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These 62 comments are related to the topic:
Help, I'm going nuts
Help, I'm going nuts
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Replies: 62
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maybe crap horses like cold weather
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no those stats dispel your idea that the ground has been a probable issue in your poor run
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Thought shorter horses had been winning more on good ground?
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I'm very betfair fatigued have to go in a mminute
I thought the gist here was that the ground has been drier this winter so results may have been different? |
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If the ground has been drier than often then you wouldn't have expected a worse year based on previous winters with drier ground?
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I thought you were trying to say you thought your bad run was based cos the ground had been faster this time of the year as opposed to the norm, apologies if that's not the case.
I'd be almost certain the ground would have no bearing on your bad run in the grand scheme of things, it rarely is. |
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That was suggested by Lordnoise. Im suggesting the poor ground has led to more outsiders winning and as I'm betting with stats on side I'm generally backing shorter horses.
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Basically i reckon my stats become less relevant in soft ground
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oh ok the opposite
well the ground hasn't been any more or less than you'd expect this time of the year you aren't going to see anything significant with outsiders based on the ground, it really doesn't work out like that. |
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When i get a bit of time I'll have a look at this for you and post some findings
too knackered now, brain has gone and eyeballs are going square after a long day on here. Catch you again Bighand  |
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Ok thanks, good night
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Maybe the price of the second or third favs are whats letting BHs under 8/1 approach down. I obviously don't know but lack of rain is the one factor I can think of that makes this year different from last.
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I accept theres been less rain but the ground is still softer than most of the rest of the year when i was doing much better
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My bets are broadly based on a combination of the horses previous form and strength its trainer
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.... based on a lot of previous stats from that trainer so i know what to expect from their horses
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Albert Einstein once said that if you stand at the back door of your house and wait for an elephant to appear in time it will.
I guess its just your time for the elephant .but the good news is that the elephant will go away,but albert also said history has a habit of repeating itself ,so be careful next January in case the elephant returns and stays longer  |
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 Probably spot on, got too go now the misses wants too watch Walking Dead. Thanks for your posts |
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the more pertinent issue could be why come on the forum after 12 years
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so were talkin a 26 day losing run after 12 years of success
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I get your point but I was betting only occasionally for fun for a long time. Taken it seriously last 2 years when i realised i was doing alright. Is it ok if i use your forum?
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i was more questioning your motive after having no need to use the forum for so long to expect basic ground/form answers to correct your system
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.... Is it ok if i use your forum?
tell him to mind his own fecking business. |
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Quick scan of this thread appears to suggest the lad is backing elephants.
Stop doing that, would be my advice. |