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Swardean
13 May 15 21:40
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Date Joined: 06 May 10
| Topic/replies: 16,280 | Blogger: Swardean's blog
Not really one for the flat, but there is a horse running tomorrow at a York that I think merits closer inspection.   FENDALE is the horse.  Made a great start as a 2yo winning its first two and then it seems to lose its form.   However there were valid excuses for all those defeats.  A York, it banged itself coming out of the stalls.   It should of won at Ayr, but had a nightmare passage (or terrible ride), depending on your point of view.   The going  turned soft at Newmarket, so its last run can be dismissed.

Had it won the race it should, it would easily be rated 100+ and that would put him right in the mix in this race.   It can be backed at 25/1 (generally) and couple of books going 1/4 odds.

Tomorrow, should have ground, trip to suit and trainer banged in a couple of winners already.   I'm no crooser, but fingers crossed I get a decent run for my money.   Any thoughts on this race or the rest of the card?
Pause Switch to Standard View York Thoughts for tomorrow.
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Report GT May 13, 2015 11:08 PM BST
In the first race I like Monsieur Joe last years winner, should be in amongst it with graham Lee on board, was pulled out last weekend I think and seems laid out for this..14-1 seems generous.

The trends etc point on a couple of outsiders being worth taking a chance on also burning thread and judge n jury. The latter has a fine record in this race apart from the draw scuppering his chances last year.
Report metro john May 14, 2015 5:34 AM BST
2:10 - Remain undecided between Perfect Pasture and See The sun , must bet both.
2:40 - Fillies be the death of me, but Ribbons will like the gd/sft ground, no easy task.would rather watch and enjoy.
3:15 - Jack Hobbs I hope will have enough too see off Elm Park.
3:45 - Difficult to enthuse, I like Yourartisonfire for a place.
4:20 - Could see Fast Act bouncing back into some form.
4:50 - Guessing with Munira Eyes
5;20  - Steve Rogers improving fast , unexposed profile wins the day for me, ground a problem?
Report mange May 14, 2015 6:59 AM BST
Im wiv U GT + Prince of J 3.45 & Dr Irv 5.20 To put up a show............
Report metro john May 14, 2015 7:11 AM BST
I can't for the life of me see Dr irv getting involved. but good luck.
Report Swardean May 14, 2015 7:30 AM BST
Unoriginal but think the only other bet I will have on the card if Bragging.  Looks progressive to me.

Good luck everyone with yours!
Report mange May 14, 2015 7:32 AM BST
Was 5th last yr John off a slightly higher mark not beat far & this ground will suit better///////////E.W.perms.......G.L. M8
Report Swardean May 14, 2015 7:51 AM BST
Nor really looked at that race mange.. will take a look after breakfast
Report Breedingmad May 14, 2015 7:52 AM BST
I have been looking at Dr Irv too, think it may get a place but can't have it for a
win in class 3 .Mawaqueet could go well at a price,GL
Report metro john May 14, 2015 10:19 AM BST
interesting mange, missed that. good luck
Report metro john May 14, 2015 10:25 AM BST
I have tried very hard to stay quiet about the AOB runners, but it's about time the official had a word,about the state some of their better sorts run(or don't). It was shocking OMR last time , I recall others in previous years not performing in the same way. They never come back the same. (good that's off my chest)
Report Breedingmad May 14, 2015 10:32 AM BST
When they run that bad it makes you wonder whether they had been got at by someone
as a run like that made it look like a 30 rated horse..
Report metro john May 14, 2015 10:33 AM BST
watch this agian, running just a few weeks later ffs - https://youtu.be/jPt9DA26m-A
Report Johnny_Mustang May 14, 2015 10:38 AM BST
I'm sorry but that is just plain idiotic conjecture. Why would they want OMR to tail off in the Guineas? They're in the business of making stallions.
Report metro john May 14, 2015 11:02 AM BST
Why run it a few weeks later johnny? is that not idiotic?
Report metro john May 14, 2015 11:07 AM BST
I can't imagine Henry Cecil or Michael Stoute, every running something like this just a few weeks later having never been able too get involved off a reasonable pace, it would have reflected badly on the stable or horse.
Report Johnny_Mustang May 14, 2015 11:11 AM BST
He was beaten too far out in the Guineas John. They clearly think he's back to form otherwise they wouldn't run today.
Report metro john May 14, 2015 11:18 AM BST
Good judges.Happy
Report metro john May 14, 2015 11:31 AM BST
Similar sort too Kingsbarns then.(all is not lost)
Report Swardean May 14, 2015 11:36 AM BST
I remember backing Power in the english 200gns.   Finished last beaten about 40 lengths.   3 weeks later the same horse came out and won the Irish 2000gns.  I was both miffed and perplexed.
Report metro john May 14, 2015 11:39 AM BST
Swardean competition was hot too finish last in that race(he lost)
Report metro john May 14, 2015 11:41 AM BST
If this wins today, they weill have too fetch me in a straight jacket, get the prozac readyGrin
Report CheltenhamRoar May 14, 2015 11:44 AM BST
When something is too good (or bad in this case) to be true,Then it usually is,
OLM and JFK were beaten far too much for their for to be remotely believable,
Expect much better from both today.
Report CheltenhamRoar May 14, 2015 11:45 AM BST
*Form
Report Big_Issue May 14, 2015 1:18 PM BST
Sir Mark likes the adage, if they run too bad to be true, simply run them again in 3 weeks time, then re-assess where you are with them.
Report metro john May 14, 2015 1:19 PM BST
Some good trainers on the flaps alsoLaugh
Report mange May 14, 2015 6:20 PM BST
Propper thread......................
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