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sandyhood
02 Feb 12 10:55
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Date Joined: 10 Aug 01
| Topic/replies: 39 | Blogger: sandyhood's blog
Is this a common phenomenon?
Looking at the race Pipers Piping doesn't look out of the ordinary until you look at the amounts of money trying to get on and lay.
Is this a technique used by punters wanting to back and lay, so they put large amounts up to discourage offers or requests (and get other punters to place a bet)?

I'm just interested - a few minutes ago Ladbrokes cut their price from 11/2 to 5/1 but I didn't see that as significant
Pause Switch to Standard View 3.30pm Southwell Pipers Piping
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Report sandyhood February 2, 2012 11:11 AM GMT
The queueing money has gone down. Most matched at 6.4 and 6.2.

At the time I'm writing:
Total matched on this event:     £18,646
Reduction Factor     16.7%
Betting summary - Volume:     £6,506

Compare this to the favourite
Total matched on this event:     £19,074
Reduction Factor     29.5%
Betting summary - Volume:     £7,788
Report JohnLaurie February 2, 2012 11:14 AM GMT
Virtually every Chris Beek runner is heavily backed and/or shortened up
Report sandyhood February 2, 2012 11:25 AM GMT
That seems to have happened here. Seems odd that a syndicate are taking prices which net off as poorer value than the books. Lots of 5/1 around, and (provided they don't have restrictions at Ladbrokes) both better value there and without commission.
Report sandyhood February 2, 2012 12:24 PM GMT
When I did my assessment of the race I felt Dashing Eddie was beatable and that the 13/8 7/4 15/8 kind of prices didn't take full account of the rise in handicap.
I am prepared to back D'Urberville at 4/1 or bigger (as that way I can build in the risk of a bounce effect) but I had felt 7/1 would be needed to attract me to back Pipers Piping.
I was initially drawn to review Pipers Piping because I wasn't familiar with the betting pattern. But since then I have seen a jocked up entry tomorrow for an apprentice handicap and am prepared to consider that the handicap today may well be generous. Tomorrows race is 0-65 and would be then contestable with a penalty as well as top weight.
So I'm looking at Pipers Piping today and have cut my required price to just under 13/2
Report sandyhood February 2, 2012 12:24 PM GMT
When I did my assessment of the race I felt Dashing Eddie was beatable and that the 13/8 7/4 15/8 kind of prices didn't take full account of the rise in handicap.
I am prepared to back D'Urberville at 4/1 or bigger (as that way I can build in the risk of a bounce effect) but I had felt 7/1 would be needed to attract me to back Pipers Piping.
I was initially drawn to review Pipers Piping because I wasn't familiar with the betting pattern. But since then I have seen a jocked up entry tomorrow for an apprentice handicap and am prepared to consider that the handicap today may well be generous. Tomorrows race is 0-65 and would be then contestable with a penalty as well as top weight.
So I'm looking at Pipers Piping today and have cut my required price to just under 13/2
Report Schickelgruber February 2, 2012 12:35 PM GMT
I got 6/1 about Pipers Piping earlier today. Last time Leonna Mayor was up she was beaten in a photo finish, I think at 6/1 "Pipers" is value
Report sandyhood February 2, 2012 3:32 PM GMT
Well done Schickelgruber
Report sandyhood February 2, 2012 3:33 PM GMT
I think she might come out tomorrow
Report Virgin February 2, 2012 3:34 PM GMT
Schickelgruber    wd
Report sandyhood February 2, 2012 5:46 PM GMT
Could be 6/1 for a repeat tomorrow
Report sandyhood February 3, 2012 1:50 PM GMT
Hasn't been better than 6.8 here
Even so, there will be a long wait before he is entitled to run in a 0-65 again after yesterday's run away success
Report sandyhood February 3, 2012 1:58 PM GMT
Top and bottom has time since last race as well as handicap rating, but Hackett off 52 has been leniently treated. George Downing has draw 6 and a decent chance. Hopefully to be second rather than win.
Report sandyhood February 3, 2012 2:15 PM GMT
Just not good enough. Josh Crane is a jockey worth noting, and well done to the man I knew as spin dwyer when he was in Yorkshire
Report sandyhood February 3, 2012 2:19 PM GMT
Leonna Mayor next time in an apprentice race please
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