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chavman
16 Apr 13 23:06
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Date Joined: 04 May 12
| Topic/replies: 35,110 | Blogger: chavman's blog
big hype ,not really beat much,can it win tomorrow
Pause Switch to Standard View puffin billy 2.10 chelt
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Report judorick April 16, 2013 11:15 PM BST
deffo not paying to find out
Report chavman April 16, 2013 11:21 PM BST
supposedly same bracket as the new one,same profile,lay at the price
Report uptheboro April 16, 2013 11:44 PM BST
For me the answer is Yes. What is there in this race to beat it? Puffin Billy from what i hear is thought to be a decent chaser in the making and whatever the horse did over hurdles was always going to be a bonus. But he has shown some pretty decent form over hurdles anyway. When he got beat at Exeter, he finished lame and last time at the festival, he was still in with a chance when he made a complete hash of the second last. But the opposition here is a lot weaker i reckon. Whisper has shown it's best form on heavy ground and will probably be seen to better efeect over fences next year. Bob Ford looks a nice horse but for me improved last time for the step up to 3 miles so im surprised to see him running here and i think the same could apply to Annacotty, as for Sankyouplease, No Thanks. That leaves Valdez and i reckon that one had it's limitations exposed last time. I reckon if Puffin Billy puts in a clear round he wins.

Best Of Luck If Your LayingHappy
Report shearer2therestcue April 16, 2013 11:46 PM BST
wouldnt wanna lay it thats for sure
Report judorick April 16, 2013 11:58 PM BST
yup no bet either way, many better opportunities will occur for both backs and lays

whichever way you go you risk 'sod's law'

Lay it and it will hose up like the good thing it appears

Back it and it will run like a camel

either way you're getting bad value, so watch
Report Dr Gonzo April 17, 2013 12:01 AM BST
Might not have beat much, but then it doesn't really have much to beat tomorrow. Giving weight all round is maybe a question mark, but still leaves something else having to show improvement to beat it.
Report gnashersblackpool April 17, 2013 12:13 AM BST
wished i got some of the odds against earier on.
Report comicbookguy April 17, 2013 7:42 AM BST
Backed it 2 races ago when 2nd to Melodic, was wrong that day and was easily beat.Left it alone at festival but thought it ran a good race. Gonna have interest today 5/6 with pp, it looks like will go off shorter. Hoping they want to finish season with a win.
Report Reynerd April 17, 2013 8:33 AM BST
@ around 8/11 its a BIG LAY for me...on my RATING its 2/1 chance.
Report uptheboro April 17, 2013 9:16 AM BST
I would check your ratings again ReyWink
Report metro john April 17, 2013 9:22 AM BST
Ground may be a concern,Whisper could be value?
Report Reynerd April 17, 2013 9:31 AM BST
uptheboro..checked them still the same!..its no PENALY KICK trust me,it WILL drift....lets see who's winking later on Wink
Report metro john April 17, 2013 9:36 AM BST
I agree reynerd,Whisper should be fav.
Report uptheboro April 17, 2013 9:39 AM BST
Happy Well best of luck Rey, still not sure about your 2/1 though. Personally i would snap your hand off at those odds. I hate backing at odds on myself but i would still have to say as odds on chances go, this is one of the better ones.
Report uptheboro April 17, 2013 9:41 AM BST
Well MJ if you think Whisper should be Fav, then you should be snapping up all that 9/2 on here. Best of luck if you do.Happy
Report metro john April 17, 2013 9:50 AM BST
not much between them on my ratings,i think Whiper got a  lb in hand,could prove a close call,but look forward too the raceGrin
Report racingstar April 17, 2013 9:52 AM BST
This horse stopped very quickly on both its last runs.
Not for me.
Report judorick April 17, 2013 10:53 AM BST
yeah I also rated the race up and had Whisper, let me check here, yeah...3lb below Puffin Billy

which makes 8/11 skinny enough for a back but slightly too high for a lay with only one serious rival
Report angeleyz April 17, 2013 11:01 AM BST
well in my opinion i think puffin billy will go off at around 8/15-1/2. if he is anywhere near the form of his win at ascot, he will hack up here. my only concern would be as someone else suggested, the ground. i do think he needs some give in the ground to be seen at his best, but reports so far say that it is on the soft side of good.
Report judorick April 17, 2013 11:06 AM BST
Whisper has only ever raced on heavy going over hurdles but hosed up on good in his only bumper by 15 lengths

he could improve bundles for the going change and I don't see how you can bet pre race really

no way is Puffin Billy an 8/15 shot though, I will lay that price just on principle if the market goes that way
Report guinness2dear April 17, 2013 11:23 AM BST
A cracking little race and by no means a two horse one..
Report Reynerd April 17, 2013 1:17 PM BST
i don't think puffin will stay....very open race in my book... think Annacotty will go well
Report GoldCupWinner April 17, 2013 1:41 PM BST
Whisper travelled very well for a long way behind At Fishers Cross. Has only raced on good once and won easily. Better ground may help him see the trip out better than he did that day. Puffin Billy hasn't encountered good ground over hurdles either btw. Too many question marks.
Report ThunderRoad April 17, 2013 1:45 PM BST
Bob Ford will ensure the pace is brutal. Will Billy get up the hill? I think BF could be tough to pass here.

GL
Report comicbookguy April 17, 2013 1:45 PM BST
Puffin 10/11 on here so dont take any 4/6 the bookies were offering. Sherwood wants the win but think I will stick with the bit 5/6 I have. 2nd fav seems strong. Still remembering that run before last.
Report tips April 17, 2013 1:50 PM BST
not sure puffin billy will stay and there is something about him that I think he may not find that much off the bridle,small lay for me
Report pandora1963 April 17, 2013 1:54 PM BST
the connections love getting short priced horses beat...
Report pandora1963 April 17, 2013 2:03 PM BST
now the drift...this is going to lose
Report comicbookguy April 17, 2013 2:04 PM BST
Big drift ,wonder if this horse not quite right, soon see. May be worth leaving till next season.
Report Poppydog. April 17, 2013 2:04 PM BST
1.75 out to 2.25

Great value now. Very talented horse.
Just worried there may be a niggling injury.
Surprised to see him out again this season
Report Poppydog. April 17, 2013 2:05 PM BST
2.4!
Report StillLearning April 17, 2013 2:05 PM BST
whisper win

gl
Report pandora1963 April 17, 2013 2:06 PM BST
cant win..
Report roo April 17, 2013 2:09 PM BST
why does he think its a 20f horse, its all speed for me.
Report desperatemunter April 17, 2013 2:11 PM BST
very very nearly broke my rule to back McCoy - changed to Whisper to place
Report Poppydog. April 17, 2013 2:11 PM BST
Gambled on Whisper
Paddock neg
and tanked to start
Report desperatemunter April 17, 2013 2:11 PM BST
Laugh at people talking about this being an 8/15 shot.
Report pandora1963 April 17, 2013 2:16 PM BST
Laugh
Report guinness2dear April 17, 2013 2:16 PM BST
Cry
Report guinness2dear April 17, 2013 2:17 PM BST
Cry
Report roo April 17, 2013 2:18 PM BST
terrible placing from a terrible trainer, he hasnt had a gd horse for 15 years, horse is all speed.
Report comicbookguy April 17, 2013 2:21 PM BST
Sorry but that horse was not right, bad decision imo to run it. Knew my fate before the off when drifted so badly. Should have listened to myself and backed 2nd fav......
Report salmon spray April 17, 2013 2:23 PM BST
Sherwood/Aspell. The nightmare combination.
Report duncan idaho April 17, 2013 2:24 PM BST
agree with comicbookguy, dont think horse is right at present...niggled at top of hill....didnt look 'all speed' when off bridle 4f out at Exeter (when also wrong obv)
Report tips April 17, 2013 2:27 PM BST
he is on the go a long time,think he will come back a serious 2 mile chaser next season,will never be top class but will win plenty
Report Reynerd April 17, 2013 2:27 PM BST
roo..knows the time of day..uptheboroWink
Report Reynerd April 17, 2013 2:31 PM BST
metro john..well doneWink
Report roo April 17, 2013 2:35 PM BST
duncan idaho     17 Apr 13 14:24 
agree with comicbookguy, dont think horse is right at present...niggled at top of hill....didnt look 'all speed' when off bridle 4f out at Exeter (when also wrong obv)

i agree duncan, horses dont back off and jump right at the obstacles if all is well, terrible placing nonetheless
Report Poppydog. April 17, 2013 3:22 PM BST
Lame

as several pointed out. Surprised he was running again this season after two problematic runs
Not sure if the drift was coincidental
Report ashleigh April 17, 2013 3:22 PM BST
finished very lame.
Report racingstar April 17, 2013 10:10 PM BST
The horse finished exactly the same as it had done in its previous two races(as I pointed out earlier).
Report moondan April 18, 2013 5:28 AM BST
Horse overrated, Jockey a very poor race rider and a trainer that has trouble keeping horses.

Sums it up really.
Report uptheboro April 18, 2013 9:21 AM BST
Well done ReyHappy you called that spot on.
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