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smartpunter
20 Jun 15 17:57
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Date Joined: 17 Jul 01
| Topic/replies: 2,272 | Blogger: smartpunter's blog
I'M over the "moon." Cheers Tom SEGAL.

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Replies: 49
By:
millhouse
When: 20 Jun 15 18:22
You should change your forum name, imo...
By:
CheltenhamRoar
When: 20 Jun 15 18:25
Evening Martyn
By:
G1_Jockey_4
When: 20 Jun 15 18:38
evening harvey
By:
crackerpants
When: 20 Jun 15 21:27
bet both the two he tipped in the 5.0 75quid ew lad brook paid 5 places layed the lot bk both win and place . only got to lay 4 places. so the 5th place on gamesome and the 5th place on watchable became a free bet so i got 75 on a 7 to 2 shot with no risk if it hadnt have come 5th , i also got 75 ew on the first at 33 to 1. layed at 20 to one . happy days
By:
Facts
When: 20 Jun 15 22:43
You're making ' pennies '. Ew betting means you're either halving your stake, or you're doubling it . Either way, long term stats prove that win only with full stake, gives bigger ROI/ profit than betting each way.
By:
dave1357
When: 20 Jun 15 22:50
utter garbage Facts
By:
Facts
When: 21 Jun 15 02:36
Why ?
By:
thegiggilo
When: 21 Jun 15 03:27
Large % of my profits are from ew multiples which I do on a daily basis..Wink
By:
crackerpants
When: 21 Jun 15 07:40
facts your a bit dissolutioned or completely ignorant there is BIG  money to be made here with tom 3 ew dobles and a ew treble yesterday made me good profit . 33 to1, 25to1, and 14 to 1, as well as betting em all and a bit of clever trading
By:
s.kenbo
When: 21 Jun 15 07:43
Facts is 100% correct, you can't back E/W without either halving, or doubling your stakes.
By:
dave1357
When: 21 Jun 15 08:21

Jun 21, 2015 -- 2:36AM, Facts wrote:


Why ?


Because there are races where the structure of the race means that the win bet isn't profitable at Betfair prices but an each way bet with a bookmaker is profitable even though the win price is lower than the betfair price.

By:
THE-GHOST-OF-DICKIE-BIRD
When: 21 Jun 15 09:01
Dirty ew thieving innitCool
By:
s.kenbo
When: 21 Jun 15 09:21
I agree with you Dave, but most of us all bet to the same point system, whether that be a pound a point or a thousand pound a point. Now we've got a race where we fancy a horse E/W, do we go 0.5 points E/W or 1 point E/W?
By:
Big_Issue
When: 21 Jun 15 09:28
The PW Sheep's new delusionary tactics, we back em each way but only when they place. Fecking laughable Laugh
By:
Facts
When: 21 Jun 15 09:29
Exactly
By:
Facts
When: 21 Jun 15 09:30
To s.kenbo
By:
Breedingmad
When: 21 Jun 15 09:47
By:
dave1357
When: 21 Jun 15 10:30
use this calculator for good ew races. It will show when the book gives a better return than bf and therefore when an EW bet is best.

http://www.sportspreadsheet.com/eachwaycalc2.html
By:
dod
When: 21 Jun 15 11:30
His p/l is based on his what he suggests as a stake very rarely does he suggest ew sounds like his followers are clutching at straws to justify his losers.
By:
boingingbaggie
When: 21 Jun 15 11:39
If you are having an each way bet you are either halving or doubling your stakes?

Never heard such rubbish in my life.

There were many bookmaking concessions which made a massive difference to betting stategy. Paying a 6th place made a huge difference to backers of Amazour, in The Britannia on Thursday, who got a 7/1 place, at early prices, in singles and multiples.

Not so big a difference as backers of Music Master found yesterday however, betting with firms paying 4 places, who got a 25/4 successful leg in their multiples, instead of a loser.

How much difference did that make to returns on investments, do you think?
By:
s.kenbo
When: 21 Jun 15 13:10
So if my normal stake is £10 win, how much should my E/W bet be?
By:
dave1357
When: 21 Jun 15 13:28
Do you mean "stake" from an optimal risk management/bankroll growth perspective or a "I bet a tenner on a race" perspective?

If the former I haven't a clue, if the latter a £5 ew

hth
By:
millhouse
When: 21 Jun 15 13:54
Not so big a difference as backers of Music Master found yesterday however, betting with firms paying 4 places, who got a 25/4 successful leg in their multiples, instead of a loser.

There ended up only 15 runners in that race.
By:
boingingbaggie
When: 21 Jun 15 13:58
Indeed there were only 15 runners; but it wasn't a handicap, so the point is irrelevant.

365 and Hills (maybe others too, I don't know) were paying four places.

Four places.
By:
cardifffc
When: 21 Jun 15 14:04
but  did tom tip them e\w..........i have seen him tip e\w.............but what about when he tips 20 losers that dont get placed.........do they just back them to win??
By:
dod
When: 21 Jun 15 14:27
EW has nothing to do with TS unless he suggests it which is very few times i believe, and if this is a new departure for his followers then how can they determine what his P/L is over season.
By:
millhouse
When: 21 Jun 15 15:01
Dod, the clueless 'followers' just want the action, without the work.

If it wasn't 'Sir Tom' it would be some other Pied Piper...
By:
s.kenbo
When: 21 Jun 15 15:05
I think we'll go with latter there Dave. Optimal risk management's a bit over my head!

Half my win stake it is then.
By:
1st time poster
When: 21 Jun 15 17:01
you cant select one horse as an example like music master to justify an ew bet it was placed ,what about the winners you,ve backed ew but have halved your stake,
ive argued it for years on here when the likes of nevo,the shoe etc say its an ew bet to nothing,they are pro punters why are they trying to get their stake back[ thats easy just dont have a bet], the hard part is finding winners without halving their value when you find one
i can understand social punters as i call them such as myself wanting a pick up, but for someone trying to make a living out of it so called ew bets to nothing must be a mugs game,doesnt matter how many get placed if there not winning you wont be winning,for years on here people say you cant even win unless your winners are at a value price never mind halving or doubling your winners,losers
By:
sugarfoot
When: 21 Jun 15 17:25
ive argued it for years on here when the likes of nevo,the shoe etc say its an ew bet to nothing,they are pro punters why are they trying to get their stake back[ thats easy just dont have a bet], the hard part is finding winners without halving their value when you find one

I think their argument is based more on smoothing out the P&L and avoiding big drawdowns  It's no good hoping for a bigger payout if you can't stay at the table
By:
sugarfoot
When: 21 Jun 15 17:27
in investment terms, you would just say ew-to-nothing has a higher Sharpe ratio than win only and that would be the end of the discussion
By:
THE-GHOST-OF-DICKIE-BIRD
When: 21 Jun 15 17:27
Ive had some vino but i will av a good read of this when the mists clearCool
By:
cardifffc
When: 21 Jun 15 17:28
sugarfoot..................who trained sugarfoot?.........tinkler?
By:
1st time poster
When: 21 Jun 15 17:31
remember that sugarfoot,
we were all crowded round a tv at york on magnet cup day when sugarfoot was running in that good mile race at ascot on the same day
By:
dod
When: 21 Jun 15 17:36
It was N Tinkler used to have shares in horses with him once upon a lifetime ago
By:
boingingbaggie
When: 21 Jun 15 18:41
Not selecting one horse, as evidence; but the circumstance in which it became a great bet, each way.

I am astounded that there are so many posters who appear to search for the best available price, but can't be arsed looking for the best circumstances in which, and where, to place a bet on it....

And then, for example, having the gall to say an each way bet is either half your biscuit, or two of them; in a my way, or no way, exposé of their approach to betting.
By:
homefortea
When: 21 Jun 15 19:13
http://www.sportspreadsheet.com/eachwaycalc2.html

Feck me that has to be the worst ever website - I can calculate quicker in my head Dave 123489..

As regards backing horses ALWAYS back the creatures each-way and look for value..

If you can get 25/1 with four places then you are a mug to back the same horse at 20/1 with five though in say a 26 runner handicap..

Those alleged "Bookmakers" have to make their margins somehow ...
By:
homefortea
When: 21 Jun 15 19:20
Bet win only in a Lucky 15..

If you can get triple the odds one winner then you cannot lose in the long run..

My local shop was 4 times a winner at Royal Ascot(and seemingly all other races) and guaranteed odds...

Trouble was that they were not competitive odds but you can take the sp...
By:
Facts
When: 21 Jun 15 20:16
boingingbaggie     21 Jun 15 18:41 
Not selecting one horse, as evidence; but the circumstance in which it became a great bet, each way.

I am astounded that there are so many posters who appear to search for the best available price, but can't be arsed looking for the best circumstances in which, and where, to place a bet on it....

And then, for example, having the gall to say an each way bet is either half your biscuit, or two of them; in a my way, or no way, exposé of their approach to betting.



Dave 1357 answered s.kenbo's  question. ......' If £10 win is my bet, what would the stake be if the bet was each way.? ...'
With the statement it would be £5 ew.
If that became the strategy to use , I can tell you over the long term , you would make less profit, than betting to win only ( £10)

You may think that's rubbish. But I have at least 8 years evidence that proves otherwise,
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