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ThunderRoad
13 Sep 14 18:30
Joined:
Date Joined: 09 May 12
| Topic/replies: 6,295 | Blogger: ThunderRoad's blog
Don't get me wrong, I'm a big fan of the horse and backed him last time out where he won (despite not being fully wound up IMO). He's bound to come on for that, has gears and stays 10 furlongs well.

I just think he's a little too short @ 1.3 in a race of his calibre.

The Grey Gatsby was a shade unlucky LTO when getting caught it the back in a slowly run race. He only finished 2 lengths behind Australia and was probably value for a bit better than that.

Mukhradam disappointed that day when he pulled too hard, but has a pacemaker here who'll ensure it's a true championship gallop which will help him settle. The horse doesn't have Australia's turn of foot, but you can guarantee he'll gallop all day.

Al Kazeem doesn't look a significantly poorer horse than last year in my eyes, he sorely needed his first run and looked pretty unfit LTO when just holding True Story off. He'll much fitter today and should run well.

Trading Leather will help ensure an honest test.

To my mind, Oz is all about the way he travels and his change of gear, and I think this race is likely to be an end-to-end gallop. He'll still probably win, but I make him a 5/6 shot here, rather than a 1/3 one so for that reason he's gotta be a lay.

GL whatever way you play.
Pause Switch to Standard View Is Australia a bit too short here?
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Report HorseBurger1989 September 13, 2014 7:07 PM BST
Lap it up clowns, first time in a long time you've had a genuine chance to rip me Laugh, doesn't happen often so take it.
Report HorseBurger1989 September 13, 2014 7:08 PM BST
Although it was the fat Irishman that as given you the chance not the horse imho
Report Ibrahima Sonko September 13, 2014 7:08 PM BST
A: Sorry, injured and retired. ala canford cliffs
Report HorseBurger1989 September 13, 2014 7:09 PM BST
I still think this horse is better than Frankel regardless of the result.
Report HorseBurger1989 September 13, 2014 7:11 PM BST
Even ATR are slagging the ride off, it was poor simple as that.
Report roida September 13, 2014 7:11 PM BST
HORSEBURGER =  ѕιℓℓ ℓєєк нυηт
Report racingstar September 13, 2014 7:11 PM BST
Please do not make yourself look an even bigger prick than usual,HorsebreathSad
O'Brien is thinner than a POW Escapee.
Report ReaseHeath September 13, 2014 7:14 PM BST
the ride was poor but ATR not giving anywhere near enough credit to the winner.

Won Dante, French Derby and Irish Champion Stakes but not an ' elite Group 1 performer' - second in the Juddmonte too...
Report ReaseHeath September 13, 2014 7:15 PM BST
I know the Dante is G2 before you write in....
Report Ibrahima Sonko September 13, 2014 7:15 PM BST
agree rh

they were all looking for excuses for australia.
Report HorseBurger1989 September 13, 2014 7:16 PM BST
Reasel - Its a good horse don't get me wrong and deserved its win but the ride on Australia was poor.
Report koikeeper September 13, 2014 7:17 PM BST
BTW, well done Thunder  Wink
Report ReaseHeath September 13, 2014 7:18 PM BST
yep, well done Thunder
Report HorseBurger1989 September 13, 2014 7:18 PM BST
Yes, wd thunder, in all the ranting forgot to congratulate you, not a problem in giving a wd to the winner.
Report skygreenzone September 13, 2014 7:23 PM BST
An example of bookies running racing.Derby form gets franked in ledger,derby winner gets beat in average irish champion.
Report Ibrahima Sonko September 13, 2014 7:25 PM BST
?
Report Breedingmad September 13, 2014 7:25 PM BST
Just found Horsebreaths theme tune on Youtube,,
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EwPsFz85gGw
Report kincsem September 13, 2014 7:26 PM BST
Camelot II Devil
Report HorseBurger1989 September 13, 2014 7:28 PM BST
Breedingmad - thank you, I do know it all, I'm a legend, a champion pal.
Report Breedingmad September 13, 2014 7:29 PM BST
You obviously are too stupid to listen to the lyricsLaugh
Report tonkability September 13, 2014 7:32 PM BST
Crazy this racing game thought Tagrouda was a  shoo in at York and then Ryan beats him on what you can only describe as a  nut job.the result today was much more predictable average jockey on the fav champion on a horse that only had 2 lengths to find.
Report ReaseHeath September 13, 2014 7:32 PM BST
I think he's better than Camelot but I just find the rhetoric a bit disrespectful to the opposition, the Guineas stuff and the 'just ready to have a racehorse gallop' garbage after he won at York - I don't think AOB does it maliciously but if York was a racecourse gallop then he should have been able to win comfortably today irrespective of the way the race panned out (see Frankel in SJP)...

...the ride the horse got is symptomatic of their over confidence...
Report A_T September 13, 2014 7:50 PM BST
over-confident ride but if it was as good as they keep saying still should have won. Above average Derby winner but no champ.
Report Ibrahima Sonko September 13, 2014 7:58 PM BST
Miles better than Camelot imo, doesnt make him a superstar.

Personally AOB is just a PR man, will say whatever increases the hype/value.

Any links to todays interviews ?
Report A_T September 13, 2014 7:58 PM BST
Wonder if John F Kennedy will now be the best they've had?
Report deadbrain59 September 13, 2014 8:33 PM BST
u dont win @those odds,camelot got beat rank odds on.Mischief
Report kincsem September 13, 2014 8:41 PM BST
I know it is an Australia thread ...
but the hype was similar for Camelot who ran ten times and was favourite all ten times, won six.  Camelot was odds on seven times.
A bit like childbirth.  People forget and go again.
Report racingstar September 13, 2014 8:48 PM BST
Dear God,just how stupid are you utter plebians?
Anybody who does not realise just how bad the ride was on Australia should pack the game up.
Report HorseBurger1989 September 13, 2014 8:50 PM BST
For once I'm agreeing with Racingstar BlushBlush
Report Ibrahima Sonko September 13, 2014 8:53 PM BST
Before i pack up.

JOB has rode this superstar wide in all his races, no problem seen.

Guess what, superstar is beaten its all about the superstar loses a few lengths on a bend.

it doesmt add up imo.

I've seen lesser horses race 10 wide.
Report ReaseHeath September 13, 2014 8:58 PM BST
P8 W5 L3

ain't title winning form...

he won't get to 10 races either...
Report Angel Gabrial September 13, 2014 9:00 PM BST
That`s not true Sonko.

Australia has not been ridden widen in all of his races, being settled in just wide of horses grabbing the rail is not running wide.
Report racingstar September 13, 2014 9:02 PM BST
Utter nonsense,Sonko.
At York Australia sat alongside The Grey Gatsby with cover until well into the straight.
Long may you have a funded account.
Report Ibrahima Sonko September 13, 2014 9:10 PM BST
Right.

Only one horse wider than him at Epsom.
Next: 5 runner
York: widest at the bend, but won.

alongside tgg Laugh, he whooshed him in strides.

Guess what.
Report Angel Gabrial September 13, 2014 9:11 PM BST
In fact in only 2 of his races has Australia come wide.

When 1/8 in the Irish Derby beating his own pace makers.
And today.
Report racingstar September 13, 2014 9:15 PM BST
You are now a convicted moron,Stonko.
Do I expect you to realise that?
Never.
Goodnight.
Report cardifffc September 13, 2014 10:05 PM BST
racingstar...........have you ever been wrong??
Report Dr Gonzo September 13, 2014 10:44 PM BST
O'Brien as just ruined a perfect record

Does a 'perfect record' include two defeats these days?
Report Ibrahima Sonko September 14, 2014 9:37 AM BST
Anyone got any links to what the losing trainer said after the race ?

Cant find anything on SL or RP.
Report racingstar September 14, 2014 11:13 AM BST
Tabor was not "best pleased" to put it mildly.
However,the "Team" are far too clever to make public criticism of a truly awful ride.
I expect JOB(who is clearly struggling with his weight) to be replaced at the end of the Season.
Report 1st time poster September 14, 2014 3:25 PM BST
either way win or lose he wasnt going to win in the style of an all time great and the defeat means obrien cant kid the balls of people pretending the horse is a superstar,still hasnt had 1 performance that shoots the lights out
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 5:32 PM BST
Swap the riders and Australia wins by a length or two. And you would be looking at a horse close to the credentials of Sea The Stars.

And before the `Sea The Stars would beat Australia out of sight` comments arrive, lets just remember that Trading Leather, Mukhadram and Al Kazeem would be 5/6/7L behind but all knocking on just around the 118 mark.

Sea The Stars was beating the likes of Rip Van Winkle, Mastercraftsman, Fame and Glory. Kingston Hill looks like a Fame And Glory type to me, so i think the form of Australia is still close to Sea The Stars at the same stage in their careers if we believe JOB cost Australia at least 2L in the Irish.
Report A_T September 14, 2014 6:48 PM BST
If Australia trounces the Arc field like Sea The Stars did then they can be mentioned in the same breath.
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 8:14 PM BST
A_T

You mean show similar form as beating Youmzain, Cavalryman, Conduit by a couple of lengths? Yes he was in a pocket and won well, but i would fancy Australia to beat those horses in similar fashion.
Report mange September 14, 2014 8:16 PM BST
It was a good post Thunder Cool
Report breadnbutter September 14, 2014 8:39 PM BST
STS was a great going into the Arc ,had won everything and needed to win to prove beyond all doubt ,there is no STS in this years field .

STS won the arc from a bad draw after sweating up badly ,he also nearly got caught in a pocket .

Before the Arc dont think  STS had  sweated and although he pulled a bit he settled in his 2k and Derby so the Arc win was very impressive after a long season .

2k, derby ,eclipse,international , irish champion and arc ....no STS in this years race .

Always wondered how far STS could have won the arc but i did not appreciate the state the horse was in ,his class carried him through ,this is what separates the good from the great and thats  horses and trainers.

was chuffed for MK as it was close to being a disaster and us punters would not have swallowed the sweated up ballux  Laugh
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 8:42 PM BST
STS would not have won this years 2000G

All those number 1`s against his name do not prove he was any better than Australia.
Report racingstar September 14, 2014 8:45 PM BST
Dear God,there are some clueless morons on hereSad
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 8:48 PM BST
I suppose you have Rip Van Winkle down as a better horse than Australia then racingstar? you know the horse that STS just touched off?

It`s easy to get carried away.
Report racingstar September 14, 2014 8:55 PM BST
I was referring to the OP's opinion that Australia was a 5/6 chanceHappy
Due to a ride of monumental incompetence he fluked his Lay.
Then idiots tried to say the ride made no difference to the resultLaugh
Will they do for starters?
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 9:02 PM BST
Apologies racingstar, perhaps if the OP had mentioned that jockey incompetence was evaluated in the 5/6 then we could tip our hat to him.Grin

Put any other rider in that race on Australia and he wins. Put Ryan Moore on and wins more comfortably.
Report breadnbutter September 14, 2014 9:04 PM BST
I never said he was better than Australia AG ,i said there was no STS in the race this year,let the ratings sort  that out BUT i think STS is better fwiw

as in a horse who had already  stamped his authority and was in the race with everything to lose ,winning the Arc stamped him as a great imo .

and winning after sweating and taking a fierce hold also said a lot about the trainer and jockey .

APO ran a herd against STS in the derby ,they all had a go from the front and back .....dont forget taht Wink

he beat RVW off there as well ,anyhoss who can beat 6 of bally-D,s in the Derby is worth a second look Laugh
Report grendel September 14, 2014 9:05 PM BST
breadnbutter • September 14, 2014 8:39 PM BST
STS was a great going into the Arc ,had won everything and needed to win to prove beyond all doubt ,there is no STS in this years field .

STS won the arc from a bad draw after sweating up badly ,he also nearly got caught in a pocket .


stall 6 of 19? .... how is that a bad draw?
Report breadnbutter September 14, 2014 9:07 PM BST
APO had  half the field of 12 against STS in derby
Report Ibrahima Sonko September 14, 2014 9:07 PM BST
racing star, so with a clear run would Australia hosed up like a 1.3 chance ???
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 9:13 PM BST
Sonko

It did have a clear run. It was the racing line that was all over the place.
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 9:18 PM BST
I never said he was better than Australia AG ,i said there was no STS in the race this year,let the ratings sort  that out BUT i think STS is better fwiw


Put Ryan Moore on board and i have them both as equals, STS had the assistance of Mick Kinane, Joseph should be riding with an allowance against these two.
Report A_T September 14, 2014 9:21 PM BST
STS had almost the perfect 3yo season. He beat every horse who might have been considered a rival - nothing could get within a length of him over a mile, 10 or 12 - he never "touched off" any horse he won comfortably every time.

Australia's one of the best Derby winners of recent years - but he's not in Sea The Stars' league and will need to do a fair bit more to be considered so.
Report hippie September 14, 2014 9:25 PM BST
Galileo had the assistance of Kinane when he got beaten at 4/11 in the Irish Champion.
Report breadnbutter September 14, 2014 9:27 PM BST

Sep 14, 2014 -- 9:05PM, grendel wrote:


breadnbutter • September 14, 2014 8:39 PM BSTSTS was a great going into the Arc ,had won everything and needed to win to prove beyond all doubt ,there is no STS in this years field .STS won the arc from a bad draw after sweating up badly ,he also nearly got caught in a pocket .stall 6 of 19? .... how is that a bad draw?


Your correct just watched the race again ,thought he was drawn wider than that ,he broke well but took a hold  and ended settled mid ,but did keep a decent position on the inside ,i stand corrected .

AG ,am not commenting on yesterdays race ....Whoops

want a quiet night  Laugh

wonder what mick696 or whatever his name was would have made of it ? LaughLaughLaugh

Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 9:27 PM BST
Of course he is in the `league` A_T it`s just that Joseph is not in the same league as Mick Kinane.

For example read this. It`s the post race analysis from the Eclipse Seas The Stars won, when beating Rip Van Winkle.

Held up in 5th, smooth progress from 3f out to lead 2f out, ridden and hard pressed 1f out, dug deep and fended off challenger last 150yds

Put JOB on board STS here and the result may be different.
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 9:32 PM BST
Galileo had the assistance of Kinane when he got beaten at 4/11 in the Irish Champion.

Does that prove Kinane was no better than JOB?
Report A_T September 14, 2014 9:35 PM BST
Australia isn't even the best 3yo this year - let alone of the same calibre as Sea The Stars.

We'll see if he can improve his reputation next time he runs.
Report hippie September 14, 2014 9:42 PM BST
It proves hotpots get beat in the Irish Champion Stakes.

The Irish Champion always throws up something amazing and this year's race was no different. Joseph didn't ride a bumbling incompetent race, Moore pulled off something amazing on the Grey Gatsby.
Report hippie September 14, 2014 9:45 PM BST
Galileo didn't improve his reputation the next time he ran after the Irish Champion Stakes. I wonder whatever happened to him?
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 9:46 PM BST
Australia isn't even the best 3yo this year - let alone of the same calibre as Sea The Stars.

Australia has it by 1lb over Kingman A_T on official ratings does he not?
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 9:51 PM BST
Hippie

Galileo seemed to be a 12f horse, so when pipped by Fantastic Light it was no bad thing. Both rated 130.

Galileo then couldn`t keep up in the Breeders Cup Classic over a fast 10f. Then he was retired and the rest is history.
Report hippie September 14, 2014 9:57 PM BST
Galileo won more races over 10f than Australia has.
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 10:21 PM BST
Galileo won two 10f races.
His 2nd & 3rd races. The latter being a Derby Trial.

Fantastic Light had won the Hong Kong Cup over 10f.
Tattersalls Gold Cup over 10.5f
Prince Of Wales Stakes over 10f
Man 0`War Stakes over 11f

All Group 1 victories, before he took on Galileo in the Irish Champion Stakes. Looking back, is it not fair to say that Galileo was taking on a specialist 10f Group 1 champion? So when Galileo was just pipped he actually ran a great race.
Report hippie September 14, 2014 10:32 PM BST
The Grey Gatsby is a Dante winner and Classic winner over 10f. I'd say that makes him a specialist 10f Group 1 champion. Australia was pipped on the line so he must also have actually run a great race.
Report hippie September 14, 2014 10:34 PM BST
and 50% of Galileo's career runs were over 10f.
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 10:39 PM BST
Yes you could possibly say that hippie, but the problem with the comparison is that

a) Galileo had not previously shown any dominance over 10f against Fantastic Light( only over 12f )
b) Australia had shown dominance over The Great Gatsby over 10f in the International Stakes at York.

Did anyone accuse Kinane for poor judgement in defeat? i can`t remember, but i doubt it. Fantastic Light was prolific at around the 10f distance with a rating of 130. The price was all together wrong, but people expected(or hoped) Galileo to be as dominant over 10f as he was at 12f.
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 10:43 PM BST
and 50% of Galileo's career runs were over 10f. - this will trip you up hippie.

8 Career starts.
4 over 10f - 2 of these G1`s and both defeats.
3 over 12f- All 3 of these G1`s and all wins.

Seems like a G1 winning 12 furlong horse to me hippie.Wink
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 10:50 PM BST
However saying this Frankie did take it up 2f out on Fantastic Light when you would have expected the horse with more stamina to be stretching them from the front at that stage.

Hindsight is a great thing, but i think it proved over 10f Galileo was compromised by being ridden the same way as when racing over 12f.
Report hippie September 14, 2014 11:16 PM BST
Fascinating reinvention of Fantastic Light's career.
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 11:31 PM BST
He finished with a OR of 130.
With 6 Group 1 victories.

Hardly a reinvention hippie.
Report hippie September 14, 2014 11:39 PM BST
It was more the recreation of him as "a specialist 10f Group 1 champion" I was commenting on.

You seem rather adept at interpreting facts to suit your argument.
Report Angel Gabrial September 14, 2014 11:59 PM BST
He was very good over 12f but no match for Montjeu or Galileo.

Yet over 10/11f he won 6 G1 races from the age of 4. Nothing beat him, Kalanisi couldn`t get within 2L.

He was the best 10f horse around. A Champion.
Report Angel Gabrial September 15, 2014 12:03 AM BST
Sorry, 5 G1 races between 10/11f.

I included his final race which was of course the Breeders Cup Turf over 12f, but which probably equates to an 11f race due to the sharpness.
Report hippie September 15, 2014 12:26 AM BST
Did you even see the horse run? Everything you're writing is clearly regurgitated written words.
Report hippie September 15, 2014 12:30 AM BST
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=281849&r_date=2000-0...
Report Angel Gabrial September 15, 2014 12:44 AM BST
hippie he struggled to beat a 113 rated horse that day, do you think it ran to form ?

Kalanisi never beat it again over 10f. Why concentrate on the race it runs below par than on the 5 G1 victories since?
Report Angel Gabrial September 15, 2014 12:46 AM BST
By the way yes i saw it run, did you see any  of the G1 victories or was it just the Eclipse when it ran flat?
Report Angel Gabrial September 15, 2014 12:49 AM BST
He was named United States Champion Male Turf Horse, European Horse of the Year and European Champion Older Horse in 2001.

Yet hippie wants to judge him when below his best.
Report hippie September 15, 2014 12:54 AM BST
Ran flat? He was out of his depth, that's why he ducked the International Stakes and the Champion Stakes (won by Kalanisi) that year. Kalanisi, who was the better horse, beat him a month later over 12f at Churchill Downs.
Report hippie September 15, 2014 12:56 AM BST
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=281849&r_date=2000-0...
Report Angel Gabrial September 15, 2014 1:01 AM BST
Out of his depth??LaughLaugh

Not at his best you mean hippie, or are you confused? only one one horse out of that race reached a mark of 130, yes you know which one hippie.

By the way did you see the Breeders Cup and how Fantastic Light was hampered? Interesting that Kalanisi couldn`t get within 2L of Fantastic Light after these 2 races hippie.

You need to brush up mate.
Report Angel Gabrial September 15, 2014 1:02 AM BST
European Champion Older Horse in 2001. - out of his depthCry
Report hippie September 15, 2014 1:13 AM BST
Kalanisi (U.S. Champion Male Turf Horse and European Champion Older Horse in 2000) was injured in the Prince of Wales Stakes that Fantastic Light won and retired. But you already knew that. Wink

If you're going to pass off book-learning as personal experience at least know your stuff.
Report Angel Gabrial September 15, 2014 1:19 AM BST
Injured like Canford Cliffs after finishing once again behind Fantastic Light rated 130

Of course without the injury to Kalanisi, i guess you would have the higher rated Fantastic Light(United States Champion Male Turf Horse, European Horse of the Year and European Champion Older Horse in 2001).....as.....

OUT OF HIS DEPTHLaugh

Keep it real hippie and stay of that sh1tWink
Report hippie September 15, 2014 1:32 AM BST
when was he rated 130?
Report Angel Gabrial September 15, 2014 1:39 AM BST
That`s how he will be remembered hippie, OR 130.

Yet you believe he was out of his depth against a horse with a OR of 126.

How does that make you feel about your race reading? How can you argue at 01:39 in the morning that he was  out of his depth?
Report hippie September 15, 2014 1:42 AM BST

Yet over 10/11f he won 6 G1 races from the age of 4. Nothing beat him, Kalanisi couldn`t get within 2L.

He was the best 10f horse around. A Champion.


In the 2000 International Classification Kalanisi was assessed at 126 and Fantastic Light at 124 (both aged 4) and you're telling me to keep it real.

Report hippie September 15, 2014 1:48 AM BST

That`s how he will be remembered hippie, OR 130.


Is that how you remember horses, as numbers? Laugh

In the 2001 International Classification Fantastic Light was assessed at 129 (equal with Galileo).

as for the time - Chicago are playing San Francisco.

Report Angel Gabrial September 15, 2014 1:50 AM BST
From the age of 4(barring the eclipse of course) !!!!

That includes his 5 year old career you wally!Laugh - he reaches 130. How can you say he was out of his depth?

Who was the better horse Kalanisi or Fantastic Light? go on hippie have a stab. It should be easy as you have already said Fantastic Light was out of his depth!Cry
Report Angel Gabrial September 15, 2014 1:52 AM BST
I tell you what hippie.

You will be remembered for telling me Fantastic Light was out of his depth against Kalanisi!LaughLaugh
Report hippie September 15, 2014 2:00 AM BST
You seem to be confusing yourself with these ratings. You can't impose his future higher rating retrospectively on past races.

If he wasn't out of his depth why did he go globe trotting rather than contest the International and Champion Stakes? According to you he was the champion and nothing could touch him.

Kalanisi was always the better horse.
Report Angel Gabrial September 15, 2014 2:43 AM BST
There could be many reasons why they went globe trotting hippie. Considering they took Kalanisi on twice more and beat him twice is hardly a team ducking your horse is it?

They went for the KG and then the Man O War, advertising the horses credentials in America has plenty to do with business hippie, plus the horse loved fast ground was there a potential for rain at York? can you remember?
Report Angel Gabrial September 15, 2014 3:00 AM BST
hippie

Just a reminder that Fantastic Light is the leading European money earner of all time on $8,486,957.
4th in the all time Global earners behind Curlin, Cigar and Skip Away.

A real Champion.Wink
Report racingstar September 15, 2014 12:06 PM BST
What has any of this childish one-upmanship to do with the OP?
It has now emerged that Joseph weighed in 1 lb overweightSad
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