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willie the milk
25 Nov 23 17:42
Joined:
Date Joined: 16 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 791 | Blogger: willie the milk's blog
Surely Mullins will bring over Allaho for the KG? Bravemansgame had 2 tough races. Shishkin a monkey and will need to get a pipe opener. What else will turn up?
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Report brandyontherocks November 25, 2023 8:37 PM GMT
I was thinking that they would tread carefully with Allaho until the Ryanair.

That will be the one race they would like to win with him.
Report impossible123 November 25, 2023 9:03 PM GMT
3/1 for Bravemansgame and 4/1 Allaho. Of the two I'd go with the former on price; the latter is way too short judged on his 1st run back from injury, and might run in an easy race prior to another tilt in the Ryanair - his main aim of the season.

I think apart from the enigmatic Shishkin (I hope connections will dispense with the hood) one could blame Pumpkin if Bravemansgame is stuffed again at X'mas; his defeat in the Betfair could be put down to a quick turnaround from the Charlie Hall plus Haydock suited Royale Pagaille too.
Report brandyontherocks November 25, 2023 9:39 PM GMT
If Bravemansgame wins the King George will you come on here and say what a great trainer P.Nicholls is??
Report impossible123 November 26, 2023 8:37 PM GMT
No. I think Bravemansgame will still retain his crown on Boxing Day despite suffering 2 successive defeats within 3 weeks. I think Pumpkin undercooked him 1st time; 2nd was clearly an afterthought, and prize money.

Royale Pagaille loves Haydock; take away the winner Bravemansgame would have won by a distance in the Betfair.
Report eric_morris November 27, 2023 4:00 PM GMT
The top Irish horses rarely come here over the holiday period. Bookies touting none runners for themselves normally.

Also lots of mind games going on between trainers who want their horses ready for the main events the King George and Gold Cup and if a trainer overdoes his horse too early due to a major opponent touted to run but not coming along then it worked.
Report FOYLESWAR November 28, 2023 4:08 PM GMT
could paul  nicholls be tempted to step pic dorhey up to 3m  here ? said he is bred to stay and he has had 2 or more runners in this a fair few times ,as said bravemans 2 tough races this season ,?mrks around shishkin and the irish often stay at home pic dorhay needs to find a bit more but is improving and  the trip could bring out a bit more . nicholls said after his aintree win  last season "he will certainly get an entry for the king george.
Report FOYLESWAR November 28, 2023 4:15 PM GMT
might be a small field again this year^^^^^
Report FOYLESWAR November 28, 2023 4:36 PM GMT
i know he didnt beat much after shishkins no show but pic d,orhey  did it well in the end and wernt stopping over 2.5 m , 8yo and has won 7 of last 10 races.
Report impossible123 November 28, 2023 5:55 PM GMT
If Alaho wins this, assuming he shows, he'd be near odds-on to repeat his triumph in the Ryanair. And, if he wins going away he'd be fav for the Blue Riband over 3m 2f. BUT,..more chance of PM Sunak being the PM again or leader of the Conservative Party post 2024/25 General Election.
Report willie the milk November 29, 2023 5:45 PM GMT
Now Elliot has thrown Gerri into the mix cos it looks like it could be full of ifs and buts. Surely it would want a stiffer test???
Report penzance November 29, 2023 5:54 PM GMT
I don't see why the race won't suit him.Won over shorter & gets 3M well.
Good race in the making if Allaho runs aswell as Bravemansgame.
What's the plan with L'Homme Presse?
Report impossible123 November 29, 2023 6:46 PM GMT
According to his trainer Ms Williams L'Homme Presse is just getting going. I think it might mean the KG might come too soon.
Report eric_morris November 29, 2023 7:59 PM GMT
Unusual seeing the £400 bet left up on Gerri Colombe at 4.1

A bit can be taken at 3.75 but not budging on price.

Is this a stopper bet encouraging punters to back him at lower prices on here. If he turns out a non runner a tidy sum will be made by those taking the bets on Elliots horse.
Report brandyontherocks November 30, 2023 2:42 PM GMT
I hope Gerri does run, as it is not looking like a strong field as it stands.
Report penzance November 30, 2023 11:05 PM GMT
Cheers,re L'Homme Presse.
Report impossible123 December 13, 2023 5:19 PM GMT
He's into as short as 11/4. With that one could infer (unless a bookies' red-herring) the minds of connections are almost agiven (similarly Gerri); money talks.

I'll be a 'layer' on anything less than 3/1 when principal runners are known eg BMG, Gerri, Shishkin and The Real Whacker; others a bonus.
Report impossible123 December 18, 2023 11:49 AM GMT
2/1 now post the uncertainty of Gerri's participation. A 'lay' surely.
Report MR BLONDE December 18, 2023 1:37 PM GMT
GC going to be a NR
BMG performing like a grade 2 horse this year...
Will go off close to 2.2/2.3 would be my guess!
Report impossible123 December 19, 2023 7:56 AM GMT
The market is pointing towards a no-show for Gerri; The Savill is very competitive too. I think Gerri could miss both and take in a "softie" in the New Year.
Report MR BLONDE December 25, 2023 12:52 AM GMT
If he was 90% of the horse he was 18 months ago... he'd be 1.7 in this!
3.0 = people KNOW
= LAY DOWN THE PAGE!!!!
Report impossible123 December 26, 2023 8:51 AM GMT
Allaho is a drifter at  15/8 from 11/4; Shishkin and Hewick have contracted into 7/2 (from 6/1) and 11/1 (from 16/1) respectively last week; Bravemansgame is solid at 5/2.
Report FOYLESWAR December 26, 2023 10:22 AM GMT
11/4 b365 .............she knows !
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! December 26, 2023 2:44 PM GMT
THe Shark WINS
Laugh
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