Since October 12th I've hit my best ever winning run in terms of prices and related strike rate been phenomenal and highly unlikely i'll ever have such a run again although it hasn't finished yet!But even on winning runs bemoaning luck like lady Sylvia beaten at 1.01,the more winners you back the more close calls you will obviously have so it does even out unless it's pure guesswork.I would imagine if you're betting is semi serious and not being able to put in the hours the temptation to have extra bets after run of close calls at probably not value prices is the big temptation.
Since October 12th I've hit my best ever winning run in terms of prices and related strike rate been phenomenal and highly unlikely i'll ever have such a run again although it hasn't finished yet!But even on winning runs bemoaning luck like lady Sylv
xmoneyx - I only start with a bank of £50 to £100 normally and only bet beyond my means when winning. Normal bets when winning would easily be 3 to 5 times my weekly income. I can get up to 1k in a very short time, last November I got up to 8k in only 2 weeks, and usually withdraw some to treat family, but usually I lose most back. If family knew how much I bet at times they would send for the men in white coats. I keep records and usually show an annual profit of about 5k+. If I weren`t a gambling addict, I reckon I could be a millionaire by now. Total amount bet yearly is approx 25 times my annual income All my bigger bets and successful ones are on Sports. I only bet horses for fun nowadays for £20 to £40. I don`t follow them as much now.
xmoneyx - I only start with a bank of £50 to £100 normally and only bet beyond my means when winning. Normal bets when winning would easily be 3 to 5 times my weekly income. I can get up to 1k in a very short time, last November I got up to 8k in o
Probably 8 or so, though my 'unluckiest' run was over 2 days where I had the 6 biggest bets of that month all lose in photo finishes and all of them were ahead before/after the line but lost on the bob! Sometimes there's just nothing you can do.
Probably 8 or so, though my 'unluckiest' run was over 2 days where I had the 6 biggest bets of that month all lose in photo finishes and all of them were ahead before/after the line but lost on the bob! Sometimes there's just nothing you can do.
I've had many runs in the 30s and at least one run into the 40s. I typically back it bigger prices though, very rarely below 3/1 and most bets at double digits. The hot runs are very hot and cold runs very cold, but I just plough on regardless. I've been keeping records for over 10 years and had over 4000 bets in that time
I've had many runs in the 30s and at least one run into the 40s. I typically back it bigger prices though, very rarely below 3/1 and most bets at double digits. The hot runs are very hot and cold runs very cold, but I just plough on regardless. I've
2017 has been by far my worst year in decades. May was very good, since then its been disastrous, with several long (15+) losers punctuated only by little clusters of short price winners which are just not doing anything for the recovery. But by far the worst feature is not getting what should be normal breaks where luck evens out. Second after second after second, several at double figures. If I shortlist two I'm on the wrong one and since the start of July, 22 horses I've backed have won next time out, some at huge prices. When I try to be ultra selective I pick the wrong races to bet and leave out winners that I hadbeen interested in. (Koeman unbacked at 20/1 on 27th September was hard to live with). I keep meticulous records, and I'm tired of writing "how can this keep happening when I'm doing so much right?" Bank is still doing its job, although it's taken a bashing, I can keep going for some time yet as I keep telling myself it just has to turn.
2017 has been by far my worst year in decades. May was very good, since then its been disastrous, with several long (15+) losers punctuated only by little clusters of short price winners which are just not doing anything for the recovery. But by far
goalposts have definitely moved over the last couple of years, 10 years or so, all positive except last year slightly down but this year massively down
goalposts have definitely moved over the last couple of years, 10 years or so, all positive except last year slightly down but this year massively down
BB - that reflects my experience - I need to decide if this is statistically significant because as I said above, I keep hitting the crossbar. KoD makes the right point - one that I'm acutely aware of, but it's tough staying ice cool even though I know thats exactly what I have to do.
BB - that reflects my experience - I need to decide if this is statistically significant because as I said above, I keep hitting the crossbar. KoD makes the right point - one that I'm acutely aware of, but it's tough staying ice cool even though I kn
Funnily enough I was just about to ask him how his dad is, (the old forumite Captain Cuttle)when I noticed from your comment it's a 4 year old thread. Used to be active on chit chat.
Funnily enough I was just about to ask him how his dad is, (the old forumite Captain Cuttle)when I noticed from your comment it's a 4 year old thread. Used to be active on chit chat.
Me too, workrider. Funny how people just vanish, tmm, joined just before me, and I see canny joined 3 days after you.
His dad's about 91, great bloke and was regularly passing messages on through tmm.
Me too, workrider. Funny how people just vanish, tmm, joined just before me, and I see canny joined 3 days after you.His dad's about 91, great bloke and was regularly passing messages on through tmm.
I thought is was odd he didn't comment when I brought back the thread about my much older half sister's very long marriage on their anniversary, as they are around the same age as the Captain.
Indeed.I thought is was odd he didn't comment when I brought back the thread about my much older half sister's very long marriage on their anniversary, as they are around the same age as the Captain.
King of Dubai - it's possibly a bit early to say really, but in the 2.5 years that I've been running my system, the winter months haven't been profitable, so it'll be interesting to see what happens over the next few months or so. The best months so far for me have been April through to July, but the picture may change next year. Watch this space as they say!
King of Dubai - it's possibly a bit early to say really, but in the 2.5 years that I've been running my system, the winter months haven't been profitable, so it'll be interesting to see what happens over the next few months or so. The best months so
King of Dubai - no that's ok, I understand what you're saying. The thing is I bet on my system every single betting day of the year (UK racing only), so over time I can get a clearer picture of any trends although I would say that even doing it for 2.5 years so far, I can't be certain that every winter is going to be a losing one for me, or for that matter, April to July will always be a profitable one. I would say, ask me again in another 3 years from now and maybe (or not as the case may be) I'll have a lot of historical data behind me to possibly see a trend, but at the moment I couldn't say for certain that there is a trend.
2.5 years is not long enough to be absolutely certain that any particular month is profitable or not.
King of Dubai - no that's ok, I understand what you're saying. The thing is I bet on my system every single betting day of the year (UK racing only), so over time I can get a clearer picture of any trends although I would say that even doing it for 2
steerforth, if you make money long-term you've just got to keep going, keep doing what you've always done it will change soon. If you flip a coin 1000 times you will get runs of 8,9,10 in a row where you get the same outcome. Think of that like close finishes where it's 50:50, when your luck is out you will have long runs where they all lose, buts it's the law of probability
steerforth, if you make money long-term you've just got to keep going, keep doing what you've always done it will change soon. If you flip a coin 1000 times you will get runs of 8,9,10 in a row where you get the same outcome. Think of that like close
go and check his nap a day on the comps division 1 thread guys,, every day odds on shots he puts up,, sometimes 1/6 shots ,thats all he does goes through the card m,and chooses the lowest price,,
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^2 today rank odd ongo and check his nap a day on the comps division 1 thread guys,, every day odds on shots he puts up,, sometimes 1/6 shots ,thats all he does goes through the card m,and chooses the lowest price,,
Milo A certain gentleman that frequented the forum many years ago had a run of 234 (either that or 243) , he lost many 10,000s during this run but he knew that what he was doing was right .............. his wife and family were nagging at him no end saying he was a loser and had no chance with gambling , they stated to him that what he was doing was the exact opposite from what he required and kept on and on during this losing run, he finally broke after many months of losses so he did what his family wanted and gave in needless to say I don't need to tell you the ending but 19 out of 21 losses again by them all winning. He went back to doing what he did originally and never looked back,
Milo A certain gentleman that frequented the forum many years ago had a run of 234 (either that or 243) , he lost many 10,000s during this run but he knew that what he was doing was right .............. his wife and family were nagging at him no end
One has to presume he placed money on them because he fancied their chances, and let's face it you don't bet 233/1 shots every time because you fancy their chances.
had a run of 234That's impossible if you don't mind me saying so.One has to presume he placed money on them because he fancied their chances, and let's face it you don't bet 233/1 shots every time because you fancy their chances.
When I was working (long time ago), I didn't have the time to study the form so I came up with a system that produced long priced selections and I believe it did make a profit with winners at prices up to 66/1 (just 1 of those to be fair) but I went through a patch of 47 consecutive losers.
When I was working (long time ago), I didn't have the time to study the form so I came up with a system that produced long priced selections and I believe it did make a profit with winners at prices up to 66/1 (just 1 of those to be fair) but I went
I'm currently bottom of the Premier Naps Table on here after 15 consecutive losers this month.
I was very close to winning it last month!
I normally look for 6/1 shots and above so hey-ho....
Can't bring myself to back odds-on or faves in general so long losing runs inevitable.
I'm currently bottom of the Premier Naps Table on here after 15 consecutive losers this month.I was very close to winning it last month!I normally look for 6/1 shots and above so hey-ho....Can't bring myself to back odds-on or faves in general so lon