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paul the b
16 Jun 14 11:07
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Date Joined: 11 Sep 03
| Topic/replies: 1,260 | Blogger: paul the b's blog
I for one believe it is. Ascot will suit and with ground conditions perfect looks to be a lump on wager. As discussed on numerous occasions thought the horse was unlucky in the Guineas when things did not pan out ideally for him, but I have no doubt at all he will reverse the form with Night of Thunder.....plus nothing else in the race can possibly get near him.
Family silver already despatched to my nearest bookmaker!Grin
Pause Switch to Standard View IS KINGMAN A GOOD THING ?.......
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Report mirisoo June 16, 2014 6:08 PM BST
Nailed on cert if ever there was such a thing. In my opinion, of course.
Report ima_mazed66 June 16, 2014 6:20 PM BST
Yeah that's always a possibility portmanpark and especially in a small field where it could be tactical and develop into a sprint but Ascot's straight is long and uphill and there will be plenty of time for anything to kick from there and whilst I'm not suggesting the other Hannon runner is a pacemaker or anything, they might think if they couldn't beat the first 2 in the guineas one way then another type of ride might be the plan.

I think the horse stayed the mile well enough at Newmarket bigmart and certainly did at Curragh and so I wouldn't use that as an excuse if beaten this time.
Report Andrew in Sweden June 16, 2014 6:27 PM BST
Not unlucky in the 2000 Gns, but it was a good field and hopefully firm is not in the going description. Toormore can make the pace. A good turn of foot. Stays a mile well enough and could be one of the best milers in recent years (Frankel aside) if he wins impressively tomorrow. Personally I think he does, although is not a certainty by any means, that's why it's even money, but he will do for me.

GB / Ascot 17th Jun / 16:25 1m Grp1    Kingman    Back    38330196244    16-Jun-14
17:40         2.06    600.00        2.06    16-Jun-14 18:04
Report bigmart June 16, 2014 6:41 PM BST
curragh is an easier course than newmarket Ima .  he is a good horse but no world beater !
Report norville rogers June 16, 2014 6:42 PM BST
paul the b.....longtime no speak..hope you are well
Report bigmart June 16, 2014 6:51 PM BST
good luck Andrew , hope it wins for you Wink
Report nightingale June 16, 2014 6:56 PM BST
Think Doyle went a little early at HQ and if he gets it right 2mrw as at The Curragh, we cud well see a very smart performance from an exceptional talent.
Report ima_mazed66 June 16, 2014 7:02 PM BST
There will be some who will give you an argument on whether Curragh is easier than Newmarket bigmart or at least will suggest it's not significantly easier anyway but to win a classic over a mile by 5L on ground described as Soft To Heavy doesn't really suggest a non-stayer I wouldn't have thought. Just for good measure too and because of the ground conditions and how it slopes towards the rail coming off the bend they all tacked over to the far side rail instead of taking the bend tight and Kingman would have covered more ground than previous winners taking the shorter route.

Agree that the horse is no world beater but do think it's very very good though and think that applies to the first 3 home at Newmarket and possibly first 4 if you include Shifting Power and that was the horse finishing 5L behind Kingman at Curragh and was around half of that distance behind it at Newmarket.
Report FELTFAIR June 16, 2014 7:05 PM BST
Newmarket 1 mile standard time 1 min 35.1 seconds

Curragh 1 mile standard time 1 min 36.5 seconds

I would therefore suggest that the Curragh is a stiffer test than Newmarket.

Ascot 1 mile standard time 1 min 39.8 seconds.Another step up on stamina required.

I respect all the top four`s chances and would love to see War Command win a thriller but the ground could be against him.
Report bigmart June 16, 2014 7:11 PM BST
kingsman has a lot off speed in his pedigree ,with main rival on paper night of thunder , having a bit more stamina , if the race was run over 7f kingsman wd beat it doing handstands ,if its was over 1.1m night off thunder wins every time , but this miles makes it much closer ,i have no doupt kingsman is the better animal , if its a slow pace just tell your bookmaker to pay out after a furlong , if he uses toolmoor as a pace maker cd be very close if its a scorching gallop , night off thunder is a fresher horse , if you put me on the spot i wd say kingsman will win , r/fc safe option not original but looks a banker f/c to me Happy
Report bigmart June 16, 2014 7:16 PM BST
FELTFAIR
i hear you but i still think newmarket is a stiffer track imo , these ave times , you can bet your bott doller its soft or heavy twice as much as curragh compaired to newmarket , yes i agree Ascot is stiffer than the other 2 tracks deffo hannon knows the only way he has a chance off beating kingsman is to set a scorching pace , try run the sting out off it !
Report Andrew in Sweden June 16, 2014 7:23 PM BST
Thanks Bigmart, if he doesn't win, i will have to rely on Perfect Heart in the following race Wink
Report bigmart June 16, 2014 7:29 PM BST
Andrew your are deffo on the best horse , you don!t want a scorching gallop ,were his stamina cd be tested to the max , most think he improved at curragh ! stable going well .all the best sir !
Report Fela Kuti June 16, 2014 7:59 PM BST
War Command will mug the two favourites
Report bigmart June 16, 2014 10:08 PM BST
what makes you think that Fela kuti Confused
Report EVILROYSLADE June 16, 2014 10:35 PM BST
I was a Toormore fan before the Guineas and can forgive that run. Just about four lengths behind that day so not a "bad" effort. I firmly believe that was not his true form and am more inclined to believe the form of his previous run at HQ . That was run in a faster time than the 2000 and on slower ground. Ryan Moore aboard again. Wouldn't be the first time he has gone in on the second string!!!
Report Glossy June 16, 2014 10:56 PM BST
I think Kingman is a good thing. I know War Command won the Coventry on this track but the form of that race hasn't really worked out to justify backing him at this level. The track should suit Kingman and I can only see him relishing the lively ground. I think this could be the race that makes him a star.
Report theonlywayforward June 16, 2014 10:58 PM BST
For me it will be decided by the ground .Slower ground will suit Kingman

2     11x21     Night Of Thunder 1        55.5     47.5 
1     1x121     Kingman 7        54.5     57.5 
5     11x17     Toormore 5        52.5     0.0 
6     311x9     War Command 6        52.5     0.0 
3     131x0     Outstrip 2        49     0.0 
4     3x11     Prince Of All 3        45.5     0.0 
7     23x1     Yuften 4        40.5     0.0 
Report Glossy June 16, 2014 11:01 PM BST
I can't have it that Night Of Thunder is as good a horse as Kingman. I think that Guineas win was more than a tad fortunate and would go the other way more often than not if re-run. I think we'll see Kingman confirm this to be the case tomorrow as he routs this bunch.
Report Cider June 16, 2014 11:12 PM BST
At the odds, Night Of Thunder is a no-brainer. Could his form have worked out any better? Had a nice break whereas Kingman had two tough races back to back and isn't a hardy horse.
Report bigmart June 16, 2014 11:22 PM BST
the r/fc is the bet ev money nap off the day , ps what you say cider makes perfect sense to me , really think the race result will depend on the pace off the race night off thunder should stay 1.2 miles !
Report TEABAGHDAD June 16, 2014 11:37 PM BST
Kingman wont be in the top 2.

If he can get 3rd here then he has done well.
Report ima_mazed66 June 17, 2014 12:40 AM BST
Just out of interest Glossy, what was it that you thought was fortunate about Night of Thunder's guineas win?
Report Angel Gabrial June 17, 2014 12:51 AM BST
I think that Kingman is all about the ground and that if there is `firm` in there then there is a chance he keeps a little bit back for himself.

At Newbury in the Greenham you saw the real deal with Kingman letting himself down on the good ground.

At Newmarket in the 2000G i`m not sure the horse was as comfortable, not by much but it made the difference.

At the Curragh, well he sluiced through the soft conditions.

Good/soft at Ascot is perfect. I can`t see him beat.
Report MOGAMBO June 17, 2014 12:52 AM BST
Night Of Thunder won  fair  and  square, nothing  flukey  or  lucky  about  it.The  one  lesson  you  learn  repeatedly  in  horse  racing  is ,BELIEVE  the  form  book. Night Of Thunder  WINs  the  rematch  nae  bother  at  aw.....true  price  1.5......lump  on...
Report HorseBurger1989 June 17, 2014 12:58 AM BST
Kingman is a lay for me at the price. the layers have 3 running for them.
Report Angel Gabrial June 17, 2014 1:04 AM BST
Mogambo

I don`t think the form book includes g/s ground regarding the 2000G. Ground is vital for many horses.
Report theonlywayforward June 17, 2014 1:14 AM BST
According to the rp the ground is drying out which will favour Night Of Thunder .He improved past Kingman because of the groend and arguably should be fav considering the amount of ground he covered in the guineas .
Report Angel Gabrial June 17, 2014 1:31 AM BST
It`s not going to be good/firm on the round course. It`s good/soft at the moment, perhaps good ground can be expected.
Report theonlywayforward June 17, 2014 1:37 AM BST
Whatever as Kingman would prefer soft and has to beat Night Of Thunder not the other way around as the betting suggests .
A cracking race whatever the result but think the conditions will suit Night Of Thunder .
Report appformat June 17, 2014 6:18 AM BST
Should win imo.
Gl.
Report bigmart June 17, 2014 6:55 AM BST
think a lot off punters are forgetting the fact night off thunder drifted badly across the track loosing several len
in the process , the smaller field should suit kingsman , but hannon is as fly ass a fox and twice as fast ! this is a stiffer track than newmarket and its a 1.01 his other runner who is a good horse in its own right will set a furious gallop here ,if not kingsman will kill the race with its speed ! but as sladey pointed out toormoore produced a better time at newmarket in the greenham than the fav did in the 2000 Confused
night of thunder + points 1] has had more off a break
                          2] stiffer track will suit
                          3] on breeding and 2yr old form looks even better with cut
                          4] has a formidable stable m8 letting the stable control the pace
                           
kingsman + points         1] seam to thrive in the irish 2000
                          2] should not get traffic problems delivering its turn off foot


for betting purposes a r/fc for me but if doing a single has to be night of thunder at the prices ! but i don't want to boggie Andrew with his bet !
Report Angel Gabrial June 17, 2014 7:27 AM BST
You mean the Craven for Toormore Bigmart.

In the Greenham at Newbury, Kingman quickened up and destroyed Night Of Thunder. Yes this was over 7f but no one would have expected Night Of Thunder to reverse the places over a mile.

Interestingly enough in the 2000G at Newmarket on g/f ground Kingman failed to quicken up, he only kept on. At the Curragh he quickened up.

For me the ground at Newmarket prevented the horse letting himself down and quickening up. We saw at Newbury which one can quicken up. As good as the form is in the 2000G we may not have Kingman at his best.
Report bigmart June 17, 2014 7:33 AM BST
yes the craven , yes i was telling racing star before the 2000 i thought a little cut wd be better , as he was not playing if it came up soft , yes it is better with a little cut, cd not just be down to breeding , that op it had , horse might be looking after it'self
but am telling you night off thunder is also better with cut , this is going to be a titanic battle !Excited
Report bigmart June 17, 2014 7:36 AM BST
good ground no excuses today from either stable its show time , what punters got to understand this race is worth millions to the winner on stud value alone ,as they fight for supremacy
1x 2000 in the bag apiece !
Report TEABAGHDAD June 17, 2014 7:44 AM BST
A few points mart:

You say kingman is fast as a fox. Well foxes arent fast animals.

O Brien has won the race 4 times in recent years only a mug would not be mentioning his runner here.
Hannon also has a good record in the race. Gosden is 0-5.

Kingman looks to be Ascots version of Annie Power ie a ridiculously short priced horse that wont be winning but will attract all the mugs. Kingsman is the bookmakers appreciation horse. How its fav against night of thunder is beyond me, thats not to say ap o brien wont chin them all
Report TEABAGHDAD June 17, 2014 7:45 AM BST
And atop mame deopping racingbstar as if you have been advising a top pro

if that donkeys a pro punterbim a sutchman.
Report TEABAGHDAD June 17, 2014 7:46 AM BST
STOP NAME DROPPING RACING STAR

(Sorry on iphone)
Report deadbrain59 June 17, 2014 7:47 AM BST
its my banker,but no good thing,o brien had coughing in the stable,hes a law into himself.gl
Report bigmart June 17, 2014 7:54 AM BST
i am fully aware off the stables runners teaTongue Out his stable not in the rudest off health is it ?
he won the 1st race the last 2 years has also won the 3.05 7 times ,  you need to get a cup off tea sleepy head , i never said as fast as fox , i said hannon as sly as a fox but twice as fast !Excited yes this meeting has been kind to his runners in the past tea but stable not cutting the ice at the min for me ! and for the record a fox is very fast and has an abundance of stamina ! how many dogs can catch a rabbit , apart from a whippet ! yes night off thunder has to be the value bet here 5/2
Report Angel Gabrial June 17, 2014 8:06 AM BST
Night Of Thunder has shown in both his runnings this season that he needs shoving along for 7f to get going. Is Hughes the man for the job today? Fallon a much more forceful rider so those backing Night Of Thunder will be shouting at Hughes to start pushing a long way from home.

The IR prices will be interesting when Kingman is on the bridle and Night Of Thunder being rowed.
Report bigmart June 17, 2014 8:24 AM BST
just to clarify tea bag Tongue Out

Foxes are able to run between 30 and 40 miles per hour at their fastest depending on the breed. For example, the common red fox has a top running speed of approximately 48 kilometers per hour, which is around 30 miles per hour. Another example is the gray fox that runs at around 42 miles per hour at its fastest speed.

According to the University of Michigan, the red fox not only runs at 30 miles per hour but also has the ability to jump over obstacles that are two meters high. They have claws on both their front and hind feet for getting good traction in the earth. Their front feet have five claws, and their back have four.

The high running speed of foxes is necessary for them to both catch prey and avoid larger predators. Their jumping ability also helps them use obstacles as a means of escape when they are being chased. The red fox lives just three years on average in the wild, but they are able to live as long as 15 years in captivity. Fox mothers and fathers take care of children in dens for several weeks, and siblings help out as well.
Report TEABAGHDAD June 17, 2014 8:35 AM BST
Superb i made big mart go to the effort of googling the speed of foxes and its not even 9am. Im on fire.


As for o'brian stable form???????


3 winners from last 6 runners.
Has entered 3 group races in last 10/11 days

1st,2nd,1st

Shocking hey.

This is THE flat meeting of the year

If you think aidans horses will be anything other than peak condition then give up now.
Report bigmart June 17, 2014 8:49 AM BST
tea err i only googled to demonstrate , i new the answer already Cool  if stable is in form he cd have a few winners , just been a bit in and out form me !  hot weather does not suit long traveller's  i wd back his other 2 but not his runner in this race , but hey its all about opinion , Tongue Out
Report HarmonicaPhil June 17, 2014 11:43 AM BST
Toormor seems to be underestimated here imo
Report GODSEND June 17, 2014 12:06 PM BST
With 2 wins from 5 outings in UK plus the winner of last years Breeders Cup Juvenile (Turf) Outstrip will be the selection. He had The Great Gatsby in 2nd place when winning the Champagne Stakes by 3 lengths at Doncaster in September, the runner up won The Prix De Jockey Cub in France 2 weeks ago. Trainer C Appleby's horses have been in great form this month and with W Buick in the saddle, in my view the selection must be in with a chance of finishing in the top 2. I find the 33/1 odds generous and a small stakes each way selection could prove to be profitable.
Report GODSEND June 17, 2014 12:08 PM BST
Now in a big field I'd expect Kingman and Night Of Thunder to battle it out especially if there was a fast pace, however in a small field both will find it tough to get the cover they need. The one I have always liked for Royal Ascot is War Command who wasn't beaten that far by the principles in the 2000 Guineas and we all know that is red hot form. The only course winner in this field and last year's impressive Coventry Stakes winner has a great chance of turning Guineas form around especially if Joseph O'Brien rides the race to win using his mounts turn of foot. The other two might just be keeping an eye on each other in their own personal battle which might leave the door open to my fancy. Fascinating race in store and I think a shock wouldn't be too much of one for me.
Report TheBigFatBookie June 17, 2014 4:06 PM BST
Just lumped a grand on the thing. Fingers crossed.
Report Ibrahima Sonko June 17, 2014 4:09 PM BST
a bit too short for me cosidering Kingman's best performances have been on slower than good.

no bet.
Report EVILROYSLADE June 17, 2014 4:11 PM BST
Just doesn't strike me as a real world beater. Too many ifs and buts. Toormore win and place for me. Return to best form required.
Report G1_Jockey_4 June 17, 2014 4:14 PM BST
godsend
in a small field i think toormore's eyeballing ability comes into play more.

no split group bias this time and less influence on how many fitness runs have been had.

expecting a cracker.
Report johnnythebull June 17, 2014 4:17 PM BST
wins minimum of 3 lgths
Report themightymac June 17, 2014 4:18 PM BST
For Night Of Thunder to win the 2000 despite drifting right across the track, strikes me that he is a very good horse. If he had kept straight, he would have beat Kingman 2 lengths. 3/1 looks a value bet to me.
Report ThunderRoad June 17, 2014 4:18 PM BST
Think it'll have far too much toe for these.
Report CheltenhamRoar June 17, 2014 4:19 PM BST
War Command wins this on the snaff
Report FOYLESWAR June 17, 2014 4:21 PM BST
going for night of thunder  in match bet  with kingman at around 3.3on here  ,toormore to set a strong pace may find out kingman and hughes to pick up the pieces
Report Dan Chipowski June 17, 2014 4:22 PM BST
I'll be disappointed and shall have a decidedly bruised wallet if Kingman is beaten here. Think it's a certainty.
Report Sharapour June 17, 2014 4:22 PM BST
Also going for Night Of Thunder
Report FOYLESWAR June 17, 2014 4:23 PM BST
! should be a great race whoever wins !
Report GEORGE.B June 17, 2014 4:23 PM BST
The prices assume Night Of Thunder was a fortunate winner at Newmarket and Kingman was unlucky, I didn't see it that way, so at the odds it has to be Night of Thunder of the 2.
Report FOYLESWAR June 17, 2014 4:25 PM BST
on value grounds has to be n o t over kingman 4 me
Report Poppydog. June 17, 2014 4:27 PM BST
War Command was breathtaking last year.
12s e/w to come back to form
Report stridingedge June 17, 2014 4:30 PM BST
WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOSH Shocked
Report Ibrahima Sonko June 17, 2014 4:30 PM BST
wp

no doubting him now
Report Jack Bauer '24' June 17, 2014 4:30 PM BST
Different class.
Report judorick June 17, 2014 4:30 PM BST
gagged up
Report maleuk01. June 17, 2014 4:30 PM BST
wow
Report FOYLESWAR June 17, 2014 4:30 PM BST
fair enuff good horse !
Report stridingedge June 17, 2014 4:30 PM BST
thought he was going flying into the rail at one point, real acceleration 1f out
Report GEORGE.B June 17, 2014 4:30 PM BST
Well done Kingman backers
Report desperatemunter June 17, 2014 4:31 PM BST

Jun 17, 2014 -- 4:19PM, CheltenhamRoar wrote:


War Command wins this on the snaff


.

Report GODSEND June 17, 2014 4:31 PM BST
lol another big race and another fav wins...
Report Angel Gabrial June 17, 2014 4:32 PM BST
All about the ground
Report Jack Bauer '24' June 17, 2014 4:32 PM BST
In front too soon in the Guineas.
Report TRD.Racing June 17, 2014 4:32 PM BST
One again Teabag shows he knows nothing,zip,nada,zilch about the game. Clueless guessing bankrupt mug
Report Insideshrewdie June 17, 2014 4:32 PM BST
Good call BM...did the RFC
Report johnnythebull June 17, 2014 4:32 PM BST
would've p*ssed all over FrankelLaugh
Report Jack Bauer '24' June 17, 2014 4:33 PM BST
A turn of foot as good as Zafonic.
Report mirisoo June 17, 2014 4:33 PM BST

TEABAGHDAD 16 Jun 14 23:37 Joined: 28 Jun 12 | Topic/replies: 2,157 | Blogger: TEABAGHDAD's blog
Kingman wont be in the top 2.

If he can get 3rd here then he has done well.
Rate reply:
| report block user


Deary deary me
Report doantwin2easy June 17, 2014 4:34 PM BST
reminded me of Zafonic
Report paul the b June 17, 2014 4:35 PM BST
Job done.GrinGrin
Report Angel Gabrial June 17, 2014 4:35 PM BST
Reminded me of Dancing Brave
Report mirisoo June 17, 2014 4:35 PM BST
mirisoo 16 Jun 14 18:08 Joined: 15 Aug 11 | Topic/replies: 460 | Blogger: mirisoo's blog
Nailed on cert if ever there was such a thing. In my opinion, of course.


LaughLaughLaugh
Report johnnythebull June 17, 2014 4:35 PM BST
Zafonic's guineas win was awesome
Report Angel Gabrial June 17, 2014 4:37 PM BST
Dancing Brave did it over 12f as wellWink
Report deadbrain59 June 17, 2014 4:42 PM BST
CoolCoolCoolCoolCoolCoolCoolCoolCoolCoolCoolCoolCoolCoolCool
Report TRD.Racing June 17, 2014 4:46 PM BST
TEABAGHDAD 16 Jun 14 11:13 Joined: 28 Jun 12 | Topic/replies: 2,154 | Blogger: TEABAGHDAD's blog
No its a mug bet. Horse is massively over hyped.

The race it won before the guineas was a farce ran at a crawl that turned into a sprint and made him appear better than he is.


The guineas he was lucky to get 2nd.

Had an advantage being on far side otherwise austalia would have beat him.

Rolling thunder drifted across the track and still comfortably beat him.


Was also trained to peak in the guineas and isnt proven at ascot.

Likely to run as flat as a pancake imo
Report Andrew in Sweden June 17, 2014 5:25 PM BST
:-) Awesome
Report Andrew in Sweden June 17, 2014 5:29 PM BST
Grin
Report Cider June 17, 2014 6:08 PM BST
Odds-on shot wins, wow Laugh

I did find the change of tactics from the Hannon firm pretty weird.

Good winner, no doubt. Looks an impressive crop of 3yo.
Report TheBigFatBookie June 17, 2014 6:22 PM BST
cider, funny comment as many don't win. Also many so called brains on this thread said it would not win.
Thanks paul as you convinced me to have a much bigger bet than normal.Grin
Report Andrew in Sweden June 17, 2014 6:32 PM BST
TBFB, i'm curious what Paul said that convinced you to have a bigger bet. Was there anything significant in the original post that wasn't known already ? It wasn't exactly difficult to select was it ? Wink
Report AlfieT June 17, 2014 6:33 PM BST
Cost me over £1500 not winning the guineas, the only loser on my classic yankee, oh well, he proved that run all wrong.
Report TheBigFatBookie June 17, 2014 6:42 PM BST
AIS,"good thing" "lump on" will that do for you?Happy
Report Andrew in Sweden June 17, 2014 6:44 PM BST
TBFB - No Wink
Report Glossy June 17, 2014 7:19 PM BST
Glossy     16 Jun 14 23:01 
I can't have it that Night Of Thunder is as good a horse as Kingman. I think that Guineas win was more than a tad fortunate and would go the other way more often than not if re-run. I think we'll see Kingman confirm this to be the case tomorrow as he routs this bunch.


Dat'll do Kingman. Dat'll do. Happy
Report bigmart June 17, 2014 8:57 PM BST
nice one sweden am glad for you buddy easy f/c Wink
Report Blackwater June 18, 2014 12:34 AM BST
Unlucky, Alf.
Report Gibberish June 18, 2014 2:06 AM BST
I must admit that I thought Kingman was over-hyped on the formbook and I couldn't really see a valid reason why he was beaten at Newmarket, even though it was a class renewal.

That said, Gosden's unwavering ebullience has been uncharacteristic of him as he's not one to go overboard.

I left the race alone for betting purposes but I wouldn't have been the slightest bit surprised to have seen Night Of Thunder confirm the Guineas form - there was no doubt about who was the best horse today and if they meet again, I'd like to see the Hannon colt make the final challenge as he quickened impressively in the Guineas and he's definitely no mug - a better than average Classic winner despite his huge price.

On today's evidence (and The Curragh) it's likely that Kingman is a very good horse that could be hitting a 130+ rating soon, and that figure could still be underestimating his capabilities.

Anyone think he could be pushing nearer the 135 (official) mark?
Report deadbrain59 June 18, 2014 6:44 AM BST
the irish form was there,+ausralia won the derby,thats classic form, a pro bet.Love
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