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Whirly
13 Mar 14 00:37
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 May 09
| Topic/replies: 95 | Blogger: Whirly's blog
Evening all,

Abbyssial-
Has already won a grade 2 in Ireland,
Is 3 from 4 with its only defeat coming on its first run in France.
As its only had 4 runs it is less exposed than the likes of Guitar Pete.
Trained by Mullins (jockey booking not announced yet, fingers crossed Ruby picks it)
Has won on good ground.
RPR only 4 lbs lower than top rated in the race.
3rd highest OR in he field, 6lbs lower than the fav and 2lb lower than RIH( who I've already backed ap)
Races prominently which should suit.

just had 50 ew with hills. It seems a big price to me. What are your thoughts? I must have overlooked something for it to be that price.
Whirly
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Report woodmanchester March 12, 2014 11:58 PM GMT
Hoping for Pearl Castle
Report dukeofpuke March 13, 2014 12:02 AM GMT
got the word for guitar pete
Report Whirly March 13, 2014 12:03 AM GMT
Ronaldinho finishing so close to Pearl Catle is enough to put me off. I know it was a steadily run affair but it looks quite weak form compared to some of the others in the race. Just my opinion. Good luck though.
Report elise March 13, 2014 12:06 AM GMT
ground maybe?

been touted as needing cut and having a french race target later in season, they said it might not go to chelt so might depend on how dry it has got and what watering takes place tonight & ahead of friday

if it ran i'd think you would have an easy trade out, the colours alone will have plenty of the irish having a saver on it
Report Whirly March 13, 2014 12:06 AM GMT
I backed guitar pete when it took care of the two hyped horses last time out. I must admit he jumped well and looked the winner a long way out. However I think he is priced just about right. So wont be backing him unless he drifts.
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 12:06 AM GMT
ground a big worry out of the best heavy ground sire whirly , the 3rd in that race was beaten today i backed it gergano 8th , i had two big bankers at this meeting the new one Cryand royal irish hussar for this Wink
Report woodmanchester March 13, 2014 12:09 AM GMT
Thanks Whirly. Been keeping an eye on Pearl Castle. Fingers crossed
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 12:10 AM GMT
has not won on good it was good to yeilding or in our terms g/soft  they go on good but better with plenty cut , good luck any how buddy
Report Brother Mouzone March 13, 2014 12:10 AM GMT
Will it deffo run whirly?

Here's a quote from Willie after lto:

It was a very good performance. I wasn't happy with his jumping over the first few but other than that he was impressive - when he needed the jumps he got them. He looks to be improving all the time.

I'll have to talk to the owner and see if he travels (to Cheltenham) or we keep him at home. I would like a wet Cheltenham for him, he wouldn't want it to dry and if it did he wouldn't go.
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 12:19 AM GMT
don't think pear castle is anywere near good enough to win this . just my opinion, need a horse that stays really well in this race . they stepped pearly castle up in trip after it won over 1m 2f to a 1m4f race it was last off 7 stamina doupt's perhaps on the stiff track and always a furious gallop in this race ?
Report Whirly March 13, 2014 12:24 AM GMT
I'll be cheering on hussar too. Managed to sneak 50 on with hills at 25-1 a.p. bad luck with the new one, i was on mtoy with a saver on jetzi, not a penny on the forecast!

I better head to chelts and turn the sprinklers on!

Anybody know if hills are nrnb? If they are I may put some more on. I agree with you Elise, should be able to trade out.
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 12:26 AM GMT
if it wins u cd always get the good lady around the garden for a barbie call it a whirly gig !LaughLaughLaugh
Report Whirly March 13, 2014 12:33 AM GMT
Need to find out if its going to run, then I can start dancing, lol.

On a different subject what are your thoughts on he Ryanair? Think I'm going to be up a while tonight studying the form at least until the rage from birminghams last minute equaliser fades. Cost me a big payout on my acca and I'm a villa fan! Hey ho.
Report woodmanchester March 13, 2014 12:36 AM GMT
Dynaste in the Ryanair for me, but think Boston Bob run well at a big price. Should have won last year
Report Whirly March 13, 2014 12:40 AM GMT
Tell me about it, I backed it. Lol.
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 12:42 AM GMT
used to date a girlie from brummie many moons ago solie hol better class off nic-kers up that neck off wds lol will have a look m8 really need good ground horses m8 r i hussar won its maiden race by 12 len on good over 1m 6f so stays vey well , 2nd horse train robber [weld trained ] won its maiden by 7 next time out franking the form , don.t do hold up horses at this track m8 never do well want to be up with the van or tracking leaders not held up!
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 12:48 AM GMT
dynaste for me seams too thrive on good going !
Report judorick March 13, 2014 12:53 AM GMT
just to point out Pearl Castle did not fail in his only start at 12 furlongs due to lack of stamina

he completely failed to settle because the gallop was too slow, pulled too hard and gave himself no chance of staying

I'm on at 25s so fingers crossed for Friday - good ground and a strong gallop
Report Whirly March 13, 2014 12:56 AM GMT
The best horses in the race all have something to prove in terms of well being, of them menorah has to be the pick if Hobbs has got him firing again.

Of the in form horses, at the prices I'm going to have to go with hidden cyclone. Looking at its hurdling and novice days, it's run some very decent horses close. Looks like it had a bad spell and didn't really train on but now seems to be coming back to the boil. Handles the track and will enjoy the ground. Decent ew price. 10-1. Menorah a shade shorter.
Report easygold March 13, 2014 1:00 AM GMT
Mmmmmmmm, G.Pete won`t get up the hill that`s a gimme, Pearl Castle is fine @25/1 but may be fighting for a place only. I like Broughton on @14/1 with Ladbrokes hope they don`t water too much though......
Report judorick March 13, 2014 1:00 AM GMT
keys to Ryan Air:

course winner
Grade 1 winner
won at 2 miles 5 furlongs and possibly further
not trained in Ireland
top 3 in betting
Report judorick March 13, 2014 1:01 AM GMT
oh and officially rated 160+

I'm on Dynaste ew at 8s and only crossing fingers
Report Brother Mouzone March 13, 2014 1:03 AM GMT
Judo is correct regards Pearl Castle, he was a bit of a boy, he had issues going down and refused to go in the stalls that summer too.

Who knows if he's good enough, the better race and gallop will be a plus, stamina isn't a negative for me, too soft ground would be.
Report easygold March 13, 2014 1:07 AM GMT
Sorry Whirly ur punt has a lot to find on the form in my opinion, those horses he has beaten are a poor bunch. My advice would be to get out of the bet I would be very surprised if good enough. The odds on Broughton are diminishing but I`m expecting a big run and will be disappointed if not involved.
Report Whirly March 13, 2014 1:07 AM GMT
I would have thought they would water quite a bit as no forecast rain?
Report Whirly March 13, 2014 1:14 AM GMT
I thought gerdago ran ok considering it was held up a long way back today with a big weight.
Report judorick March 13, 2014 1:18 AM GMT
they said 'only watering to maintain'

hopefully not too much
Report judorick March 13, 2014 2:52 PM GMT
boom


oh and officially rated 160+

I'm on Dynaste ew at 8s and only crossing finger
s
Report Brother Mouzone March 13, 2014 7:27 PM GMT
Ruby riding and 10s with Billy's now.........
Report Whirly March 13, 2014 7:28 PM GMT
Well done judorick, I had the 2nd and the forecast. Had a cracking day with Tarquin du seuile and more of that. 3 winners would have been greedy.

I have noticed abbyssial's price has come down...........and yes ruby is on it, go on you good thing! Or royal Irish hussar I'll be chuffed either way.

Going to have another look at the form tonight.......maybe have a couple of savers.
Report Whirly March 13, 2014 7:30 PM GMT
Yes brother mouzone, just wait and see it tumble all morning tomorrow. Fingers crossed.
Report elise March 13, 2014 8:41 PM GMT
gl if you hold onto the bet whirly, it appeared to ride a little slower on the new course so who knows, at least you have some value?
Report mac99 March 13, 2014 9:02 PM GMT
Broughton looked dominant and enthusiastic right from the off last time out when he beat a fairly  highly tried Irish Horse....but luck always needed in this race  GL
Report Deltâ March 13, 2014 9:05 PM GMT
Rutherglen/Royal Irish Hussar: dutched for me


GL
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 10:25 PM GMT
love this race , been very  lucky for me , horses don't wanna lie too far off the pace in this one ,and always a furious pace , want something that stay's a bit further , royal irish hussar been backing it for weeks ground came perfect for it , gonna do a wee f/c will make a sel soon and post! but my banker tomoz Wink
Report Whirly March 13, 2014 10:36 PM GMT
It's a tricky race, just lucky to have got on a couple at big prices. I've been studying the form tonight to look for a couple of cover bets. Here's where I am at.

I think calipto deserves to be fav, but is not getting much of a mention on here. The one I think is too short is broughton. The going is an unknown for tiger roll. I think guitar pete's form has hit it's level now and something less exposed will improve past it. If plinth was proven on the going I could be tempted, but I'm more concerned about Henderson's 2nd string Kentucky Hyden. There are other dangers I have not mentioned, but at the prices I'm not prepared to back them.

So I'll put enough on calipto to get my stakes back on hussar and abbyssial and have a small ew on Kentucky Hayden. Then hope one of the big priced ones go in and pocket a nice win.

Let me know your thoughts.

Could turn into a costly race, lol.
Report Whirly March 13, 2014 10:37 PM GMT
Evening big mart. What a day today, still buzzing!
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 10:41 PM GMT
a fancy broughton to be 2nd  3rd royal irish hussar looks a banker if it repreduces his last run at this track , Excited
Report Dotchinite March 13, 2014 10:45 PM GMT
Good evening Whirly. I was very sad with what happened to you at Warwick especially since Id had a good bet on you that day.
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 10:46 PM GMT
good i had a few winners , but i was absulutly seething on a 50 quid f/c i put on green salt to beat bobbing along 5.25 hex how the feck it got beat i will never know , bob bob bobbing along looked in big trouble 2 out and a was shouting keep 2nd place , green salt was cruising in front ! Cry no wander my hair is falling out ,   Crazy
Report knot in wood March 13, 2014 10:48 PM GMT
the fred winter is more like the old triumph hurdle now imo,this is more like a juvenile champion hurdle.
fancied calipto for a while for this,but 4-1 looks a bit skinny.
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 10:56 PM GMT
ground put me off it knot in wood , stable horses mmm not for me m8
on the gold cup what u like ? fancy     LAST INSTALMENT
Report knot in wood March 13, 2014 11:03 PM GMT
dont think ground will be a problem mart,was goodish when calipto won at newbury.(sure to throw a bit of water on as well)
no strong thoughts for the gold cup.
Report Whirly March 13, 2014 11:08 PM GMT
I'm on last instalment had a bet ap when he won last time out. Odds are pretty much the same now though. Going to have a good look through the form of the gold cup in a bit.

More to the point......Briar hill is too short for me! Kings palace ew has got to be a good bet if you can shop around for the price. Just deciding between captain cutter and deputy dan for the other ew punt to go with it.
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 11:16 PM GMT
yep u are right knot in wood sire prefered better grounf by some way , un usual for a french bred sire califit loved better ground . just the stables runners ?
    2000 TO DATE    WINNERS-RUNNERS    WINS    RUNS    %    2ND    3RD    £ PRIZE
Worldwide G1     0-2  0%     0     2         0     0     0
Euro Stakes     1-3  33%     2     9     22     0     2     59,735

    1988 TO DATE    WINNERS-RUNNERS    WINS    RUNS    %    2ND    3RD    £ PRIZE
Flat     0-2  0%     0     3         0     0     0
All-weather     0-1  0%     0     4         1     0     0
Jumps     10-24  42%     15     91     16     15     13     78,572
7-9f     0-2  0%     0     6         1     0     0
10-11f     0-1  0%     0     1         0     0     0
Heavy         1     11     9     1     3     6,498
Soft         0     16         4     2     0
Gd-sft         5     20     25     1     4     36,323
Good         5     33     15     6     4     24,267
Gd-fm         4     13     31     3     0     11,485

Statistics are for GB and Ireland unless otherwise stated
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 11:18 PM GMT
as u can see sire won more races on good than any other going interesting migh chase home mine but if anything gets to with in 5 len off royal irish hussar at this track and going be surprised , Excited ,
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 11:20 PM GMT
oops i men.t the sires prodgeny Crazy
Report knot in wood March 13, 2014 11:20 PM GMT
best of luck tomorrow mart,early start in the morning so better hit the sack.
Report bigmart March 13, 2014 11:24 PM GMT
night buddy , big celibrations if hendersons horse prevales , am all over       twisters in the 5.15 m8 heard a good word Wink
Report elise March 14, 2014 7:48 AM GMT
Rutherglen/Royal Irish Hussar: dutched for me

have those two plus broughton & plinth against the field, break even lindenhurst rest losers
Report mac99 March 14, 2014 9:10 AM GMT
Gone for Broughton but plenty of dangers including the  Filly, Adriana des mottes who looks a genuine sort, she may stay out of trouble by leading, always a lottery though gl
Report mac99 March 14, 2014 10:56 AM GMT
Interestingly Ruby put up a pound overweight on Adriana des mottes lto, it could be that the
reluctance to have the Filly carry overweight has determined  who rides what in this Race?
would of course be shorter if he was riding .
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