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2xpensive
14 Jun 15 19:42
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Date Joined: 17 Oct 06
| Topic/replies: 629 | Blogger: 2xpensive's blog
for atleast 10 favs winning throughout Ascot?? I have put a request in with Billys & Korals.. Sky are offering 100/1 for there not to be any favs winning which I think is a bit poor value tbh should be more like a 1000/1 right?

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Replies: 27
By:
s.kenbo
When: 14 Jun 15 19:50
Roughly 30 races, if faves win 33% of the time then you'd expect about 10 to win. The odds would be poor imo.
By:
2xpensive
When: 14 Jun 15 19:51
how poor?
By:
s.kenbo
When: 14 Jun 15 19:52
I have no idea to be honest, I'd guess an Evens shot but I could be way out.
By:
2xpensive
When: 14 Jun 15 19:58
yes be interesting to see what price they offer if they even offer it to me... i wouldn't play at EVS mind..
By:
2xpensive
When: 14 Jun 15 20:02
Betfair
By:
Facts
When: 14 Jun 15 20:05
Better return if you back the favourite in every race as a single win.imo
By:
2xpensive
When: 14 Jun 15 20:07
Im looking to place a large stake on an overall price.
By:
s.kenbo
When: 14 Jun 15 20:16
I was thinking along the same kind of lines Facts.

What price would you like to get?
By:
2xpensive
When: 14 Jun 15 20:24
a few/1 i guess.. but maybe im way off..
By:
s.kenbo
When: 14 Jun 15 20:30
I can't see happening. I'd guess you'd have to go up/down with the faves for a bigger price. eg, 7 or under or 13 or over.
By:
2xpensive
When: 14 Jun 15 20:32
that has been on my mind.. eg going for more than 15
By:
s.kenbo
When: 14 Jun 15 20:40
That should be a good price, three winning faves a day on average. It'd take some doing I think.
By:
marko69
When: 14 Jun 15 20:41
favs around 27%

6f races very profitable for favs
By:
Facts
When: 14 Jun 15 20:43
Half the races being won by Fav ? I think not !
By:
2xpensive
When: 14 Jun 15 20:46

Jun 14, 2015 -- 8:43PM, Facts wrote:


Half the races being won by Fav ? I think not !


agree

By:
marko69
When: 14 Jun 15 20:51
handicap races only around 13%

4yo awful

Not run for 3 months+ awful
By:
s.kenbo
When: 14 Jun 15 20:59
What would the fair number be then Marko for a 3/1 shot?
By:
s.kenbo
When: 14 Jun 15 21:00
winning faves that is. ^^
By:
marko69
When: 14 Jun 15 21:03
Just over 24%
By:
The Wizard Of Oz
When: 14 Jun 15 21:04
Loads of shorties this week though compared to normal Royal Ascot meets
By:
s.kenbo
When: 14 Jun 15 21:06
So you think over 7 winning faves should be 3/1? I'd say that's way off.
By:
marko69
When: 14 Jun 15 21:13
kenbo, ah, the 24% is for a 3-1 shot winning not the amount of 3-1 shots
By:
marko69
When: 14 Jun 15 21:17
5F races - Lay

6F races - Back

4yo fav - Lay


See how above pans out next week
By:
s.kenbo
When: 14 Jun 15 21:26
Ok. How many faves do you think will win, I'm playing the averages and saying 10.
By:
marko69
When: 14 Jun 15 21:36
Seems to be a number of sure things, if they win then yes a good chance of a few going in, would need to go through the cards but your 10 shouldn't be far off.....
By:
gnashersblackpool
When: 14 Jun 15 22:24
also depends how u define a jt fav[placepot style] or any jt fav counts as a full win.
By:
onlooker
When: 14 Jun 15 22:51
^ Surely - NEITHER, of those - in any sensible betting structure.
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