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parachutepunter
17 Apr 10 23:16
Joined:
Date Joined: 16 Sep 07
| Topic/replies: 694 | Blogger: parachutepunter's blog
liverpool
arsenal
aston villa

3.58 X 100


worth it ?
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Report Glasgow Brian April 17, 2010 11:17 PM BST
great bet - if you got 4.5
price is everything
Report parachutepunter April 17, 2010 11:17 PM BST
thanks
Report Hull April 17, 2010 11:18 PM BST
great lay accy, shud come in.
Report parachutepunter April 17, 2010 11:21 PM BST
why?

who will not pull through?
Report Glasgow Brian April 17, 2010 11:22 PM BST
Chelsea will take the league -
but what price would you take ?????????????
Report parachutepunter April 17, 2010 11:24 PM BST
thanks glasgow

get the point
Report parachutepunter April 17, 2010 11:25 PM BST
to be a little philosophical

we dont know the outcome of any future event

we speculate and take intelligent guesses


the combination of which usually fails
Report hello :-) April 17, 2010 11:26 PM BST
good luck with it mate
Report parachutepunter April 17, 2010 11:30 PM BST
thanks hello


I am skint this month

wife and kids all had birthdays

long month

some poor results

what can one do?
Report Glasgow Brian April 17, 2010 11:32 PM BST
parachute -
if you dont get value
laying or backing
long term
you will lose
100%
Report parachutepunter April 17, 2010 11:34 PM BST
brian you seem clued up

how do you recognise value

is there any simple definition of value

or is it simply the bookies that lay such that value dissappears most bets?
Report Glasgow Brian April 17, 2010 11:40 PM BST
you will only win in horse racing if you BACK horses regularly that are OVERPRICED , or LAY horses that are UNDER PRICED on a regular basis .
there are many winning strategies , its the discipline thats the killer .
Report parachutepunter April 17, 2010 11:42 PM BST
Brian are you willing to post a list of horses that are under or over priced on a daily basis,
then we can do a little audit to see if your statistical thinking is correct?
Report Glasgow Brian April 17, 2010 11:47 PM BST
There is no need - the band of horses i lay are underpriced on the whole , there are many a losing day , many a losing week and occasionally the odd losing month but NEVER a losing year and as soon as you take the BUZZ element from your gambling and turn it into an INVESTMENT you will be ok .
Report parachutepunter April 17, 2010 11:49 PM BST
any way you can teach this brian?
Report Glasgow Brian April 17, 2010 11:51 PM BST
Which type of horses do you think might be under / over priced ?
Report parachutepunter April 17, 2010 11:52 PM BST
thanks for your chat Brian
wil be looking out for some advice on the forum from you

have a good weekend mate and thanks
Report parachutepunter April 17, 2010 11:53 PM BST
sorry did not see your last post

I am too much of an amateur to speculate on horses sp
Report Glasgow Brian April 17, 2010 11:56 PM BST
do you back horses ?
Report kauto_kauto April 18, 2010 12:29 AM BST
i find mccoy and paul nicholls horse without ruby walsh are normally over priced.
Report Glasgow Brian April 18, 2010 12:38 AM BST
There are many many many many many
Report ELG April 18, 2010 1:09 AM BST
we have no players left :(
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