Gerry Gallbladder 04 Apr 12 15:30 Joined: 22 Jun 04 | Topic/replies: 4,098 | Blogger: Gerry Gallbladder's blog Never had you down as a Nick Hewer fan CT.
Its the business brain on him and what with me being a yuppie and all that..
Gerry Gallbladder04 Apr 12 15:30 Joined: 22 Jun 04 | Topic/replies: 4,098 | Blogger: Gerry Gallbladder's blogNever had you down as a Nick Hewer fan CT.Its the business brain on him and what with me being a yuppie and all that..
All you need in this game Grim ( assuming it's you ? ) is a bit of software to save wasting time , good head for maths , market awareness and a developed strategy that will work for reasons you can identify , then it's a full time occupation for anyone that wants it.
Leave your form books in the last millennium and stop the recreational punts and you've cracked it.
Not looked on here much recently but presumably this is your latest forum name Grim ??????
All you need in this game Grim ( assuming it's you ? ) is a bit of software to save wasting time , good head for maths , market awareness and a developed strategy that will work for reasons you can identify , then it's a full time occupation for anyo
Btw seaside,having seen your tips you should give up doing a tissue if they are any guide.Waste of time anyway these days as even the books take their tissue from here.hth
Are you still on your lonesome grimmy?Btw seaside,having seen your tips you should give up doing a tissue if they are any guide.Waste of time anyway these days as even the books take their tissue from here.hth
I do, just for Group Racing.Convert the ratings into pricesExample____ QE II Rating Price Frankel 137.5 1.30 Excelebration 124.5 21 Immortal Verse 124 22 **** Turpin 124 22 Cityscape 122.5 29 Rio
I only do the top class stuff, but if someone had the time to put the research in, it could be done for handicaps etc quite usefully IMO
With Group Racing only need to keep track of about 200 horses who don't run that often
I only do the top class stuff, but if someone had the time to put the research in, it could be done for handicaps etc quite usefully IMOWith Group Racing only need to keep track of about 200 horses who don't run that often
I may be way off the mark but your ratings/odds are very similar to the Russell Clarke/RPR/lbs off top rated method.
Looks as if you adjust the RPR in some way.
tobermoryI may be way off the mark but your ratings/odds are very similar to the Russell Clarke/RPR/lbs off top rated method.Looks as if you adjust the RPR in some way.
If you watch enough racing then they just stand out without tissue imo Marvada vs Up tonight a great example 1.5 vs 10. something unbelievable value. Sadly I went to the pub after work and didn't get home in time to take advantage, but my mates in the bookies texted me to say cheers for the tip! Scant consolation!
If you watch enough racing then they just stand out without tissue imo Marvada vs Up tonight a great example 1.5 vs 10. something unbelievable value. Sadly I went to the pub after work and didn't get home in time to take advantage, but my mates in th
If you watch enough racing then they just stand out without tissue imo Marvada vs Up tonight a great example 1.5 vs 10. something unbelievable value. Sadly I went to the pub after work and didn't get home in time to take advantage, but my mates in the bookies texted me to say cheers for the tip! Scant consolation!
If you watch enough racing then they just stand out without tissue imo Marvada vs Up tonight a great example 1.5 vs 10. something unbelievable value. Sadly I went to the pub after work and didn't get home in time to take advantage, but my mates in th
I have made a table for converting the difference in rating to H2H Odds for each horse in the race
So Frankel 13 superior to Excelebration = 1.056 to beat him, and of course shorter odds to beat the rest, which added up to 1.30.
What you mention maybe more sophisticated. The actual ratings are my own opinion.
BTW the example of that race was a bit flattering, as Frankel would have been the bet because i think he was 2/5 . I made plenty of books last year that would look silly in hindsight, so i'm not claiming to be doing great . I think this is a good method for ascertaining Value though and just beed to be more accurate with the ratings which should come with time . Mever had a proper go through a season before but intend to do so this year.
Of course many compiling their own odds will just do it intuitively, without handicapping . Thats ok but i just think you get more consistency this way, and less influenced by what pundits are saying on the day.
Top2, don't know about thatI have made a table for converting the difference in rating to H2H Odds for each horse in the raceSo Frankel 13 superior to Excelebration = 1.056 to beat him, and of course shorter odds to beat the rest, which added up to 1