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jamesdean
28 Sep 16 16:27
Joined:
Date Joined: 15 Sep 05
| Topic/replies: 21,042 | Blogger: jamesdean's blog
Ghost town

Any body still winning/finding it normal?

Hope most are and it's just not playing well here...
Pause Switch to Standard View In running - the last few weeks - brutal
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Report swift-tuttle September 28, 2016 7:07 PM BST
what I don't understand is

if you say that likely winners are a very short price about 2 to 3 furlongs out
then surely some of these are good lays
Report TheFear September 28, 2016 7:14 PM BST
That would be "gambling" :-/
Report TheFear September 28, 2016 7:17 PM BST
No coincidence everyone is finding it harder since the King of Betfair returned,,,Excited
Report lcredd September 28, 2016 7:22 PM BST
It's been my worst month in the last 2 years. Liquidity is very thin nowadays. Is there any reason to think things might pick up? Sad
Report a bitofinterest September 28, 2016 7:25 PM BST
zodie still makes it pay
Report TheFear September 28, 2016 7:38 PM BST
SIS were allowed to kill in-running and everyone stood by as they did it
Report fghhgeergt September 28, 2016 7:40 PM BST
who is the king of betfair
Report mmmalushka September 28, 2016 7:53 PM BST
The kings are the ones with transactions placed after the event is over ie the fastest picture thieves who are happy to share the proceeds 60/40 with their accomplices Betfair.
Report TheFear September 28, 2016 7:58 PM BST
The problem with that theory, mmmalushka, is Betfair don't want to go 60-40 on the exes
Report fghhgeergt September 28, 2016 8:08 PM BST
how much are the exes for track players per year
Report TheFear September 28, 2016 8:11 PM BST
has to be 25 large, roida will know
Report roida September 28, 2016 8:34 PM BST
i only go to 3 tracks..they are £12,000 this year...£14,000 next yr...office rent £7,000......but others have 6-10 annuals and could be paying over £30,000
Report HappyHibby September 28, 2016 8:39 PM BST
Icredd....

absolutely none....

things will only get worse....

trust me on that one.
Report roida September 28, 2016 8:58 PM BST
if 20 track players were given £100,000 each and recalled after 1 year for a count up..there would be about £300.000 missing from the £2,000.000.
Report fghhgeergt September 28, 2016 9:08 PM BST
wow expensive.....after pc i wonder how much they are making on average
Report bigmart September 28, 2016 10:04 PM BST
your team played well jamie Wink
Report roida September 28, 2016 11:37 PM BST
mart add me yfdsc
Report bugs bunny September 29, 2016 9:28 AM BST
horse racing inrunning is a sinking ship dont matter what speed pictures you have if the moneys not in the pot your gonna struggle and cant see why it will improve it can only keep getting worse
Report lcredd September 29, 2016 9:45 AM BST
Is it horse racing as a whole that needs to be revived, or exchange betting? It seems easy to point the finger at BF but if less people are betting on horses in general then that will kill the exchanges quicker than BFs poor API.
Report MANCHESTERSKYTRAIN September 29, 2016 10:39 AM BST
Not played in-running for about 5 years, still think about it now and again, still miss it and go to bed dreaming about how fantastic it must be now. I imagine live video technology has advanced tremendously since those days and everyone watching virtually as live. I see from the tim_uk thread everyone is still winning at least a bag a month and in some cases 27 bags, it must be buzzing on here and I'm seriously jealous of you guys still in the game. My back is killing me dragging carpets around and I go to bed each night dreaming of laying at 5.1 in the place market and having the craic on the forum in between races. I often think of giving it another go ,do you guys reckon it's viable from home watching BF live video with a 67% BF PC rake, I might be a bit rusty, would a bag a month still be achievable ?....I see you share price is doing well so I guess the exchange as gone from strength to strength with all the PC bringing in new customers, I would give my left nut to be involved in the in-running again I absolutely loved every minute the most exciting betting platform ever invented . Hope you guys still enjoying the buzz.
Report deadbrain59 September 29, 2016 10:59 AM BST
im still buzzing off save the bees.GrinGrinHappyHappy
Report gerard September 29, 2016 11:23 AM BST
1) Unusual to read ONE person say earlier in this thread how good things were earlier in the year - all I have EVER read on this forum is threads like this - IR is dire, is getting worse by the day, hardly anyone is left and it will soon be FINNISH - and that's been the case for at least a decade!
2) I have been full time IR for 12 years and the last 4 have all been in my top 5 results wise.

For balance......

3) There has undoubtedly been a drop off in some ways - bigger gaps in prices, less needed to collapse a price etc - despite the fact at least a couple of hundred thousand are matched IR on most races (over jumps at least).
4) Whilst late summer is traditionally a tricky time for me (and most I think - too much racing, holidays etc) this August was my worst month in years, although September has been fine.
Report Koo.... September 29, 2016 11:31 AM BST
ITS FINNNISH
Report roida September 29, 2016 11:33 AM BST
usain bolt will never give usain bolt 10yds start....

tar
Report gerard September 29, 2016 11:34 AM BST
True - but he'd give you 10yds start with his whanger hanging out...Cool
Report roida September 29, 2016 11:37 AM BST
be a nice sight
Report Aviboyd September 29, 2016 12:44 PM BST
MST - great to hear that you are well (apart from the bad back) - the one thing about carpets is, people will always buy carpets.  Desperate on here these days, the machines have well and truly taken over...
Report Deltâ September 29, 2016 1:15 PM BST
MST - you would still be fine - [but not anymore in the 5.1 place market - win only now .]
Report dustybin September 29, 2016 3:47 PM BST
People will always buy carpets and want them fitting....if you are mad enough to do it.
I used to fit carpets and I lasted around a year.
Hard work and not just bad on the back, the strain lifting is immense and calluses on the fingers and knuckles from the back of carpets too.
Its an awful job in summer and theres always some thoughtless cont who ordered a carpet to be fitted and expected the fitter to come and shift all the furniture too.
Then theres kitchen lino.......

But its better than 250 a week on here ffs so takes yer pick.
Report DOUBLED September 29, 2016 4:07 PM BST
HappyHibby 28 Sep 16 16:52 Joined: 18 Oct 02 | Topic/replies: 11,599 | Blogger: HappyHibby's blog
bilbo....
it's lack of liquidity and not pics being slowed down.....
betfair was told it would end up like this and did nowt about it....
coming home to roost now....
pity it's too late coz once folk go......they go....and don't come back.....
betfair knows best tho....
course they do.


There is a direct correlation between picture speeds and fallinq liquidity - you cant mug people off forever Laugh
Report pablo-fanque September 29, 2016 4:09 PM BST
3 main things not helping liquidity on the horse racing markets

No advertising of the exchange
Slow Picture speeds
Premium Charge

nothing from the above list has changed in the last 5 years to improve things so it's not surprising that things will/is slowing down on here
Report Oceanfinance September 29, 2016 4:28 PM BST
add bots to that pablo. sickening to put up a price and see a bot take the money at a tick higher
Report Rob_The_Bantam September 29, 2016 4:39 PM BST
sickening to put up a price and see a bot take the money at a tick higher

Offer a higher price, then.
Report Oceanfinance September 29, 2016 4:45 PM BST
that sounds a winning formula rob
Report handtorofe September 29, 2016 4:46 PM BST
All but finished.
Report DOUBLED September 29, 2016 4:52 PM BST
Well done PP job doneWink
Report Wesdag September 29, 2016 4:54 PM BST
Really don't know what to make of this thread.

Are some saying that little money is now getting matched i/r or that their current strategies are no longer as profitable?

Which is it please?
Report DOUBLED September 29, 2016 5:03 PM BST
one is obviously affected by the other Crazy
Report Wesdag September 29, 2016 5:04 PM BST
All depends how much you're looking to get matched does it not?
Report DIE LINKE September 29, 2016 5:08 PM BST
I can't believe people don't want to be hoovered!
Report dustybin September 29, 2016 5:09 PM BST
All the foolish have been turned upside down and had all their money shaken out of them and so they left.
Now its only superdupa stars left duking it out and a few got the wobbles innit
Report screaming from beneaththewaves September 29, 2016 5:15 PM BST
Just one main thing affecting liquidity on every market here:

Outrageous commission.

Back a horse with £100 at 2.0. It wins. The layer gives Betfair £5, but gives you just £95. The commission comes from the losers, not the winners.

It's bad enough that most punters seem to think that the commission comes from the winners pockets, but it's far worse that Betfair seem to believe that too. How else do you explain them taking so much money race after race from losing punters while expecting liquidity to somehow replenish itself by magic.
Report dustybin September 29, 2016 5:19 PM BST
Theres also this macro environmental FACT

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37504449

Since the coalition/tory government austerity and inequality have mean fewer people have larger amounts but now there are 16million without a pot to piss in (or more than £100 in savings)

If the people have no money because the few collected it all then there are fewer to take it off.
Report ease September 29, 2016 5:32 PM BST
these doom laden threads have been predicting the end of in running for years. They weren't correct as it's still here, thankfully.
Yes liquidity could be better but I still find it fairly good in general, it's certainly still do-able to make it pay on RUK and Live video
Report Rob_The_Bantam September 29, 2016 5:38 PM BST
that sounds a winning formula rob

Your margin will be lower, but you have a choice.  Why should backers take your inferior price when someone else is willing to offer them a better one?  It's not like you're offering a superior product.
Report jamesdean September 29, 2016 5:48 PM BST
You're correct ease, they have been posted/predicted on here for years, in running finish etc etc

But it really is terrible just now, worst it has ever been by far and many have already left. So tbf, although you are right so are they to a degree
Report Wesdag September 29, 2016 6:16 PM BST
Plenty available just then at 1.01 - 16k in fact.

Cry
Report pablo-fanque September 29, 2016 6:55 PM BST
the winner of the 6.40 ebbesboune in running prices

2      £72   
2.02   £82   
2.06   £4   
2.12   £40   
2.2    £109   
2.22   £4   
2.24   £18   
2.3    £40   
2.32   £44   
2.4    £30   
2.44   £8   
2.48   £4   
2.66   £33   
2.7    £4   
2.72   £13   
2.76   £4   
2.88   £20   
3     £20   
3.1   £8   
3.2   £4   
3.25  £9   
3.3   £4   
3.45  £94   
3.5   £8   
3.6   £4   
3.7   £4   
4     £7   
4.2   £4   
4.3   £4   
4.6   £44   
4.8   £0   
5     £45   
5.3   £4   
5.5   £66   
5.6   £8   
5.7   £4   
5.8   £30   
6     £5   
6.2   £8   
6.4   £4   
6.6   £8   
7     £51   
7.2   £4   
7.4   £8   
7.6   £77   
7.8   £8   
8     £99   
8.2   £0   
8.4   £33   
8.6   £15   
8.8   £38   
9.2   £4   
9.4   £35   


that is the range where it is a bit thin liquidity wise imo .

I saw this horse go from about 8 to 1.17 in about 1 jump on gruss and the graph showed it too
Report liberator of the oppressed September 29, 2016 7:00 PM BST
Chickens are coming home to roost only so much you can squeeze out of Jo Punter fast pics or not. Will all end in tears gravy train is stopping.
Report Keefter September 29, 2016 7:35 PM BST

Sep 29, 2016 -- 6:55PM, pablo-fanque wrote:


the winner of the 6.40 ebbesboune in running prices 2      £72   2.02   £82   2.06   £4   2.12   £40   2.2    £109   2.22   £4   2.24   £18   2.3    £40   2.32   £44   2.4    £30   2.44   £8   2.48   £4   2.66   £33   2.7    £4   2.72   £13   2.76   £4   2.88   £20   3     £20   3.1   £8   3.2   £4   3.25  £9   3.3   £4   3.45  £94   3.5   £8   3.6   £4   3.7   £4   4     £7   4.2   £4   4.3   £4   4.6   £44   4.8   £0   5     £45   5.3   £4   5.5   £66   5.6   £8   5.7   £4   5.8   £30   6     £5   6.2   £8   6.4   £4   6.6   £8   7     £51   7.2   £4   7.4   £8   7.6   £77   7.8   £8   8     £99   8.2   £0   8.4   £33   8.6   £15   8.8   £38   9.2   £4   9.4   £35    that is the range where it is a bit thin liquidity wise imo .I saw this horse go from about 8 to 1.17 in about 1 jump on gruss and the graph showed it too


the XM bot would have been switched off as a result of the non-loader - in those cases markets ofte look like this - especially when the winner was a relative outsider.

Report pablo-fanque September 29, 2016 7:49 PM BST
I have seen plenty of thin markets like this with the XM turned on keefter .
Report roida September 30, 2016 1:02 AM BST
ease    29 Sep 16 17:32 
these doom laden threads have been predicting the end of in running for years. They weren't correct as it's still here, thankfully.
Yes liquidity could be better but I still find it fairly good in general, it's certainly still do-able to make it pay on RUK and Live video

could you post your last 3mths p&l just to confirm this.

tar
Report deadbrain59 September 30, 2016 9:31 AM BST
wrapped 100/30 fav ,in run12.0 won, virile 4/1 fav 15.0 won, quaffaal 100/30f, 10.5 won ,soundstrings3/1 f 7.6 won feed the goat 100/30 fav  12.0 won.acertwo 2/1 2nd fav 180.0 won.?
Report DOUBLED September 30, 2016 10:24 AM BST
well done braindead a thread that shows sometimes horses go bigger in the run and win - proves what exactly ?
Report roida September 30, 2016 10:38 AM BST
proves that he named himself from experience.
Report ease September 30, 2016 12:58 PM BST
roida- no I won't be doing that thanks.
Report dustybin September 30, 2016 2:05 PM BST
looking at markets after the race always makes me think its like having a bath where the water level barely kisses the ****

hope that helps
Report dustybin September 30, 2016 2:06 PM BST
****
Report dustybin September 30, 2016 2:06 PM BST
arse hole
Report dustybin September 30, 2016 2:06 PM BST
so you can have arse hole but not **** (one word)
Report pablo-fanque September 30, 2016 2:28 PM BST
dusty , zodiac has asked betfair to censor his real name if it is typed into the forum
Report dustybin September 30, 2016 2:29 PM BST
Mischief
Report deadbrain59 September 30, 2016 3:57 PM BST
all odds on led have won so far.
Report deadbrain59 September 30, 2016 3:57 PM BST
all odds on led have won so far.
Report Oceanfinance September 30, 2016 4:19 PM BST
IMO the betfair bot (if it exists) is a much bigger worry than the track players. Who's to say every bet isn't being followed in? Betfair need to give an interview or something to set people's minds at rest and boost confidence in the product.
Report deadbrain59 September 30, 2016 4:23 PM BST
Laugh
Report roida September 30, 2016 4:25 PM BST
if Mischief
Report Percy Filth September 30, 2016 4:35 PM BST
There's no if, what do you think is skimming all the value?
Report roida September 30, 2016 4:36 PM BST
the dairy?
Report deadbrain59 September 30, 2016 4:55 PM BST
last 3 all lost no advantage either way odds on treading water.
Report deadbrain59 September 30, 2016 4:55 PM BST
Laugh
Report Roger De Bris September 30, 2016 6:25 PM BST
LV in bits tonight.
Report roida September 30, 2016 6:26 PM BST
fine at track Excited
Report Roger De Bris September 30, 2016 6:27 PM BST
LaughCry
Report Oceanfinance September 30, 2016 7:42 PM BST
14             £685    

the game's not gone for this backer of long island sound (oods on shot)
Report jamesdean September 30, 2016 8:02 PM BST
I've changed my mind. Had a couple of decent winners and 2 good days

Still plent life left in the old dog yet Plain
Report Oceanfinance September 30, 2016 8:08 PM BST
lol me too. Helps when a few favs get beat for me.
Report Wesdag September 30, 2016 8:08 PM BST
You had me worried james.

Was thinking about visiting the jobcentre on Monday.

Plain
Report jamesdean September 30, 2016 8:17 PM BST
It's amazing how a winner changes the mindset and gives a bit more confidence Laugh

Tbf it has got a lot harder lately and it can do with a boost in some shape or form
Report pablo-fanque September 30, 2016 8:25 PM BST
they will be starting an advertising campaign for the exchange next week on sky and btsport

it's a start I guess

just need to arrange faster pictures and sort out the pricing now betfair

cheers
Report mmmalushka September 30, 2016 8:39 PM BST
I hope they warn the punters that some of them will be betting half a furlong behind the fast picture thieves.
Report pablo-fanque September 30, 2016 8:54 PM BST
mmm, why do you think betting in real time is thievery ?
Report roida September 30, 2016 10:28 PM BST
mmm wac
Report big aitch October 1, 2016 9:27 AM BST
watched dundalk last night, one horse went out to 1000 and about 8 seconds later I saw the jockey fall off, the delay is shocking.
Report Agadolphin October 1, 2016 10:34 AM BST
Like a few others on here, been hearing the death of inrunning for years. When Betfair floated it was finished, when they merged with PP it was 1.01 finished. Some yearn for the old days where they were getting lumps on when the race was all but decided.Nothing good ever lasts. Can still make same returns on here as I did 10 years ago but playing completely differently to 10 years ago.
My gripe would be not enough people with an opinion during the race and waiting for the obvious to happen before clicking.
I know I played like that.The start of a race and usually the leader will have plenty matched inrunning if you have an opinion
of how the race might pan out.Waiting for the fav to drop out the back of the tele and then wondering why you didn't get matched when trying to lay it is not a good idea.

Inrunning returns fortunes into Betfair's books so why would they want to kill it?
Report big aitch October 1, 2016 10:59 AM BST
probably by stupidy and greed
Report mmmalushka October 1, 2016 1:43 PM BST
Pablo,the dodgy live video that is provided is typically  2-5 seconds behind live and sometimes considerably more,how can you call that real time betting.
roida, you are one of the fast picture thieves placing transactions half a furlong in front of your peers when you already know the result,however you are probably better known as the DC who laid the faller at 1000 that did,nt actually fall.
Report Deltâ October 1, 2016 1:50 PM BST
Grin
Report pablo-fanque October 1, 2016 2:03 PM BST
Pablo,the dodgy live video that is provided is typically  2-5 seconds behind live and sometimes considerably more,how can you call that real time betting.

I don't .

my question to you was, how is someone that bets in real time a "fast picture thief"

?
Report mmmalushka October 1, 2016 2:19 PM BST
When the outcome of an event is already known it is no longer a wager it is in effect stealing money from your peers  who find out it has fallen half a furlong later.
Report pablo-fanque October 1, 2016 2:28 PM BST
that's not thievery , that is just betting as they see it .

would you like them to wait 5 seconds before they place there bet ?
Report Oceanfinance October 1, 2016 2:29 PM BST
some dc's lay the wrong one tho
Report mmmalushka October 1, 2016 2:37 PM BST
No pablo what I would like to see is all bets retrospectively voided on the fallen horse from the moment it falls.You never heard of the "cant win then you cant lose rule" but thats another argument.
Report dustybin October 1, 2016 2:42 PM BST
mmm
The point is if real time is natural then the delay is artificial, since its possible for all to see it at just about exactly the same time as those on course.
If companies have their own business plan to make it the way it is AND supply the opportunity why is it the responsibility of those not having the delay imposed to cater for those that do?
Report dave1357 October 1, 2016 2:43 PM BST
"cant win then you cant lose rule"

Please give me a link detailing this rule, I have never found it written down anywhere.
Report pablo-fanque October 1, 2016 2:48 PM BST
dusty sums it up .

No pablo what I would like to see is all bets retrospectively voided on the fallen horse from the moment it falls.You never heard of the "cant win then you cant lose rule" but thats another argument.

if you are p!ssed off about this situation, cancel your bets before they jump each hurdle/fence
Report Oceanfinance October 1, 2016 2:51 PM BST
what about when pulls up injured Sad
Report mmmalushka October 1, 2016 2:53 PM BST
dave1357, thats an unwritten rule between bookie and punter,perhaps Betfair should have a cant lose cant win rule!
Report roida October 1, 2016 4:32 PM BST
mmm..do you exagerate your peenis size as much as the picture speed disparity?
Report duffy October 1, 2016 8:06 PM BST
pablo-fanque
     29 Sep 16 18:55   

I saw this horse go from about 8 to 1.17 in about 1 jump on gruss and the graph showed it too 



I clicked twice for two fivers one immediately after the other yesterday and got 213/1 and 6/1
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