The thing I am starting to learn is when there aren't any truly top class horses in the division, the handicappers and the slowboats more often than not get involved and the form gets turned upside down all the time.
Now take nothing away from Road to Riches who is more than a handicapper now but he started the season with that kind of profile (didn't stand out as a novice, running in a Galway Plate in July).
Sam Winner is probably somewhere round G3 level and On His Own no offence intended is only a handicapper.
So all in all it's very hard to quanitfy these staying chases. Silviniaco Conti looks the best around, Road to Riches is a massive improver, Bobs Worth is looking like he mioght have regressed, Lord Windermere - one hit wonder maybe?
The thing I am starting to learn is when there aren't any truly top class horses in the division, the handicappers and the slowboats more often than not get involved and the form gets turned upside down all the time.Now take nothing away from Road to
considering his injury and the difference between his 1st 2 runs last year,the way he came home from the last today i wouldnt be given up just yet on bobs worth especialy given the yards form,bg was never given it a really hard time today which is what the horse needs
considering his injury and the difference between his 1st 2 runs last year,the way he came home from the last today i wouldnt be given up just yet on bobs worth especialy given the yards form,bg was never given it a really hard time today which is wh
Many view Leopardstown as a good indicator of Chelt form. Left handed, fast draining and with a longish, uphill run in. Probably the most similar track to Chelt that Ireland has to offer.
Many view Leopardstown as a good indicator of Chelt form. Left handed, fast draining and with a longish, uphill run in. Probably the most similar track to Chelt that Ireland has to offer.
Glossy, I was thinking more about the longer trip and the undulations - most Gold Cups turn into absolute wars of attrition, which obviously suits some horses more than others...
Glossy, I was thinking more about the longer trip and the undulations - most Gold Cups turn into absolute wars of attrition, which obviously suits some horses more than others...
I agree with you - he's got a great profile for the race, imo.
Actually, having checked previous winners, this race has been quite a good guide for the Gold Cup - Imperial Call, Best Mate, Denman, Synchronised, Bobs Worth have all won it (though not all in the same year as they won the Gold Cup)...
I agree with you - he's got a great profile for the race, imo.Actually, having checked previous winners, this race has been quite a good guide for the Gold Cup - Imperial Call, Best Mate, Denman, Synchronised, Bobs Worth have all won it (though not a
Even with the unanswered questions about track and extended trip, for a multiple Grade One winner, on a roll, that's just beaten the last two Gold Cup winners, and last year's second, 10-1 is a great price, imho...
Even with the unanswered questions about track and extended trip, for a multiple Grade One winner, on a roll, that's just beaten the last two Gold Cup winners, and last year's second, 10-1 is a great price, imho...
Agree that quality in the division is not great. R2R very impressive, will be even better on better ground (was tacky as today). Other will improve more IMO - Too hard on Lord and Bobs - 12 lengths separating them from winner at this time of year...
Agree that quality in the division is not great. R2R very impressive, will be even better on better ground (was tacky as today). Other will improve more IMO - Too hard on Lord and Bobs - 12 lengths separating them from winner at this time of year...
12 lengths on that ground - Wouldn't think so IMO. Not entirely sure Bobs is what he was, but wouldn't knock him for that performance today. He came on a lot from his first run to the Lexus last year and would expect to see him next in Chelters now.
12 lengths on that ground - Wouldn't think so IMO. Not entirely sure Bobs is what he was, but wouldn't knock him for that performance today. He came on a lot from his first run to the Lexus last year and would expect to see him next in Chelters now.
'I think something like 13 of the last 14 GC winners ran in either the Lexus or King George. The GC winner almost certainly ran in the last 2 days'
add to that since The Fellow won in 1994 every Cheltenham Gold Cup bar two has been won by the reigning champ or a newcomer to the race.Only Kauto Star (2nd to Denman 08)and See More Business (carried out 98)have defied this stat.
i'll take Dynaste to do an Imperial Commander and follow up his Ryanair win last season
'I think something like 13 of the last 14 GC winners ran in either the Lexus or King George. The GC winner almost certainly ran in the last 2 days'add to that since The Fellow won in 1994 every Cheltenham Gold Cup bar two has been won by the reigning
They are a motley crew and many of them could turn the form around. LW was beaten 11 1/2 lengths today and 11 lengths last year when he was later beaten 26 lengths in the Irish Hennessy. Was amazed he won last years GC. On His Own lost many lengths jumping right. I cant see Carlingford Lough Sam Winner or First Lieutenant winning a GC. BB was there and had every chance at 3rd last and made a mistake at that fence which did not help his cause. PFN has previously stated on a few occasions that Cheltenham would not suit Silviniaco Conti and possibly last year proved he was right. BW will improve for the run but may indeed be finished. If R2R wins it would probably be a first time for a Galway Plate runner. While 3 miles at Leopardstown in todays conditions is no joke I keep reminding people that three miles and two and a half furlongs around Cheltenham plus in that hill is something else. Its why horses like Synchronised could win the race. He probably was under-rated but he ticked all the staying boxes which really matter. To me this years race is totally open. SC has the best form but Cheltenham is not his course and he is unlikely to get his ground. He had a marvellous chance in 2014 and failed. Methinks its time to hold on to ones money.
They are a motley crew and many of them could turn the form around. LW was beaten 11 1/2 lengths today and 11 lengths last year when he was later beaten 26 lengths in the Irish Hennessy. Was amazed he won last years GC. On His Own lost many lengths j
I don't think the GC winner of 2015 has run in the past 2 days. Silvi may be the best horse at 3m but I'm not getting on him at the third attempt. I cannot see any of those behind winning it either.
Todays Lexus if it gives us anything from it then it's Lord Windermere as he will be trained with one race in mind.
This seasons Hennessey is where I would look Smad Place, Houblon Des Obeaux and Many Clouds. Holywell has one target. The Young Master could improve past them all but I think Mulholland will wait a season
I hope Fry enters Mendip Express
I don't think the GC winner of 2015 has run in the past 2 days. Silvi may be the best horse at 3m but I'm not getting on him at the third attempt. I cannot see any of those behind winning it either.Todays Lexus if it gives us anything from it then it