 9, 2017 6:47 PM BST
I could say don't ditch him as you've intimated but wait for the right class and conditions. Problem is when those occur, from that stable, he's never going to be a juicy price (which I think is what you like).
Report GEORGE.B July 10, 2017 8:02 AM BST
Jack Dexter, 1pt win @ 4-1, 4.25 Ayr

Jack Dexter shaped well in the valuable Scottish Sprint Cup at Musselburgh last month, noted travelling well but not getting any luck in the run. I selected him on his latest run at Newcastle in the Gosforth Park Cup, when he confirmed the impression he is in good form, moving well into contention but not having the pace on the surface to go with the prinicpals in the closing stages.

He's returned to turf here and can race off a 4lb lower mark than he ran off at Musselburgh, with a 7lb claimer up to ease his burden further, and this will be the first time since the 2012 season that he has raced outside of class 1 or 2 company. The ground will have some ease in it and there should be a good pace on to run at, so hopefully everything looks in place for a good run.


New Decade, 1pt EW @ 28-1, 4.55 Ayr

This is on the more speculative side.

New Decade was returning from a long absence and making his debut for Jim Goldie when shaping well over 6f at Thirsk in April, noted making up plenty of ground from an unpromising position. A bit of a mixed bag since but he ran well not to be beaten far here over 6f in May.

I selected him two starts back over today's C/D, when he wasn't without market support, but was unable to land a blow from a wide draw. As he was then, he's again having to race from just outside of the handicap, but the ground may suit better this time and Sean Mooney, who was aboard when New Decade ran well over 6f here in  May, rides him again for the first time since and can take 7lb off.
Report GEORGE.B July 10, 2017 5:57 PM BST
There may be another win in Jack Dexter but it wasn't today, and with New Decade finishing 4th, it all means 3 pts lost on the day.

July Running Total

P/L : +19.45

Win stat: 4/23 (17%)
Place stat: 5/23 (22%)

Points staked so far: 36

Overall Running Total

P/L : +41.80

Win stat: 26/254 (10%)
Place stat: 67/254 (26%)

Points staked so far: 407
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
Report GEORGE.B July 11, 2017 8:04 AM BST
Loveatfirstsight, 1pt EW @ 15-2, 3.35 Wolverhampton

Loveatfirstsight was third behind the favourite for this race Viola Park when they met over C/D two weeks ago, but I thought her effort wanted marking up given she was caught wide and keen without cover, and in the circumstances I thought she did well to sustain her challenge up the straight.

She has come down the weights and is now 10lb below her initial mark, and granted a kinder trip this time, must have prospects of turning the form around with Viola Park on the revised terms, provided the first time cheekpieces don't have a negative effect.


Camaradorie, 1pt EW @ 25-1, 3.55 Wolverhampton

Camaradorie shaped well when 3rd over this C/D back in January, noted travelling well on the surface but not getting the clearest of runs up the straight and looking  unlucky not to have gone closer; that was just  a class 6 Maiden Auction Fillies' Stakes, but the runner-up went into it rated 70, the winner went on to win a handicap off 63, and the fourth subsquently ran well off 62 in a Kempton handicap that produced subsequent winners.

Camaradorie went handicapping off a mark of 60 over 7f at Lingfield in March, when she ran well not to be beaten far in a race that also produced subsequent winners. Following a 3-month break she's had a couple of races at Yarmouth,  and although she's been disappointing, she was probably on the wrong part of the track on the first occasion, and might have found a mile stretching her last time.

Today's race looks quite competitive, particularly as it's open to older horses too, but Camaradorie remains of interest on the AW and interesting to see if a return to this surface prompts a better performance.
Report GEORGE.B July 11, 2017 8:10 AM BST
* first pick 3.25
Report GEORGE.B July 11, 2017 10:39 PM BST
I got the bit right about Loveatfirstsight reversing the form with Viola Park, but unfortunately for me, one that had plummeted in the weights chose the wrong day to come back to life.

Camaradorie looks pretty limited on today's evidence, and maybe her best chance of a win will be back against her own sex / age group.

1.5 pts lost on the day

July Running Total
P/L : +17.95

Win stat: 4/25 (16%)
Place stat: 6/25 (24%)

Points staked so far: 40

Overall Running Total
P/L : +40.30

Win stat: 26/256 (10%)
Place stat: 68/256 (26%)

Points staked so far: 411
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
Report GEORGE.B July 12, 2017 7:53 AM BST
Wednesday

Ode To Glory, 1pt EW @ 22-1, 2.35 Yarmouth

Not much went right for Ode To Glory on her latest start which came over this course and distance, held up last in a steadily run race, before not getting a clear run up the rail as the principals kicked for home, and by the time she was switched for a clear run it was too late but she did keep on quite well.

Potential negatives to her chance here are that she's up in grade and the ground may be quicker this time, but she has dropped 6lb from her initial mark and she's lightly raced enough for me to take a chance at the price.


Cupid's Arrow, 1pt win @ 7-1, 5.35 Catterick

Cupid's Arrow ran well three starts back over this C/D in a rated maiden, making headway against a pace bias before not getting much luck in the closing stages. I selected him on his next start over 6f at Thirsk when he again shaped better than the bare result, having to switch away from what was probably the better gound, but still finishing his race off well.

He has since run well in a stronger grade than this on his AW debut at Newcastle, and remains of interest back on turf, having been eased slightly in the ratings again.


Red Gunner, 1pt EW @ 18-1, 6.05 Catterick

Red Gunner was having his second run for David O'Meara when finishing last of 8 runners over 6f at Leicester on his latest start, but that in no way told the full story as it's likely he would have challenged  for a place at least had he not found his path blocked on more than one occasion; the form of that handicap looks sound with the first and second having won since.

He has been dropped 2lb and is eased in grade here, but the concern is he has to prove he can handle the forecast softer ground, but at the prices a chance is taken.


Angelito, 1pt win @ 7-1, 8.10 Bath


Caught the eye at Sandown last season on his third run for Tony Newcombe; now rated 50 which a stone lower than for that Sandown run, and a lot lower than he has been rated in the past; he can start slowly, but suspect if he can get away on terms, one of these days he will be winning.
Report GEORGE.B July 12, 2017 6:33 PM BST
July Meeting - Day 1

Face The Facts, 1pt EW @ 28-1, 1.50 Newmarket

Face The Facts looks up against it in the Bahrain Trophy on official figures, but he does make a bit of EW appeal at the price, certainly relative to Desert Skyline's price on their running in the Queen's Vase (14f) at Royal Ascot, in which neither got the best of runs up the straight.

Face The Facts met with trouble twice, being slightly impeded by the eventual winner around 2f out when trying to make headway, and then when having to snatch up in the closing stages as he found his path blocked. He looks a big unit who doesn't do anything quickly, so probably fair to say the interference didn't do him any favours.

Whether that form will be good enough for this is questionable, but that was his first try at beyond 12f and he still looks open to some improvement, and although this drop back to 13f may not suit as well as 14f, he may appreciate the slower surface more.
Report GEORGE.B July 12, 2017 7:11 PM BST
Orvar, 1pt EW @ 12-1, 4.35 Newmarket

Orvar has only had four starts for Robert Cowell, and his two starts this year for his new stable have suggested he should be up to winning off his current mark of 92 (he ended his juvenile campaign for Richard Hannon rated 101). On his seasonal return he finished second to Edgar Lewis, who has since looked a shade unlucky in the Epsom 'Dash', before running well in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot, and Orvar's latest start at Ayr was probably better than the bare facts, given he raced prominently on a day when it paid to be held up, but he stuck on well for third despite having been keen enough.

His mark has remained unchanged, and first time cheekpieces may eke out a little improvement, so although this is a rise in grade, he appeals as the sort his trainer could do well with.
Report GEORGE.B July 12, 2017 8:08 PM BST
Elleval, 1pt EW @ 16-1, 7.55 Leopardstown

Elleval had suggested at this year's Dubai Carnival that he still retains plenty of ability, notably when finishing second off a mark of 100 to Folkswood, who went on to finish runner-up to Decorated Knight in the Group 1 Jebal Hatta.

His runs back on home soil didn't exactly scream he's a well handicapped horse, though he ran well in a Dundalk Fast-Track Qualifier for the AW Finals Day, but I selected him for the Royal Hunt Cup at a huge price as I wondered if a race of that nature would suit his usual hold-up style. As it turned out his low draw was right against him, but he ran well to finish 10th of the 29 runners, particularly as he made his challenge up the middle of the track and away from the favoured stands' rail.

His mark has now fallen to below 100 for the first time since February 2012, and the signs are he's still capable of winning a race of this nature when things pan out more favourably.
Report GEORGE.B July 12, 2017 8:22 PM BST
I should have done an EW acca, 3 placed and a NR Crazy. The longshot was selected EW, so a tiny profit on the day and no damage done.

No excuses for Angelito there, was given a proper ride, but could only plug on for third, so a mark of 50 nowadays would appear to be not far wrong Plain


July Running Total
P/L : +19.35

Win stat: 4/28 (16%)
Place stat: 9/28 (32%)

Points staked so far: 44

Overall Running Total
P/L : +41.70

Win stat: 26/259 (10%)
Place stat: 71/259 (27%)

Points staked so far: 415
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
Report GEORGE.B July 13, 2017 11:48 PM BST
A bad day at black rock with 6 points lost.

Face The Facts just looked slow, maybe he needs soft / heavy ground, if only to slow the others down too.

Orvar, no apparent excuses, just didn't look up to that grade, so can file that one away in the bulky file entitled 'ones I got wrong'.

Elleval, maybe they should look for another race at Ascot and hope for better luck with the draw Plain


July Running Total

P/L : +13.35

Win stat: 4/31 (13%)
Place stat: 9/31 (29%)

Points staked so far: 50

Overall Running Total
P/L : +35.70

Win stat: 26/262 (10%)
Place stat: 71/262 (27%)

Points staked so far: 421
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
Report saddo July 14, 2017 10:37 AM BST
GL George, not looked in for a while, only one day behind with replays now. 14 runners today, might decide to go cycling to avoid any carnage. I have backed City Guest 2.50 Ascot, still remembering the Brighton run, and a helluva weight turnaround with the jolly. My Brother is at Sligo today if you've got owt m8.
Report saddo July 14, 2017 10:50 AM BST
Ignore Sligo ffs. I'll find his email, but he's racing today.
Report GEORGE.B July 14, 2017 11:29 AM BST
Good luck with City Guest, saddo. I've got a list as long as ya arm today Crazy

Navan today?

The 20-1 shot (Dancing Duke) that came 3rd on your Bellewestown thread, I see it went and won over hurdles 2 days later when a heavily backed 9-4 fav, not that it was any good to your brother by that point Plain but I thought it was an 'interesting' run the time before at Ballinrobe.
Report saddo July 14, 2017 11:43 AM BST
Never checked em George, that's a fair spot. I've not had so many runners in a day for three years or more, crazy.
Report GEORGE.B July 14, 2017 12:10 PM BST
Marnie James, 1pt EW @ 33-1, 4.20 York

A speculative chance is taken on Marnie James at huge odds, who shaped well on his debut at Redcar in April, travelling strongly in a prominent position and showing up well for a most of the journey before running green off the bridle and losing places inside the final furlong; he was then a respectable second at Hamilton to Unfortunately (who has been given a rating of 101), who has since gone on to be Listed placed in  France and was then just touched off in the Spindrifter Stakes at Pontefract; the third horse at Hamilton, Armed Response, subsequently won a maiden at that track and was given an initial rating of 81.

The trouble is Marnie James hasn't come close to that form in his two starts since, so a leap of faith is now required, but the fitting of a tongue-tie and the switch to nursery company off a mark of 73 may show him in a better light.
Report GEORGE.B July 14, 2017 12:24 PM BST
Thomas Crown, 1pt EW @ 14-1, 9.20 Carlisle

Thomas Crown didn't last long with James Tate, being sold for just £4,500 after only one start, and not a lot to shout about in a few starts for Roger Fell, but I did think he shaped ok stepped up to 10f on his latest start at Beverley, possibly not best positioned given how the race panned out, then not getting the clearest of runs up the straight, but keeping on well and suggesting that a stiffer test may show him in a better light.

There are useful 12f winners close up in his pedigree on his dam's side, so interesting to see if this further step up in trip to 11f can prompt a better showing, and he has dropped 7lb from his initial rating.
Report GEORGE.B July 14, 2017 12:57 PM BST
Black Grass, 1pt EW @ 25-1, 4.55 York

Black Grass is very weak in the betting here which has to be a concern, along with his jockey's inexperience for a race of this nature, but he has looked in good form on his last couple of starts, finishing runner-up at Hamilton when possibly disadvantaged by making his challenge up the middle of the track, and last time in the "Jump Jockeys Nunthorpe", when making eye-catching late progress; he's was behind Tylery Wonder and Barshiba last time, but he is better off at the weights today, and if his apprentice can get a tune out of him (and he did win an apprentices' race on him earlier in the season), hopefully he can at least challenge for a place.
Report bobbyjo July 14, 2017 4:23 PM BST
Blimey George thats some shout, VWD
Report PHS July 14, 2017 4:38 PM BST
Top Top Tipping GeorgeCool
Report Knight Commander July 14, 2017 4:47 PM BST
BBBCoolCoolM Happy
Report GEORGE.B July 14, 2017 5:29 PM BST
Cheers. If the handicapper had his sums right for the 1st and 3rd in that Hamilton race, 73 looked workable, and it was just a case of what had gone wrong the last twice Crazy
Report PHS July 14, 2017 5:30 PM BST
George, what would your Overall Total be if you took out 20/1 and over backs (inc placed when given ew)?
Report GEORGE.B July 14, 2017 5:38 PM BST
PHS, I gave up with the spreadsheet a good while ago and just update daily on here, but as I've said before, it's just a bit of interest, I've no intention of doing any analysis to paralysis.
Report PHS July 14, 2017 5:40 PM BST
Fair enough!
Report toffee man July 14, 2017 6:26 PM BST
brilliant tipping george, a very big well done
Report GEORGE.B July 14, 2017 9:31 PM BST
Cheers tm.

Disappointing from the final pick, but held up last in a race where they're 10 secs outside standard on g/f, nuff said.
Report GEORGE.B July 14, 2017 9:36 PM BST
10p Rule 4, leaving +31.64 on the day.

July Running Total
P/L : +45.19

Win stat: 5/33 (15%)
Place stat: 10/33 (30%)

Points staked so far: 56

Overall Running Total
P/L : +67.34

Win stat: 27/265 (10%)
Place stat: 72/265 (27%)

Points staked so far: 427
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
Report madhatters July 14, 2017 9:51 PM BST
Bang on GB Grin
Report chavman July 14, 2017 11:01 PM BST
spanker with marnie james george ,i doff my cap-top drawer Happy
Report GEORGE.B July 15, 2017 11:46 AM BST
Thanks mad' and chav, it was needed to get the thread's stats looking respectable again!

I've got more to choose from today than you can shake a stick at Crazy
Report knavesmire007 July 15, 2017 11:52 AM BST
Nice shout with the 33s George Shocked
Report GEORGE.B July 15, 2017 1:23 PM BST
Ta Knaves
Report GEORGE.B July 15, 2017 1:25 PM BST
Repercussion, 1pt EW @ 33-1, 2.40 Ascot

A bit of flyer is taken EW with Repercussion, who was formerly trained in France by Andre Fabre and bought by current connections for £40,000. I thought he shaped ok on his debut for Charlie Fellowes over 10f at the Craven meeting, possibly not handling the dip too well (though could be he's not straightforward and his new trainer wasted no time in applying a hood, which is left off here), but going on well once meeting the rising ground.

The two runs since have been disappointing, but possible to make excuses as one came in a competitive class 2 handicap at York on ground softer than he encountered at Newmarket, and the other at Chelmsford  where perhaps the surface didn't suit. He has been dropped 4lb and this is a slight ease in grade, so with the promise of the Newmarket run not yet forgotten, he's given another chance at big odds.


Coral Princess, 1pt EW @ 28-1, 8.35 Hamilton

A chance is taken EW on Coral Princess despite a concern that she may prefer quicker ground; she caught the eye 3 starts back at Musselburgh over 7f when getting no luck in the run and leaving the impression she would have gone close to winning with a clear run. The two starts since have been disappointing, but Tapeta might not have suited at Newcastle, and she might have had too much use made of her last time on softer ground at Ayr.

She's back up in trip here to 8.5f, but the way she shaped at Musselburgh suggested she should be fine at it, and provided the ground is ok, hopefully she can at least challenge for a place at rewarding odds, having been dropped 3lb in the ratings since the 'notebook' run.


The King's Steed, 1pt win @ 13-2, 8.35 Hamilton

I have to have a saver on The King's Steed, who proved himself at least a high 60s-rated horse when running two solid races for Ralph Beckett last season at Nottingham and Beverley (when not getting a clear run and shaping better than the bare result). However, he seems to have declined dramatically for his current handler, including last season when not long having arrived from his previous yard and ridden by an inexperienced apprentice.

He's actually out of the handicap here, such has been the decline in his form, but there were definite signs of life on his latest start at Nottingham, and there has been market support for him this morning, so if that latest run was a sign that he may start getting back to where he was for his previous yard, then he's potentially a well handicapped horse.
Report GEORGE.B July 15, 2017 1:29 PM BST
Correction: Repercussion's run at Newmarket was over a mile
Report GEORGE.B July 15, 2017 9:02 PM BST
The King's Steed was a NR. Both selections failed to see their races out having looked place contenders inside the last 2f. Maybe Repercussion needs to go back a mile, while Coral Princess probably wants quicker ground. Whatever, the bottom line is 4 pts lost on the day.

July Running Total
P/L : +41.19

Win stat: 5/35 (14%)
Place stat: 10/35 (28%)

Points staked so far: 60

Overall Running Total
P/L : +63.34

Win stat: 27/267 (10%)
Place stat: 72/267 (27%)

Points staked so far: 431
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
Report GEORGE.B July 15, 2017 10:08 PM BST
Peace Envoy, 1pt EW @ 16-1, 3.45 Curragh

Peace Envoy showed useful form as a juvenile, winning at Listed and Group 3 level, and notably when a strong finishing 3rd behind Lady Aurelia, beaten only a length, in the Group 1 Prix Morny.

He was well backed to win a Listed race on his reappearance at Naas in early May when carrying a penalty, but got no luck up the inner when seemingly travelling well and leaving the impression he probably would have won had he got a clear run.

The two runs since have seen him well beaten, but they came in the French Guineas and the St James's Palace Stakes (when refusing to settle in first time blinkers, which are left off here), so fair to say this Group 2 race looks more realistic.

He has a bit to find on the figures here (though he was rated 7lb higher going into the Naas race), and Ryan Moore who was aboard at Naas, has seemingly opted for the Jersey Stakes runner-up Spirit Of Valor, so who knows what the tactics will be for the selection, who is the stable's third string according to the betting, but the Naas run certainly suggested he had trained on and would have something to offer this season, so he is given an EW vote dropped back  in class, in the hope he settles better this time.
Report GEORGE.B July 16, 2017 5:40 PM BST
It was looking promising when Peace Envoy made good headway up the inner, but it soon amounted to little and he looked held when squeezed for room, after which he was eased off. There's always tomorrow...Plain

July Running Total
P/L : +39.19

Win stat: 5/36 (14%)
Place stat: 10/36 (28%)

Points staked so far: 62

Overall Running Total
P/L : +61.34

Win stat: 27/268 (10%)
Place stat: 72/268 (27%)

Points staked so far: 433
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
Report chavman July 16, 2017 6:02 PM BST
you cant deposit tomorrow into the bank though george
Report PHS July 16, 2017 6:28 PM BST
No, but he did on Friday, to the tune of 31.64pts. Do one chavvy.
Report chavman July 16, 2017 7:26 PM BST
friday was last week PHS,although im sure youre probably already aware of that
Report saddo July 17, 2017 1:05 PM BST
Going well again, GEORGE. I left em Friday and Sat due to sheer numbers. Winners included Marnie James-missed price and left it- and Medahim. Been doing a bit of cycling on me new bike, wish I'd been betting instead. Sad
Report GEORGE.B July 17, 2017 1:21 PM BST
I think Marnie James was 33s (10p R4) with at least three of the main books when I selected it on here Friday around noon, and it touched 25s on course, so you must have looked at the wrong time saddo! Wink

Medahim was Willo's horse to follow in the RUK club magazine, and I'm pleased to see it finally came good.

Talking of horses coming good after you leave them, that Takbeer, selected it on here the last twice it ran, left it on Thursday and in it goes at 50s Cry
Report GEORGE.B July 17, 2017 1:29 PM BST
PHS, thanks for dealing with the riff raff by the way, much appreciated!
Report pa lapsy July 17, 2017 5:41 PM BST
Well done on your 33/1 George,one of the very few threads on this forum worth a read.

You spotted Lucent Dream before it ever got a race,at least 2 stone higher now and not finished yet,fair play to you.
Report GEORGE.B July 17, 2017 5:47 PM BST
Thanks for the kind words pa, but my enemies will now be scouring this thread and others for horses I've put up that are now rated 2 stone lower! WinkGrin

I did have a selection for today (one I've put up previously) but having given it some thought, not sure today's the day for various reasons, so have passed.
Report flukes July 17, 2017 5:52 PM BST
Keep up the good work George, always worth a read
Report pa lapsy July 17, 2017 5:56 PM BST
Plenty of inadequates around who have nothing better to do George, keep them puce with rage Grin
Report GEORGE.B July 18, 2017 8:20 AM BST
Coronation Cottage, 1pt win @ 9-2, 2.30 Bath

Coronation Cottage ran well to finish a close up third at Salisbury two starts back, and although she could only finish third of four over 5f at Bath on her latest start when racing from 1lb out of the handicap, she shaped better than the bare result as she was short of room up the inner as the eventual winner hung towards the rail, and that form received a boost when Fethiye Boy followed up in a stronger race at Sandown under a 6lb penalty.

The way Coronation Cottage stuck to her task last time would suggest the extra half-furlong of today's race will suit, while she may find this easier eased back in grade and against her own sex.
Report Lee Ho Fooks July 18, 2017 2:32 PM BST
WD
Report flukes July 18, 2017 2:32 PM BST
WD George, spot on
Report pa lapsy July 18, 2017 2:36 PM BST
Good man George, that's the way to answer back.
Report madhatters July 18, 2017 2:40 PM BST
GB wears the crown Grin
Knew i'd seen it somewheres
Report GEORGE.B July 18, 2017 2:45 PM BST
Cheers. I thought she was a bit unlucky last time in that the jock wasn't able to fully get after her in the closing stages, and thought maybe it had cost her second, just wasn't sure about the strength of the form, but when the winner went in again at Sandown, obviously it looked a lot better.
Report Lee Ho Fooks July 18, 2017 2:51 PM BST
OK George it won, now stop milking itLaughLaughLaugh
Report GEORGE.B July 18, 2017 3:16 PM BST
I always get a bit carried away Lee after one of me rare winners Blush
Report Knight Commander July 18, 2017 3:36 PM BST
Nice one GeCoolrge Grin
Report chavman July 18, 2017 8:09 PM BST
i see youve also attracted a few knuckle draggers to fend off any criticism george-youll be voting UKIP next
Report GEORGE.B July 19, 2017 12:17 AM BST
Cheers KC
Report GEORGE.B July 19, 2017 12:18 AM BST
criticise away chav, I'm all for a bit of balance
Report GEORGE.B July 19, 2017 12:22 AM BST
July Running Total
P/L : +43.69

Win stat: 6/37 (16%)
Place stat: 11/37 (30%)

Points staked so far: 63

Overall Running Total
P/L : +65.84

Win stat: 28/269 (10%)
Place stat: 73/269 (27%)

Points staked so far: 434
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
Report GEORGE.B July 19, 2017 12:47 AM BST
There you go chav, just to show there are no hard feelings, I've dedicated a top ten to you, on Foyleswar's 'songs named after foumites' thread.
Report toffee man July 19, 2017 1:58 PM BST
well done yesterday george
Report GEORGE.B July 22, 2017 2:10 PM BST
Saxo Jack, 1pt EW @ 14-1, 6.30 Haydock

Saxo Jack was rated over 100 at his peak, and although those days seem a distant memory now, there were signs on his penultimate start over this C/D when finishing third that he may be finding his level again off a mark in the 70s, on what was his fifth start for his current trainer Sophie Leech, having joined his new yard last year with a rating of 90. The form of that race has worked out well with the winner having since gone in again off a 10lb higher mark, and the runner-up too having won since, albeit on the AW.

Saxo Jack was a little disappointing on his latest start at York, but perhaps a combination of a step back up in trip and grade found him out; he's back down in grade here and back over what is probably his optimum trip, so following another drop in the ratings and with a 7lb claimer employed, hopefully he can at least challenge for a place.
Report GEORGE.B July 22, 2017 2:11 PM BST
Cheers tm
Report GEORGE.B July 22, 2017 6:42 PM BST
Unfortunately they were down to 7 runners by post time so third place for Saxo Jack means -2 on the day. He came with a promising run up the rail, traded around 2-1, but his ageing legs just weren't able to go with the first 2. No excuses.

July Running Total
P/L : +41.69

Win stat: 6/38 (16%)
Place stat: 11/38 (29%)

Points staked so far: 65

Overall Running Total
P/L : +63.84

Win stat: 28/270 (10%)
Place stat: 73/270 (27%)

Points staked so far: 436
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
Report GEORGE.B July 24, 2017 8:52 AM BST
Bad Girl Caoimhe, 1pt EW @ 40-1, 8.55 Beverley

Medicine Hat, Samtu, Control Centre and Adam's Ale, all horses Marjorie Fife has won with since last December on their return from a break when having either their first or second start for her.

Bad Girl Caoimhe failed to win in three starts earlier this year for Fife having joined her yard from Brian Ellison's, but those runs came on the AW, on surfaces that might not have suited, but the assessor has dropped her turf mark from 67 to 55, which allows her into this 0-55 contest.

Some of her maiden turf form for Ellison fom last season reads well in the context of this race, having finished runner-up to both Wowcha (despite having endured a disadvantageous wide trip) and Normandie Lady, who are currently rated 78 and 82 respectively. The three handicap runs last season for Ellison were relatively disappointing, though it's possible 6 or 7 furlongs on good ground was an inadequate test for her.

Bad Girl Caoimhe still has to prove what ability remains on this return from over 5 months off, and also has stamina to prove at this trip of near-10f, but her current handler is clearly capable of having horses primed to win off a break, particularly ones she has taken over from other yards, so if the return to turf does suit, she's a potentially well handicapped filly.


Haulini, 1pt EW @ 10-1, 7.15 Windsor

Haulini is an American-bred who has yet to fully convince that he has trained on from 2 to 3, but there were signs of life on his latest start at Kempton, and what makes him of interest this evening is the return to an easier surface, as he was twice an impressive winner last season with juice in the ground, including on his nursery debut at Salisbury when rated 73, the mark he runs off here.
Report Virgin July 24, 2017 10:33 AM BST
Well done George you've bagged 20+ points since my last visit to your thread ...gl
Report knot in wood July 24, 2017 10:53 AM BST
yes you doing well again george after that rough june,only another 5 months to go Laugh

good luck today.
Report chavman July 24, 2017 12:13 PM BST
indeed george-"the race is not always won by the swiftest" (Ecclesiastes 9:11)

although you probably already know this Happy
Report sofiakenny July 26, 2017 2:40 PM BST
ttt..just for you Shakey.
Report Grok July 27, 2017 9:50 AM BST
What is the average BSp of your selections, George?
Report GEORGE.B July 29, 2017 1:02 PM BST
Who the f*ck is Shakey? Surely not Mr Rock N Roll himself? Shocked Well let's hope I don't end up losing this ole house!

18.67, Grok
Report GEORGE.B July 29, 2017 1:04 PM BST
Aardwolf, 1pt EW @ 28-1, 2.05 York

A speculative vote at the prices to goes to Aardwolf despite a concern that the ground may be softer than ideal; he raced prominently two starts back at Ayr on a day when it looked a big advantage to be held up, and I kept an eye on him on his latest start at Hamilton when I thought he ran well enough, holding every chance going into the final furlong but not quite seeing it out on the soft ground; that from has some substance, the runner-up Masham Star has since run well in a Newmarket handicap on July Cup day, and from further back in the field, Alexandrakollontai has since come out and won.

The drop back to 7f should help based on the evidence of the Hamilton run and previous form, and his mark has fallen to just a pound higher than when succesful in class 2 company at Doncaster in May.


Johnny Barnes, 1pt EW @ 33-1, 3.00 Ascot (6 places, 1/5th odds)
Shady McCoy, 1pt EW @ 33-1, 3.00 Ascot (6 Places, 1/5th odds)

Johnny Barnes is of a little interest back in a big field handicap, having run well in the Ayr Gold Cup last season when probably done no favours by the draw, and then having caught the eye at Doncaster when getting no luck in the run; he's now rated 4lb lower than he was at Ayr, and while his latest third at Newbury would suggest he has work to do to reverse the form with his stablemate Remarkable, given how far the first three pulled clear, that form still makes him appeal EW at the prices today, racing off the same mark.

Shady McCoy is another who has caught the eye more than once in big field handicaps, notably so when fouth over this C/D in May when behind Fatsnet Tempest, who he meets on 11lb better terms here. A bit of a mixed bag in four starts since, but of interest back here, having gone close on his only other start over this C/D.
Report Virgin July 29, 2017 2:06 PM BST
I've given Shady McCoy another chance today as well George (5 places though)

gl Wink
Report GEORGE.B July 29, 2017 2:32 PM BST
Good luck to us both, Virgin
Report Virgin July 29, 2017 3:09 PM BST
Anyone paying 8th place Sad
Report GEORGE.B July 29, 2017 3:16 PM BST
He does have form on softer ground but just wonder if he wants it on top against that calibre of opposition, Virgin.

4th for JB, but will have settle for a 1/5th the odds having taken the girly option of the extra places insurance.
Report Virgin July 29, 2017 3:34 PM BST
wd 4th George Grin
Report GEORGE.B July 29, 2017 3:44 PM BST
Cheers Virgin
Report GEORGE.B July 29, 2017 3:44 PM BST
July Running Total
P/L : +42.69

Win stat: 6/43 (14%)
Place stat: 13/43 (30%)

Points staked so far: 75

Overall Running Total
P/L : +64.84

Win stat: 28/275 (10%)
Place stat: 75/275 (27%)

Points staked so far: 446
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
Report GEORGE.B July 30, 2017 11:33 AM BST
Cornerstone Lad, 1pt EW @ 8-1, 2.30 Pontefract

Cornerstone Lad ran well on his handicap debut over 10f at Ripon when runner-up to Barwell (who has won again since and is now rated a stone higher), with subsequent handicap winners behind him in 3rd and 4th. He was sent off a well backed favourite on the back of that with William Buick in the plate on his latest run which came over today's C/D, and although it was a bit disappointing that he could manage only 3rd, he wasn't helped by having to challenge wide on the track from four furlongs out (the winner raced round the inner), and in the circumstances probably did well to sustain his challenge up the straight.

The ground was on the softer side of good when he ran well at Ripon and it could be this big sort is going to appreciate juice in the ground, given he had to be nudged along from some way out on a sounder surface last time out. He's unexposed at the trip and his two handicap starts to date suggest he should be up to winning off his current mark, though that is said bearing in mind that his stable only had a 4% strike rate on the Flat last year (11 - 249) and this year so far have managed only two wins from 79 runs on the level.
Report PHS July 30, 2017 5:40 PM BST
George,
Any views on the jockey booking for Strong Steps tomorrow? Looks a strange one? Horse is having its third run for Goldie from Fell.
Report GEORGE.B July 30, 2017 7:06 PM BST
PHS, suppose it's a strange one if only because of the big weight it has to carry, given Mathers can do light weights, so you might have thought he would have put up Mooney to take 7lb off?

Mathers obviously did the ride the horse on Saturday, so maybe Jim has decided to leave him on it, and he also rides Insurplus too for the yard.

Still time of course for the horse to be pulled out given it ran only yesterday, but if it does run, the saddle will be relatively heavy!
Report GEORGE.B July 30, 2017 7:10 PM BST
X-rated stuff from today's pick, who stopped to nothing in the straight, presumably something wasn't quite right Crazy

July Running Total
P/L : +40.69

Win stat: 6/44 (14%)
Place stat: 13/44 (29%)

Points staked so far: 77

Overall Running Total
P/L : +62.84

Win stat: 28/276 (10%)
Place stat: 75/276 (27%)

Points staked so far: 448
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
Report PHS July 30, 2017 7:42 PM BST

Jul 30, 2017 -- 1:06PM, GEORGE.B wrote:


PHS, suppose it's a strange one if only because of the big weight it has to carry, given Mathers can do light weights, so you might have thought he would have put up Mooney to take 7lb off?Mathers obviously did the ride the horse on Saturday, so maybe Jim has decided to leave him on it, and he also rides Insurplus too for the yard.Still time of course for the horse to be pulled out given it ran only yesterday, but if it does run, the saddle will be relatively heavy!


Yeah, that's what I thought. 2st in the saddle and no obvious reason why.

Report Grok July 31, 2017 7:17 AM BST
18.67 avg. Way to go!
Report chavman July 31, 2017 7:46 AM BST
Beginners luck
Report Virgin August 21, 2017 10:55 AM BST
3 weeks without a fancy Shocked Hope all is well George Love
Report peeler August 28, 2017 3:16 PM BST
George you ok
Report GEORGE.B August 28, 2017 4:24 PM BST
Good, thanks, Virgin and peeler.

It gets so hectic this time of year with so many meetings, and those write-ups can be so time consuming, and what was only intended to be a short break from the thread has turned into a rather longer one!
Report jamesdean August 28, 2017 4:31 PM BST
Sold out? Shocked
Report Virgin August 28, 2017 5:12 PM BST
Can't say I blame you Wink
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