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GT-MOLE
05 Mar 13 00:59
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Date Joined: 20 Mar 12
| Topic/replies: 9,804 | Blogger: GT-MOLE's blog
The first is fairly tentative in respect of what can and does happen on the racecourse and with connections having due regard for wellbeing.However he has passed on what he has heard in respect of a very talented mare.She is as talented as she was when purchased to give birth,she failed to conceive hence she is returning to the course.

If she wins it is a nailed on certainty she will dominate the Pacing Roast today.More than 2 years off the race course however thriving in work and been looked after better than HM your Queen was in hospital.Not hard fit but reckoned to be fit enough to run a BIG race.

Kim Tian Road in the 14.30 at Exeter,cold trainer and equally cold jockey in the wider world.However none lacking in talent and this girl is a tryer,wont be knocked about if not in contention between the 2nd and 3rd last,if she is on the premises then,a fair chance she will be at least placed.

W & P molerats suggestion,IR ask after 3rd last for stake at least,he hopes she will be full of it.


The second is purely coincidental that it is the same race,hard fit and bouncing and ready for this.Only her second start over timber and said by the rat to have tightened up for her last outing and eager for the course.Was of interest to one of the yards bigger owners for decent money and could change hands in the near future.

With that in mind  Fairey Delta has to be considered in the same race,again W & P.Molerat has also suggested small rev exacta or fcast here.

He does say that Kim Tian Road would eat these for breakfast all being equal but 2+ years away from the track even the trainer can only hope all goes well.

Personally Dutching both W & P and rev ex.

GL if you have a dabble

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Replies: 58
By:
mitdav
When: 05 Mar 13 08:47
As if it isn't hard enough to pick a winner, here's some advice stop putting the drivel on the forum no ones interested.
By:
s.kenbo
When: 05 Mar 13 14:36
What a shout. very well doneLaugh
By:
judorick
When: 05 Mar 13 14:36
nice post mitdav Laugh

very nice winner Moley
By:
micheal
When: 05 Mar 13 14:37
yea great shout GT
By:
holywell
When: 05 Mar 13 14:38
Coming into form for Cheltenham ?, all we need now is for Skinto's nap to win today.Happy
By:
cape verdi
When: 05 Mar 13 14:39
nice post, well done.
By:
BIG GURU
When: 05 Mar 13 15:02
Laugh Great stuff GT,that'll show them Wink
By:
Kelly Brook
When: 05 Mar 13 15:15
cheers , well done
By:
bilbobaggins
When: 05 Mar 13 15:23
Where are those creeps that usually appear on here to criticise you? Haven't heard from you again mitdav. Coward.
By:
FELTFAIR
When: 05 Mar 13 15:38
Hold the rat poison, bring out the bubbly.Grin
By:
hello :-)
When: 05 Mar 13 15:39
Detractors possibly seething but im sure they will be along shortly with good wishes
By:
manxy
When: 05 Mar 13 16:00
aye good shout, another one like that, and you will be even for February's shambles.
By:
CheltenhamRoar
When: 05 Mar 13 16:10
Unbelieveable stuff GT.Very well done.

Regards,(OTS) Wink
By:
manxy
When: 05 Mar 13 16:20
oh dear oh dear oh dear oh dear.

advice given

Personally Dutching both W & P and rev ex.



1pt dutch win

32.21 and 6 = staked .14 .86 gross return : 3.10
ROI: 330.96%

1pt dutch place

1.79 and 5.71

Income: -.32
ROI: -32.35%

reverse exacta -2pts


so some sums

+3.10
-0.32
-2.00
total profit on advices given 0.78pts to level 1pt stakes.



MASSIVE THREAD PROPHETS.

0.78pt
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 Mar 13 16:34
LaughLaugh

YSD gormless muppet manky cant even count...........btw the terrible February was + 10 points at SP.......much more gained of course.

Have a nice seethe.Tongue OutCool
By:
dave1357
When: 05 Mar 13 16:46
look GT your man is back on form fair enough, but after you claimed that a losing horse that went off at 7 and traded at 6 was down as a winner, you became a complete joke.
By:
Trusty
When: 05 Mar 13 16:46
GT MOLE you have more stories than HANS CHRISTIAN ANDERSON; but they are all fairy tales!

WD on the lucky pin sticking on a 16/1 winner.
By:
s.kenbo
When: 05 Mar 13 16:47
6 points staked, 23 points return= 17 points profit.
By:
manxy
When: 05 Mar 13 16:49
i know why you bait with the likes of february's nonsense, you cannot link to one profitable nippets thread, no matter how much you bluff infront of your 'crowd' they know, you know, and i know, you cannot link one, only shout nonsense about imaginary profit, now like i said i know WHY you do it.

its a p1ss-take out of commercial tipsters, one in particular, but he/they never bite, so why bother.

leavng big grey areas like in-running percentages yada yada, put some kind of points system up, make your staking and aths crystal clear, like YOU DEMAND of others, and then we will see, eitherway, drop the hypocracy with other 'locals' here tipping a few up, or expect the same scrutiny.

fcuk the smoke and mirror illusion of MASSIVE profits off, and play a straight game.
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 Mar 13 16:50
RPFL 169 lucky guesses from 224...............seethe way you muppet.......ALL posted and the losers include the February stabs at finding an outsider + a 4 horse multiple spec bet.

Btw dave that was not claimed as a winner.hth

+ 1,271 points at SP btw since Jan 2012.gl if you have a dabble in future.Cool
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 Mar 13 16:52
ALL on here manky..........points claimed to SP.......no more no less........would be at least 50% more if best prices or BF used..........................hth YSDC.LaughWink
By:
bf_fananatic
When: 05 Mar 13 16:52
I had it third rated and a brillaint call molerat I am vet impressedCool
By:
manxy
When: 05 Mar 13 16:52
yeah yeah, link to one then.
By:
STATSMAN
When: 05 Mar 13 16:53
^ Well done ^ Cool

Nearly as good as mine Laugh
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 Mar 13 16:54
Btw manky,£5,322 net profit from laying ROWAN ROAD win and place..........who tipped it as a certainty?Laugh

Thanks mug.CoolCool
By:
wallis
When: 05 Mar 13 16:55
kenbo they were dutched.

so if you have 1pt on at 16-1 shot you need roughly 4pts on the 4-1 to generate the same profit regardless what horse wins. So you are shelling out around 5pts to make 16.  Add in similar pts for the dutching of the place on both horses (a large loss on the place of the fancied runner) and the reverse exacta.
By:
manxy
When: 05 Mar 13 16:57
exactly wallis, only i gave him 32, 6s at sp he had about a 13/8 winner
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 Mar 13 16:57
Wallis learn to read ffs,the thread said what molerat recommended and I said what I would do personally.

Thick as fukc some of you.CryLaugh
By:
bf_fananatic
When: 05 Mar 13 17:00
if you add molerats last 2 winning tips to his 2013 tally he is indeed in profit

and just shows that its so easy to knock tipsters when they don't make a rake in the short

term but many just don't count the profits long term!
By:
manxy
When: 05 Mar 13 17:01
can you show us these profits bf
By:
hello :-)
When: 05 Mar 13 17:01
im going to spain with my winnings what about you lads ?
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 Mar 13 17:03
The ****wits dont even understand dutching...........the object is a set profit thickos.......makes no difference what the prices are.............and btw a rex ex only = 2 bets regardless of stake.hth thickosLaughCry
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 Mar 13 17:03
Fukcwits and rev ex.Tongue OutWink
By:
bf_fananatic
When: 05 Mar 13 17:04
I dont have the tally but reckon its about 10-12 tips and 2 wins but I cant recall

the exact figure as I am only using grey matter Wink
By:
s.kenbo
When: 05 Mar 13 17:21
Im with you now WallisLaugh
By:
scaredmoney
When: 05 Mar 13 17:38
great stuff GT,tyvm
By:
manxy
When: 05 Mar 13 17:44
wallis
05 Mar 13 16:55
Joined:
04 Jan 03
| Topic/replies: 2,703 | Blogger: wallis's blog
kenbo they were dutched.

so if you have 1pt on at 16-1 shot you need roughly 4pts on the 4-1 to generate the same profit regardless what horse wins. So you are shelling out around 5pts to make 16.  Add in similar pts for the dutching of the place on both horses (a large loss on the place of the fancied runner) and the reverse exacta.


theres the exact dutch at 18/1 4/1 win,  out 100 in 227 = 5/4, i guessed 13/8, i was a smidgeon out.




Total Stake     100       
ROI: 227.27%             
Income: 227.27           
           
              
Price:     18        18.18
           
Price:     4        81.82
By:
manxy
When: 05 Mar 13 17:46
http://www.ukhorseracing.co.uk/tools/DutchingCalculator.asp
By:
s.kenbo
When: 05 Mar 13 18:23
Cheers Manxy.
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