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EastLower Gooner
02 May 15 18:50
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Date Joined: 09 Mar 04
| Topic/replies: 19,587 | Blogger: EastLower Gooner's blog
Would appear to be an above average crop this year.

American Pharoh was explosive in the Arkansas, Dortmund is a pure monster who should be joint fav for me, Firing Line oozed class last time at Sunland, Carpe Diem is an out and out Giants Causeway...then you got the likes of International Star and the Florida Derby winner Materialiality.

Splendid line up.

settled on Frosted for Godolphin, Keiran McLaughlin and Joel Rosario.

A lot was expected him this year but first run in the Fountain of Youth went from stunning to total disaster in a matter of strides...was absolutely cantering all over the likes of Upstart, kick clear turning for home but just stopped...

McLaughlin took him away, had him checked out, gave him the Paul Nicholls special (wind op) and boom....back on the Derby trail.

Ever since that he's been brilliant in his work outs and scored a fine win in the Wood Memorial last time out...picking up nicely from behind off a slow pace to score easily.

Been great since....think he ticks a lot of boxes.

breeding - check
distance - check
Class - check
Speed - check...his figures are up ther with Dortmund and AP
Jockey - check won the KD on Orb
versatility - check will be able to adapt quickly to whatever happens tonight.

Like this fella vs the hot pots....16/1 eachway 4places will do for me.
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Report Biscar Two from a mile back May 2, 2015 6:52 PM BST
gl
Report themightymac May 2, 2015 6:54 PM BST
The Kentucky humorist, Irvin S. Cobb, from Paducah, said it best, “Until you go to Kentucky and with your eyes behold the Derby, you ain’t never been nowhere and you ain’t never seen nothin’.”
Report themightymac May 2, 2015 6:54 PM BST
I`ve been Cool
Report zilzal1 May 2, 2015 6:56 PM BST
Any links tonight..wife has telly..  Sad
Report Angela Rebecchi May 2, 2015 6:59 PM BST
What race is it on betfair, can't find it. Want to back Dortmund.
Report Life-Lucky May 2, 2015 7:06 PM BST
I put a score on the Pharoah a week or two back at 9/2. Not getting excited though. I know virtually nothing about US racing and it does look a very competitive race.
Report elise May 2, 2015 7:08 PM BST
not on betfair, reg books or daq
Report elise May 2, 2015 7:09 PM BST
as in the exchange i should say, you will find it on sportsbook tho
Report Angela Rebecchi May 2, 2015 7:09 PM BST
Why is such a big race not on Betfair?!
Report elise May 2, 2015 7:11 PM BST
they don't have the rights to cover certain tracks, churchill is one of them
Report Angela Rebecchi May 2, 2015 7:11 PM BST
Thanks elise.
Report elise May 2, 2015 7:12 PM BST
pay the fee and stick the market up is what everyone wants
Report EastLower Gooner May 2, 2015 7:12 PM BST
But the do have the right to annoy us with a distance market  Laugh
Report elise May 2, 2015 7:14 PM BST
taking the pish with those elg, if someone comes in from the pub half cut they might take a fiver
Report elise May 2, 2015 7:24 PM BST
shortlisted 3 ...

dortmund
firing line
mubtaahij

hard to oppose ap after following his build up, carpe diem i also like but stick with dortmund and a couple of bigger prices to box up in fc & tris
Report marve May 2, 2015 7:40 PM BST
american pharaoh has been hyped, but the hype could well be right

the horse is always forwardly placed in his races, and as he is drawn wide he has to go forward, if the speed is not too harsh then he could get a could trip
Report georgebakerfanclub May 2, 2015 7:41 PM BST
Firing Line for me, connections very hopefulWink
Report unclepuncle May 2, 2015 7:49 PM BST
Carpe Diem (11/1) and Frosted (16/1) for me.
Report jonjon May 2, 2015 7:56 PM BST
How amazing would it be too see Soumy swinging off the home turn on Mubtaahij??

Its always a fascinating race and really captures the imagination and id love to see this boy make a dent tonight...

cant honestly see it but posted ok and danced on the pseudo dirt at meydan..

ya just never know..

Darley brochure printing headquarters will probably explode if he does.. be some result for Dubawi
Report themightymac May 2, 2015 8:03 PM BST
ZILZAL

http://livetv.sx/en/allupcoming/

Kentucky Derby listed under equestrian events on right of page. If it doesn`t show at first, click on broadcasts on banner at top of page and it should then show.
Report zilzal1 May 2, 2015 8:15 PM BST
Cheers
Report marve May 2, 2015 8:26 PM BST
jonjon, mike de kock deserves a big race international winner, feels like nobody apart from south africa and dubai really knows about him, he is top quality in my opinion
Report Ibrahima Sonko May 2, 2015 8:29 PM BST
Dortmund looks well ahead on the clock,  ew bet for me.
Report Ibrahima Sonko May 2, 2015 8:30 PM BST
(well apart from the fav)
Report elise May 2, 2015 8:30 PM BST
derby card if anyone wants it;
.
http://www.brisnet.com/brisnet_promos/KentuckyDerby15.pdf
Report marve May 2, 2015 8:39 PM BST
are atr showing it? they have churchill now but does it not include triple crown etc
Report Racingqueen May 2, 2015 8:54 PM BST
a truly great moment in racing from 1990 Happy

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DALcbYxWeO4
Report roggrain May 2, 2015 9:26 PM BST
RUK have exclusive Marve. Otherwise you can watch the replay, 20-30 mins after the race,at Churchill Downs's website.
Report breadnbutter May 2, 2015 9:39 PM BST
Agree Dortmund looked the part last time i seen him but would worry he might have peaked and what he has really beat  , not sure about Frosted ,interesting and could have the scope but may need well need further ,i have backed Mubtaahij and think the race will be run to suit but he could easily be destroyed by  American Pharoah ,who looks a typical big flat track bully who should be too good for the other ftb,s ,Carp Diem and Dortmund ,maybe Mubtaahij will get a tow into the race by then and go on and stuff the  Pharoah late on  , but American Pharoah looks a worthy fav and the one to beat imo .

but i have been wrong before ....once ......or thrice  or so Wink

no kentucky derby thread is complete without this     .       https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hv8x9x5A49s      .Laugh
Report roggrain May 2, 2015 9:48 PM BST
One of the most competitive Derbys in a long time. I looked at replays of the latest starts of Carpe,

Frosted,Pharoah,Dortmund and International. They all raced at 10 furlongs and all ran fast times.

The odd thing is that I felt I was watching the same horse in each race,although Dortmund is a monster

of a horse.

Then there's the unbeaten Pletcher runner Materiality and the unknown quantity of Mubtaahij.

I've settled on Carpe,Dort.and Material.

Yes ,pharoah can win but I see no value in his price given the wide draw and the fact that there's a lot

of genuine speed inside of him.Frosted comes from mid pack which could also see him wide but he's a much

better price and versatile,so I wouldn't put anyone off betting him.

Trip is going to be crucial.
Report ThunderRoad May 2, 2015 9:52 PM BST
I fancy Frosted too. Did well to win from his position LTO. Will get a much stronger pace to aim at here - will be moving up steadily from the back and could easily get there.

American Pharoah could be a monster though.
Report G1_Jockey_4 May 2, 2015 10:06 PM BST
the race is on the daq but not in running....
Report EastLower Gooner May 2, 2015 10:15 PM BST
if Carpe Diem won the the Derby winner would be by Giants Causeway and the Guineas winner out of his full sister YoureSoThrilling :o
Report EastLower Gooner May 2, 2015 10:17 PM BST
I was tempted by Mubtahij but I'd rather not chance Soumillon ruining my weekend :o good luck to team De Kock though.
Report EastLower Gooner May 2, 2015 10:19 PM BST
read the pedigree analysis on blood horse and they talked up BOLO.

Turf horse but dynamormer on top with the dam a half sister to Mind that Bird and Dullahan (3rd in the KD).
Report Try My Best May 2, 2015 10:26 PM BST
American Pharaoh with Upstart the danger.
Report EastLower Gooner May 2, 2015 10:28 PM BST
That owner is pretty fked up if he's supporting both Bayern and Dortmund....good egg mind....
Report Princes Purple Guitar May 2, 2015 10:50 PM BST
i have looked at a lot of you tube etc and i have a feeling Mr.Z will run into a place at huge odds or even cause a huge upset, beaten by a fair few of these but i think the peak is tonight. International Star a NR, as is Stanford, Tale of Verse and El Kabeir

had a saver on OP Godolphin beast

gl all
Report gm10 May 2, 2015 10:54 PM BST
Danzig Moon for me ... http://www.latekick.com/special-events/kentucky-derby-2015.aspx
Report Mooono May 2, 2015 11:01 PM BST
More chance of a knockout here than in the pac/mayweather fight, itsaknockout 66/1 & beastmund for me
Report breadnbutter May 2, 2015 11:08 PM BST
had a look at that link gm10 ...on Mubtaahij


Made an abolutely mockery of the field in the G2 UAE Derby. The problem with this horse is that he has never even come close to chasing Derby-like early fractions. He'll be 15 lengths behind after two furlongs if he goes the pace he's been used to. He's taking a step into the unknown here.

LaughLaughLaugh
Report Princes Purple Guitar May 2, 2015 11:10 PM BST
anyone have a link please, my BT is being very annoying as usual

wish i stuck with Sky Cry
Report triumphoragony May 2, 2015 11:15 PM BST
Looks like the Americans have their own gok wan Scared
Report EastLower Gooner May 2, 2015 11:16 PM BST
Soumillon looks like a giant amongst the yank jocks :o
Report EastLower Gooner May 2, 2015 11:16 PM BST
Was that shouty doing an advert for KFC on nbc? Wow.
Report Angela Rebecchi May 2, 2015 11:17 PM BST
Is there any way to bet into the US pools?
Report G1_Jockey_4 May 2, 2015 11:21 PM BST
got an odd record in this race over the years.....remember backing thunder gulch i think years back at about 20-1....also funny cide won for me.

never won the guineas though...

so here goes.

firing line
Report breadnbutter May 2, 2015 11:22 PM BST
was thinking the same Angela ,shame we cant have a go at some of the pools ,access to some of the exotics would be nice  .. a downright disgrace .
Report breadnbutter May 2, 2015 11:23 PM BST
you get that PM purple ?
Report Racingqueen May 2, 2015 11:28 PM BST
What fantastic fanfare....in uk they'd get baldfred to sing f**king national anthem
Report Princes Purple Guitar May 2, 2015 11:30 PM BST
thanks mate - really appreciate that (breadnbutter)
Report cedarmaster May 2, 2015 11:34 PM BST
materiality e/w for me
Report cedarmaster May 2, 2015 11:38 PM BST
attendance 170,000 wow
Report EastLower Gooner May 2, 2015 11:45 PM BST
America Pharoh
firing Line
Dortmund
firing Line
Report elise May 2, 2015 11:46 PM BST
did it from 3/4 wide on the turn so well deserved & gutsy, they all had a fair crack so a worthy winner
Report EastLower Gooner May 2, 2015 11:46 PM BST
Frosted 4th
Report cedarmaster May 2, 2015 11:46 PM BST
1st American Pharoah
2nd Firing Line
3rd Dortmund
4th Frosted

very uneventful race, front 3 made running nothing else got involved, Frosted finished late
Report Patented May 2, 2015 11:46 PM BST
ATR showing it?
Report dave1357 May 2, 2015 11:47 PM BST
ruk logo right on top of the sectional timing clock utter f'ing w'ers
Report EastLower Gooner May 2, 2015 11:47 PM BST
They did the half mile in 47
Report ThunderRoad May 2, 2015 11:48 PM BST
Was very brave the winner.

Frosting closing too late, had they gone a second quicker at halfway, he'd have gone extremely close. Pace was average to slow.
Report EastLower Gooner May 2, 2015 11:48 PM BST
Got kind of excited when Joel set Frosted loose and made up 10lengths on that lot....
Report marve May 2, 2015 11:50 PM BST
espinoza made that look hard, he should have taken a pull instead of going soooo wide on bend
Report Oldgit1 May 3, 2015 2:46 PM BST
How many days holiday would Victor Espinoza have got for his whip use over here?
Report alun2005 May 3, 2015 3:06 PM BST
Horrible.
Report tashkent terror May 3, 2015 3:31 PM BST
they don't "whip" them over there...it's more like hacking, brutal and barbaric at times.
Report Oldgit1 May 3, 2015 11:11 PM BST
The first time I went racing in America to the Preakness in 1981 I was totally shocked by the whip use in every race. The Aussies were at one time as bad.
Report Oldgit1 May 3, 2015 11:16 PM BST
Quote from an America racing friend.
I was a bit more concerned with Gary Stevens sending Firing Line too early. He started the move right at the turn into the top of the stretch. He should have started deep to mid-stretch. I don't see a Triple Crown here. The winner had all he could do get the lead, lose it and regain it for the win at 1 1/4 miles. The Preakness is 1 3/16 and could set up nicely for Firing Line.
Materiality will probably not blow the start there as he did here and having to pass 11 horses in the final quarter.
Report marve May 4, 2015 12:17 AM BST
I firmly believe American pharoah will win the Preakness, Espinoza had him far too wide and made a stupid run around the final bend, the horse has too much speed and will likely not get home in the Belmont

The one thing America needs to do is reduce the maximum field to like 15, them gates are not even lined up straight at the beginning, low draws have so much advantage it I untrue, Dortmund and firing line were drawn 8 and 10, late finishing frosted drawn 15
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