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TiptheOdds
04 Nov 13 22:12
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Date Joined: 07 Dec 01
| Topic/replies: 7,300 | Blogger: TiptheOdds's blog
Surprised no threads...

Personally I´ve got it narrowed down to about 10. Think Sea Moon has the class and will come out the best of Hickmott´s seven runners, and might be helped by his stablemates. Simenon could go well but the ground might just be a bit lively for him. Obviously Dandino and Fiorente have big chances. Brown Panther and Mount Athos have disappointed too often for my liking. Dunaden could go well but the one draw and top weight might be enough to scupper his chances of winning. Royal Empire is interesting with Kerrin McEvoy and the Aga Khan´s runner is an unknown quantity, but Red Cadeaux and Voleuse should be beaten by starting in the car park.

Don´t know anything about the jockey but taking a chance that Sea Moon´s class will pull through.

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Replies: 63
By:
judorick
When: 04 Nov 13 22:18
been a thread running for weeks in the ante post forum if you looked
By:
chavman
When: 04 Nov 13 22:21
done dandino and simenon
By:
easymoney
When: 04 Nov 13 22:31
judorick 04 Nov 13 22:18 Joined: 27 Nov 11 | Topic/replies: 19,258 | Blogger: judorick's blog
been a thread running for weeks in the ante post forum if you looked

Miaow .... I was happy to take the implication that the OP was referencing a day of the race thread, but hey why not jump straight in with a smug reply.

Disappointing to see the extent to which the race is dominated by Euro horses these days personally, though I do like Royal Empire as a horse.
By:
TiptheOdds
When: 04 Nov 13 22:33
rick, fyi I read it already, but I wanted to talk to the folk on this forum.

No I don´t fancy Seville.
By:
judorick
When: 04 Nov 13 22:34
you don't have to
By:
xmoneyx
When: 04 Nov 13 22:46
sea moon@14/1
By:
judorick
When: 04 Nov 13 22:47
On the balance of probability the winner:-

will probably not have been bred in the UK, Aus or NZ

will probably have won a Group race at some point in its lifetime

will probably have won at 1 mile 4 furlongs already

probably drawn no lower than 5, no higher than 17

probably trained in Aus, Fra or Ire

probably won a race with at least 14 runners or more

probably ran in the last 20 days


Apply all that:

Seville and Green Moon with Fiorente missing only by having won a race with 13 runners not 14
By:
MC Roller
When: 04 Nov 13 22:48
Fawkner ew, Simenon straight win bet.
By:
TiptheOdds
When: 04 Nov 13 22:52
Sea Moon also fits all your stat credentials except one (by 4 days)
By:
TiptheOdds
When: 04 Nov 13 22:54
And Seville finished over 10 lengths behind easy winner Sea Moon at York.
By:
Homer Simpson
When: 04 Nov 13 23:18
Long Cup races are difficult to call. 2 against the field would be Brown Panther and Verema, shouldn't be anywhere near purely on form.
By:
Steamship
When: 04 Nov 13 23:19
Who is staying up to watch it? I'm going to try
By:
xmoneyx
When: 04 Nov 13 23:26
Me
By:
chavman
When: 04 Nov 13 23:28
steamship i worry putting the kettle on might be beyond you
By:
Steamship
When: 04 Nov 13 23:30
I'm shattered now chav but that's after reading your patent thread
By:
chavman
When: 04 Nov 13 23:33
Laughi know mate the amount of **** that turn up.all good humour though
By:
chavman
When: 04 Nov 13 23:34
can i still do the **** bit
By:
chavman
When: 04 Nov 13 23:35
nah they got wide to the ctrl/alt thing
By:
TiptheOdds
When: 04 Nov 13 23:38
Just seen the 2012 race. Damien Oliver bumped Ryan Moore on Mount Athos twice in the last 3f or MA would have gone close.
By:
andyk73
When: 04 Nov 13 23:53
Sea Moon, could be too classy if it stays the trip. Brown Panther was pretty impressive upped to 2m at Goodwood & Voleuse De Coeurs is improving rapidly. Poor draw, but that Irish St Leger win was pretty awesome.
Good luck folks
By:
megsy
When: 05 Nov 13 00:06
flemington track,a dead 4, dont be suprised if its a  good 3 by the time they jump
expected top temp 24, not a cloud in the sky.


hope this helps
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 05 Nov 13 00:07
Would love to see Dandino win, but he doesn't stay 2 miles.

Love to be proved wrong.
By:
megsy
When: 05 Nov 13 00:09
often the race is a stop start affair, he should run it out if its a sprint home.
By:
xmoneyx
When: 05 Nov 13 00:13
do stewards give more leeway this race,ie anything goes Excited
By:
Cork Langer
When: 05 Nov 13 00:28
Everything to go smoothly for Hawkspur today
By:
xmoneyx
When: 05 Nov 13 00:30
John

1.verma
2.fiorente
3.simenon

MATT

1.dandino
2.sea moon
3.simenon
By:
Arklearkle
When: 05 Nov 13 00:35
Just hope Simenon does it
By:
metro john
When: 05 Nov 13 01:18
Have bet Tres bleu,and Demi,be surprised if Tres Bleu not good enough,Demi woorth the saver.
By:
G1_Jockey_4
When: 05 Nov 13 01:32
brown panther or tres blue.
only niggle re tres blue is the distance.....if it stays it wins simple
By:
Money On7
When: 05 Nov 13 02:29
Hawkspur and mount athos to fight it out
By:
ebulGery
When: 05 Nov 13 02:40
Voleuse De Coeurs
By:
poorpup
When: 05 Nov 13 02:40
d a n d i n o
By:
megsy
When: 05 Nov 13 03:01
as i suggested, flemington track upgraded to good 3 and drying. sea moon has good form of late on dry tracks and all 4 wins by masked marvel have been on dry tracks.


european stayers thrive on the harder ground in oz. every horse in the race has a real chance to win.
By:
elise
When: 05 Nov 13 03:09
dandino win, of the others despite a poor draw hawkspur e/w appeals as does dear demi
By:
mecca
When: 05 Nov 13 03:23
Fawkner W&P(4) For me

It's won 5 times @ Flemington. That'll do for me at a nice price
By:
daveygfc
When: 05 Nov 13 03:41
Fiorente to go one better than last year.
By:
xmoneyx
When: 05 Nov 13 03:42
she's miming
By:
aberdonia
When: 05 Nov 13 03:46
wonder if Luca would let me have a go?

Simeon for me.
By:
aberdonia
When: 05 Nov 13 03:47
n
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