Forums
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
These 338 comments are related to the topic:
Frankel v Brig Gerard- a show of hands

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
Page 6 of 9  •  Previous | 1 | ... | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 338
By:
Figgis
When: 24 Oct 12 19:29
You cannot help yourself, can you?

No, sorry I can't, never been one to suffer morons.
By:
duncan idaho
When: 24 Oct 12 20:02

Figgis
24 Oct 12 19:24

Says the man who "demands" that Phil Smith doesn't raise Frankel's rating, thinks Timeform are a "disgrace" because they give a rating he disagrees with, and thinks the whole system of rating champion racehorses should be scrapped and replaced with his own "hall of fame" idea.



Laugh
By:
brigust1
When: 24 Oct 12 20:08
Classy Figgis, real classy.

Yes I am prepared to speak my mind and open my views to debate, this is a forum after all. You may disagree with my views that is your right but to insult me only shows the kind of person you are and to what extent you are prepared to go in an attempt to belittle those you disagree with. In fact it is only a show of ignorance.



And the one thing I refuse to do is stoop to your level.
By:
Figgis
When: 24 Oct 12 20:14
I suggest you are just an argumentative, sad person hanging onto any way possible to make yourself look superior to everyone else.
Sad, very sad.

And the one thing I refuse to do is stoop to your level.

No, of course not, brig Grin
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 24 Oct 12 22:30
The 7.62 in the foot again Brig?

Now do you understand the possible variables in rating performance other than lbs,feet and inches,a piece of string and a slide rule?

Muscat is a complete clown.hthWink
By:
brigust1
When: 24 Oct 12 23:12
You may not like him and you may think he is a clown GT that is your opinion. I don't and I don't think I have shot myself in either foot. I simply stated what was blindingly obvious. Though you may disagree with my view at least you didn't call me a moron and that is totally unnecessary in reasoned debate. The whole thing about a forum is that views, often different views can be aired without resort to abuse or insult. I am neither a moron nor am I thick. That some posters can hide behind their anonimity while abusing other posters says more about them and when that position is reached the person abusing or insulting has already lost the argument.
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 24 Oct 12 23:22
I have never called you a moron Brig or insulted you.The point i was making was summed up earlier in that CDA got so close to Frankel as the conditions for the majority of the race suited CDA better.

Therefore Muscats comments are a complete distortion of the facts,he has interpreted the race like a complete novice to suit his readers.The fact is CDA was broken by the winning line and another furlong whether heavy/soft or good and Frankel would have been 5 maybe 10l in front of him.
By:
Figgis
When: 24 Oct 12 23:23
That some posters can hide behind their anonimity while abusing other posters says more about them and when that position is reached the person abusing or insulting has already lost the argument.

I suggest you are just an argumentative, sad person

The lack of self awareness is quite staggering.

Moron v sad person - a show of hands Laugh
By:
brigust1
When: 24 Oct 12 23:37
You obviously never saw them pulling up GT. Where Frankel usually takes ages to pull up CDA was begining to run past him again. Ian Balding said he looked like he was at the end of his tether and that will do for me.
By:
harry2.1
When: 24 Oct 12 23:47
Six months down the line and this argument will still be going. You will still be looking for any angle to crab Frankel because you believe the Brigadier was better. FACT.
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 24 Oct 12 23:47
Your opinion Brig but the facts as I,molerat and others viewed was that TQ left it later than usual to ask Frankel for an effort (as in his latter races).Frankel was comfortable and relaxed and TQ gave him one tap.

For a horse at the end of his tether he must have a heck of a recovery rate as he would hardly have blown a candle out post race.
By:
Figgis
When: 24 Oct 12 23:54
"You can't deny that Frankel must be pretty well the best we've ever seen."

Ian Balding, no less. Wink
By:
brigust1
When: 24 Oct 12 23:57
Whether I believe BG was better or not is that a problem Harry? Read the title of the thread. Am I not allowed to have my opinion or am I supposed to just say nothing? This is a horse racing forum isn't it?

And GT it is not my opinion it was Ian Balding's opinion. I saw them pulling up just like millions of others did and Frankel wasn't 5 lengths clear. Some, like me I'm sure, will think the reason TQ left it late was because he was hanging on to nothing. A bit like the St James Palace Stakes. As Jamie Osbourne said he runs a bit like an elastic band when the elasticity is gone there is nothing left.

They may all be wrong, I may be wrong but similarly you may be wrong that is the beauty of this sport.
By:
harry2.1
When: 25 Oct 12 00:13
The bottom line is "No-one will ever know" Good night.
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 25 Oct 12 00:34
Pulling up and barely breathing heavy Brig,unlike SDA who was shattered.Another furlong or maybe two and Frankel would still have been galloping.

That is the secret of reading a race,not bits of string,lbs shillings and pence.Where many fall down is believing what they hear,what they are told,what they read from others.

Seems even what you see can baffle "greats" like Jamie and Ian?

Fact is most switched off their brains 20 yards from the line,happens to the best..........even happens to people like Jamie.hthWink
By:
Dr Gonzo
When: 25 Oct 12 00:48
Where Frankel usually takes ages to pull up CDA was begining to run past him again.

He was not labouring.

I saw the horse up close afterwards, and my view echos GT's.
By:
hello :-)
When: 25 Oct 12 00:49
Ian balding did say that , he also said frankel was the best we had seen

i like to think in all this the one opinion i trust was Ian Baldings , Been there from day one and a truly great trainer who knows whats what
By:
hello :-)
When: 25 Oct 12 00:52
im sorry lads but i seen from a long way out frankel wasnt traveling like it normaly does , and at the end he got past but didnt go away

Its pure conjecture if it was the ground or something else , but nonethe less , a great horse could have been beaten last saturday , tho frankel isnt great he is the best ever which got him home
By:
corbiewood
When: 25 Oct 12 04:01
brig must have a list of quotes from racings top echelon at hand everytime this takes a turn for the worst for him.
By:
Shiekh Me Hand
When: 25 Oct 12 04:49
What does this even matter?

Frankel cannot read - Prince Khalid won't give a t.o55 - Sir Henry has other things on his mind and the Brigadier is dead.

Go for a walk or sit in the garden, enjoy the memories of both and move on - all of ya !!
By:
buddeliea
When: 25 Oct 12 07:52
Hats off to yer Brig,did really well despite the barracking!!!

Cannot be much more to say now,best leave it i reckon.
By:
duncan idaho
When: 25 Oct 12 08:07
the race was 10f long...what would have happened after another furlong is a complete red herring (tho the idea that Frankel would have been 5, maybe 10 lengths clear- from someone who purports to have watched the finish closely and to be a skilled racereader- is ridiculous)
By:
brigust1
When: 25 Oct 12 08:40
I am not about to criticise Ian Balding today or any day and he difinitely knows more about it than me. However what do you expect him to say? He is a gentleman. If he said Frankel is 'pretty well' the best horse then it means just that. It doesn't mean definitely, or clearly, or obviously it means pretty well and I think most think that, possibly even me, possibly. If the prize was for style over substance then he could be acclaimed best ever and I use the word 'could' only.


I've always said my main gripe is that Timeform has rated him the 'best ever' and there is absolutely and unequivocally no proof of that whatsoever. All of this hype will die down and the true depth of Frankel's ability will be openly discussed. There was a pull out in the RPost detailing all of the horses he could have beaten, by association. Surely that applies to every champion racehorse?
By:
grendel
When: 25 Oct 12 10:20
There is no 'proof' of any rating Brig as it's all worked out on the back of nothing more than probability.

What's the proof that Sea-Bird II earns his 145 rating, or Brigadier Gerard earning his 144 rating.

You know my opinions on the quality of racehorse today compared to 1972 but either way it's highly improbable that the two sets of timeform ratings of the two seasons 40 years apart compare in 'real' terms, in reality we are simply arguing over the 147 rating of Frankel compared to his contemporaries against the 144 rating of Brigadier Gerard to his contemporaries which is a moot point in trying to come up with a definitive comparison of Frankel and Brigadier Gerard.

One thing is for sure though, if we had 10 racehorses of Frankels quality born in 2008 they wouldn't all be rated 147. All that would happen is that those top 11-30 of the remainder would be rated a lot lower than they are currently rated.  The timeform pattern race ratings is like a lump of plasticine, it is shaped every year dependant on the comparitive performances but the amount of plasticine only changes in proportion to the pattern race population from year to year.

If you took Brigadier Gerard from being born in 1968 to being born in 2008 as he was and trained him on todays methods and raced him on todays tracks who knows what his skeletal and muscular and heart/ lungs etc.. make-up could have withstood.  He might have ended up at this point at the end of his career being rated anything from 80 to 150.
By:
brigust1
When: 25 Oct 12 10:53
I don't think that is what ratings are all about Grendel. That is too subjective. I prefer to work on style and substance. The races won, the horses beaten and the range of ability shown. As I've stated numbers of times I am certainly happy for Frankel to be compared with the like of Sea Bird 11, Brigadier Gerard and Mill Reef but what irks me is when an organisation puts one clearly above the others then, when showing their workings, they do not add up. Then when questioned they singularly fail to provide any evidence to support their claims simply saying 'we will have to agree to disagree'.

There is absolutely no doubt in my mind that the range and quality of horses beaten by any of the above exceed that of any of the horses Frankel has beaten.
By:
Sergei_Rebrofl
When: 25 Oct 12 11:07
Probably the first time I've seen someone criticize a horse for being overtaken after the race was finished Crazy
By:
Figgis
When: 25 Oct 12 11:29
http://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/timeform-debate/simon-rowlands/simon-rowlands-in-defence-of-inferential-comparison-251012-43.html

A good blog from Simon Rowlands.
By:
brigust1
When: 25 Oct 12 12:00
Lots of words saying absolutely nothing, as usual. Everyone agrees comparison is what makes the world go around but fraudulent comparison stinks. It would then and it does now. Why shouldn't he defend his position, or rather, his employer's position. What makes me wonder most is WHY he had to make this statement in the first place. If he was secure in his position there would be absolutely no need. He isn't that's why it's there.
By:
duncan idaho
When: 25 Oct 12 12:03
He seems entirely secure in his position...if you're not going to write it when people deride your methodology in making a horse the highest rated ever, when are you going to write it?
By:
Figgis
When: 25 Oct 12 12:04
fraudulent comparison stinks.

They are only fraudulent in your head. Everybody else either agrees totally, agrees in a roundabout way (that's me), or disagrees entirely, gives their opinion, then gets on with it.
By:
brigust1
When: 25 Oct 12 12:10
Anyone who thinks this was written for my attention is deluded. I know I am far from being alone that is why he made it. Suggesting comparisons are a hobby for horse racings fans is absolutely true but what he represents isn't a hobby. There is a huge difference there. Had the connections of these other great horses been still alive this debate would be in echelons far superior to this forum. However they are not so escaping unscathed is still a possibilty.

And they are not only fraudulent in my head I can assure you of that.
By:
Sandown
When: 25 Oct 12 12:19
that a 147-rated horse in 2012 can be considered superior in terms of ability to a 140-rated horse in 1986. Simon Rowlands


This is the crux of the matter; the 147 rating from TF, the respected authority, which underpins the claim that Frankel is "the best ever." Without this rating being given to Frankel, there would still be disagreement, but TF's endorsement somehow adds the intellectual rigour, the air of authority, that brooks no argument.

We should all be aware of the"recency bias" which loads the interpretation in favour of recent form compared to distant form. Any poll of the best ever in any field throws up such ridculous opinions in favour of the current well known contenders that cause one to ignore such polls altogether.

However, TF's ratings are not polls. Rowlands informs us that "we (TF)can at least claim to have taken considerable care to make those ratings comparable, through statistical and and standardisation procedures, so that a 70-rated horse in one context is comparable with a 70-rated horse in another" implying that the methodology is so sound as to be unquestionable.

Well, I beg to differ. The fact of the matter is that collateral ratings have never improved beyond providing a performance record of 30% winners for the top-rated, a standard which has hardly changed since ratings were first invented 70 odd years ago.Put another way, the top-rated horse loses 70% of the time. If that is not cause for a tiny bit of humility, a sense that ratings do not provide the complete answer to assessing differentials in merit, then what does?

I have watched racing for over 35 years and in that time have read about many of the great horses from previous generations prior to the 70's as well as viewed much of the footage available since film was used. Like many on here and other threads, I have a strong sense of disbelief that we have just seen the greatest race horse of all time. I would like to believe it, I really would. But the memories of many equally magnificent animals just keep returning to cast doubt over the claim. A great horse, yes. But the greatest? When Ali was fighting there was no disagreement at the time, nor since, that we were seeing the greatest boxer, perhaps the greatest athlete, of all time. I do not have that certainty with Frankel because he has not won the greatest of races nor beaten the greatest of rivals. And therein lies my reply to Simon Rowlands and all those who will brook no argument.We have doubt not certainty. And ratings alone are insufficeint evidence, imo of course.
By:
buddeliea
When: 25 Oct 12 12:23
My opinion as well Sandown- well put comments there.
By:
Figgis
When: 25 Oct 12 12:27
ratings do not provide the complete answer

Has anybody ever claimed that they do? I, like others, including you from memory, compile my own time ratings. They're not exactly "The truth and the light", or whatever it was that Beyer said all those years ago, but they obviously have some merits or we wouldn't persist with them. Timeform are a commercial ratings company, when they consider a horse has surpassed all their previous high ratings they are going to say so, just like any of us would. As to which horse is regarded as the greatest, that is obviously up to each individual.
By:
duncan idaho
When: 25 Oct 12 12:34
Anyone who thinks this was written for my attention is deluded


No-one does....why would you think that? Seem a bit self-obsessed, if you dont mind me saying.
By:
Figgis
When: 25 Oct 12 12:36
Put another way, the top-rated horse loses 70% of the time. If that is not cause for a tiny bit of humility

This somehow implies that you believe the best horse always wins each race? Not that the best horse on the day wins the race, or that form is fluid. As Dylan said, "The slow one now will later be fast....and the first one now will later be last".
By:
Sandown
When: 25 Oct 12 12:41
Figgis

It is because, like you, that I produce my own ratings that I am fully aware of the errors in calculations that can arise from the many factors involved in producing ratings, that lead me to the conclusion that they are never right but are useful as a starting point. Whetehr it be going allowances, wind allowances, weight for age,sex allowances, pounds per second/length formulae,jockey allowances, final times, sectional times, course standard times, good trips/bad trips, fitness levels, tactics, pace etc the room for error is immense. The reality is that one figure can never ever do justice to the problem.A range of figures might get closer but it of course can become unmanageable. Reread what I said and you will see that I what I said was that the TF assessment UNDERPINS the claim to Frankel being described as the greatest, and not that no-one has ever said that the TF rating is thebe all and end all.
By:
Sandown
When: 25 Oct 12 12:45
Figgis

Put another way, the top-rated horse loses 70% of the time. If that is not cause for a tiny bit of humility

This somehow implies that you believe the best horse always wins each race? Not that the best horse on the day wins the race, or that form is fluid. As Dylan said, "The slow one now will later be fast....and the first one now will later be last".


Re-read what I said. It is the opposite of what you consider to be the implication.
By:
brigust1
When: 25 Oct 12 12:52
My point DI was that I am certainly not the only one questioning his position. A lot of people disagree but accept it and move on, and then a lot of people don't. This is not just something raised on this forum, he is probably tackled about it every day. So I see no reason why I should just leave it. So please try to understand why I am simply asking the questions. I would hope, and reading your posts I am pretty sure, if you were in the same position you would pursue it with vigour. Probably, almost certainly, better than I have.
By:
Figgis
When: 25 Oct 12 12:52
TF assessment UNDERPINS the claim to Frankel being described as the greatest

Underpins the claim to who, though? I don't think any real punters still call Timeform the Bible do they? They have a reputation so they must've been doing something right in the past, but that doesn't mean everyone has to agree with everything they do. I'm still baffled how a 1.5 length beating of Most Welcome and a 3 length defeat of Celestial Storm equates to a 139 rating. I disagree with it, but there would be something wrong if I didn't disagree with some official or commercial ratings. However, I don't regard it as a conspiracy, like some do.
Page 6 of 9  •  Previous | 1 | ... | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
‹ back to topics
www.betfair.com