Today's out of the ballbark GUESS 3/6/2015

All bets settled at BFSP with 5% commission deducted from any winnings:
Running P/L: +17.3

A P/L will also be kept at the early odds that were generally available:
Running P/L: +21

Today's guess:

Juventus, 3.20 Nott, 1pt EW

Positives:
Considering her relatively stout breeding, made a promising start as a 2YO, catching the eye over 5f at Ponte before winning a 6f Newmarket maiden.

She has been relatively highly tried since and today's race looks her most realistic opportunity since.

She has been dropped 6lb from her initial mark.

Negatives:
The one time she ran in a handicap she was heavily beaten (albeit quick ground at Ascot might not have suited and subsequent absence could suggest something was amiss that day).

Tendency to race keenly a worry, and she is drawn wide today.

She has yet to prove that she has trained on.

Currently trading at around 40 and generally a 33-1 poke.

Date	Horse	Stake	BFSP	Fin Pos	P/L	Running P / L	Early price	P / L	Running P/L
30/05/2015	Beedee	1ew	18	0	-2	-2	21	-2	-2
31/05/2015	Ya Halla	1ew	20.12 & 4.31	1	21.3	19.3	21	25	23
01/06/2015	Playboy Bay	1ew	38	0	19.3	17.3	34	-2	21