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theonlywayforward
29 Sep 14 10:58
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Date Joined: 31 Aug 05
| Topic/replies: 16,367 | Blogger: theonlywayforward's blog
Gl to yesterdays winner but for me its outclassed today .But sprinters in form who knows @ this level.
clues
rated + speed.
Rylee Mooch 8        30.5     -0.12
Irish Girls Spirit 10        26     0.24
Sewn Up 4        26     -0.39
Two Turtle Doves 7        24.5     0.82
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Report stridingedge September 29, 2014 11:47 AM BST
These are in the main an exposed group that find winning, the fav has obvious claims but not won  for best part of 2 years and is only 2-44 on turf.

I think the main one that could offer more is omeara's. Picked up from smart after 3 mdn runs on turf july 2012 (rated 78). Has only had 4 turf runs since the latest winning a poor mdn at newcastle when ridden on the pace. Subsequent effort at wolves was held up and race was over before hitting top gear.

Back on a stiffer 5f turf, i think this has every chance of being too good for these off this sort of mark.

12/1 just looks FAR too big to me

this is where i have struggled with my paranoia that others know something i don't with this horse.
Report stridingedge September 29, 2014 11:47 AM BST
*find winning a tough enough task
Report theonlywayforward September 29, 2014 12:25 PM BST
Rylee Mooch 8        5-26-74 
Irish Girls Spirit 10        3-6-22 
Sewn Up 4        4-18-56 
Two Turtle Doves 7        8-17-77 
Simply Black 2        1-6-13 
Mossy Marie 5        0-1-4 
Bronze Beau 3        6-20-73 
Sherry For Nanny 6        0-3-11 
Rock Canyon 9        3-13-59 
Lord Buffhead 1        8-17-82 
Report postmannick September 29, 2014 12:30 PM BST
stride - if you fancy it mate go for it don"t be put off by the price g/l
Report theonlywayforward September 29, 2014 12:34 PM BST
True.
But these have been ruining for buttins.i.e prise money
Rylee Mooch 8        0.35
Irish Girls Spirit 10        0.22
Sewn Up 4        0.69
Two Turtle Doves 7        0.16
Simply Black 2        0.5
Mossy Marie 5       
Bronze Beau 3        0.6
Sherry For Nanny 6       
Rock Canyon 9        0.35
Lord Buffhead 1
Report theonlywayforward September 29, 2014 12:41 PM BST
for me anyhow the top rated stands out in this event.
gl.
Report theonlywayforward September 29, 2014 12:51 PM BST
5+26=31_minus 74=43>31.
But this grade is low. for me .Look we will see @ 2.11pm
Report GTFI September 29, 2014 1:01 PM BST
i know naff all about horses, what is being tipped here and time of the off?   please guys
Report theonlywayforward September 29, 2014 1:03 PM BST
Slightly worried about Sewn Up .So will put a saver @ 8.6 .
Report theonlywayforward September 29, 2014 1:05 PM BST
Self explanatory. read the op
Report theonlywayforward September 29, 2014 1:28 PM BST
well for a normal front runner its not nice  to see it drift.
But will back it again.
Sure to trade low anyhow but that is not my way.
gl
Report stridingedge September 29, 2014 1:33 PM BST
well i've wasted a couple of hours looking at this race Cry

i think on balance having delved a bit deeper omearas has not done enough in hcp company recently to justify backing it here, the mdn it won undoubtedly weak.

i think yesterdays winner has a totally different task here on this track with a couple of others to hassle for the lead, wins and nearly all runs been on much easier tracks than this.

sewn up would have claims here as dalgleish has got a couple of fair runs from it on 5f turf and it was a decent aw performer off much higher. race should also offer it a nice tow in as the strength is coming through off a decent pace this trip.

NO BET
Report theonlywayforward September 29, 2014 1:40 PM BST
Simply Black 2        1-6-13 
speed figures R1        1024m    01:02.2    G    12.16    0.25    81.7
would look to need 6f IMho.
Report theonlywayforward September 29, 2014 1:45 PM BST
Striding not putting you off the horse I hope but that is its form.
Either way gl.
Report stridingedge September 29, 2014 1:49 PM BST
this race could be a tear up with bronze beau, rylee mooch and irish girls spirit

you could be right about simply back liking 6f, certainly outstayed the runner up at newcastle late over the 5.

they could well set this up for sewn up having seen its races this trainer so far.

alstons 3yo probably not ready for this but he is quite shrewd at this track, one to keep an eye on.

anyway need to find something elsewhere
Report stridingedge September 29, 2014 1:50 PM BST
gl towf
Report theonlywayforward September 29, 2014 2:00 PM BST
Agree totally and probably the valve bet is sewn up but have to go with my top rated.
Otherwise not much point in raring them.
Report Smoggy September 29, 2014 2:09 PM BST
Fav wins - in good form, lead all the way.
Report Breedingmad September 29, 2014 2:10 PM BST
Could well do
Report koikeeper September 29, 2014 2:11 PM BST
GTFI 29 Sep 14 13:01
i know naff all about horses, what is being tipped here and time of the off?   please guys


best thing to do is leave the forum now...and get another hobby Wink
Report Smoggy September 29, 2014 2:11 PM BST
Agreed - not much point in your ratings.
Report stridingedge September 29, 2014 2:12 PM BST
fav looks very short to me

this track and hassle for early pace different task imo

layed at 2.88 Shocked
Report flatcap September 29, 2014 2:12 PM BST
Laying the fav too short at 15/8
Report koikeeper September 29, 2014 2:12 PM BST
Smoggy 29 Sep 14 14:09
Fav wins - in good form, lead all the way.


stiff track this, just might not get home
Report elise September 29, 2014 2:12 PM BST
i was having a coffee this morning surrounded by women & kids , i looked out of the window and across the alley in a shop window was a book called two turtle doves, i looked down at my racing post and the first race i'm looking i see two turtle doves in the 2.10pm ham .... spooky


anyway, i backed rock canyon
Report johnizere September 29, 2014 2:12 PM BST
Simply Black to place gl
Report stridingedge September 29, 2014 2:13 PM BST
5/2 fair

15/8 not
Report chibbedonline September 29, 2014 2:13 PM BST
Sherry For Nanny ew gl
Report stridingedge September 29, 2014 2:14 PM BST
fair play

far far too good Cry
Report Smoggy September 29, 2014 2:14 PM BST
Easy money
Report Breedingmad September 29, 2014 2:14 PM BST
Hosed in
Report stridingedge September 29, 2014 2:15 PM BST
that was facile
Report theonlywayforward September 29, 2014 2:15 PM BST
horrible here.
WD winners.
Report flatcap September 29, 2014 2:16 PM BST
Was that a handicap race ??
Report Smoggy September 29, 2014 2:17 PM BST
Always a massive hint when they're turned out next day, well backed, without a penalty and good jockey on. Not rocket science sometimes!
Report Smoggy September 29, 2014 2:18 PM BST
Forgot to mention the good draw!
Report Breedingmad September 29, 2014 2:20 PM BST
Last years winner Fol Hollow went the same route, ran in same race at Hamilton previous day
but finished 8th not first but sprinters turnd out quickly often win.
Report stridingedge September 29, 2014 2:23 PM BST
some trainers a lot better records than others with quick turn out
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