Horse Antepost
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MQSE DE SEVIGNE keeps winning even though A Pouchin keeps apparently giving her too much to do. Her attitude is terrific and she always battles to the line. She gets the ground she likes and won this last year. She could go off shorter than 10/11 currently available.
BLUE ROSE CEN doesn't seem as good as she was a year ago.
KELINA is OK at a mile on good ground but I feel she doesn't stay a mile on soft. Stride frequency data from the Santa Anita bc run suggests she is a sprinter (2.46sps).
ROGUE MILLENNIUM is now on a longish losing run and I can't see any reason for improvement here. It has been nearly 2 years since she did a good topspeed figure.
the others don't look good enough.
BLUE ROSE CEN doesn't seem as good as she was a year ago.
KELINA is OK at a mile on good ground but I feel she doesn't stay a mile on soft. Stride frequency data from the Santa Anita bc run suggests she is a sprinter (2.46sps).
ROGUE MILLENNIUM is now on a longish losing run and I can't see any reason for improvement here. It has been nearly 2 years since she did a good topspeed figure.
the others don't look good enough.
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If Blue Rose Cen recaptured her best form she would be the one to beat even without any improvement from 3 to 4, but she's been running poorly. Even her last win in last year's Opera was a long way below her best. I reckon Rogue Millennium has improved with every run this season. I have her latest effort giving weight 6lbs below her career peak, which was her second in last year's Matron. If she can improve again and repeat the Matron effort I would have nothing between her and MDS.
Mqse De Sevigne has won a couple of slowly run events this year so you'd think they won't have taken much out of her, and a repeat of last year's effort is some way ahead of what the rest of these have been doing this season, so she's the safest bet. However, it's not a particularly high standard she sets, and with a couple of others capable of being competitive on past form I'd want a bigger price, so no bet for me.
Mqse De Sevigne has won a couple of slowly run events this year so you'd think they won't have taken much out of her, and a repeat of last year's effort is some way ahead of what the rest of these have been doing this season, so she's the safest bet. However, it's not a particularly high standard she sets, and with a couple of others capable of being competitive on past form I'd want a bigger price, so no bet for me.
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