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Roughly 30 races, if faves win 33% of the time then you'd expect about 10 to win. The odds would be poor imo.
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how poor?
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I have no idea to be honest, I'd guess an Evens shot but I could be way out.
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yes be interesting to see what price they offer if they even offer it to me... i wouldn't play at EVS mind..
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Betfair
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Better return if you back the favourite in every race as a single win.imo
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Im looking to place a large stake on an overall price.
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I was thinking along the same kind of lines Facts.
What price would you like to get? |
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a few/1 i guess.. but maybe im way off..
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I can't see happening. I'd guess you'd have to go up/down with the faves for a bigger price. eg, 7 or under or 13 or over.
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that has been on my mind.. eg going for more than 15
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That should be a good price, three winning faves a day on average. It'd take some doing I think.
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favs around 27%
6f races very profitable for favs |
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Half the races being won by Fav ? I think not !
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handicap races only around 13%
4yo awful Not run for 3 months+ awful |
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What would the fair number be then Marko for a 3/1 shot?
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winning faves that is. ^^
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Just over 24%
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Loads of shorties this week though compared to normal Royal Ascot meets
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So you think over 7 winning faves should be 3/1? I'd say that's way off.
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kenbo, ah, the 24% is for a 3-1 shot winning not the amount of 3-1 shots
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5F races - Lay
6F races - Back 4yo fav - Lay See how above pans out next week |
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Ok. How many faves do you think will win, I'm playing the averages and saying 10.
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Seems to be a number of sure things, if they win then yes a good chance of a few going in, would need to go through the cards but your 10 shouldn't be far off.....
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also depends how u define a jt fav[placepot style] or any jt fav counts as a full win.
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^ Surely - NEITHER, of those - in any sensible betting structure.
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