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TiptheOdds
04 Nov 13 22:12
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Date Joined: 07 Dec 01
| Topic/replies: 7,300 | Blogger: TiptheOdds's blog
Surprised no threads...

Personally I´ve got it narrowed down to about 10. Think Sea Moon has the class and will come out the best of Hickmott´s seven runners, and might be helped by his stablemates. Simenon could go well but the ground might just be a bit lively for him. Obviously Dandino and Fiorente have big chances. Brown Panther and Mount Athos have disappointed too often for my liking. Dunaden could go well but the one draw and top weight might be enough to scupper his chances of winning. Royal Empire is interesting with Kerrin McEvoy and the Aga Khan´s runner is an unknown quantity, but Red Cadeaux and Voleuse should be beaten by starting in the car park.

Don´t know anything about the jockey but taking a chance that Sea Moon´s class will pull through.
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Report judorick November 4, 2013 10:18 PM GMT
been a thread running for weeks in the ante post forum if you looked
Report chavman November 4, 2013 10:21 PM GMT
done dandino and simenon
Report easymoney November 4, 2013 10:31 PM GMT
judorick 04 Nov 13 22:18 Joined: 27 Nov 11 | Topic/replies: 19,258 | Blogger: judorick's blog
been a thread running for weeks in the ante post forum if you looked

Miaow .... I was happy to take the implication that the OP was referencing a day of the race thread, but hey why not jump straight in with a smug reply.

Disappointing to see the extent to which the race is dominated by Euro horses these days personally, though I do like Royal Empire as a horse.
Report TiptheOdds November 4, 2013 10:33 PM GMT
rick, fyi I read it already, but I wanted to talk to the folk on this forum.

No I don´t fancy Seville.
Report judorick November 4, 2013 10:34 PM GMT
you don't have to
Report xmoneyx November 4, 2013 10:46 PM GMT
sea moon@14/1
Report judorick November 4, 2013 10:47 PM GMT
On the balance of probability the winner:-

will probably not have been bred in the UK, Aus or NZ

will probably have won a Group race at some point in its lifetime

will probably have won at 1 mile 4 furlongs already

probably drawn no lower than 5, no higher than 17

probably trained in Aus, Fra or Ire

probably won a race with at least 14 runners or more

probably ran in the last 20 days


Apply all that:

Seville and Green Moon with Fiorente missing only by having won a race with 13 runners not 14
Report MC Roller November 4, 2013 10:48 PM GMT
Fawkner ew, Simenon straight win bet.
Report TiptheOdds November 4, 2013 10:52 PM GMT
Sea Moon also fits all your stat credentials except one (by 4 days)
Report TiptheOdds November 4, 2013 10:54 PM GMT
And Seville finished over 10 lengths behind easy winner Sea Moon at York.
Report Homer Simpson November 4, 2013 11:18 PM GMT
Long Cup races are difficult to call. 2 against the field would be Brown Panther and Verema, shouldn't be anywhere near purely on form.
Report Steamship November 4, 2013 11:19 PM GMT
Who is staying up to watch it? I'm going to try
Report xmoneyx November 4, 2013 11:26 PM GMT
Me
Report chavman November 4, 2013 11:28 PM GMT
steamship i worry putting the kettle on might be beyond you
Report Steamship November 4, 2013 11:30 PM GMT
I'm shattered now chav but that's after reading your patent thread
Report chavman November 4, 2013 11:33 PM GMT
Laughi know mate the amount of **** that turn up.all good humour though
Report chavman November 4, 2013 11:34 PM GMT
can i still do the **** bit
Report chavman November 4, 2013 11:35 PM GMT
nah they got wide to the ctrl/alt thing
Report TiptheOdds November 4, 2013 11:38 PM GMT
Just seen the 2012 race. Damien Oliver bumped Ryan Moore on Mount Athos twice in the last 3f or MA would have gone close.
Report andyk73 November 4, 2013 11:53 PM GMT
Sea Moon, could be too classy if it stays the trip. Brown Panther was pretty impressive upped to 2m at Goodwood & Voleuse De Coeurs is improving rapidly. Poor draw, but that Irish St Leger win was pretty awesome.
Good luck folks
Report megsy November 5, 2013 12:06 AM GMT
flemington track,a dead 4, dont be suprised if its a  good 3 by the time they jump
expected top temp 24, not a cloud in the sky.


hope this helps
Report Big Black Cat November 5, 2013 12:07 AM GMT
Would love to see Dandino win, but he doesn't stay 2 miles.

Love to be proved wrong.
Report megsy November 5, 2013 12:09 AM GMT
often the race is a stop start affair, he should run it out if its a sprint home.
Report xmoneyx November 5, 2013 12:13 AM GMT
do stewards give more leeway this race,ie anything goes Excited
Report Cork Langer November 5, 2013 12:28 AM GMT
Everything to go smoothly for Hawkspur today
Report xmoneyx November 5, 2013 12:30 AM GMT
John

1.verma
2.fiorente
3.simenon

MATT

1.dandino
2.sea moon
3.simenon
Report Arklearkle November 5, 2013 12:35 AM GMT
Just hope Simenon does it
Report metro john November 5, 2013 1:18 AM GMT
Have bet Tres bleu,and Demi,be surprised if Tres Bleu not good enough,Demi woorth the saver.
Report G1_Jockey_4 November 5, 2013 1:32 AM GMT
brown panther or tres blue.
only niggle re tres blue is the distance.....if it stays it wins simple
Report Money On7 November 5, 2013 2:29 AM GMT
Hawkspur and mount athos to fight it out
Report ebulGery November 5, 2013 2:40 AM GMT
Voleuse De Coeurs
Report poorpup November 5, 2013 2:40 AM GMT
d a n d i n o
Report megsy November 5, 2013 3:01 AM GMT
as i suggested, flemington track upgraded to good 3 and drying. sea moon has good form of late on dry tracks and all 4 wins by masked marvel have been on dry tracks.


european stayers thrive on the harder ground in oz. every horse in the race has a real chance to win.
Report elise November 5, 2013 3:09 AM GMT
dandino win, of the others despite a poor draw hawkspur e/w appeals as does dear demi
Report mecca November 5, 2013 3:23 AM GMT
Fawkner W&P(4) For me

It's won 5 times @ Flemington. That'll do for me at a nice price
Report daveygfc November 5, 2013 3:41 AM GMT
Fiorente to go one better than last year.
Report xmoneyx November 5, 2013 3:42 AM GMT
she's miming
Report aberdonia November 5, 2013 3:46 AM GMT
wonder if Luca would let me have a go?

Simeon for me.
Report aberdonia November 5, 2013 3:47 AM GMT
n
Report dan hardcore November 5, 2013 3:52 AM GMT
Have bet Simenon and Voleuse De Coeurs. Mount Athos for the tricast.
Report xmoneyx November 5, 2013 3:53 AM GMT
MATT trashing brown panther Excited
Report mecca November 5, 2013 3:54 AM GMT
Fawkner deffo the ugliest horse in the race.........gotta win it   Excited
Report themover November 5, 2013 3:56 AM GMT
Sea Moon for me, gl all
Report lemon party November 5, 2013 4:00 AM GMT
yep backed sea moon early in the week on the tote

should have taken the fixed odds lol

won't be complaining if it wins though Excited
Report xmoneyx November 5, 2013 4:03 AM GMT
looks like sea moon is most backed horse on forumLove
Report daveygfc November 5, 2013 4:07 AM GMT
Get in.
Report xmoneyx November 5, 2013 4:07 AM GMT
sea moon slow out Shocked
Report daveygfc November 5, 2013 4:09 AM GMT
That's the first time I've ever backed the winner of the Melbourne Cup.
Report xmoneyx November 5, 2013 4:11 AM GMT
red cadeaux unreal
Report Dan Chipowski November 5, 2013 4:12 AM GMT
Ryan Moore with an even worse ride this year on Dandino than he gave Mt Athos last year. MischiefPlain
Report aberdonia November 5, 2013 4:13 AM GMT
That race is on a different level to the self proclaimed world championships in yankee land.

proper racing.  Got to feel for the 2nd,  such an unlucky horse.
Report poorpup November 5, 2013 4:14 AM GMT
I HAVE A DREAM!!
Money Tree cost me thousands!!

Money Tree cost me thousands!!
04 Nov 13 12:48
Joined:
09 Mar 08
| Topic/replies: 3,357 | Blogger: Money Tree cost me thousands!!'s blog
Well actually peeps I had a dream.

Red cadueax was last.

Huge huge pla e lay
Report aberdonia November 5, 2013 4:17 AM GMT
got to love the eccentric Gai  Laugh
Report xmoneyx November 5, 2013 4:20 AM GMT
Money Tree cost me thousands!!     04 Nov 13 13:19 
Time for afternoon nap. Up early for the Aussie stuff.


ExcitedCryCool
Report xmoneyx November 5, 2013 4:24 AM GMT
4:00 - Emirates Melbourne Cup (Group 1 Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf)
Full result
2m, £2,435,897.44
1 Fiorente
2 Red Cadeaux
3 Mount Athos
4 Simenon
Report daveygfc November 5, 2013 4:25 AM GMT
Sad

@RacingPost: Reports from Flemington say that Verema has been put down after being injured during the Melbourne Cup
Report xmoneyx November 5, 2013 4:25 AM GMT
Sad
Report earlycrow November 5, 2013 4:33 AM GMT
Massive run the 2nd horse
Report xmoneyx November 5, 2013 4:35 AM GMT
it could be called seconditus,unreal,so many big races
Report daveygfc November 5, 2013 4:36 AM GMT
Red Cadeaux: 2nd in two Melbourne Cups; 2nd in Dubai World Cup; 2nd in Coronation Cup; 2nd in Sagaro; 2nd in Geoffrey Freer
Report xmoneyx November 5, 2013 4:38 AM GMT
totaly genuine horse
Report daveygfc November 5, 2013 4:58 AM GMT
Looks like Brown Panther picked up an injury during the race, being reported as severe lacerations to fore legs.
Report Arklearkle November 5, 2013 12:16 PM GMT
Just as well they dont give penalties in racing he would have gone down. Seriously hope he is ok - latest reports good.
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