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Is Dynaste the proverbial?

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Replies: 72
By:
duffy
When: 05 Apr 13 14:26
9/4 is just too big about dynaste,I've got to back him at that price.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 05 Apr 13 14:30
Super Duty for me, will win from the front in a tactical race. Don't like Dynaste on good ground.
By:
GODSEND
When: 05 Apr 13 14:34
now this is a better race
By:
pandora1963
When: 05 Apr 13 14:35
cantering all over em!!
By:
GODSEND
When: 05 Apr 13 14:37
WOW ROCKY CREEK WHAT A PR1CK
By:
Virgin
When: 05 Apr 13 14:37
Third IntentiHappyn

well done brigust1    &  winners
By:
Jack Bauer '24'
When: 05 Apr 13 14:37
Different class to this lot.
By:
SlippyBlue
When: 05 Apr 13 14:37
Welldone, a very solid performance and jumped beautifully all the way round.
By:
TheJudge
When: 05 Apr 13 14:38
wd Brigust Cool
By:
flyingbolt
When: 05 Apr 13 14:38
Well done,Brigust. Wish I'd backed him for the KG before that.Sad
By:
Stevie Gerrard
When: 05 Apr 13 14:38
wd Brigust.
By:
duffy
When: 05 Apr 13 14:38
big price.
By:
Howdi
When: 05 Apr 13 14:39
Pipey will be thinking he should have gone to the RSA now.
By:
CheltenhamRoar
When: 05 Apr 13 14:39
Well done,Brigust. Wish I'd backed him for the KG before that.

You think he'll beat Sprinter Sacre?Mischief
By:
s.kenbo
When: 05 Apr 13 14:40
Well done.
By:
BARNEY21.
When: 05 Apr 13 14:40
Good un brigust1 I backed it with a wee w/plc Third Intentions so not bad. good luck for the rest of the meeting.
By:
brigust1
When: 05 Apr 13 14:41
Wow. All the clues were there I didn't know anything but well satisfied with that.
By:
pedrobob
When: 05 Apr 13 14:43
wd Brigust, no worries there...
By:
the dealer
When: 05 Apr 13 14:43
imo a totally different horse today than the one that turned up at Cheltenham.

well done Bigrust
By:
flyingbolt
When: 05 Apr 13 14:44
Always confident of beating a non runner,Cheltenham Roar.Mischief
By:
Howdi
When: 05 Apr 13 14:44
Better hoss at 3 than 2.4 imo
By:
Stevie Gerrard
When: 05 Apr 13 14:44
wd barrym, barney and the judge as well. left it alone myself.
By:
brigust1
When: 05 Apr 13 14:45
This was a poor race actually that was my reasoning.
By:
turnip turns
When: 05 Apr 13 14:45
Well done brigustCool
By:
mange
When: 05 Apr 13 14:47
WD
By:
CheltenhamRoar
When: 05 Apr 13 14:48
if SS wins with his head in his chest today (which is entirely possible) then there's every chance he'll run in the KG Happy
By:
the dealer
When: 05 Apr 13 14:48

Apr 5, 2013 -- 2:44PM, Howdi wrote:


Better hoss at 3 than 2.4 imo


looks like it but wouldnt have won anything at any distance the way he looked and ran at Cheltenham

By:
jonjon
When: 05 Apr 13 14:49
How many people were put off by the price?

If you say 'i have to back him at THAT PRICE *GASP*'

Surely if you continue to back horses that drift to a price far bigger and 'offputting' throughout the year you will end up in the street with yer hands out?

I dunno, at times i still feel the bookies are the ones in power
By:
Virgin
When: 05 Apr 13 14:57
1st    1    Dynaste     3.2     3.25     -7%
2nd    5    Third Intention     19.5     17     +10% Mischief

Unlucky  Virgin
By:
casemoney
When: 05 Apr 13 14:58
never seen scu so confident pre race Happy
By:
CheltenhamRoar
When: 05 Apr 13 15:12
We've just seen the King George winner HappyGrin
By:
flyingbolt
When: 05 Apr 13 15:13
You may well be right,Cheltenham Roar.Happy
By:
BarryM
When: 05 Apr 13 19:20
Interesting point Jon Jon, but the flip side is that the entire essence of betting is that you have to find ones where the price is too big. Lots of horses drift like barges and still win. Many of my most memorable (and biggest) winning bets have been on horses like that. I can go back to Desert Orchid's 4th King George, when he touched 9-4 and probably should have been 1-3, or User Friendly in the St Ledger, who went from odds on to 11-4 against and won like a good odds on shot. This was nothing like as dramatic as those.

I think the key if a horse drifts dramatically is to understand why. This one was beaten when red hot favourite last time out, and there were some reservations about the ground. Add to that a second favourite from the Nichols/Walsh team and a reasonably well fancied McCain runner at Aintree at a working man's price, and you can see why the people who look at the Sun racing page and make their mind up in 2 minutes were not backing the favourite. And at this meeting, especially today, those people are a huge chunk of the market.

The way I read it, if you were sure he was in top form and the ground had been a bit softer, he was a 4-6 chance at most. Because there were risks, I rated his chance about evens. At 6-4 I'd have started to get a bit interested. At 5-2 that's just a crazy crazy price on easily the best horse in a 6 runner field and you just had to be all over it.
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