There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
Hannon has done me some good in the past and I'll be hoping BEACON lights up Sandown today in the sprint.
Seems out of sorts this year but wouldn't be at all surprised by a good showing today. Seems better over 5f than 6, was hampered when running against Limato and the ground would have been too dead last time at Haydock.
Will like this rattling fast ground, has course and distance form and is definitely too big at 33-1 and 28-1.
Have a great day!
Seems out of sorts this year but wouldn't be at all surprised by a good showing today. Seems better over 5f than 6, was hampered when running against Limato and the ground would have been too dead last time at Haydock.
Will like this rattling fast ground, has course and distance form and is definitely too big at 33-1 and 28-1.
Have a great day!
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 50
|
By:
All the best crosser.
____________________________________________________________________________ Cork Langer Felt given the posts that I have read for and against said forumite, that it would be worthwhile doing a bit of research into his selections to see what the actual position is, I wish to point out that I have no affiliation with crooser, just an interest as an outside observer. So what I did was revisit his threads from January 1st this year (2015) to 30th June (2015) to see what the p/l position was based on the advised price, the BSP and the returned Industry SP, the results are as follows Advised Price Win 83.50 Advised Price Place 25.48 BSP Win 147.64 BSP Place 28.45 Industry SP Win 62.38 Industry SP Place (0.27) All the above calculated using 1 point stake win, 1 point stake place. A few facts as they will no doubt be asked Total selections - 111 Non runners - 7 Winners - 11 Places - 30 Selections since last winner - 26 So make of it what you want but given the above facts, it would be nice if those who have been quick to criticise were man enough to step forward and apologise for their misguided slatings, they all know who they are, I won't of course hold my breath, as I very much enjoy living...! |
|
By:
good luck today, keep an eye out for the storms as i can see a few going changes later in the day.
|
|
By:
Think they're well north of Sandown now though.
|
|
By:
Adult site king.
|
|
By:
Shouldn't this be in the Darts forum...
|
|
By:
Only joking
 |
|
By:
|
|
By:
no hope
|
|
By:
It's defo not gonna win.
|
|
By:
Thanks for the heads up Moneytree
|
|
By:
No chance from 12 draw finished well for 6th ish
|
|
By:
Crosser how much do you put on these? How much is left in your bank after 27 on the bounce now beat
|
|
By:
Bond, do you understand 27 losers on the bounce is normal when you bet
double figure prices yet he is still well ahead? |
|
By:
Bonds clueless.
|
|
By:
Bond, do you understand 27 losers on the bounce is normal when you bet
double figure prices Nonsense - if its then change the way you bet! |
|
By:
 puddled |
|
By:
Why is that nonsense spyker? Can you explain the mathematics behind your post please?
|
|
By:
27 is nothing, i went +75 in a day a few week ago
|
|
By:
He doesn't bet level stakes so bank could of been bust many times over the 27 losers
you numb skull |
|
By:
Just what i thought jamesdean . . .Can make no sense of that post whatsoever
|
|
By:
That doesn't surprise me
 |
|
By:
Bondy how the foo do you know how he bets???
Has he ever said or are you posting to suit your case numb skull |
|
By:
27 losers
followers broke imo confidence shot |
|
By:
he doesn't bet level stakes said himself before
stakes on the level of confidence if it's a tip |
|
By:
numb skull
Ok Bond, they casino's must be thick as feck betting 0 on their roulette tables, they must be skint if they have 27 losers on the bounce huh? Or do they bet level stakes only too...muppet |
|
By:
WAFDC ^^
|
|
By:
Well thats fair enough then bondy . . .Ever thought he may have had more on the winners?????????
For cork langers p and l on him tho it must be settled at level stakes. skullsnumb  |
|
By:
Bondy obviously doesn't have a clue. 8 years on here and still doesn't understand value.
|
|
By:
Mathematics no but quite simply if you regularly go that long in between wins then you aren't doing as well as you should be - you may still be 'up' but that's not the point. Maybe you can (mathematically) explain just how long a run is before it gets (regularly) bad please?
I've said before there are a number of factors that you need to look at when backing long odds - their likelihood to shorten, either pre race or ir, and reasons for the price being big in the first place. Some of Crosser's tips shorten but many don't and some drift so much they must be 'off'. I don't want to get in a 'He's not the messiah he's a very naughty boy' discussion as only 'crosser' knows how well he does - I'd be surprised if he only bets these horses he and his mates tip though! |
|
By:
I would be surprised if bond could tie his shoelaces unaided
|
|
By:
spyker 04 Jul 15 14:51 Joined: 09 Oct 07 | Topic/replies: 5,028 | Blogger: spyker's blog
Mathematics no but quite simply if you regularly go that long in between wins then you aren't doing as well as you should be - you may still be 'up' but that's not the point That is the only point spyker! Betting the prices crooser bets, losing runs of 20/30 are quite normal. He only needs 4 or 5 winners if that every 100 bets to be ahead. Doesn't matter if they come in the first 4 bets or after a losing run of 80, as long as they come and he's ahead longterm. |
|
By:
So how big a bank do you need to deal with this bad run then James
Another 20 losers and they funds are gone etc You need a massive bank to fund losing runs, who knows when the next will will come He also doesn't only tip 30/1 shots There has been plenty of 5/1 - 10/1 tips Use your brain numb skull |
|
By:
You forgetting the 33/1 winners and the 90+ winner he's had?
For the way he bets, you maybe need to be betting .5 each time depending on the price of each bet. You don't need a massive bank, you just need to use it wisely and bet to a structure with what you've got. I can try and explain it to you all day Bond but you'll never listen (or be a winner) as you clearly know best. |
|
By:
JD - i bet these type of prices regularly and trust me 27 losers on the bounce should not be a regular occurrence. At least if you do then more than half (many more than half really) should be much shorter s.p than when you back them and I'm to be convinced that is the case with Crosser. It's just silly to say a 50's shot will pop up eventually so that's all right - there were decent reasons for backing Glass Office (I did) and the price was silly. I was put off a bit as there was no money for it at all - these things don't happen that often and I should have had more than the £20 i had on it but thar you go.
Fair enough, follow him if you wish - though he should ignore his mates as since they started, ahem, 'advising' him he doesn't seem to be doing very well! I find it more fun to find them myself and do ok at it (not a good day today though!) He isn't the messiah - he's a............. |
|
By:
I don't see a problem with 27 losers in a row at these prices. It probably seems worse than it really is because Crooser might only post two bets some weeks, therefore it seems like his bad run goes on forever.
Spyker, if you're betting these prices then you are bound to have had longer losing runs. Could you be deluding yourself? Or do you keep records? |
|
By:
I don't follow him spyker. I'm just trying to explain value to Bond but I'd be as well giving up on that one.
It's not silly to say a 50/1 shot will just pop up, if he's betting value every time then they will pop up and he will end up in front. If you are betting the same prices as him and don't get runs of 27 losers then genuine hats off to you. Most people that bet 16's and above will have had runs on 30-40 losers on the bounce, probably more. Hugh Taylor iirc was on a run of 60+ last year yet still finishes ahead. It happens to the best of them. |
|
By:
someone should of mentioned that BEACON is a slow coach, well known speed expert told me that last year. goodluck crooser your long overdue a turn in fortunes
 . |
|
By:
Of course i have long losing runs but not of horses i think worthy of tipping on here - which is rare these days and usually I only put horses up that I'm pretty certain will shorten and are worth looking at with the future in mind. Crosser started well then these 'pals' stated to appear in his text and he's not done so well, allied to the fact that (as mentioned above) a fair number drift and obv aren't being 'backed by the owner' etc leads me to my view. Enough have run so badly that nobody that has been anywhere near that horse could tip it (unless as a lay) and i remember those as well as the odd winner.
If it was his opinion and they ran so badly then fair do's but he claims to have mates in stables all over the place. You can come to whatever conclusions you want to - the same info is there for you all! I'll leave you to it as I've said all i need to and I'm sure the saga will continue and I'm sure Crosser will tip a big price winner sometime soon and the ball can keep rolling............ |
|
By:
I detect a tad of jealousy...
|