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TRD.Racing
19 Oct 12 12:38
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Date Joined: 14 Apr 11
| Topic/replies: 12,831 | Blogger: TRD.Racing's blog
How desperate are you to try and make it pay.

Dear oh dear

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Replies: 141
By:
par
When: 19 Oct 12 12:39
you have to shake the head and utter a silent prayer for the poor souls
By:
Slicer
When: 19 Oct 12 12:42
You might think so, but if it only happens once in every 1001 races they are in clover with massive prophets!
I hope this posting contributes to the understanding of Won Oh Wons and their methods!
By:
Aviboyd
When: 19 Oct 12 12:43
once in every 1001 races Crazy
By:
duncan idaho
When: 19 Oct 12 12:46
when, say, £6k is matched @ 1.01, is that £6k to win £60?
By:
alun2005
When: 19 Oct 12 12:47
Less commission obviously (if winning), so even worse value.
By:
wee eck
When: 19 Oct 12 12:48
Slicer with respect do you think a profit can be made backing 1.01s?

I know a guy who is making big profits by having 1.02 bet on in all

races he is using a sliding scale stake he has been doing it for about

a year now and tells me he has never had it so good.
By:
BARROWBOY
When: 19 Oct 12 12:52
cant see how a runner in a s/chase can ever be 1.01 with a fence still to be jumped.
By:
Slicer
When: 19 Oct 12 12:55
Mr Eck- I believe your friend. However weather it is possible or not, this method is not for me. I would think it would be necessary to have a decent computer and advanced software to get on at that price and that price only. My clockwork Sinclair Spectrum run by a well fad rat running in a wheel to turn the clockwork mechanism is not really up to it!
By:
duncan idaho
When: 19 Oct 12 12:58
cant see how a runner in a s/chase can ever be 1.01 with a fence still to be jumped.

i would imagine the bets were struck when horse was in mid-air and appeared to have taken it cleanly...if they wait for a few strides after the fence, the money's all gone
By:
stu
When: 19 Oct 12 13:20
Odds that the leader falls before taking the last fence in a race over chase courses...? Sure some have done the stats on that, but of course differs due to horses too..
By:
roo
When: 19 Oct 12 13:21
long drive back from fakers if youve sploshed on a 1.01er
By:
budapest
When: 19 Oct 12 13:24
Surely you have to be at the track or the delay would beat you.
By:
Nahasapeemapetilon
When: 19 Oct 12 13:28
tracks a goldmine today thanks
By:
mugged4amillion.
When: 19 Oct 12 13:38
You've lost your entrance fee too. This just adds to the misery. Laugh
By:
yorkie1
When: 19 Oct 12 13:41
From my observations when a horse is clear it's on average 1.03 to jump the last fence and 1.01 to jump the last hurdle.

Not for me though apart fropm hedge facility.
By:
TRD.Racing
When: 19 Oct 12 13:48
I guess it's just one way to try and make the game pay,but they are not punters are they,just money buyers.

Apart from having the balls to lump on for small returns hoping for no fallers on every race,there is no skill involved at all
By:
Slicer
When: 19 Oct 12 13:51
I am sorry to disagree, Mr Racing.
To make it pay in ANY WAY on hear means that skill is involved. One can be lucky for just so long!

I hope this clarifies the matter!
By:
stu
When: 19 Oct 12 13:53
If I was a 1.01 buyer in that race would have not pressed the button before that last, I was already wincing as it careered into it...
By:
TRD.Racing
When: 19 Oct 12 13:55
What skill is involved in being at the course and lumping on one when already clear. No skill,just balls and a failure to make the game pay in any other way
By:
rocky ttotal
When: 19 Oct 12 13:55
If you laid the field at 1.01 in every race you would be well in profit.Unfortunately unless you work for betfair you wont get matched on all the losers Wink
By:
stu
When: 19 Oct 12 13:55
Judging likelihood it will fall would be a pretty good guess TRD!
By:
Slicer
When: 19 Oct 12 14:01
Mr Racing- the skill is in realising that that is the way to make it pay!

I hope this further clarifies the matter!
By:
milo222
When: 19 Oct 12 14:02
wee heck, trouble is I have studied this for a while now and it doesn't pay.
I have studied the last 5300 races and 1.02 has only come up 30 times (should obviously be nearer 50)
1.01 has come up 69 times so you could argue that 69 + 30 is 99 at 1.02 but out of 5300 races the 1.02's need to be over 106 to make any profit, and that's if they are all matched of course.

1.01's are showing a nice profit of 69 times out of the 5300 races, but It is nigh impossible to get them all matched. Current matching rate for myself is only 40%, so roughly 27 matched at 1.01 is obviously losing money.

Safe to say I don't think the 1.01 or 1.02 techniques can win unless you can be first in the matching queue, and I don't know how you can get in before whoever it is?
By:
stu
When: 19 Oct 12 14:03
before whoever it is?

Those 'suspend monkeys' got to eat you know...
By:
milo222
When: 19 Oct 12 14:03
(That should be nearer 106, not 50, sorry)
By:
stu
When: 19 Oct 12 14:11
Almost had another faller at last in the 2.05 there!
By:
andyl
When: 19 Oct 12 14:12
TRD.Racing • October 19, 2012 1:55 PM BST
What skill is involved in being at the course and lumping on one when already clear. No skill,just balls and a failure to make the game pay in any other way

pmsl you are correct but you seem to assume most track players go to a track tp play this game...only a few do play this strategy
By:
Slicer
When: 19 Oct 12 14:21
"Almost" -ah yes.

One of the most used words in an unsuccessfull punters vocab along with "if only"!
Almost is not good enough I am sorry to say.
By:
TRD.Racing
When: 19 Oct 12 14:26
andy For sure those at the track have tried to make it pay at home,failed,tried to make it pay in a shop,failed,hence now at the track.

If you can make it pay in the comfort of your own home why would anybody have all the aggro of going up and down the country
By:
andyl
When: 19 Oct 12 14:29
not true TRD i won decent in shop for 6 yrs before i came to track the better shop players now predominantly at track now why the game is hard
By:
andyl
When: 19 Oct 12 14:31
and it all depends how much u want to win to win the big nos it's hard in the shop now to do that as the liquidity is much worse than a few years ago and getting the "right prices" is hard if you're playing behind
By:
rcing
When: 19 Oct 12 14:34
surely what is not being said is that alot of the 1.01 backers will also be getting matched at odds above 1.01
By:
andyl
When: 19 Oct 12 14:36
they are "override" backers rcing but as you know noone ever questions the prices you get given by betfair ie"the betfair bot" ....mmmmm see evens get 1.2 lol see 6 get 2 lol
By:
howard
When: 19 Oct 12 14:39
I don't suppose  they  care  whether they have any skill or not. Andyl thats a good point. Do they bother  going to Turf tv tracks ?
By:
andyl
When: 19 Oct 12 14:42
yes howard most tracks got track players in a few boxes very few dont....the edge on turf is less than a second but the liquidity is greater ....
By:
starfish and coffee
When: 19 Oct 12 14:42
They're at every track in the UK bar Kelso
By:
andyl
When: 19 Oct 12 14:46
wrong starfish n coffee.....you are missinformed kelso is riddled with track players
By:
starfish and coffee
When: 19 Oct 12 14:52
Is it ? Never used to be. Suppose the times are a changing.
By:
mr crisp
When: 19 Oct 12 15:22
most ventures that fail fail through lack of expertise
why should betting in running be any different
theres always some better or better equipped or better organised than others

me i would be just too slow and fat fingered to even consider trying it
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