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swift-tuttle
10 Jul 15 14:17
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Date Joined: 22 Mar 04
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to include in a horse racing system?

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Replies: 30
By:
roida
When: 10 Jul 15 14:18
real money
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 10 Jul 15 14:19
that was a given ackshully
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 10 Jul 15 14:23
It might help if I gave an example

e.g.
Best in 3 runs = 1st
Sire win % in 1 year = 10-20%
By:
saddo
When: 10 Jul 15 14:23
Systems lack free thought and judgment, where is the fun?
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 10 Jul 15 14:24
in compiling said system and then following it
By:
Somerset Sam
When: 10 Jul 15 14:25
What jockey's wearing the prettiest colours?
or more pertinently on here
which one can I aftertime on this forum and say I laid off for a healthy profit?
By:
TRD.Racing
When: 10 Jul 15 14:26
If there was a system in the world that actually worked everyone would be doing it
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 10 Jul 15 14:26
If we get this right, it may be possible to encapsulate your racing knowledge saddo in the form of an automated procedure
By:
saddo
When: 10 Jul 15 14:29
I back horses that are better than their recent runs suggest, can't see how a system can do owt with them, staking system possibly.
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 10 Jul 15 14:30
'that are better than their recent runs suggest'

now we're getting somewhere

how do you make that decision?
By:
Cork Langer
When: 10 Jul 15 14:31
Systems are fine if that is your thing and you can maintain discipline, but they can never take on board gut instinct, which is a factor most people rely on
By:
Breedingmad
When: 10 Jul 15 14:33
Video form
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 10 Jul 15 14:34
Yes, what this is I suppose, is an attempt to procedurise gut instinct
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 10 Jul 15 14:35
good answer breedingmad but it doesn't go far enough

what are you studying the video for?
By:
Facts
When: 10 Jul 15 14:36
Won last time out and Course winner
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 10 Jul 15 14:38
wd Facts

the first clear and concise won
By:
saddo
When: 10 Jul 15 14:46
Swift Tuttle, I honestly cannot tell you. I made my brother watch the debut run of Mahdrino this morning to explain why he might have a bet on it today. He just couldn't see the same thing I did.
By:
Deltâ
When: 10 Jul 15 14:50
its a gift saddo


ya cant teach it  ...
By:
Cork Langer
When: 10 Jul 15 14:52
Whole point of a system is surely to refine it to your own individual thoughts/rules, no two people would set the exact same parameters so what is the point of canvassing others views on what is required, it needs to be tailored uniquely to your own thoughts, not a combined effort, and only you know what dictates how you make your selections.
By:
nellie1970
When: 10 Jul 15 14:53
make sure the barn is in form and the jockey is flyingWink
By:
saddo
When: 10 Jul 15 14:55
I had two in the race, delta. Stormy Atlantic was the other, crazy price so left it.
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 10 Jul 15 15:13
interesting

I accept that it may not be possible
but when you think about it, it's difficult to say exactly why it is not possible
By:
Deltâ
When: 10 Jul 15 15:14
its impossible for somewon with an accountants mind set s-t

hth
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 10 Jul 15 15:15
what about a data analyst?
By:
Deltâ
When: 10 Jul 15 15:16
less so ...
By:
kipling
When: 10 Jul 15 15:16
First and foremost is PRICE. Grin
By:
stridingedge
When: 10 Jul 15 15:24
swift

You are looking for a bias but you need enough evidence to suggest statistically that this is not a random blip from the norm.

A lot of people back fit a system with a few variables from a number of trainers and generate a decent looking sample size from cumulating many small samples, in effect all they have done is added together  a lot of probable random blips that will over time revert to the norm.

Trainers undoubtedly do follow set behaviours but i'd stick to them as individuals and you still need to have a view on any individual horse too.
By:
onlooker
When: 10 Jul 15 15:24
roida has given the best answer so far -

-  closely followed by Deltâ's 3 posts.
By:
saddo
When: 10 Jul 15 15:35
Deltâ    10 Jul 15 15:14 
its impossible for somewon with an accountants mind set s-t

hth




My brother is a mathematician. Happy
By:
Deltâ
When: 10 Jul 15 15:39
case rested!
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