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2xpensive
14 Jun 15 19:42
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Date Joined: 17 Oct 06
| Topic/replies: 629 | Blogger: 2xpensive's blog
for atleast 10 favs winning throughout Ascot?? I have put a request in with Billys & Korals.. Sky are offering 100/1 for there not to be any favs winning which I think is a bit poor value tbh should be more like a 1000/1 right?
Pause Switch to Standard View what price do you think i'll get
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Report s.kenbo June 14, 2015 7:50 PM BST
Roughly 30 races, if faves win 33% of the time then you'd expect about 10 to win. The odds would be poor imo.
Report 2xpensive June 14, 2015 7:51 PM BST
how poor?
Report s.kenbo June 14, 2015 7:52 PM BST
I have no idea to be honest, I'd guess an Evens shot but I could be way out.
Report 2xpensive June 14, 2015 7:58 PM BST
yes be interesting to see what price they offer if they even offer it to me... i wouldn't play at EVS mind..
Report 2xpensive June 14, 2015 8:02 PM BST
Betfair
Report Facts June 14, 2015 8:05 PM BST
Better return if you back the favourite in every race as a single win.imo
Report 2xpensive June 14, 2015 8:07 PM BST
Im looking to place a large stake on an overall price.
Report s.kenbo June 14, 2015 8:16 PM BST
I was thinking along the same kind of lines Facts.

What price would you like to get?
Report 2xpensive June 14, 2015 8:24 PM BST
a few/1 i guess.. but maybe im way off..
Report s.kenbo June 14, 2015 8:30 PM BST
I can't see happening. I'd guess you'd have to go up/down with the faves for a bigger price. eg, 7 or under or 13 or over.
Report 2xpensive June 14, 2015 8:32 PM BST
that has been on my mind.. eg going for more than 15
Report s.kenbo June 14, 2015 8:40 PM BST
That should be a good price, three winning faves a day on average. It'd take some doing I think.
Report marko69 June 14, 2015 8:41 PM BST
favs around 27%

6f races very profitable for favs
Report Facts June 14, 2015 8:43 PM BST
Half the races being won by Fav ? I think not !
Report 2xpensive June 14, 2015 8:46 PM BST

Jun 14, 2015 -- 8:43PM, Facts wrote:


Half the races being won by Fav ? I think not !


agree

Report marko69 June 14, 2015 8:51 PM BST
handicap races only around 13%

4yo awful

Not run for 3 months+ awful
Report s.kenbo June 14, 2015 8:59 PM BST
What would the fair number be then Marko for a 3/1 shot?
Report s.kenbo June 14, 2015 9:00 PM BST
winning faves that is. ^^
Report marko69 June 14, 2015 9:03 PM BST
Just over 24%
Report The Wizard Of Oz June 14, 2015 9:04 PM BST
Loads of shorties this week though compared to normal Royal Ascot meets
Report s.kenbo June 14, 2015 9:06 PM BST
So you think over 7 winning faves should be 3/1? I'd say that's way off.
Report marko69 June 14, 2015 9:13 PM BST
kenbo, ah, the 24% is for a 3-1 shot winning not the amount of 3-1 shots
Report marko69 June 14, 2015 9:17 PM BST
5F races - Lay

6F races - Back

4yo fav - Lay


See how above pans out next week
Report s.kenbo June 14, 2015 9:26 PM BST
Ok. How many faves do you think will win, I'm playing the averages and saying 10.
Report marko69 June 14, 2015 9:36 PM BST
Seems to be a number of sure things, if they win then yes a good chance of a few going in, would need to go through the cards but your 10 shouldn't be far off.....
Report gnashersblackpool June 14, 2015 10:24 PM BST
also depends how u define a jt fav[placepot style] or any jt fav counts as a full win.
Report onlooker June 14, 2015 10:51 PM BST
^ Surely - NEITHER, of those - in any sensible betting structure.
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