It is a bit obvious going for the favourite. But I don't think Mostahdaf is as good as he looked at Ascot. Perhaps the way the race was run favoured him and the horses that he beat (with the exception of Bay Bridge, who hasn't run again yet) have all been beaten since. Nashwa has looked good when she wins, but the form of these fillies/mares races doesn't look as good now as they did at the time. And she has had a lot of defeats. The Foxes win in the Dante also doesn't look strong now and he is easily passed over. Paddington was really strong in the finish when beating Emily Upjohn who would have been in peak form after a recent G1 win. Significantly this win in the Eclipse was at 1m2f. I expect Paddington to win with a bit in hand today.
It is a bit obvious going for the favourite. But I don't think Mostahdaf is as good as he looked at Ascot. Perhaps the way the race was run favoured him and the horses that he beat (with the exception of Bay Bridge, who hasn't run again yet) have al
I backed Paddington in the SJP and Eclipse and think he's been one of the highlights in a pretty mediocre season so far. That said, I don't think he's anything special. I know most see his Eclipse win as his best run but I still have the SJP as his best performance. Even that isn't quite up to the level of an average Guineas winner. He obviously stays 10f or he wouldn't have been able to beat Emily Upjohn in the Eclipse, but I'm still not sure that he's quite as good at that distance. Added to that, I thought the Sussex Stakes was a really poor level for the grade. He won it well enough and conditions were bad, but there has to be the possibility he's feeling the effects of a busy campaign. I thought he was underrated going into Royal Ascot, whereas now I think he's a bit overrated. For me, he can win at this price and I'll say well done, but would have no regrets not backing him. Contradicting opinions from anyone who sees him as a great bet are welcome, however, preferably before the event, instead of appearing oh so wise after
I just can't see The Foxes being involved where it matters. I backed Nashwa last time, where the pace went against her, and think she isn't without a chance here on her Falmouth effort. I would have a regret if she won without carrying my cash but I'm still going to pass on her. When Mostahdaf won the POW I was of the opinion it was a few pounds short of the best Gp1 form and something better would probably come out, but I don't think it has. I reckon that form makes him the most likely winner today, so he's the bet.
I backed Paddington in the SJP and Eclipse and think he's been one of the highlights in a pretty mediocre season so far. That said, I don't think he's anything special. I know most see his Eclipse win as his best run but I still have the SJP as his b