November handicap thought's....

.....E.W. bet(s)  in the November Handicap (15.30 Doncaster, Saturday)

Green Light  12-1 generally & Only Orsenfoolsies 25-1 generally.

      I'm not usually one for striking a bet in an anti post market so close to an overnight one being formed, but I'm of the opinion that both horses will show up on Saturday,  with more than a realistic possibility that both could be considerably shorter by the time that overnight market is formed. Another consideration is the ground, which I can only see being maintained as the soft it is already described as( going stick reading presently 6), with the prospect of further  showers / rain over Town moor very much welcomed in relation to both selections chances.

Ralph Beckett is doubly represented on Saturday, with Argus looking as strong a candidate in the 3yrold ranks as there has been for a while. That said this particular age bracket have struggled against their older adversaries in recent years, with plenty of similar improving unexposed types  being put in their respective places by their senior counterparts.  I do however like the prospects of Mr Beckett's other runner, with Green Light not that far behind his stable companion in his latest race over C/D, what, which has in  all intents and purposes turned out to be a trial for the big un, with 10 of that 11 strong field all contesting the race on Saturday. There were a couple of horses I took out of that race, as already stated Green Light, also Only Orsenfoolsies, and I'm convinced the best horse on that particular day was back in 3rd , or possibly 4th .

The visor was applied for the first time on Green Light that day, which evidently made a difference in relation to how he finished his race off . In his previous races prior to that Doncaster race he had been switched off at the rear of the field, Imo given on occasions far to much to do if truth be known.  Lto, possibly because of only a modest gallop being set by Mistiroc,  Green Light found himself more further  forward than in those recent races, looking to travel powerfully just off that gallop. It was evident that in those closing stages that whilst all around him where being vigorously ridden, as the field  crept inside the 2pole Harry Bentley looked to be swinging away with plenty of horse underneath him, sitting probably longer than ideal before forcibly  extricating his mount out behind the ruck, closing down the eventual winner Argus with each stride prior to the real estate running out. Looking at the overall profiles of both horses I'm of the opinion Green Light, at the revised weights  on Saturday should come out on top.
The other horse I took out of the Doncaster race was Only Orsenfoolsies, who on another day could have finished placed, in fact with a better tactical ride he could even have won it. He, like Green Light was stuck in behind traffic as the race developed up ahead, doing more than enough in those closing stages to suggest he would need consideration in any type of handicap Nto, especially if pace was assured.  Looking at the way he has been campaigned this season connections look like they've been waiting for a big purse  that would be contested on soft ground, in that respect the November handicap may have been the target for some time. Most of his wins and decent form  in both spheres have all came on a soft surface or worse, he also looks to get this trip particularly well, unlike plenty in the line up. P J McDonald had been originally booked to ride, which had also been the draw ( for me personally) regards his chance, but Micky Hammond has given Callum Sheppard a very big opportunity in such a prestigious terrestrial televised race, with his 7lb allowance possibly the clincher in this particular arrangement.

GL if you get involved