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cardifffc
06 Apr 10 13:08
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Date Joined: 10 Oct 03
| Topic/replies: 13,358 | Blogger: cardifffc's blog
SURELY A LAY AT 1.58..........AND A PLACE LAY AT 1.12

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Replies: 34
By:
infomaniac
When: 06 Apr 10 13:09
handicap good thing innit
By:
Shamardal
When: 06 Apr 10 13:09
yeah right
By:
cardifffc
When: 06 Apr 10 13:13
GOOD THING ON BREEDING BUT TIMES SUGGEST HES NO GOOD THING DESPITE THE RACE NOT BEING THE BEST
By:
postmannick
When: 06 Apr 10 13:14
very very short but what have you got to beat it?
By:
BJG
When: 06 Apr 10 13:15
Terrible price but i cant find 1 in the race to beat it

No bet race for me
By:
cardifffc
When: 06 Apr 10 13:20
info...........you dont back odds ons .....do you??
By:
infomaniac
When: 06 Apr 10 13:21
I do but will try and get evens in running on this won.
By:
cardifffc
When: 06 Apr 10 13:22
think you might get 999\1
By:
infomaniac
When: 06 Apr 10 13:24
OK, I'll lay it to win a monkey.
By:
BJG
When: 06 Apr 10 13:25
gl Cardiff ;)
By:
PITT
When: 06 Apr 10 13:29
I follow you gl luck in race
By:
cardifffc
When: 06 Apr 10 13:30
win or lose.........its not a odds on shot
By:
infomaniac
When: 06 Apr 10 13:31
I blame the RP chappie wot done the forecast innit.
By:
Cheers For Thea
When: 06 Apr 10 13:32
You would be a very brave man to lay it odds against imo.
By:
cardifffc
When: 06 Apr 10 13:37
cheers........you dont have to??
By:
Cheers For Thea
When: 06 Apr 10 13:47
Get stuck in then!
By:
Stevie Gerrard
When: 06 Apr 10 13:58
Cardiff, are you using the RP topspeeds? On the website it appears they have not given the horse a rating for his last run. Looking at the going allowance and the time above standard they would normally give the horse a rating of around 60 for that. I wonder if they have just forgotten to give him a rating?
By:
cardifffc
When: 06 Apr 10 14:02
if thats the case i wont be laying it
By:
cardifffc
When: 06 Apr 10 14:04
cheers stevie..............looked at the william hill website........no rating
By:
Suffolk1
When: 06 Apr 10 14:09
Best Top Speed in the RP is 42, this is in line with Lawrence Taylor who also gives a poor figure of 37
I layed Ibn Hiyyan this morning.
By:
Suffolk1
When: 06 Apr 10 14:11
If estimate of 60 is correct, still leaves it only third best
By:
Stevie Gerrard
When: 06 Apr 10 14:27
If you want to work out what the topspeed is cardiff, you would multiply the going allowance they gave it on that day 0.2sf by the distance 12. add that to the time above standard (2.35) and then multiply by 10( i think they use for 12f). add on the weight below 10st and then subtract this total from 120. then I think they add on the wfa allowance.

From memory I that is pretty much what he does when calculating his ratings but I'm not 100% sure so don't let that put you off laying it.
By:
cardifffc
When: 06 Apr 10 14:37
steve i think youre right i now have had my back matched so my lay has gone
By:
Cheers For Thea
When: 06 Apr 10 14:42
So you now have it down as a winner cardiff!!
Extraodinary - you price it as a "above evens" chance, lay it at 1.7ish and then back it back at 1.6ish...
You wont get rich doing that me old pal
By:
infomaniac
When: 06 Apr 10 14:43
confused.com innit
By:
infomaniac
When: 06 Apr 10 15:40
Got 2.02 just now :D
By:
infomaniac
When: 06 Apr 10 15:41
The Easterby horse looks well fancied but this is surely a free trade waiting to happen !
By:
Cheers For Thea
When: 06 Apr 10 15:41
At least Cardiff is sitting pretty!
I thought it was a good thing but I have kept out in light of the TE supported beast. Good luck info
By:
cool eddy
When: 06 Apr 10 15:42
blinka me e/w punt gl
By:
DancingBraveTheBest
When: 06 Apr 10 15:42
personally i think it'll win but am worried by the drift.
By:
REDUNDANT PUNTER
When: 06 Apr 10 15:42
bollin andrew looks the one to beat, now stepped up in trip in a poor contest with plenty of improvement, may be a lazy type, and tactical speed may be an issue, but looks to ave found a nice opening
Cheers
By:
MeanOldLiar
When: 06 Apr 10 15:43
Has to be a lay as comes out of a weak maiden and is poorly drawn. Weak opposition a concern.
By:
infomaniac
When: 06 Apr 10 15:50
It was a weak maiden,

apart from the winner and second !
By:
Cheers For Thea
When: 06 Apr 10 15:51
Well done info - stuck to your guns. My arris went
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