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She is a much more relaxed filly this year. They have managed to get her to switch off in her work and follow in behind other horses (whereas last year they couldn't find any fillies fast enough to go with her).
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WALOS by sheetburgler !
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james
although i agree with you she looked like she needed the run and the going was against her,to me (been wrong many times.lol) she did not look like she settled very well last time out. |
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sj, I must say, I was surprised that Stephane Pasquier decided to make the running in the Imprudence. I hope he will be able to hold her up just off the pace in the Guineas. On the other hand, a lot of people reckoned Natagora wouldn't get the mile in the Guineas two years ago - she too liked to make the running.
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yep point taken james,also maybe being drawn widest of the seven didn't help her?
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there is no doubts about her staying the mile on her pedigree.
the trainer announced before the prep race that she wasn't ready and that she wouldn't mind if the horse lost. she has now confirmed that the horse definitely goes to newmarket and that she has come on a ton for her prep race. could well be evens or shorter on the day. |
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could well be evens or shorter on the day.
Outpost you cant be serious? |
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special duty has nothing to beat IMO
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sj 14 Apr 09:26
could well be evens or shorter on the day. Outpost you cant be serious? SJ it depends what her potential opposition do this week at newmarket. if stoute's horse and the rest run really well then SD could well stay about 3/1. if they don't perform too well then SD will shorten quite quickly. bookmakers aren't renowned for being generous to punters with their ante post odds. |
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I can also see her being a lot shorter on the day. More like 7/4 or 2/1. Firstly, if Seta doesn't run before the gns and Luca makes the wrong noises then, Safina and Music Show run today, this only leaves Pollenator who I think, at this stage is SD's main danger.
Of course the trials may throw up something special. And the only one I think with the potential to be anything is Tabassum. Hamdan's filly has looked top class but was inexplicably beaten, possibly on the rails was the wrong place, last time. With Hamdan beating Special Duty in France with Joanna, a filly with top class form who he is NOT sending over for the Guineas, this could be the reason. My bets so far are Special Duty, Pollenator (ew) and Tabassum (ew). |
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Not a prayer of being even money outpost. irrespective what happens in the trials .
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this horse won't be anywhere near evens come guineas day
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Come the day of the Guineas when hopefully the opposition will have melted away believe me SPECIAL DUTY will start ODDS ON
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i'm hoping music show bolts up today as have some on at 19.5 and 17 for guineas
rockfel been a decent race for the guineas in the last decade and the nell gwyn on top would be great! |
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They have just worked Tabassum at Newmarket and I still think she is Hamdan's No1 and a real danger to Special Duty.
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