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Sureyoudidtellmeanother
06 Sep 12 14:09
Joined:
Date Joined: 26 Oct 11
| Topic/replies: 205 | Blogger: Sureyoudidtellmeanother's blog
Please do any of you know what is the longest Fav,s losing run in 4 runner or less fields over the last 5 years?
Thank you if you do answer
Pause Switch to Standard View Gold mine here if anyone can answer...
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Report Deltâ September 6, 2012 2:10 PM BST
yes at least one of us knows


wot is my prize
Report elise September 6, 2012 2:11 PM BST
easy one, what do i win?
Report Glasgow Brian September 6, 2012 2:17 PM BST
Sequences of Consecutive Unsuccessful Win Selections
1 Loser    248
2 Losers    108
3 Losers    62
4 Losers    18
5 Losers    13
6 Losers    4
7 Losers    2
8 Losers    1
9 Losers    0
10 Losers    0
11 Losers    0
12 Losers    0
13 Losers    0
14 Losers    0
15 Losers    0
16 Losers    0
17 Losers    0
18 Losers    0
19 Losers    0
20 Losers    0
21 Losers    0
22 Losers    0
23 Losers    0
24 Losers    0
25 Losers    0
26 Losers    0
27 Losers    0
28 Losers    0
29 Losers    0
30+ Losers
Report Deltâ September 6, 2012 2:18 PM BST
^ thar ya go
Report Sureyoudidtellmeanother September 6, 2012 2:22 PM BST
Deltâ Thank you for giving me some of your precious time, it now looks like my Gold mine has transformed into stone
Report Slicer September 6, 2012 2:23 PM BST
So the Systim is to weight for 8 consecutive losing faves in 4 hoarse races and then lump on.

Squillions await!!!
Report Sureyoudidtellmeanother September 6, 2012 2:25 PM BST
Glasgow Brian Thank you for giving me some of your precious time, it now looks like my Gold mine has transformed into stone
Report Sureyoudidtellmeanother September 6, 2012 2:27 PM BST
Slicer Yes all we now need do is sit on a half million bank and wait for that big day to arrive
Report Slicer September 6, 2012 2:29 PM BST
Why???
I have outlined the Systim. If you are impatient, weight for 7 consec and then double up if the next selection loses.

I hope this is of assistance. Frankly I am too impatient for this Systim, but good luck anyway.
Report Glasgow Brian September 6, 2012 2:30 PM BST
You'd be much better laying WEAK FAVOURITES -  results are as follows



                          Totals

Bets    Wins    Win Strike Rate    Win %Return at Estimated Betfair Odds
All Selections    1919    279    14.5%    75.4%
Report swift-tuttle September 6, 2012 2:32 PM BST
even if the figures were favourable there are considerable practical problems in implementing this strategy

fluctuation of short prices between 2 horses close to the off;
withdrawn horses;
across the card or delayed races.
Report duncan idaho September 6, 2012 2:39 PM BST
Glasgow, by WEAK FAVOURITES, are you referring to favs that are weak in the betting or favs that are weak judged on some other criteria? cheers.
Report Duvauchelle September 6, 2012 2:42 PM BST
he forgot the "end" after week
Report Glasgow Brian September 6, 2012 2:46 PM BST
Totals

Bets    Wins    Win Strike Rate    Win %Return at Estimated Betfair Odds
All Selections    933    103    11.0%    70.4%



Favourites that won Last Time Out in certain races .
Report Glasgow Brian September 6, 2012 2:48 PM BST
Dunc .


favourites that lack at least 2 of a possible 3 criteria that are massively ignored by the masses .
Report duncan idaho September 6, 2012 3:11 PM BST
interesting, GB....is that to SP or BSP? cheers
Report Glasgow Brian September 6, 2012 3:35 PM BST
sp usually some way shorter than bsp . so just goes to show what sort of profits  betshrek and co make !

I'd say i lay well under half of them lower than bsp as the price seems to drift near to the off ,but as you can see from the above

still a nice profit to be made for the layers ,  even at bsp,
Report swift-tuttle September 6, 2012 4:10 PM BST
care to state the criteria Brian?

just for the record of course
Report swift-tuttle September 6, 2012 4:12 PM BST
that question is inappropriate and I retract it immediately

pier to pier sight as stake would say
Report Glasgow Brian September 6, 2012 4:17 PM BST
that question is inappropriate and I retract it immediately

ShockedShocked
Report top2rated September 6, 2012 5:11 PM BST
Bets    Wins    Win Strike Rate    Win %Return at Estimated Betfair Odds
All Selections    933    103    11.0%    70.4%



I thought those figures posted earlier by Glasgow Brian rang a bell Grin

He posted them here on the General Betting forum....

http://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/29042901/finding-that-edge?post_id=518359003#518359003

under his other forum username of ZEALOT on the 6th April this year.


By his own admission the following day, those figures were for the years 2004-2010 and they were 'lifted' from the Adrian Massey site which was not updated after March 2011.  I suspect the 'Sequences of Consecutive Unsuccessful Win Selections' data is from the same source.
Report duncan idaho September 6, 2012 5:14 PM BST
Glasgee Cry
Report dave1357 September 6, 2012 5:19 PM BST
disappointed gold miners ittSad
Report Glasgow Brian September 6, 2012 6:30 PM BST
zealots banned now for calling THOMMO Cry
Report Glasgow Brian September 6, 2012 6:30 PM BST
zealots banned now for calling THOMMO Cry
Report Glasgow Brian September 6, 2012 6:30 PM BST
zealots banned now for calling THOMMO Cry
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