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tomhunt
07 Feb 17 17:55
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Date Joined: 21 Jul 10
| Topic/replies: 7,337 | Blogger: tomhunt's blog
first i've heard of this, if prices are offered IR to bookmakers, pics would have to be speeded up, surely...

https://www.sis.tv/content/horse-racing/in-running/

https://www.sis.tv/news/live-racing-data-opens-whole-new-range-betting-opportunities/

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Replies: 64
By:
Latalomne
When: 07 Feb 17 18:43
Interesting.  It was always going to be only a matter of time before someone started to profit from sticking GPS on to horses.  Didn't quite think it would end up being delivered in quite this way, though. 

Will take a massive sea change from the way bookies handle in-running bet placement currently to make it viable for them.

As you say, logic dictates that pics *should* be speeded up accordingly.  He even spoke about the need for minimal latency between pricing and pictures himself.
By:
duncan idaho
When: 07 Feb 17 19:02
might be state of the art but they've obviously never heard of basic proof-reading!  Cry
By:
pablo-fanque
When: 07 Feb 17 19:03
could be good news in a sense that they will have to speed up the pictures .

as the guy mentioned in the film that the prices will have to be in sync with the pictures , if the picture speeds are the same as now, the bookies will get picked off by track players or people on the track telling people what to back in the bookies via mobile phones  .
By:
tomhunt
When: 07 Feb 17 19:04
agree it's very interesting, if the coordinates and speed are transmitted in real time they will have to relate to what we are watching otherwise we'll be backing off maps!
By:
MANCHESTERSKYTRAIN
When: 08 Feb 17 09:33
The suggestion that bookmakers would offer in running prices for the public to bet on and improve the latency of the  pictures they relay to their customers is the most laughable notion I have ever read. The same bookmakers who will do anything to avoid taking bets on anything they cannot arb or have built in guarantees of profit such as FOBTs. The prices would be derived from live data , the only way this would ever happen is if they knew they had the public at a disadvantage , speed the pictures up my ar5e. I would  bet on them slowing them down , and anyone on track who could possibly nick value would soon be banned, I reckon 2 winning bets in a row would see you on the list , but the bookies know who they are anyway cos they own the exchanges and have the data on everyone. Remember bookmakers only entertain losers and under no circumstances tolerate anyone who even threatens to win, speeding up pictures and offering prices in running, many would rip them a new one so no chance of that happening .
By:
DOUBLED
When: 08 Feb 17 10:11
Not if their in running prices were offered at 20% lower than available on the exchanges and they could guarantee a profit.
By:
Latalomne
When: 08 Feb 17 10:18
I think you are underestimating the potential power of the data, MST - and that will only get better as horse profiles are mapped more.
By:
dustybin
When: 08 Feb 17 10:31
More chances to get knocked back during a race.

Even in its most fantastical 'pipedream' all this is doing in sanitising the market further where the price offered is as close to reality (minus margin) as is possible.
Why would anyone choose to bet as there would be no value?

Its just like all these 'innovations' the exchanges have thunked up, the IR sector limps along losing blood until one day it will wheeze its final breath and collapse.
The sis guy having a wet dream is talking to the share price of a company trying to sell something to a sector.
The provide pictures, slow ones.
By:
donny osmond
When: 08 Feb 17 10:32
placing a bet in running via staff in a shop would be an interesting experience

£1000 on no3 at 4/7 please,

what time is it running ?

its the live race

20,40,60,80........980,1000

its 1/3, you can have £17.33 on

ah ok i'll leave it thanks
By:
Latalomne
When: 08 Feb 17 10:38
Dusty - As I alluded to in my first post, the way they currently operate will not work with this.  End of. 

On your second point, I completely agree, but since when did bookies rely on punters betting with them who appreciate value? 

Your third point is probably true (3b, really), but I'm pretty confident this is the way it will ultimately actually head.
By:
Latalomne
When: 08 Feb 17 10:39
If it's not the bookies buying the data, someone else will for their own gains.
By:
dustybin
When: 08 Feb 17 11:11
It looks whimsical to me, sis will trumpet it, put a price on it, it will get knocked down considerably when it wont fit into the bookies operations and then as you suggest perhaps it will go on the cheap to a private body.
Who will then no boubt further the end of IR as did the X-bot sent the sector into a tailspin that resulted in the markets looking like a 70s Beirut highstreet.
By:
pablo-fanque
When: 08 Feb 17 11:18
MST , a passionate reply.

we can only speculate and comment on what the SIS guy says in the video . he says that prices will be in sync with pictures and that they will be value to the punters without the bookmaker having their pants taken down .

it wouldn't take much effort for the bookies to scrape prices from here and offer them at 20%-30% lower , in conjunction with what the data they produce from the tracking devices .

they will probably close betting 1 furlong from the finish or something like that .
By:
Latalomne
When: 08 Feb 17 11:19
FWIW, I don't disagree with you about the ultimate end game for IR punting here.
By:
Latalomne
When: 08 Feb 17 11:21
PF - If the data is real-time, you know exactly the speed and positioning of those fighting out the finish, plus the speeds that those horses have been able to achieve previously, why would you need to close the market so far out?
By:
dustybin
When: 08 Feb 17 11:33
Blimey thats some bot you got in mind Latalomne Cool
If you were taking it to the nth degree there though you would have to add in the integrity of jockey, trainer and feelings of horse on the day I suppose
Then after all that you could scoop up the few quid thats available Sad
By:
Latalomne
When: 08 Feb 17 11:37
As I interpret it, Dusty, that's how SIS is talking about delivering the odds (save for your added elements! Cool) - through the use of an algorithm.
By:
pablo-fanque
When: 08 Feb 17 11:42
latalomne, my thinking behind that was so they don't get picked off late in the race .

but I see your point .

the only way I can see this coming off is if fobts are restricted . they will then "probably" use the fobts machine for this . I can't see it working where you have to place bets behind the counter .
By:
pablo-fanque
When: 08 Feb 17 11:42
might be an online product though
By:
Latalomne
When: 08 Feb 17 11:44
It had never crossed my mind that they'd use it in shops, TBH, PF!  Interesting!
By:
Latalomne
When: 08 Feb 17 11:45
Having not been in a betting shop in years, do they offer a full range of in-play opportunities there now?
By:
pablo-fanque
When: 08 Feb 17 11:48
I think they do for tennis , football , golf , cricket .
By:
dustybin
When: 08 Feb 17 11:51
they dont offer out-play opportunities.

This is bound to go down about as well as cold sick with the bookies imo
By:
Latalomne
When: 08 Feb 17 11:56
Guess it all comes down to price.  Their bottom line is a function of turnover (as evidenced by the fact you can bet on literally anything).  Anything that increases turnover, increases the bottom line. 

If my interpretation is correct, the online books would effectively be doing nothing other than the initial integration with their own product and then the settling (which they're already doing anyway).
By:
duncan idaho
When: 08 Feb 17 11:59

I think they do for tennis , football , golf , cricket .




Hmm, 5f hcp at Epsom slightly different to 72-hole golf tourney or 5-day Test match tho (imho)  Plain
By:
the dealer
When: 08 Feb 17 12:07
betting terminals offer a full range of in play bets.
By:
dustybin
When: 08 Feb 17 12:10
The product would be meaningless without both the appetite to put money up in a market (bookies) and those that bet could do so in a fast moving market, where all factors have been equated and cleansed right down to an efficient odd.

I've always failed to see the optimism about the potential of getting more people interested in racing.
The old timers are dying out who cared about the sport based on a limited offering from their youth and a more romantic process with which they might have felt they stood a chance. The rest of the people bothered with racing either do it as a passing interest or are those who came to it for profit based on the exchanges.
If the technology minimises still further the area to profit from misplaced perception of value then why are they even going to continue?
People are invested in other sports because they either played them at some point or supported a particular team....not many really support a horse that they couldn't recognise in a field of other horses.
By:
pablo-fanque
When: 08 Feb 17 12:17
Duncan , i never mentioned horse racing there did i ?
By:
Latalomne
When: 08 Feb 17 12:18
I think the way "we" view betting is perhaps different to that of the general populous.  I find it difficult to comprehend, but apparently a lot of people gamble for fun without any inherent expectation of winning..!  Look at bookies' odds on any in-play event.  Saw one over the weekend in the final of the snooker where Hamilton was 1.005 with 365 and 1.03 here...  People are presumably still betting in-play with bookies on other sports.  While I don't really see why it should attract new blood to racing, I don't necessarily buy that it will be sanitised prices that will put them off!
By:
dustybin
When: 08 Feb 17 12:28
True enough, but we don't live in a land of plenty where most have so much available cash and not enough opportunities to spend it. Just adding more potentially available moments in time, that in effect have no value in em since the price is about the chance it has in happening, won't result in more turn over IMO.
Bookies will see the cost implications first above imagined profits.
By:
crackthefat
When: 09 Feb 17 22:39
SIS in-running is another non-starter from a deluded SIS management team. We've had to endure the Spanish football fiasco, cameras strapped to the hare at dogs, the loss of Towcester due to the pig-headed belligerence of one man and now this ill-considered nonsense. I witnessed it at The Excel yesterday at it was embarrassing. SIS full of technical types with no betting industry knowledge any more. A sad decline now irreversible.
By:
TheFear
When: 09 Feb 17 22:59
well said, crackthefat.

I haven't viewed/read the pieces above yet but I had heard about it already. I wonder if owners have to take the GPS on their horses because I would like nothing more than to fk SIS by refusing - pretty much as they have refused to speed up pics.
By:
mark9
When: 09 Feb 17 23:08
impossible scenario unless its done with 1 click operation.
By:
Latalomne
When: 10 Feb 17 07:17

Feb 9, 2017 -- 11:08PM, mark9 wrote:


impossible scenario unless its done with 1 click operation.


Agreed.

The Fear - Interesting thought! Laugh  If the BHA was to buy into the integrity angle, I guess it would be pretty easy for them to make it a rule of racing that it had to be carried.

By:
dustybin
When: 10 Feb 17 10:23
Imagine the dystopian scenario where an official calls in a jockey because the computer determined a particular horse had 'x' amount of energy left and didn't run to its computer calculated odds.
They'd be dropping like many clouds.
By:
dustybin
When: 10 Feb 17 10:48
Actually it makes me wonder, if all this tech did get implemented and every horse had a sterilised price through out the race on all the determining variables and at no point did the odds of the winner reach the highs of odds on the exchange, then couldn't we have an absolute to compare against and the argument used in the VLV fiasco would apply and the bets scratched?
Thats a can of worms right there.
By:
Latalomne
When: 10 Feb 17 11:31
Not sure I follow your logic, Dusty, TBH.  Wasn't the VDV voided because the Exchange database should not have accepted the bet to begin with because the layer did not have the requisite funds in his account?
By:
DOUBLED
When: 10 Feb 17 11:40
crackthefat
09 Feb 17 22:39
Joined: 12 Mar 02
| Topic/replies: 3 | Blogger: crackthefat's blog
SIS in-running is another non-starter from a deluded SIS management team. We've had to endure the Spanish football fiasco, cameras strapped to the hare at dogs, the loss of Towcester due to the pig-headed belligerence of one man and now this ill-considered nonsense. I witnessed it at The Excel yesterday at it was embarrassing. SIS full of technical types with no betting industry knowledge any more. A sad decline now irreversible.

How was it embarrassing ? Did you challenge them about it ? Did you ask about picture speeds ?
Easy to make throw away comments but some substance would be nice.
By:
dustybin
When: 10 Feb 17 12:09
Latalomne, I seem to recall some disclaimer about palpable error.
Well if there becomes a constant with which all races are measured then all odds above that constant could be determined to be palpable errors.
What this initiative is doing is taking guess work out of the equation until such time all odds will regress to it, anything wildly above it would end up being folly and people would quickly stop offering them IMO.
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