Today's out of the ballpark guess 3/6/2015

All bets settled at BFSP with 5% commission deducted from any winnings:
Running P/L: +15.3

A P/L will also be kept at the early odds that were generally available:
Running P/L: +19

Today's guess:
Blues Dancer, 1pt EW, 3.40 Ling

Positives:

Full brother to the useful Norse Blues (who has died according to the RP site ), who caught the eye with the way he travelled on his debut at Windsor last August, before running green and then going on at the finish, eased once the first 2 could not be caught.

That might have been a weak maiden, but the winner was gone to race in America, and the second has since won a handicap off 69, making BD look feasibly handicapped off 57.

Possible to excuse his comeback run on account of the firm ground at Bath, and has been given a short break to recover from that run.

Negatives

Has shown the total sum of zilch in 3 runs since his encouraging debut.

That debut was on soft, that shocker at Bath was on firm, so obviously drying ground a concern.

Although he looked green on debut, it might have been temperament.

Currently trading at 34, with 33-1 available.

Date	Horse	Stake	BFSP	Fin Pos	P/L	Running P / L	Early price	P / L	Running P/L
30/05/2015	Beedee	1ew	18	0	-2	-2	21	-2	-2
31/05/2015	Ya Halla	1ew	20.12 & 4.31	1	21.3	19.3	21	25	23
01/06/2015	Playboy Bay	1ew	38	0	-2	17.3	34	-2	21
03/06/2015	Juventas	1ew	74.8	0	-2	15.3	34	-2	19